[✔️] July 7, 2022 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

[Richard Pauli]

/*July 7, 2022*/

/[ from now on ]/
*Climate change: Extreme weather events slam globe from Italy to Australia*
Andrew Freedman
A deadly glacial avalanche in Italy, the fourth major flood in Sydney 
since March, record Alaskan wildfires and another U.S. heat wave — 
extreme weather events tied to human-caused global warming are slamming 
disparate parts of the planet. The results, so far, have been deadly and 
increasingly costly.

Driving the news: Beginning with Europe, on July 3, a heat wave helped 
trigger the sudden detachment of a massive chunk of the Marmolada 
glacier in the Italian Alps. The resulting ice avalanche traveled 
downhill at speeds of up to 200 mph, according to experts.

    The ice avalanche killed at least 7, with several people still missing.
    The day before the disaster, a record high of 50°F was reportedly
    set at the 11,000-foot summit, accompanied by rapid snowmelt.
    This occurred amid widespread glacial melt worldwide due to climate
    change.
    The heat wave that preceded this unusual event set monthly and
    all-time temperature records in Italy along with several other
    European countries.
    In Alaska, 17,774 lightning strikes were detected across the state
    from July 2 to 4, the highest ever total recorded in a 48-hour
    period since such monitoring began there in 2013.

These strikes touched off more wildfires in a season already on track to 
be one of the state's worst, with 2.3 million acres burned to date amid 
unusually hot, dry conditions...
https://www.axios.com/2022/07/05/climate-change-extreme-weather-italy-australia-alaska

- -

/[ DW video report  7 mins]/
*Why Europe is facing a record-breaking heat wave and drought across the 
continent | DW News*
Jul 6, 2022  Unpredictable and extreme weather events have long been 
forecast by climate scientists as global warming sets in. DW's 
correspondents have been monitoring how the effects are being felt this 
summer across Europe – from Spain to Greece, and in Germany.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qgXxgxYOJNQ



/[ NPR 4 minute listen - clips from transcript ]/
*Scientists are learning just how climate change impacts extreme weather 
events*
July 6, 2022
Heard on All Things Considered
Rebecca Hersher at NPR headquarters in Washington, D.C., July 25, 2018. 
(photo by Allison Shelley) (Square)
- -
REBECCA HERSHER, BYLINE: This is cutting-edge science, and here's how it 
works. After a flood or a heat wave or some other disaster, scientists 
sit down and compare what actually happened - like, how hot it got or 
how much rain fell - to what would have happened if there was no global 
warming. And to do that, they use really powerful computers, excellent 
weather satellites and fancy new math. And it's easier to do for some 
types of weather. Wehner was one of the OG scientists working on this 
problem.

WEHNER: Well, the heat waves were where we started.

HERSHER: Because heat waves are relatively simple. There aren't a lot of 
variables - temperature, maybe humidity and wind if you're getting 
fancy. And since you're comparing the present to the past, before global 
warming took off, you need good historical records, which there are for 
temperature - going back to the 1800s - all of which allows scientists 
to say some pretty bullish things about how climate change is making 
heat waves worse.

WEHNER: Any heat wave that occurs from now on, the temperature has been 
increased by climate change.

HERSHER: They can even tell you how much hotter it is.

WEHNER: For garden-variety heat waves, like the hottest day of the year, 
the hottest day, you know, in every 10 years - in the United States, 
climate change has increased that heat wave's temperature by between 
three and five degrees Fahrenheit.

HERSHER: Three to five degrees is a big difference if you really think 
about it - 85 compared to 90, 95 compared to 100. And, actually, studies 
have found that the higher you get, the more deadly each additional 
degree actually is. Last summer, this type of science had its biggest 
moment yet. There was an extreme heat wave in the Pacific Northwest - 
115 degrees in Oregon and Washington, 120 in parts of Canada. And when 
scientists analyzed it, they found something shocking.

WEHNER: It was virtually impossible without climate change.

HERSHER: Another way to say that - climate change caused the heat wave. 
Now, that's new territory for most people - the idea that the weather 
we're living through isn't just worse because of global warming; it is 
only possible because of global warming. But other types of disasters 
are harder to tie to climate change, like wildfires. They're some of the 
hardest...
- -
KIRCHMEIER-YOUNG: Any fire has got so many factors going on, and only 
some of them are really closely related to the climate.

HERSHER: That makes it impossible for scientists to study a specific 
fire and say this was X amount worse because of climate change. Other 
weather disasters are somewhere in between, like hurricanes. They're 
more complicated than heat waves, but less tricky than wildfires. So 
scientists have made some progress by focusing on individual parts of 
the storm, like how much rain fell or how intense the wind was. There's 
a lot of pressure for this research to move quickly, says Wehner.

WEHNER: There is a clear demand for this from the public.

HERSHER: In the future, concrete information about the effects of 
climate change could just be part of the normal weather forecast. In 
fact, the Weather Service for the European Union is already trying it 
out for heat waves and floods. Rebecca Hersher, NPR News.
https://www.npr.org/2022/07/06/1102478216/scientists-are-learning-just-how-climate-change-impacts-extreme-weather-events



/[ ...time to listen to another expert ] /
*A CRISIS HISTORIAN HAS SOME BAD NEWS FOR US*
Adam Tooze, a historian of economic disaster, sees a combination of 
worrisome signs.
By Annie Lowrey  July 2022

America and the world are living through what Adam Tooze, the internet’s 
foremost historian of money and disaster, describes as a “polycrisis.” 
As he sips a beer at a bar near Columbia University, where he is the 
director of the European Institute, Tooze talks through a long list of 
challenges: War, raising the specter of nuclear conflict. Climate 
change, threatening famine, flood, and fire. Inflation, forcing central 
banks to crush consumer demand. The pandemic, closing factories and 
overloading hospitals. Each crisis is hard enough to parse by itself; 
the interconnected mess of them is infinitely more so. And he feels “the 
whole is even more dangerous than the sum of the parts.”...
Not too long ago, Tooze was an obscure academic. Now he’s among the 
world’s most influential financial commentators, with loyal readerships 
in Washington, London, Paris, and Brussels, as well as on Wall Street. 
Tooze’s readers turn to him for his uncanny ability to know which 
numbers on a spreadsheet matter, or when a trend has hit the point at 
which it has started to shape history. He looks at trade, currency, 
equities, wage, employment, debt, and commodities data and somehow makes 
sense of it—not just in the moment but in the sweep of time. “Economic 
events have had such a huge influence on politics this century,” Robert 
Skidelsky, the John Maynard Keynes biographer, told me. Tooze 
“illustrates the interpenetration of economic policy and political 
events. It’s as simple as that.”

He does so in books, opinion pieces, and a podcast. But his greatest 
reach might come through his Substack newsletter, Chartbook, which comes 
across as a bloggy, ivory-tower version of the research notes that 
investment-bank analysts send to clients. Tooze describes it as his 
“incomplete and somewhat raw” thoughts, a “mélange of different styles 
and materials.” Recent dispatches have analyzed the Allies’ resources at 
the Battle of Normandy, the financing of the War on Terror, contemporary 
siege warfare in Mariupol, and West Virginia as a roadblock to climate 
policy.

His kind of analysis—nerdy and highbrow and often a little 
inscrutable—is not for everyone. He writes for people who like reading 
material that “hits a bit heavier”: more technical than what you might 
read in the Financial Times, more intellectual than reports put out by 
Goldman Sachs. But it’s revelatory for many, including young lefties 
(described memorably in New York magazine as “Tooze Boys”), denizens of 
#econtwitter, history buffs, and money managers, many of whom trade on 
the data he digs up.
At least some signs look encouraging: The coronavirus pandemic appears 
to be abating, and inflationary pressures are easing. Yet the revelation 
that Tooze is now putting forth is that we might not be emerging from 
crisis. Indeed, we might be in a worsening one, in which much of the 
world faces a series of self-reinforcing financial and geopolitical 
pressures, building, perhaps, to some ominous end. Given that 
possibility, our most distinguished crisis historian finds himself very 
busy.

Wherever our current catastrophe is headed, it has been good to Tooze, 
he tells me with some bewilderment. The combination of COVID-19, 
buckling supply chains, and central banks’ scramble to respond 
constituted “the first crisis where I found my professional existence, 
my personal existence, and my understanding of my relationship to 
history were all just completely seamless, continuous,” he says. He 
found his niche—and thousands of new readers...
ooze, 54, rose to academic prominence as a historian of the Third Reich. 
His careful archival work revolutionized our understanding of Germany’s 
finances and how they shaped the Nazi war strategy. He first connected 
with many nonacademic readers with the 2018 publication of Crashed, in 
my view the best book on the global financial crisis—an analysis of the 
enormous slosh of money that caused the Great Recession (mortgages 
originated in the suburbs of Las Vegas, packaged into securities in New 
York, and sold around the world), the enormous slosh of money that ended 
it (the world’s monetary authorities pumping dollars and euros and yen 
into the markets), and the political fallout that ensued.

In the mid-2010s, he began writing short posts on Facebook and Twitter. 
“I started doing social media absurdly late,” he tells me. “I’m a 
middle-aged man.” But, he says, he loved it—the immediacy, the intimacy, 
and the ability to think out loud. In 2020, he launched Chartbook. He 
included graphs. He included links, poems, snippets of books, 
meditations on market anxiety. And he included essays, using financial 
data to clarify what had caused cataclysms of the past and what might be 
causing them now.

Derek Thompson: ‘Everything is terrible, but I’m fine’

Russia’s foreign-exchange reserves, for instance. One Tooze post 
examined how accumulating those reserves helped Vladimir Putin turn the 
country into a “strategic petrostate” bold enough to invade Ukraine and 
capable of countering Western powers. About 150,000 people, including 
some in the German chancellor’s office, read the essay. “I thought, Wow, 
this is worthwhile,” Tooze told me. “For somebody who comes out of an 
academic publishing background, where you’re lucky if 1,000 people read 
what you write, the numbers tick up so fast.” On Substack, his output 
also proved financially rewarding: “For anyone on a regular, 
white-collar, academic-type salary, it’s transformative.”...
Despite the seriousness of his subject matter and the esoteric quality 
of his references, Tooze’s writing has a kind of magpie joy. In person, 
he comes off as intellectual, sure, but also self-deprecating, voluble, 
funny. While we chat polycrisis, he riffs on his love of cities (“You 
cannot feel depressed!”); his sense of alienation, being so few degrees 
from so many important people (“a weird club”); and his experience in 
therapy (“Being present is the hardest thing on Earth”).

He also riffs on his newsletter as an intellectual project. As he tells 
it, he’s not just circulating data or building arguments; he’s also 
bathing in an anarchic, unstoppable flow of information. “What does it 
mean to be in the present, in this constant experience of obsolescence, 
this constant experience of having your ideas and preconceptions 
consumed by the flow toward the future, which, at any given moment, is 
fundamentally unpredictable and then once you have consumed it, becomes 
obsolete?” he says effusively. “That’s my now—this literal floating on 
the surface tension of the current moment.”

The son of a prominent molecular biologist, Tooze spent his childhood in 
West Germany, heading to Cold Spring Harbor, New York, for the summers 
so his father could collaborate with James Watson. He studied economics 
at Cambridge before decamping to Berlin’s Free University in 1989 to 
figure out if he wanted to be an academic. He “wanted to find some space 
for himself,” he tells me, and was not quite tuned into the history 
happening around him. “There were these huge street demonstrations that 
helped bring the regime down, the most dramatic demonstrations of 
nationalism or patriotism I've ever witnessed.” The night the Berlin 
Wall came down, “It had been a very long, very cold day. I was in the 
bath, listening to the radio, trying to warm up,” he says. “The radio 
said that something weird was going on. And I turned it off.”...
He did decide to become an academic—an economic historian to be 
specific, studying at the London School of Economics and then returning 
to teach at Cambridge. He became known in part for his knowledge of 
military history and in part for his facility with numbers, and 
especially for being able to tie financial minutiae to world-historical 
trends. Hitler was compelled not just by murderous anti-Semitism but by 
shortages of land, steel, and fuel, Tooze argued in 2006’s Wages of 
Destruction, for instance. “We always wonder what drives this propulsive 
quality of the Nazi state, why it is so intent on blitzkrieg and fast 
conquest,” says Susan Pedersen, a renowned historian of Europe. “Adam 
lays out how they are operating in a world of economic constraint: For 
them, victory is possible, if it happens fast.”

Much of his academic output at Cambridge and later Yale focused on the 
first half of the 20th century—World War I, the League of Nations, the 
economy of Weimar Germany. But his study of the philosophy of history—a 
heady branch of inquiry into how historic actors understand their 
influence on the course of events—thrust him “into this dynamic 
relationship between the past and the present.” He turned to writing 
about the near-past; Crashed examined the financial crisis that had 
started just 10 years earlier. At Columbia, he became a historian of the 
present, publishing Shutdown on the COVID crisis and working on an 
account of climate change.
He is no longer in the bathtub with the radio off. Instead, he is deeply 
engaged in today’s intellectual politics. He talks to government 
officials. He writes his newsletter. He advises hedge funds. And he 
teaches. I sat in on the final class he taught this spring, with a group 
of students discussing the work of the environmental historian Elizabeth 
Chatterjee in a damp, halogen-lit basement, synthesizing Marxist theory 
and parsing energy data.

Sometimes parsing such data leads to disconcerting places: As Tooze sees 
it, the forces of central-bank tightening, war, inflation, and climate 
change are reinforcing one another. He is offering no reassurance about 
where that might head—only the hope that perhaps this polycrisis might 
be knowable to us.
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/07/adam-tooze-chartbook-substack-newsletter-inflation-crisis/661467/



/[  Dave Roberts -- very current politics and wise words and 
conversations audio podcast ] /
JUL 6. 2022
*Volts podcast: Lori Lodes on climate activism and the path forward*
The way through the darkness.
David Roberts
It is a dark time for climate activists. The immense hope they felt at 
the introduction of the original Build Back Better bill has curdled. It 
is still possible that some kind of deal might emerge from the Senate in 
this final month, but if it does it will be a pale shadow of what it 
once was.

Meanwhile, the Republican-dominated Supreme Court has just taken away 
one of the EPA's principal tools for addressing greenhouse gases. And 
that is, of course, only one tiny sliver of the damage that the court 
has done and is continuing to do. A Supreme Court that is hostile to 
climate action seems fated to be a fact of life for at least a generation.

It is not clear what climate activists could have done differently to 
avert these grim outcomes. And it is not at all clear how they should 
proceed from here. They have no way of encouraging West Virginia 
Democrat Joe Manchin to be a decent human being and once the 
reconciliation bill is done, the midterms will be upon us, and all signs 
point toward disastrous Democratic losses that will take legislation off 
the table entirely.

What should climate activists be doing right now? How should they be 
maintaining hope and momentum?
To discuss these difficult questions, I contacted Lori Lodes, the head 
of the nonprofit advocacy organization Climate Power, which was created 
by John Podesta and others in the run-up to the 2020 election to ensure 
that climate had a place on the Democratic agenda. Lodes is a veteran of 
several difficult Democratic fights going back to Obamacare and is a 
self-proclaimed lover of political combat, so I was eager to hear from 
her on what climate activists should be doing, how they should feel 
about whatever emerges from the Build Back Better negotiations, and how 
they should move forward in a world where federal action has become all 
but impossible.
/  [ listen at 
https://www.volts.wtf/p/volts-podcast-lori-lodes-on-climate  ]/
Volts is a podcast about leaving fossil fuels behind. I've been 
reporting on and explaining clean-energy topics for almost 20 years, and 
I love talking to politicians, analysts, innovators, and activists about 
the latest progress in the world's most important fight. (Volts is 
entirely subscriber-supported. Sign up!)
https://www.volts.wtf/p/volts-podcast-lori-lodes-on-climate



/[ Climate Power starts with this website ]/
*THIS IS OUR CLIMATE MOMENT.*
And the future is ours to make.
This moment in history requires bold thinking and bold action. To defeat 
the climate crisis. To deliver environmental justice. To create millions 
of good-paying, union jobs in a clean energy economy. To build America 
back BETTER.

*As President Biden says, when he thinks about climate change, he thinks 
jobs.*

This is our climate moment. Our opportunity to build back better by 
creating millions of good paying, union jobs, investing in clean energy 
infrastructure, fighting for environmental justice, and tackling the 
urgent threat of climate change. Our leaders must meet this moment with 
bold climate action that delivers for American workers and their families.

The future is ours to make. Let’s fight for it.
https://twitter.com/ClimatePower/status/1544718817456099328
*Climate Power*
@ClimatePower
We can’t hide from the truth: “People are dying because of climate change”
https://climatepower.us/



/[ Washington Post ]/
*Summer in America is becoming hotter, longer and more dangerous*
By Anna Phillips, Brady Dennis, Jason Samenow, John Muyskens and Naema 
Ahmed
July 2, 2022
- -
In the West and Southwest, the wildfire season is lengthening, and a 
historic drought is emptying reservoirs. On the East Coast, 
hotter-than-usual temperatures are contributing to more severe flooding 
and heavy downpours. As hot weather arrives, the nation’s electric grid 
is under growing strain, with regulators from the Midwest to the 
Southwest warning of rolling power outages this summer.

This year, the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center’s 
three-month outlook through September suggests there will be 
hotter-than-normal temperatures throughout much of the country, with a 
punishing heat dome building over the western and central U.S. in coming 
days.

As heat bakes the country, drought is expected to grip parts of the 
nation’s Corn Belt and the Middle Mississippi Valley. The country is 
also facing the likelihood of another active wildfire season and the 
seventh straight above-average Atlantic hurricane season.

Global warming is driving the shift to hotter summers, experts say, but 
urban growth is also to blame. The three fastest-warming cities — Reno, 
Las Vegas and Boise — are expanding outward. As new homes are built and 
more asphalt is poured, these cities are absorbing and retaining more 
heat than the undeveloped land around them, said Nevada state 
climatologist Stephanie McAfee. Scientists call this the urban heat 
island effect...
- -
In the Northeast and parts of the Midwest, rising summer-time 
temperatures and increasing rainfall have caused camp directors and 
summer youth program organizers to worry about heat stress, higher 
utility bills and flooding, in addition to the usual scrapes and bruises.

Stephanie Koch, CEO of the Boys & Girls Club of Atlantic City, said 
increasingly volatile weather is stretching her organization’s budget. 
In the last two years, the club has purchased flood insurance for two of 
its three buildings for the first time — it couldn’t afford to insure 
the third.

It is seeking donations to cover the cost of water bottles for about 300 
campers, as well as soaring electricity bills from energy price spikes 
and having to run the air conditioning more often. Training for camp 
staff now includes conversations about flexibility and patience with 
schedule changes.

“I’m third generation to this area and I’ve seen incredible changes,” 
Koch said. “When you live on a barrier island, you’re focused on weather 
all of the time. But now it’s a matter of asking: Where are you going to 
be located? What buildings do you need flood insurance on? My own house 
was damaged by Hurricane Sandy and is now 12 feet off the ground.”
- -
Last year, the Caldor Fire, a huge blaze that became the 15th largest in 
California’s recorded history, burned more than 200,000 acres near the 
lake. The group had to cancel one program and reschedule another.

Kenny Haack-Damon, the state’s 4-H Camp education program coordinator, 
said campfires have become a thing of the past. Instead, campers build 
solar ovens, using cardboard boxes lined with tin foil to cook their 
s’mores. He said the biggest challenge is to figure out which outdoor 
activities can still be done safely, and which lessons might best be 
taught indoors.

“The point of camp is to be outside as much as possible,” Haack-Damon 
said. “It’s hard to think about what that’s going to look like as things 
get warmer or wildfires become more of a threat.”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/07/02/summer-2022-climate-change-heat/




/[The news archive - looking back]/
/*July 7, 2014*/
*MSNBC's Chris Hayes and Rachel Maddow examine the dynamics of denial in 
the US and overseas.*

http://www.msnbc.com/all-in/watch/the-latest-far-right-trend-298914883669#

http://www.msnbc.com/all-in/watch/the-bbc-changes-their-line-on-climate-change-298925123932#

https://www.mediamatters.org/video/2014/07/07/on-msnbcs-all-in-eric-boehlert-says-the-media-s/200007 


http://www.msnbc.com/all-in/watch/what-no-other-president-has-said-on-climate-298940483617

http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/watch/koch-backed-ag-helps-hide-chemical-dangers-298973251858


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