[✔️] December 26, 2022 - Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Mon Dec 26 11:29:17 EST 2022


/*December 26, 2022*/

/[ brief video -- I stayed indoors during most of this ice storm where 
warm rain falls upon a cold ground ]/
*Incredible scenes of chaos in frozen Seattle! Ice Age is coming to the 
USA!*
Extreme Weather
464,418 views  Dec 25, 2022
Freezing rain hit Seattle on Friday, the most significant ice event in 
the region in at least a decade.
"Stay at home if you can," the authorities pleaded. People didn't listen.
The roads and sidewalks, though much more empty than usual, were scenes 
of chaos.
One video shows a car sliding down the street and crashing into several 
cars.
During the day, the Washington state patrol responded to 253 accidents 
in King County alone.
By Friday afternoon, UW Medicine hospitals had reported about 70 
icing-related injuries, mostly from people who slipped and fell.
Museums, theaters, libraries, zoo, aquarium: everything is closed. 
Medical appointments have moved online.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EnJ2M6HBjdc



/[ something more than hat, shades and parasol ]
/*Can geoengineering fix the climate? Hundreds of scientists say not so 
fast*
The Biden administration is developing a controversial solar 
geoengineering research plan to the dismay of many experts
As global heating escalates, the US government has set out a plan to 
further study the controversial and seemingly sci-fi notion of 
deflecting the sun’s rays before they hit Earth. But a growing group of 
scientists denounces any steps towards what is known as solar 
geoengineering.

The White House has set into motion a five-year outline for research 
into “climate interventions”. Those include methods such as sending a 
phalanx of planes to spray reflective particles into the upper reaches 
of the atmosphere, in order to block incoming sunlight from adding to 
rising temperatures...
- -
*Three potential methods of solar geoengineering*

    *Stratospheric aerosol injection*
    Airplanes release tiny aerosol particles that reflect light back
    into space.

    *Cirrus cloud thinning*
    The least understood method, seeding thin cirrus clouds in the upper
    troposphere
    with ice nuclei could reduce their lifespan and increase cooling.

    *Marine cloud brightening*
    Boats release aerosol particles that increase the reflectivity of
    low cloud

- -
This prospect horrifies opponents of solar geoengineering. An open 
letter signed by more than 380 scientists demands a global non-use 
agreement for SRM; it also says that growing calls for research in this 
area are a “cause for alarm”, due to an unknown set of ramifications 
that will have varying consequences in different parts of the world and 
could scramble “weather patterns, agriculture and the provision of basic 
needs of food and water”...
- -
The debate over how much we should meddle with the climate is likely to 
intensify as the fallout from global heating worsens. For now, opponents 
won’t back down. To Biermann, solar geoengineering should be considered 
by governments as being akin to landmines or biological weapons and 
blacklisted internationally.

“This is just another one on this list,” he said. “People talk about the 
freedom of research, but you don’t have the freedom to sit in your back 
yard and develop a chemical bomb.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/dec/25/can-controversial-geoengineering-fix-climate-crisis

- -

/[Open Letter Solar Geoengineering Non-Use Agreement ]/
*We Call for an International Non-Use Agreement on Solar Geoengineering...*
- -
In sum, an International Non-Use Agreement on Solar Geoengineering would 
be timely, feasible, and effective. It would inhibit further 
normalization and development of a risky and poorly understood set of 
technologies that seek to intentionally manage incoming sunlight at 
planetary scale. And it would do so without restricting legitimate 
climate research. Decarbonization of our economies is feasible if the 
right steps are taken. Solar geoengineering is not necessary. Neither is 
it desirable, ethical, or politically governable in the current context.

Given the increasing normalization of solar geoengineering research, a 
strong political message to block these technologies is required. An 
International Non-Use Agreement on Solar Geoengineering is needed now.
https://www.solargeoeng.org/non-use-agreement/open-letter/


/
//[ New video produced by DW 42 mins ]/
*The melting ice of the Arctic (1/2) | DW Documentary*
DW Documentary
4.48M subscribers
23,959 views  Dec 25, 2022  #documentary #dwdocumentary #arctic
Soon the Arctic will be ice-free in summer. While many are concerned 
about the consequences for the global climate, countries like Russia and 
the US, as well as China and Canada see an ice-free Arctic as an 
opportunity, offering everything from new trade routes to mineral 
resources and tourism.

In two episodes, this documentary reports on a region of the world that 
is changing dramatically because of climate change, affecting the lives 
of the people who make their home in the Arctic. The film team 
experiences first-hand what it means to live at the mercy of the forces 
of nature in this inhospitable region, which makes for an adventurous 
and frightening journey.

In the first part of the documentary, they fly low over the fascinating 
icy landscape of Greenland, filming the fjords and mighty glaciers of 
the loneliest places in the world. The current Arctic thaw, however, is 
felt far beyond this lovely, isolated place. Progressing faster here 
than in the rest of the world, climate change is moving the Arctic into 
the focus of global politics. Littoral states and world powers are 
fighting for influence here. At the heart of their interest: access to 
mineral resources and new transport routes. Because, as the ice melts, 
new, shorter shipping routes are opening up. Is a new conflict looming 
at the North Pole?

And how do the people in the far north experience the change in their 
environment? The film team travels through the northern reaches of the 
US, Canada, Greenland, Norway and Russia. The journalists experience the 
wonder of nature in these regions and meet people who have adapted over 
centuries to life in these cold, inhospitable realms. Now, they face a 
new struggle, as global power players swoop in.

In Alaska, the camera team meets fishermen who have been driven from 
American fishing grounds near the Bering Strait by Russian fighter 
planes and warships. The fishermen are demanding that their government 
provide a greater military presence in the region to protect their 
interests.

The region has been the scene of a long-term dispute over water 
ownership. For the US, the Northwest Passage counts as international 
waters, while Canada considers it national territory. The conflict over 
the Arctic could soon escalate. Because scientists are certain: In a few 
decades, the Arctic will be ice-free in summer.

[Part 2 will be uploaded next week.]
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GystZIxWQ3o



/[ live video explanations - more than just  "warmed air holds more 
moisture" ]/
*Snowpocalypse: Paradox between warming climate and intense snowstorms*
Environmental Coffeehouse
2.96K subscribers
Streamed live Dec 25  #buffalosnowstorm #anchorage #alaska
Join Jim Massa and Sandy Schoelles for a Merry ole' conversation about 
what else? The weather! From Anchorage to Buffalo....
#buffalosnowstorm #anchorage #alaska #climatecrisis
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CXIzWW4aEUk

- -

/[ A scientist's YouTube video channel - excellent briefings ]/
*Science Talk with Jim Massa*
https://www.youtube.com/@ScienceTalkwithJimMassa/featured
https://www.youtube.com/@ScienceTalkwithJimMassa/videos

- -

/[ one excellent discussion from Jim Massa ]/
*Interactions Among Tipping Elements - Part 1*
Science talk with Jim Massa
1.43K subscribers
Jan 23, 2022
This is the place for scientific information, latest news and research 
as published in peer reviewed journals.
Today, I did decide to do a detailed examination of this paper that was 
featured in the last video. The paper is simply too important to not do 
a deep dive.

This will be the only video I will post for the next 2 weeks. Because it 
is a long video, I want to make sure people have a chance to watch it 
all. I realize that not everyone will have the time to watch this entire 
video in one sitting. If one wishes to watch say about 20 minutes at a 
time, that's fine. This is why this will be the only video for the next 
2 weeks. People will be able to see it all at a comfortable pace and 
perhaps view the video or certain sections several times.

I have included chapters so if you wish to go to certain places in the 
video and use these locations to pick up where you left off or wish to 
view again.

Upcoming videos include my comment on the snow crab industry situation 
here in Alaska.

Here is the URL for this paper:
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020RG000725
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F3aFZbdQmDc

- -

/[ Academic paper from the respected AGU Reviews of Geophysics]/
*Nordic Seas Heat Loss, Atlantic Inflow, and Arctic Sea Ice Cover Over 
the Last Century*
Lars H. Smedsrud, Morven Muilwijk, Ailin Brakstad, Erica Madonna, Siv K. 
Lauvset, Clemens Spensberger, Andreas Born, Tor Eldevik, Helge Drange, 
Emil Jeansson …
First published: 09 December 2021
https://doi.org/10.1029/2020RG000725

    *Abstract*
    Poleward ocean heat transport is a key process in the earth system.
    We detail and review the northward Atlantic Water (AW) flow, Arctic
    Ocean heat transport, and heat loss to the atmosphere since 1900 in
    relation to sea ice cover. Our synthesis is largely based on a sea
    ice-ocean model forced by a reanalysis atmosphere (1900–2018)
    corroborated by a comprehensive hydrographic database (1950–), AW
    inflow observations (1996–), and other long-term time series of sea
    ice extent (1900–), glacier retreat (1984–), and Barents Sea
    hydrography (1900–). The Arctic Ocean, including the Nordic and
    Barents Seas, has warmed since the 1970s. This warming is congruent
    with increased ocean heat transport and sea ice loss and has
    contributed to the retreat of marine-terminating glaciers on
    Greenland. Heat loss to the atmosphere is largest in the Nordic Seas
    (60% of total) with large variability linked to the frequency of
    Cold Air Outbreaks and cyclones in the region, but there is no
    long-term statistically significant trend. Heat loss from the
    Barents Sea (∼30%) and Arctic seas farther north (∼10%) is overall
    smaller, but exhibit large positive trends. The AW inflow, total
    heat loss to the atmosphere, and dense outflow have all increased
    since 1900. These are consistently related through theoretical
    scaling, but the AW inflow increase is also wind-driven. The Arctic
    Ocean CO2 uptake has increased by ∼30% over the last
    century—consistent with Arctic sea ice loss allowing stronger
    air-sea interaction and is ∼8% of the global uptake.

Key Points
Nordic Seas heat loss dominates variability and mean Arctic Ocean heat loss

Atlantic water volume and heat transport has increased over the last 
century consistently with increased wind forcing and heat loss

Ocean heat transport anomalies affect Greenland melting, Arctic sea ice, 
water transformations, and Arctic CO2 uptake

    *Plain Language Summary*
    The major flow to and from the Arctic Ocean occurs across the
    Greenland-Scotland Ridge. The inflow is mostly warm Atlantic Water
    (AW) flowing northwards and cooling gradually. After completing
    different loops within the Arctic Ocean, portions of this water
    eventually flows south as cold freshened polar water at the surface
    and cold, dense overflow water at depth. We review and synthesize
    how the AW cooling evolved over the last century in relation to the
    Arctic sea ice cover. In the mean 60% of the heat loss occurred in
    the Nordic Seas, 30% in the Barents Sea, and only 10% in the Arctic
    seas further north. Arctic sea ice decrease the last century created
    more open water and permitted stronger ocean heat loss. The ocean
    volume and heat transport also increased, consistently with
    increased heat loss, and increased wind forcing. Ocean temperatures
    have generally increased in many areas during the last 50 years, and
    on Greenland this drove the retreat of marine-terminating glaciers.
    Variability in ocean heat loss to the atmosphere was primarily
    driven by Cold Air Outbreaks and cyclones in the Nordic and Barents
    Seas, and explain variability in Arctic Ocean CO2 uptake, being ∼8%
    of the global uptake.

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020RG000725

- -

/[ Substack newsletter ]/
*Alaska and Arctic Climate Newsletter*
https://alaskaclimate.substack.com/#:~:text=Alaska%20and%20Arctic%20Climate%20Newsletter,-Home



/[History of the chemical science for understanding your lump of coal -- 
lecture YouTube  1 hour.18 mins ]/
*Andrew Szydlo's Chemistry of Coal*
The Royal Institution
1.3M subscribers
474,247 views  Dec 19, 2018
Andrew Szydlo is back at the Ri to introduce us all to the surprising 
chemistry of coal.

 From its initial discovery, its use as the fuel of the industrial 
revolution, to some of the more interesting and exciting compounds we 
can obtain from coal, Andrew takes us on an illuminating tour of this 
intriguing rock.

Andrew Szydlo is a chemist and secondary school teacher at Highgate 
School, well-loved by pupils and Ri attendees alike.

This talk filmed in the Ri on 3 November 2018.
---
The Ri is on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheRoyalInsti...
and Twitter: http://twitter.com/ri_science
and Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/royalinstitution
and Tumblr: http://ri-science.tumblr.com/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Qi4rrQoruQ



/[ The news archive - looking back at creating artificial understanding ]/
/*December 26, 2014*/
December 26, 2014:
The New York Times reports:

    "Trying to write a complicated formula to cut carbon emissions, the
    Environmental Protection Agency thinks it has found a magic number: 5.8.

    "The agency is trying to complete a rule governing carbon emissions
    from power plants, and among the most complicated and contentious
    issues is how to treat existing nuclear power plants. Many of them
    are threatened with shutdowns because cheap natural gas has made
    their reactors uncompetitive.

    "The agency’s proposal gave an odd mathematical formula for
    evaluating nuclear plants’ contribution to carbon emissions. It said
    that 5.8 percent of existing nuclear capacity was at risk of being
    shut for financial reasons, and thus for states with nuclear
    reactors, keeping them running would earn a credit of 5.8 percent
    toward that state’s carbon reduction goal.

    "Since receiving tens of thousands of comments on the proposal, the
    agency is now reviewing the plan. It must evaluate all comments
    before it sets a final rule, which it hopes to do by June. That
    rule, however, is likely to be challenged in court.

    "Under the proposed formula, if a state closed a 1,000-megawatt
    nuclear plant and replaced 5.8 percent of it, or 58 megawatts, with
    carbon-free electricity, it would be deemed to be 'carbon neutral.'
    The state would reach the benchmark even if the other 942 megawatts
    of power generated came from a carbon-emitting source like natural
    gas combustion.

    "Conversely, a state that kept all its nuclear plants open until
    2030 could claim a credit for 5.8 percent toward its carbon
    reduction goal.

    "The 5.8 percent figure for nuclear power plants puzzled even
    opponents of such power sources."

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/26/business/energy-environment/epa-wrestles-with-role-of-nuclear-plants-in-carbon-emission-rules-.html


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