[✔️] November 29, 2021 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

👀 Richard Pauli richard at theclimate.vote
Mon Nov 29 08:18:32 EST 2021 

/*November 29, 2021*/

/[  Check the science ]/
*In a warming world, deforestation turns the heat deadly, Borneo study 
finds*
by Grace Dungey on 25 November 2021

    -- New research identifies how rising localized temperatures driven
    by deforestation and global warming are increasing heat-related
    deaths and creating unsafe working conditions in Indonesia.
    -- In the Bornean district of Berau, 4,375 square kilometers (1,689
    square miles) of forest were cleared between 2002 and 2018,
    contributing to a 0.95°C (1.71°F) increase in mean daily temperature
    across the district, according to the study.
    -- It concluded climate change temperature increases in the region
    caused an 8% rise in mortality rates in 2018, or more than 100
    deaths annually, and an additional almost 20 minutes per day of
    unsafe work time.
    -- Based on the 2018 data, a projected 2°C (3.6°F) global
    temperature increase in deforested areas could result in a
    20%increase in all-cause mortality — an additional 236-282 deaths
    per year — and almost five unsafe work hours per day.

A new study published in Lancet Planetary Health reports how localized 
deforestation and global warming are contributing to an increase in 
heat-related deaths in Berau, a district in Indonesia’s East Kalimantan 
province on the island of Borneo.

Researchers from the University of Washington and Mulawaran University 
in Samarinda, the East Kalimantan capital, used publicly accessible 
satellite data to calculate changes to forest cover and ground 
temperature between 2002 and 2018 in Berau. They concluded that a 
deforestation-induced rise in mean daily maximum temperatures of 0.95° 
Celsius (1.71° Fahrenheit) over the 16-year period resulted in the 
additional deaths of 101-118 people annually....
https://news.mongabay.com/2021/11/in-a-warming-world-deforestation-turns-the-heat-deadly-borneo-study-finds/

- -

[  paper in The Lancet Planetary Health  ]
*The effect of deforestation and climate change on all-cause mortality 
and unsafe work conditions due to heat exposure in Berau, Indonesia: a 
modelling study*
Previous studies focusing on urban, industrialised regions have found 
that excess heat exposure can increase all-cause mortality, heat-related 
illnesses, and occupational injuries. However, little research has 
examined how deforestation and climate change can adversely affect work 
conditions and population health in low latitude, industrialising 
countries...
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(21)00279-5/fulltext



/[  bogus, bad data, or ignored reports ]/
*Countries’ climate pledges built on flawed data, **Post investigation 
finds*
By Chris Mooney, Juliet Eilperin, Desmond Butler, John Muyskens, Anu 
Narayanswamy and Naema Ahmed
Nov. 7, 2021
Malaysia’s latest catalogue of its greenhouse gas emissions to the 
United Nations reads like a report from a parallel universe. The 
285-page document suggests that Malaysia’s trees are absorbing carbon 
four times faster than similar forests in neighboring Indonesia.

The surprising claim has allowed the country to subtract over 243 
million tons of carbon dioxide from its 2016 inventory — slashing 73 
percent of emissions from its bottom line...
- -
The plan to save the world from the worst of climate change is built on 
data. But the data the world is relying on is inaccurate.

“If we don’t know the state of emissions today, we don’t know whether 
we’re cutting emissions meaningfully and substantially,” said Rob 
Jackson, a professor at Stanford University and chair of the Global 
Carbon Project, a collaboration of hundreds of researchers. “The 
atmosphere ultimately is the truth. The atmosphere is what we care 
about. The concentration of methane and other greenhouse gases in the 
atmosphere is what’s affecting climate.”...
- -
“That’s why people tolerate this disarray, because the alternative is 
for them to walk away.”
- -
“I believe information is powerful. Data and information have not nudged 
the climate world as quickly as I wished it had,” he said. “But I’m 
still naively hoping to leave the world better for my kids than I found it.”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/interactive/2021/greenhouse-gas-emissions-pledges-data/



/[   Superb documentary video 52 mins  ] /
*How Oil Companies Hid the Truth About Climate Change | Global Warming | 
ENDEVR Documentary*
Nov 24, 2021
ENDEVR
Busines Documentary from 2017
Oil companies such as Exxon and Shell have been secretly financing 
scientific studies and campaigns which are talking down climate change 
and have been influencing the public debate for 60 years.
New documents prove that since 1957, these companies have known that 
burning fossil fuels changes the climate – their own, strictly secret 
research had revealed this. But the US oil companies did not only carry 
out research and then concealed their results. Since 1963, Exxon and 
Shell engineers have been using their knowledge about climate change to 
gear up for a warming planet: They built higher and sturdier oil rigs to 
compensate for rising sea levels and more severe storms. Pipelines in 
the Arctic were anchored more firmly because of the melting permafrost.
Smoke and Fumes is a documentary about the biggest cover-up in history, 
which lasted for 60 years and was only recently revealed.
▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬
Subscribe ENDEVR for free: https://bit.ly/3e9YRRG
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xVwzxfon7LI

- -

/[  article in The Guardian //is more than 5 years old//]/
*Oil industry knew of 'serious' climate concerns more than 45 years ago*
Researchers warned American Petroleum Institute in 1968 that the release 
of carbon dioxide from fossil fuels could lead to ‘worldwide 
environmental changes’
Oliver Milman @olliemilman -- 13 Apr 2016
“Significant temperature changes are almost certain to occur by the year 
2000 and these could bring about climatic change,” the 1968 Stanford 
report, found and republished by the Center for International 
Environmental Law, states. “If the Earth’s temperature increases 
significantly, a number of events might be expected to occur including 
the melting of the Antarctic ice cap, a rise in sea levels, warming of 
the oceans and an increase in photosynthesis.

“It is clear that we are unsure as to what our long-lived pollutants are 
doing to our environment; however, there seems to be no doubt that the 
potential damage to our environment could be severe.”
- -
The study, written by scientists Elmer Robinson and RC Robbins, adds 
that accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere could cause “serious 
worldwide environmental changes”.

The scientists estimated that CO2 in the atmosphere could reach 400 
parts per million by 2000. In fact, CO2 levels broke that milestone last 
year, recording their largest leap on record.

This huge increase in CO2, the primary driver of the greenhouse effect, 
has helped global temperatures rise by 1C over the past century. It is 
estimated  of the world’s known fossil fuel reserves, including oil, 
coal and gas, will have to remain unburned if civilisation is to avoid 
the worst ravages of climate change, such as droughts, floods, food 
insecurity and inundation from rising seas.

API, the peak body for the oil industry in the US, knew about the 
dangers of climate change at least 20 years before the issue was brought 
into mainstream public discourse via the former Nasa scientist James 
Hansen. Former US president Lyndon Johnson also received an early 
warning about climate change, with scientists explaining the mechanism 
of the greenhouse effect in 1965.

Last year, it was revealed that ExxonMobil, the world’s largest oil 
company, knew of climate change as early as 1981, only to spend millions 
of dollars over the following 27 years to promote climate denial. The 
exposure of this prior knowledge has been led by Inside Climate News.

Exxon had a dedicated in-house team that established the connection 
between fossil fuels and climate change, but the company still spent 
years refusing to acknowledge the issue and funding climate denial 
activities. Exxon now insists it accepts climate science and doesn’t 
promote denial of the changes to the planet already under way.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/apr/13/climate-change-oil-industry-environment-warning-1968

- -

/[  Smoke & Fumes report in 1968  ]/
*Sources, abundance, and fate of atmospheric pollutants.*
Author: E. Robinson, & R.C. Robbins
Importantly, SRI acknowledged that of the various sources proposed for 
rising atmospheric CO2, "none seems to fit the presently observed 
situation as well as the fossil fuel emanation theory." Noting 
uncertainties about whether particulate pollution would offset some of 
this warming, SRI warned "…there seems to be no doubt that the potential 
damage to our environment could be severe…" The industry's own 
consulting scientists then confirmed that the most urgent research need 
was into technologies that could bring CO2 emissions under control.
https://www.smokeandfumes.org/documents/document16
https://www.smokeandfumes.org/documents



/[  Hollywood fare of metaphorical sarcasm - on Netflix Dec 24th -- 
nearly the same video is less than 3 mins ]/
*DON'T LOOK UP Trailer 2 (2021)*
Nov 16, 2021
ONE Media
DON'T LOOK UP Trailer 2 (2021) Leonardo DiCaprio, Jennifer Lawrence, 
Timothée Chalamet, Ariana Grande, Meryl Streep, New
© 2021 - Netflix
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ISt6u1_gZcE



/[  Woodshole now named Woodwell -  message workshops - 4min video ] /
*Woodwell Climate | Addressing Climate Risk with the COP26 Presidency*
Nov 9, 2021
Woodwell Climate Research Center
The 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference UK Presidency and 
Woodwell Climate convened a series of climate risk workshops with 13 
countries. The findings demonstrate the global need for targeted, 
standardized assessments that translate the severe risks and hazardous 
impacts of climate change on people's daily lives.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HPRLdOsD0JI



/[ PhD defense - video ]/
*On the state of reduced-complexity climate modelling*
Feb 16, 2021
Climate & Energy College
Zebedee Nicholls, 16 February 2021.
PhD completion seminar.

    Reduced-complexity climate models are the most computationally
    efficient end of the climate model hierarchy. They are widely used
    in climate science research, particularly at the science-policy
    interface. However, unlike the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project
    (CMIP) that focuses on more comprehensive Earth System Models, there
    has never been a systematic intercomparison project targeted
    specifically at reduced-complexity climate models. In this PhD
    completion seminar, Zebedee Nicholls will introduce the
    Reduced-Complexity Model Intercomparison Project (RCMIP) and discuss
    the state of reduced-complexity climate modelling. Beyond the
    intercomparison and evaluation efforts of RCMIP, the thesis includes
    elements of reduced-complexity model development and application,
    both of which will be discussed. Zebedee will also offer suggestions
    on possible next steps for reduced-complexity climate modelling,
    based on his experiences performing each step in the
    development-evaluation-application cycle. The thesis provides new
    insights into the behaviour and performance of reduced-complexity
    climate models, particularly understanding of their limitations.
    These insights allow users of reduced-complexity climate models,
    most notably at the science-policy interface, to have greater
    confidence when interpreting results from reduced-complexity climate
    models.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o3q40ktMJy8



[The news archive - looking back]
*On this day in the history of global warming November  29, 2014*

November 29, 2014:
The New York Times reports:

    "Since the economically crippling oil embargo of 1973, every
    American president has pledged to seek and achieve energy independence.

    "That elusive goal may finally have arrived, at least for the
    foreseeable future, with the failure of Saudi Arabia and its 11 oil
    cartel partners in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
    Countries to agree to a production cut that would put a brake on
    plummeting crude prices."

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/29/business/energy-environment/free-fall-in-oil-price-underscores-shift-away-from-opec.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=photo-spot-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news


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