[✔️] December 22, 2022 - Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Thu Dec 22 09:42:32 EST 2022
/*December 22, 2022*/
/[ new discussions of the 2021 paper on YouTube - hint for speeding up
listening on YouTube //on the lower right outside the image frame
//click the gear control button - set 'playback speed' to 1.25 speed or
up to 2x speed. Be sure to hear comments by William Rees
https://youtu.be/Fdn0m866dzM ]/
*Underestimating the Challenges of Avoiding a Ghastly Future - Ehrlich
Ceballos Diamond Hagens Rees*
The Poetry of Predicament
Dec 5, 2022
This is a March 2022 Panel Discussion including Paul Ehrlich and Gerardo
Ceballos, who both co-produced a recent paper by the same name...
Underestimating the Challenges of Avoiding a Ghastly Future.
All of the panelists are fully capable of contributing to this vitally
important discussion.
We are very happy to include this video in our online course library at
Living Resilience. In our commitment to supporting and resourcing the
Collapse-Aware Community we are pleased to include bold, clear and
accurate science reporting like this panel discussion and the paper on
which it is based.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fdn0m866dzM
- -
/[ read the 2021 paper discussed above ]/
*Underestimating the Challenges of Avoiding a Ghastly Future*
We report three major and confronting environmental issues that have
received little attention and require urgent action. First, we
review the evidence that future environmental conditions will be far
more dangerous than currently believed. The scale of the threats to
the biosphere and all its lifeforms—including humanity—is in fact so
great that it is difficult to grasp for even well-informed experts.
Second, we ask what political or economic system, or leadership, is
prepared to handle the predicted disasters, or even capable of such
action. Third, this dire situation places an extraordinary
responsibility on scientists to speak out candidly and accurately
when engaging with government, business, and the public. We
especially draw attention to the lack of appreciation of the
enormous challenges to creating a sustainable future. The added
stresses to human health, wealth, and well-being will perversely
diminish our political capacity to mitigate the erosion of ecosystem
services on which society depends. The science underlying these
issues is strong, but awareness is weak. Without fully appreciating
and broadcasting the scale of the problems and the enormity of the
solutions required, society will fail to achieve even modest
sustainability goals.
Introduction
We summarize the state of the natural world in stark form here to help
clarify the gravity of the human predicament. We also outline likely
future trends in biodiversity decline (Díaz et al., 2019), climate
disruption (Ripple et al., 2020), and human consumption and population
growth to demonstrate the near certainty that these problems will worsen
over the coming decades, with negative impacts for centuries to come.
Finally, we discuss the ineffectiveness of current and planned actions
that are attempting to address the ominous erosion of Earth's
life-support system. Ours is not a call to surrender—we aim to provide
leaders with a realistic “cold shower” of the state of the planet that
is essential for planning to avoid a ghastly future.
https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcosc.2021.700869/full
/[ DO NOT fall into faith in technology as solution - the NYTimes offers
an opinion ]/
*Could Fusion Arrive in Time to Solve Climate Change?*
Dec. 21, 2022
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/21/opinion/fusion-climate-change-nuclear.html
/[ Have some fun wagering into the future ] /
*Welcome to the Climate Casino!*
Climate Casino
Dec 21, 2022 SANTA BARBARA
Links for today's video:
https://www.climatecasino.net
Contact:
Twitter @EliotJacobson
Mastodon @EliotJacobson at toad.social
====================================
All content on this channel is (U) unlicensed. I dedicate any and all
copyright interest in this video to the public domain. I make this
dedication for the benefit of the public at large and to the detriment
of my heirs and successors. I intend this dedication to be an overt act
of relinquishment in perpetuity of all present and future rights to this
video under copyright law. For more details, visit www.unlicense.org .
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cUbCixNY9c0
/[ Climate Change NewsHub on YouTube ~ 5 mins ]/
*Report says climate change isn’t next generations problem, it’s here
now | Newshub*
Newshub
5,050 views Aug 30, 2022
A new study of Greenland's melting ice cap has concluded it's already
too late to prevent sea levels rising by 27 centimetres.
It found 110-trillion tonnes of ice melt is now inevitable, and called
27 centimetres a conservative estimate, that could easily double.
Greenpeace Campaigner Christine Rose spoke to Newshub Late about the
increasing importance of drastic action on climate change.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OPO1SZqARvc
/[The news archive - looking back at the measuring of CO2 - now
temporarily broken by volcanic eruptions ]/
/*December 22, 2010*/
December 22, 2010: The New York Times reports on the legacy of the late
climate scientist Charles David Keeling.
*A Scientist, His Work and a Climate Reckoning*
By Justin Gillis Dec. 21, 2010
MAUNA LOA OBSERVATORY, Hawaii — Two gray machines sit inside a pair
of utilitarian buildings here, sniffing the fresh breezes that blow
across thousands of miles of ocean.
They make no noise. But once an hour, they spit out a number, and
for decades, it has been rising relentlessly.
The first machine of this type was installed on Mauna Loa in the
1950s at the behest of Charles David Keeling, a scientist from San
Diego. His resulting discovery, of the increasing level of carbon
dioxide in the atmosphere, transformed the scientific understanding
of humanity’s relationship with the earth. A graph of his findings
is inscribed on a wall in Washington as one of the great
achievements of modern science.
Yet, five years after Dr. Keeling’s death, his discovery is a focus
not of celebration but of conflict. It has become the touchstone of
a worldwide political debate over global warming...
- -
*The Fuel of Civilization*
While the world’s governments have largely accepted the science of
climate change, their efforts to bring emissions under control are
lagging.
The simple reason is that modern civilization is built on burning
fossil fuels. Cars, trucks, power plants, steel mills, farms,
planes, cement factories, home furnaces — virtually all of them spew
carbon dioxide or lesser heat-trapping gases into the atmosphere.
Developed countries, especially the United States, are largely
responsible for the buildup that has taken place since the
Industrial Revolution. They have begun to make some headway on the
problem, reducing the energy they use to produce a given amount of
economic output, with some countries even managing to lower their
total emissions.
But these modest efforts are being swamped by rising energy use in
developing countries like China, India and Brazil. In those lands,
economic growth is not simply desirable — it is a moral imperative,
to lift more than a third of the human race out of poverty. A recent
scientific paper referred to China’s surge as “the biggest
transformation of human well-being the earth has ever seen.”
China’s citizens, on average, still use less than a third of the
energy per person as Americans. But with 1.3 billion people, four
times as many as the United States, China is so large and is growing
so quickly that it has surpassed the United States to become the
world’s largest overall user of energy.
Barring some big breakthrough in clean-energy technology, this rapid
growth in developing countries threatens to make the emissions
problem unsolvable.
Emissions dropped sharply in Western nations in 2009, during the
recession that followed the financial crisis, but that decrease was
largely offset by continued growth in the East. And for 2010, global
emissions are projected to return to the rapid growth of the past
decade, rising more than 3 percent a year.
Many countries have, in principle, embraced the idea of trying to
limit global warming to two degrees Celsius, or 3.6 degrees
Fahrenheit, feeling that any greater warming would pose unacceptable
risks. As best scientists can calculate, that means about one
trillion tons of carbon can be burned and the gases released into
the atmosphere before emissions need to fall to nearly zero.
“It took 250 years to burn the first half-trillion tons,” Myles R.
Allen, a leading British climate scientist, said in a briefing. “On
current trends, we’ll burn the next half-trillion in less than 40.”
Unless more serious efforts to convert to a new energy system begin
soon, scientists argue, it will be impossible to hit the 3.6-degree
target, and the risk will increase that global warming could spiral
out of control by century’s end.
“We are quickly running out of time,” said Josep G. Canadell, an
Australian scientist who tracks emissions
In many countries, the United States and China among them, a
conversion of the energy system has begun, with wind turbines and
solar panels sprouting across the landscape. But they generate only
a tiny fraction of all power, with much of the world’s electricity
still coming from the combustion of coal, the dirtiest fossil fuel.
With the exception of European countries, few nations have been
willing to raise the cost of fossil fuels or set emissions caps as a
way to speed the transformation. In the United States, a particular
fear has been that a carbon policy will hurt the country’s
industries as they compete with companies abroad whose governments
have adopted no such policy.
As he watches these difficulties, Ralph Keeling contemplates the
unbending math of carbon dioxide emissions first documented by his
father more than a half-century ago and wonders about the future
effects of that increase.
“When I go see things with my children, I let them know they might
not be around when they’re older,” he said. “ ‘Go enjoy these
beautiful forests before they disappear. Go enjoy the glaciers in
these parks because they won’t be around.’ It’s basically taking
note of what we have, and appreciating it, and saying goodbye to it.”
On Dec. 11, another round of international climate negotiations,
sponsored by the United Nations, concluded in Cancún. As they have
for 18 years running, the gathered nations pledged renewed efforts.
But they failed to agree on any binding emission targets.
Late at night, as the delegates were wrapping up in Mexico, the
machines atop the volcano in the middle of the Pacific Ocean issued
their own silent verdict on the world’s efforts.
At midnight Mauna Loa time, the carbon dioxide level hit 390 — and
rising.
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/22/science/earth/22carbon.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0
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