[✔️] September 29, 2021 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
👀 Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Wed Sep 29 09:43:25 EDT 2021
/*September 29, 2021*/
[new ideas - I am informing, I am not promoting - hear the interveiw]
*Andreas Malm on the Environmental Movement and “Intelligent Sabotage”*
With Dorothy Wickenden
September 27, 2021
Andreas Malm, a climate activist and senior lecturer at Lund University,
in Sweden, studies the relationship between climate change and
capitalism. With the United Nations climate meeting in Glasgow rapidly
approaching—it begins on October 31st—Malm tells David Remnick that he
believes environmentalists should not place too much faith in talks or
treaties of this kind. Instead, he insists that the climate movement
rethink its roots in nonviolence. His book is provocatively titled “How
to Blow Up a Pipeline,” though it is not exactly an instruction manual.
Malm advocates for “intelligent sabotage” of fossil-fuel infrastructure
to prevent more carbon from being emitted. “I am in favor of destroying
machines, property—not harming people. That’s a very important
distinction,” he tells Remnick.
Andreas Malm insists that, instead of waiting on the Glasgow climate
conference, environmentalists target fossil-fuel infrastructure
https://www.newyorker.com/podcast/the-new-yorker-radio-hour/should-the-climate-movement-embrace-sabotage
https://www.newyorker.com/podcast/political-scene/andreas-malm-on-the-environmental-movement-and-intelligent-sabotage
[ Cool new ideas need deployment]
*Space Powered Cooling May Be the Future of Energy*
Sep 28, 2021
Undecided with Matt Ferrell
Space powered cooling may be the future of energy. Our cooling systems
are heating the Earth as they consume fossil-fueled energy and release
greenhouse gases. Air Conditioning use is expected to increase from
about 3.6 billion units to 15 billion by 2050. So, how do we exit this
cold room trap? What if I told you we could tap into space for
electricity free air conditioning and other refrigeration tech?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pq8xDXkbXZs
[maybe anthropology is important ]
*Climate change warning from collapsed ancient cities*
by University of Sydney
Why did some ancient Khmer and Mesoamerican cities collapse between
900-1500CE while their rural surrounds continued to prosper? Intentional
adaptation to climate changed conditions may be the answer, suggests a
new study, which offers lessons for today.
Cities and their hinterlands must build resilience to survive climate
stress; this is the grave warning emanating from a study of ancient
civilisations and climate change.
From 900 to 1500CE, Khmer cities in mainland Southeast Asia (including
Angkor) and Maya cities in Mesoamerica collapsed, coinciding with
periods of intense climate variability. While the ceremonial and
administrative urban cores of many cities were abandoned, the
surrounding communities may have endured because of long-term investment
in resilient landscapes.
"They created extensive landscapes of terraced and bunded (embanked to
control water flow) agricultural fields that acted as massive sinks for
water, sediment and nutrients," said lead author Associate Professor
Daniel Penny, from the University of Sydney School of Geosciences.
"This long-term investment in soil fertility and the capture and storage
of water resources may have allowed some communities to persist long
after the urban cores had been abandoned." He and his colleague at the
University of Texas at Austin, Professor Timothy Beach, came to this
conclusion via a review of relevant archaeological and environmental
information from Southeast Asia and Mesoamerica.
At the ancient city of Angkor in modern Cambodia, for example, the
administrative and ceremonial core was progressively abandoned over
several decades, culminating in a series of catastrophic droughts in the
14th and 15th century, but the surrounding agricultural landscapes may
have persisted through these episodes of climatic stress.
Published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, their
study provides a rough roadmap for resilience in the face of climate change.
Lessons for rural and urban Australia
These historical cases of urban collapse emphasize that long-term and
large-scale investment in landscape resilience—such as improving water
storage and retention, improving soil fertility, and securing
biodiversity—can better enable both urban and rural communities to
tolerate periods of climatic stress. The Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change believes this will become more frequent and more intense
in many parts of the world over the coming century.
"We often think of these historic events as disasters, but they also
have much to teach us about persistence, resilience and continuity in
the face of climate variability," said Associate Professor Penny.
https://phys.org/news/2021-09-climate-collapsed-ancient-cities.html
[if you follow the money then you know - 2 hour talk about 1 book with
McKibben and author - audio ]*
**Overheated: How Capitalism Broke the Planet--And How We Fight Back
(Hardcover)*
Elliott Bay Books
It has become impossible to deny that the planet is warming, and that
governments must act. But some believe that a new denialism is taking
root in the halls of power, shaped by decades of neoliberal policies and
centuries of anti-democratic thinking. One such is journalist Kate
Aronoff, who has written about the climate change fight in her book
Overheated: How Capitalism Broke the Planet and How We Fight Back.
Aronoff joins us, in conversation with author and environmentalist Bill
McKibben, to explore her account that examines the forces that she
contends have hijacked progress on climate change. Since the 1980s,
Democrats and Republicans have each granted enormous concessions to
industries bent on maintaining business as usual. And worse, Aronoff
says, policymakers have given oil and gas executives a seat at the table
designing policies that should instead be the end of their business
model. Aronoff argues that this approach will only drive the planet
further into emergency. Drawing on years of reporting, she lays out an
alternative vision, detailing how democratic majorities can curb
pollutors’ power; create millions of well-paid, union jobs; enact
climate reparations; and transform the economy into a more leisurely and
sustainable one. Our future, Aronoff, challenges, will require a radical
reimagining of politics–with the world at stake.
Kate Aronoff is a staff writer at The New Republic, and a former fellow
at the Type Media Center. Her work has appeared in The Intercept, The
New York Times, The Nation, Dissent, Rolling Stone, and The Guardian,
among other outlets. Aronoff is the co-editor of We Own the Future:
Democratic Socialism, American Style and the co-author of A Planet to
Win: Why We Need a Green New Deal.
Bill McKibben is an award-winning author and environmentalist. His 1989
book The End of Nature is regarded as the first book for a general
audience about climate change. He is a founder of 350.org, the first
planet-wide, grassroots climate change movement. A former staff writer
for the New Yorker, he writes frequently for a wide variety of
publications around the world, including the New York Review of Books,
National Geographic, and Rolling Stone. In 2014, biologists named a
species of woodland gnat—megophthalmidia mckibbeni—after him.
https://townhallseattle.org/event/kate-aronoff-livestream/ - video or audio
or see it on YouTube video https://youtu.be/Bp11KZ91NzI
[Denialist drama - a testy Stossel-tussle ]
*Ex-Fox host claims Facebook defamed him by fact-checking climate change
videos*
Former Fox Business host says his ad revenue has taken a hit.
TIM DE CHANT - 9/28/2021,
Former Fox Business host John Stossel is suing Facebook, alleging that
the social media company and one of its contracted fact-checking
organizations defamed him when it flagged two of his videos, alerting
viewers to “missing context” and “partly false” claims.
The lawsuit also claims that Stossel’s professional reputation has been
“significantly and irreparably damaged by the false labels and statements.”
Since Stossel left Fox Business, he’s been releasing videos on various
social platforms, including Facebook, Instagram, and YouTube. The
endeavor has apparently been somewhat lucrative—he has made around
$10,000 a month from Facebook alone. “My news model is based on social
media companies showing you videos,” he said on YouTube.
But when Facebook’s fact-checking label appeared on two videos, Stossel
alleges that his ad revenue from the platform was cut by approximately
45 percent.
*Stossel's claims*
In the videos, Stossel, and others appearing alongside him, cast doubt
on the severity of climate change. In one video, titled Are We All
Doomed?, Stossel replays excerpts from a panel discussion he moderated
for The Heartland Institute, which has received funding from fossil fuel
companies and groups opposed to regulations on greenhouse gases. The
panel consisted of three climate skeptics—meteorologist Patrick
Michaels, geographer David Legates, and astrophysicist Willie Soon—who
proceeded to question whether anthropogenic climate change is causing
sea level rise or increasing the power of hurricanes.
In another, titled Government Fueled Fires, Stossel discusses whether
forest management practices or climate change were driving severity of
California’s recent fire seasons, interviewing author Michael
Shellenberger on the matter. Shellenberger is a self-proclaimed
environmental activist who writes about “environmental alarmism” and
claims that climate change “is not even our most serious environmental
problem.”
Both videos were fact-checked by Climate Feedback, a subsidiary of
French fact-checking organization and Facebook partner Science Feedback.
The group found that Stossel’s climate change video contained “partly
false information” because “speakers in the video rely on several
inaccurate claims and use imprecise language that misleads viewers about
the scientific understanding of climate change.”
The California fire season video, on the other hand, was labeled
“missing context” because it “misrepresents a complex reality” by
focusing on how forest fire suppression over the 20th century led to
catastrophic fire conditions while downplaying the significance of
climate change. “Scientific studies demonstrate clear links between
climate change, hotter and drier conditions, and an increase in dry
vegetative fuel load, drastically increasing the amount of forest fire
area in the western US,” Climate Feedback wrote in its assessment.
*“Misrepresentation of our process”*
To bolster their argument in the lawsuit, Stossel’s lawyers point out
that two of the experts cited in the review of the California fire
season video initially didn’t watch the video, which the reviewers
confirmed when Stossel interviewed them. However, in 2020, Climate
Feedback says that Stossel’s claim of an inappropriate review “is based
on a misrepresentation of our process, and of the assessments of the
scientists who contributed to this review.” Indeed, the Climate Feedback
page and versions available on Archive.org clearly state that, when the
organization is reviewing claims similar to others that have previously
been assessed, it will republish scientists’ prior statements on the matter.
Upon reviewing the video in question, both experts interviewed by
Stossel said that the Facebook fact-check label was appropriately applied.
Stossel claims that the fact-check labels have prevented him from
reposting the California fire season video, which, for example, “would
have resulted in another approximately 1.2 million views and the
associated ad revenue from those views.”
We have reached out to Facebook and Climate Feedback for comment and
will update this story if we hear from them.
https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2021/09/ex-fox-host-claims-facebook-defamed-him-by-fact-checking-climate-change-videos/
[ With inaction, it is more likely sooner, 2250 maybe ]
*Earth Could Be Alien to Humans by 2500*
Unless greenhouse gas emissions drop significantly, warming by 2500 will
make the Amazon barren, Iowa tropical and India too hot to live in
By Christopher Lyon, Alex Dunhill, Andrew P. Beckerman, Ariane Burke,
Bethany Allen, Chris Smith, Daniel J. Hill, Erin Saupe, James McKay,
Julien Riel-Salvatore, Lindsay C. Stringer, Rob Marchant, Tracy Aze, The
Conversation US on September 28, 2021
There are many reports based on scientific research that talk about the
long-term impacts of climate change—such as rising levels of greenhouse
gases, temperatures and sea levels—by the year 2100. The Paris
Agreement, for example, requires us to limit warming to under 2.0
degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by the end of the century.
Every few years since 1990, we have evaluated our progress through the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) scientific assessment
reports and related special reports. IPCC reports assess existing
research to show us where we are and what we need to do before 2100 to
meet our goals, and what could happen if we don’t.
The recently published United Nations assessment of Nationally
Determined Contributions (NDCs) warns that current promises from
governments set us up for a very dangerous 2.7 degrees Celsius warming
by 2100: this means unprecedented fires, storms, droughts, floods and
heat, and profound land and aquatic ecosystem change.
While some climate projections do look past 2100, these longer-term
projections aren’t being factored into mainstream climate adaptation and
environmental decision-making today. This is surprising because people
born now will only be in their 70s by 2100. What will the world look
like for their children and grandchildren?
To grasp, plan for and communicate the full spatial and temporal scope
of climate impacts under any scenario, even those meeting the Paris
Agreement, researchers and policymakers must look well beyond the 2100
horizon.
*
**AFTER 2100*
In 2100, will the climate stop warming? If not, what does this mean for
humans now and in the future? In our recent open-access article in
Global Change Biology, we begin to answer these questions.
We ran global climate model projections based on Representative
Concentration Pathways (RCP), which are “time-dependent projections of
atmospheric greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations.” Our projections
modelled low (RCP6.0), medium (RCP4.5) and high mitigation scenarios
(RCP2.6, which corresponds to the “well-below 2 degrees Celsius” Paris
Agreement goal) up to the year 2500.
We also modelled vegetation distribution, heat stress and growing
conditions for our current major crop plants, to get a sense of the kind
of environmental challenges today’s children and their descendants might
have to adapt to from the 22nd century onward.
In our model, we found that global average temperatures keep increasing
beyond 2100 under RCP4.5 and 6.0. Under those scenarios, vegetation and
the best crop-growing areas move towards the poles, and the area
suitable for some crops is reduced. Places with long histories of
cultural and ecosystem richness, like the Amazon Basin, may become barren.
Further, we found heat stress may reach fatal levels for humans in
tropical regions which are currently highly populated. Such areas might
become uninhabitable. Even under high-mitigation scenarios, we found
that sea level keeps rising due to expanding and mixing water in warming
oceans.
Although our findings are based on one climate model, they fall within
the range of projections from others, and help to reveal the potential
magnitude of climate upheaval on longer time scales.
To really portray what a low-mitigation/high-heat world could look like
compared to what we’ve experienced until now, we used our projections
and diverse research expertise to inform a series of nine paintings
covering a thousand years (1500, 2020, and 2500 CE) in three major
regional landscapes (the Amazon, the Midwest United States and the
Indian subcontinent). The images for the year 2500 centre on the RCP6.0
projections, and include slightly advanced but recognizable versions of
today’s technologies.
*
**AN ALIEN FUTURE?*
Between 1500 and today, we have witnessed colonization and the
Industrial Revolution, the birth of modern states, identities and
institutions, the mass combustion of fossil fuels and the associated
rise in global temperatures. If we fail to halt climate warming, the
next 500 years and beyond will change the Earth in ways that challenge
our ability to maintain many essentials for survival—particularly in the
historically and geographically rooted cultures that give us meaning and
identity.
The Earth of our high-end projections is alien to humans. The choice we
face is to urgently reduce emissions, while continuing to adapt to the
warming we cannot escape as a result of emissions up to now, or begin to
consider life on an Earth very different to this one.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/earth-could-be-alien-to-humans-by-2500/
[Doomerist meets a denialist on mass media -- a bit of a showdown ]
*Rupert Read vs. Global Warming Policy Foundation*
Rupert Read
This clip is taken from Patrick Christys and Mercy Muroki's interview
with Rupert Read and Andrew Montford on GB News on 9-August-2021.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KuGaSgRxWYE
[The news archive - looking back]
*On this day in the history of global warming September 29, 2000*
September 29, 2000: In an apparent effort to convince moderate voters
not to support Democratic opponent Al Gore, GOP presidential candidate
George W. Bush delivers an energy speech implying that he will pursue
efforts to reduce carbon pollution as president. Bush would go on to
abandon this implied promise during his tenure in the White House.
http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/EnergyIssues3
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