[✔️] September 29, 2021 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

👀 Richard Pauli richard at theclimate.vote
Wed Sep 29 09:43:25 EDT 2021


/*September 29, 2021*/

[new ideas - I am informing, I am not promoting  - hear the interveiw]
*Andreas Malm on the Environmental Movement and “Intelligent Sabotage”*
With Dorothy Wickenden
September 27, 2021
Andreas Malm, a climate activist and senior lecturer at Lund University, 
in Sweden, studies the relationship between climate change and 
capitalism. With the United Nations climate meeting in Glasgow rapidly 
approaching—it begins on October 31st—Malm tells David Remnick that he 
believes environmentalists should not place too much faith in talks or 
treaties of this kind. Instead, he insists that the climate movement 
rethink its roots in nonviolence. His book is provocatively titled “How 
to Blow Up a Pipeline,” though it is not exactly an instruction manual. 
Malm advocates for “intelligent sabotage” of fossil-fuel infrastructure 
to prevent more carbon from being emitted. “I am in favor of destroying 
machines, property—not harming people. That’s a very important 
distinction,” he tells Remnick.
Andreas Malm insists that, instead of waiting on the Glasgow climate 
conference, environmentalists target fossil-fuel infrastructure
https://www.newyorker.com/podcast/the-new-yorker-radio-hour/should-the-climate-movement-embrace-sabotage
https://www.newyorker.com/podcast/political-scene/andreas-malm-on-the-environmental-movement-and-intelligent-sabotage



[ Cool new ideas need deployment]
*Space Powered Cooling May Be the Future of Energy*
Sep 28, 2021
Undecided with Matt Ferrell
Space powered cooling may be the future of energy. Our cooling systems 
are heating the Earth as they consume fossil-fueled energy and release 
greenhouse gases. Air Conditioning use is expected to increase from 
about 3.6 billion units to 15 billion by 2050. So, how do we exit this 
cold room trap? What if I told you we could tap into space for 
electricity free air conditioning and other refrigeration tech?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pq8xDXkbXZs



[maybe anthropology is important ]
*Climate change warning from collapsed ancient cities*
by University of Sydney
Why did some ancient Khmer and Mesoamerican cities collapse between 
900-1500CE while their rural surrounds continued to prosper? Intentional 
adaptation to climate changed conditions may be the answer, suggests a 
new study, which offers lessons for today.
Cities and their hinterlands must build resilience to survive climate 
stress; this is the grave warning emanating from a study of ancient 
civilisations and climate change.

 From 900 to 1500CE, Khmer cities in mainland Southeast Asia (including 
Angkor) and Maya cities in Mesoamerica collapsed, coinciding with 
periods of intense climate variability. While the ceremonial and 
administrative urban cores of many cities were abandoned, the 
surrounding communities may have endured because of long-term investment 
in resilient landscapes.

"They created extensive landscapes of terraced and bunded (embanked to 
control water flow) agricultural fields that acted as massive sinks for 
water, sediment and nutrients," said lead author Associate Professor 
Daniel Penny, from the University of Sydney School of Geosciences.

"This long-term investment in soil fertility and the capture and storage 
of water resources may have allowed some communities to persist long 
after the urban cores had been abandoned." He and his colleague at the 
University of Texas at Austin, Professor Timothy Beach, came to this 
conclusion via a review of relevant archaeological and environmental 
information from Southeast Asia and Mesoamerica.

At the ancient city of Angkor in modern Cambodia, for example, the 
administrative and ceremonial core was progressively abandoned over 
several decades, culminating in a series of catastrophic droughts in the 
14th and 15th century, but the surrounding agricultural landscapes may 
have persisted through these episodes of climatic stress.

Published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, their 
study provides a rough roadmap for resilience in the face of climate change.

Lessons for rural and urban Australia

These historical cases of urban collapse emphasize that long-term and 
large-scale investment in landscape resilience—such as improving water 
storage and retention, improving soil fertility, and securing 
biodiversity—can better enable both urban and rural communities to 
tolerate periods of climatic stress. The Intergovernmental Panel on 
Climate Change believes this will become more frequent and more intense 
in many parts of the world over the coming century.

"We often think of these historic events as disasters, but they also 
have much to teach us about persistence, resilience and continuity in 
the face of climate variability," said Associate Professor Penny.
https://phys.org/news/2021-09-climate-collapsed-ancient-cities.html



[if you follow the money then you know - 2 hour talk about 1 book with 
McKibben and author - audio ]*
**Overheated: How Capitalism Broke the Planet--And How We Fight Back 
(Hardcover)*
Elliott Bay Books
It has become impossible to deny that the planet is warming, and that 
governments must act. But some believe that a new denialism is taking 
root in the halls of power, shaped by decades of neoliberal policies and 
centuries of anti-democratic thinking. One such is journalist Kate 
Aronoff, who has written about the climate change fight in her book 
Overheated: How Capitalism Broke the Planet and How We Fight Back.

Aronoff joins us, in conversation with author and environmentalist Bill 
McKibben, to explore her account that examines the forces that she 
contends have hijacked progress on climate change. Since the 1980s, 
Democrats and Republicans have each granted enormous concessions to 
industries bent on maintaining business as usual. And worse, Aronoff 
says, policymakers have given oil and gas executives a seat at the table 
designing policies that should instead be the end of their business 
model. Aronoff argues that this approach will only drive the planet 
further into emergency. Drawing on years of reporting, she lays out an 
alternative vision, detailing how democratic majorities can curb 
pollutors’ power; create millions of well-paid, union jobs; enact 
climate reparations; and transform the economy into a more leisurely and 
sustainable one. Our future, Aronoff, challenges, will require a radical 
reimagining of politics–with the world at stake.

Kate Aronoff is a staff writer at The New Republic, and a former fellow 
at the Type Media Center. Her work has appeared in The Intercept, The 
New York Times, The Nation, Dissent, Rolling Stone, and The Guardian, 
among other outlets. Aronoff is the co-editor of We Own the Future: 
Democratic Socialism, American Style and the co-author of A Planet to 
Win: Why We Need a Green New Deal.

Bill McKibben is an award-winning author and environmentalist. His 1989 
book The End of Nature is regarded as the first book for a general 
audience about climate change. He is a founder of 350.org, the first 
planet-wide, grassroots climate change movement. A former staff writer 
for the New Yorker, he writes frequently for a wide variety of 
publications around the world, including the New York Review of Books, 
National Geographic, and Rolling Stone. In 2014, biologists named a 
species of woodland gnat—megophthalmidia mckibbeni—after him.
https://townhallseattle.org/event/kate-aronoff-livestream/  - video or audio
or see it on YouTube video  https://youtu.be/Bp11KZ91NzI


[Denialist drama  - a testy Stossel-tussle ]
*Ex-Fox host claims Facebook defamed him by fact-checking climate change 
videos*
Former Fox Business host says his ad revenue has taken a hit.
TIM DE CHANT - 9/28/2021,
Former Fox Business host John Stossel is suing Facebook, alleging that 
the social media company and one of its contracted fact-checking 
organizations defamed him when it flagged two of his videos, alerting 
viewers to “missing context” and “partly false” claims.

The lawsuit also claims that Stossel’s professional reputation has been 
“significantly and irreparably damaged by the false labels and statements.”

Since Stossel left Fox Business, he’s been releasing videos on various 
social platforms, including Facebook, Instagram, and YouTube. The 
endeavor has apparently been somewhat lucrative—he has made around 
$10,000 a month from Facebook alone. “My news model is based on social 
media companies showing you videos,” he said on YouTube.

But when Facebook’s fact-checking label appeared on two videos, Stossel 
alleges that his ad revenue from the platform was cut by approximately 
45 percent.

*Stossel's claims*
In the videos, Stossel, and others appearing alongside him, cast doubt 
on the severity of climate change. In one video, titled Are We All 
Doomed?, Stossel replays excerpts from a panel discussion he moderated 
for The Heartland Institute, which has received funding from fossil fuel 
companies and groups opposed to regulations on greenhouse gases. The 
panel consisted of three climate skeptics—meteorologist Patrick 
Michaels, geographer David Legates, and astrophysicist Willie Soon—who 
proceeded to question whether anthropogenic climate change is causing 
sea level rise or increasing the power of hurricanes.

In another, titled Government Fueled Fires, Stossel discusses whether 
forest management practices or climate change were driving severity of 
California’s recent fire seasons, interviewing author Michael 
Shellenberger on the matter. Shellenberger is a self-proclaimed 
environmental activist who writes about “environmental alarmism” and 
claims that climate change “is not even our most serious environmental 
problem.”
Both videos were fact-checked by Climate Feedback, a subsidiary of 
French fact-checking organization and Facebook partner Science Feedback. 
The group found that Stossel’s climate change video contained “partly 
false information” because “speakers in the video rely on several 
inaccurate claims and use imprecise language that misleads viewers about 
the scientific understanding of climate change.”

The California fire season video, on the other hand, was labeled 
“missing context” because it “misrepresents a complex reality” by 
focusing on how forest fire suppression over the 20th century led to 
catastrophic fire conditions while downplaying the significance of 
climate change. “Scientific studies demonstrate clear links between 
climate change, hotter and drier conditions, and an increase in dry 
vegetative fuel load, drastically increasing the amount of forest fire 
area in the western US,” Climate Feedback wrote in its assessment.

*“Misrepresentation of our process”*

To bolster their argument in the lawsuit, Stossel’s lawyers point out 
that two of the experts cited in the review of the California fire 
season video initially didn’t watch the video, which the reviewers 
confirmed when Stossel interviewed them. However, in 2020, Climate 
Feedback says that Stossel’s claim of an inappropriate review “is based 
on a misrepresentation of our process, and of the assessments of the 
scientists who contributed to this review.” Indeed, the Climate Feedback 
page and versions available on Archive.org clearly state that, when the 
organization is reviewing claims similar to others that have previously 
been assessed, it will republish scientists’ prior statements on the matter.
Upon reviewing the video in question, both experts interviewed by 
Stossel said that the Facebook fact-check label was appropriately applied.

Stossel claims that the fact-check labels have prevented him from 
reposting the California fire season video, which, for example, “would 
have resulted in another approximately 1.2 million views and the 
associated ad revenue from those views.”

We have reached out to Facebook and Climate Feedback for comment and 
will update this story if we hear from them.
https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2021/09/ex-fox-host-claims-facebook-defamed-him-by-fact-checking-climate-change-videos/



[ With inaction, it is more likely sooner, 2250 maybe ]
*Earth Could Be Alien to Humans by 2500*
Unless greenhouse gas emissions drop significantly, warming by 2500 will 
make the Amazon barren, Iowa tropical and India too hot to live in

By Christopher Lyon, Alex Dunhill, Andrew P. Beckerman, Ariane Burke, 
Bethany Allen, Chris Smith, Daniel J. Hill, Erin Saupe, James McKay, 
Julien Riel-Salvatore, Lindsay C. Stringer, Rob Marchant, Tracy Aze, The 
Conversation US on September 28, 2021
There are many reports based on scientific research that talk about the 
long-term impacts of climate change—such as rising levels of greenhouse 
gases, temperatures and sea levels—by the year 2100. The Paris 
Agreement, for example, requires us to limit warming to under 2.0 
degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by the end of the century.

Every few years since 1990, we have evaluated our progress through the 
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) scientific assessment 
reports and related special reports. IPCC reports assess existing 
research to show us where we are and what we need to do before 2100 to 
meet our goals, and what could happen if we don’t.

The recently published United Nations assessment of Nationally 
Determined Contributions (NDCs) warns that current promises from 
governments set us up for a very dangerous 2.7 degrees Celsius warming 
by 2100: this means unprecedented fires, storms, droughts, floods and 
heat, and profound land and aquatic ecosystem change.

While some climate projections do look past 2100, these longer-term 
projections aren’t being factored into mainstream climate adaptation and 
environmental decision-making today. This is surprising because people 
born now will only be in their 70s by 2100. What will the world look 
like for their children and grandchildren?

To grasp, plan for and communicate the full spatial and temporal scope 
of climate impacts under any scenario, even those meeting the Paris 
Agreement, researchers and policymakers must look well beyond the 2100 
horizon.
*
**AFTER 2100*
In 2100, will the climate stop warming? If not, what does this mean for 
humans now and in the future? In our recent open-access article in 
Global Change Biology, we begin to answer these questions.
We ran global climate model projections based on Representative 
Concentration Pathways (RCP), which are “time-dependent projections of 
atmospheric greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations.” Our projections 
modelled low (RCP6.0), medium (RCP4.5) and high mitigation scenarios 
(RCP2.6, which corresponds to the “well-below 2 degrees Celsius” Paris 
Agreement goal) up to the year 2500.

We also modelled vegetation distribution, heat stress and growing 
conditions for our current major crop plants, to get a sense of the kind 
of environmental challenges today’s children and their descendants might 
have to adapt to from the 22nd century onward.

In our model, we found that global average temperatures keep increasing 
beyond 2100 under RCP4.5 and 6.0. Under those scenarios, vegetation and 
the best crop-growing areas move towards the poles, and the area 
suitable for some crops is reduced. Places with long histories of 
cultural and ecosystem richness, like the Amazon Basin, may become barren.

Further, we found heat stress may reach fatal levels for humans in 
tropical regions which are currently highly populated. Such areas might 
become uninhabitable. Even under high-mitigation scenarios, we found 
that sea level keeps rising due to expanding and mixing water in warming 
oceans.

Although our findings are based on one climate model, they fall within 
the range of projections from others, and help to reveal the potential 
magnitude of climate upheaval on longer time scales.

To really portray what a low-mitigation/high-heat world could look like 
compared to what we’ve experienced until now, we used our projections 
and diverse research expertise to inform a series of nine paintings 
covering a thousand years (1500, 2020, and 2500 CE) in three major 
regional landscapes (the Amazon, the Midwest United States and the 
Indian subcontinent). The images for the year 2500 centre on the RCP6.0 
projections, and include slightly advanced but recognizable versions of 
today’s technologies.
*
**AN ALIEN FUTURE?*
Between 1500 and today, we have witnessed colonization and the 
Industrial Revolution, the birth of modern states, identities and 
institutions, the mass combustion of fossil fuels and the associated 
rise in global temperatures. If we fail to halt climate warming, the 
next 500 years and beyond will change the Earth in ways that challenge 
our ability to maintain many essentials for survival—particularly in the 
historically and geographically rooted cultures that give us meaning and 
identity.

The Earth of our high-end projections is alien to humans. The choice we 
face is to urgently reduce emissions, while continuing to adapt to the 
warming we cannot escape as a result of emissions up to now, or begin to 
consider life on an Earth very different to this one.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/earth-could-be-alien-to-humans-by-2500/



[Doomerist meets a denialist on mass media -- a bit of a showdown ]
*Rupert Read vs. Global Warming Policy Foundation*
Rupert Read
This clip is taken from Patrick Christys and Mercy Muroki's interview 
with Rupert Read and Andrew Montford on GB News on 9-August-2021.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KuGaSgRxWYE



[The news archive - looking back]
*On this day in the history of global warming September 29, 2000*

September 29, 2000: In an apparent effort to convince moderate voters
not to support Democratic opponent Al Gore, GOP presidential candidate
George W. Bush delivers an energy speech implying that he will pursue
efforts to reduce carbon pollution as president. Bush would go on to
abandon this implied promise during his tenure in the White House.

http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/EnergyIssues3



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