[✔️] May 8, 2022 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Sun May 8 10:58:22 EDT 2022


/*May 8, 2022*/

/[ hot, dry, fuel means wildfires ]/
*Critical fire weather for parts of the Southwest and Southern High 
Plains this weekend*
Bill Gabbert -- May 7, 2022
Critical fire weather for parts of the Southwest and Southern High 
Plains this weekend
Red Flag Warnings issued for parts of seven states
https://wildfiretoday.com/2022/05/07/critical-fire-weather-for-parts-of-the-southwest-and-southern-high-plains-this-weekend/



/[ When in Boston, visit the Museum of Science - or visit the web site ]/
*Change Climate Change*
A new way to think about climate action.
With the Museum of Science as your guide, gain insight into the ways 
climate change is affecting us. Feel confident taking action and making 
a difference as we adapt to a changing landscape.
*Get Informed*
Cutting-edge exhibits like Arctic Adventure and Resilient Venice, 
giant-screen film Ancient Caves, and more highlight how climate change 
affects both people and the natural world around us. Learn how we can be 
a part of the solution to adapt to, and lessen the effects of, a 
changing climate.
https://www.mos.org/climate-change

- -

/[ This is a classic -- a really good talk --  basic predicament nicely 
explained by Jennifer Francis - 2019 video ]/
*Rough Weather Ahead with Dr. Jennifer Francis*
Rough Weather Ahead with Dr. Jennifer Francis
Aug 22, 2019
Woodwell Climate Research Center
WHRC presents Rough Weather Ahead: How Climate Change is Making Our 
Weather More Extreme with Dr. Jennifer Francis.

It’s only August and already 2019 has delivered a rash of extreme 
weather events around the globe. In the United States we’ve seen record 
snows in many western states, record flooding in the Midwest, record 
heatwaves in Alaska and the East, record rainfall along the Mississippi 
Valley, and even tornadoes on Cape Cod. Can we point a finger at climate 
change? And in particular, what does the melting Arctic have to do with it?

Dr. Jennifer Francis is world-renowned for her research on Arctic 
climate change impacts and the resulting effect on weather in other 
regions of the world. Dr. Francis’ research has focused specifically on 
the connection between the rapidly warming Arctic and a weakened jet 
stream. She is regularly quoted in major media outlets, including The 
New York Times and The Washington Post, and in 2019, she testified to 
the U.S. House of Representatives Science Committee on climate change 
and its connection to extreme weather. Dr. Francis received her Ph.D. in 
Atmospheric Sciences from the University of Washington and her 
undergraduate degree from San Jose State.
https://youtu.be/QmGK6TpiwIA



/[ Effective politics can only be local -- Peter Sinclair video clip 2 
mins ]/
*Bill Drews, Pine Township Supervisor, Montcalm County Michigan, 04/07/2022*
May 7, 2022
greenmanbucket
Across America, local officials are under attack wherever clean energy 
siting is being considered.
That disinformation attack is directed and coordinated thru social media 
from a handful of media savvy, fossil fuel funded "think tanks" 
operating in places like New York and Washington DC.  Some of it is even 
enhanced by bots and operatives on the other side of the world, whose 
only goal is to create dissension and chaos anywhere they can in America.
Bill Drews, Supervisor of Pine Township, in Montcalm County, Michigan, 
is trying to navigate a fair path to deploy clean energy, respecting 
both the rights of farmers who wish to diversify their income, and valid 
safety concerns from local residents. Too often the discussions are 
distorted by ginned up non-issues from citizens who have been 
misdirected by falsehoods.
Most often, climate issues are not considered in these procedures, as 
many local residents do not see climate as an issue of importance, and 
many still believe it is a political hoax.
In the course of his due diligence, Mr Drews reached out to an eminent 
climate scientist for clarity on the importance of carbon free energy.
In my life, I've had the privilege to observe quiet courage up close. 
This is what it looks like.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uzM9BWVaaW0



/[ Alaskans like to gamble on the Nenana Ice Classic 2022 Winning Time: 
//May 2nd 2022, 6:47 PM AST  ] /
*Nenana Ice Classic **An Alaskan Tradition Since 1917*
Nenana Ice Classic 2022 Winning Time: May 2nd 2022, 6:47 PM AST
The  river  usually  freezes  over  during  the  months  of  Oct. and  
Nov.  The  ice  continues  to  get  thicker  throughout  the winter  
with    the    average    thickness    being 42” on April 1. Depending 
on the temperature, snow cover, wind,  etc.,  the  ice may  freeze  
slightly  more  and  then  start  to  melt.  The  ice melts  on  the  
top  due  to  the  weather  and  on  the  bottom due to the water flow.
https://www.nenanaakiceclassic.com/



/[  That's wild birds ] /
*Climate change: Spring egg-laying shifts by three weeks*
By Victoria Gill
BBC News
May 5, 2022
"In some parts of this wood, egg-laying has shifted by three weeks," 
explains Dr Ella Cole of Oxford University.

The softly-spoken, seasoned ornithologist is showing me around a very 
special field site - Wytham Woods in Oxfordshire; one of the most 
studied woodlands in the world.

This year is the 75th anniversary of a study that has tracked 40 
generations of great tits in the wood.

It is one of the longest-running animal-tracking studies in the world.
It is precisely because this is a decades-long study that has followed 
every nestling - marking and counting the birds, recording the exact 
date that females lay their eggs and the date those eggs hatch - that 
the data has revealed this trend in the timing of critical seasonal 
behaviour.

"The tits here are actually managing to track the other members of their 
food chain," explains Dr Cole. "So, that's the peak in the number of the 
caterpillars they feed on and in the timing of the oak trees [that the 
caterpillars] feed on.
A 75-year study in numbers:

    -- 700-800 - the number of nest boxes checked every year
    -- 10,000 - the number of caterpillars that adults feed to an
    average clutch of great tit nestlings in the two weeks between
    hatching and fledging
    -- 350 - the number of scientific papers produced from the Wytham
    great tit project.

But the longest-running of the Wytham Woods experiments is the great tit 
project.

These birds are relatively short-lived - with an average life span of 
just under two years - so 75 years of research has tracked 40 
generations. "The human equivalent of that would be studying a family 
tree back to the 10th Century," Dr Cole explains.

She and her colleagues have special permission to access the nest boxes, 
to mark each nestling and to ring every bird before it fledges.

The detail and longevity of the study has produced some remarkable insights.
One evolutionary study back in 2017 that compared Wytham's great tits 
with a population in the Netherlands revealed that UK great tits had 
evolved longer beaks, which appear to allow them to use bird feeders 
more efficiently.

"In this country we spend more than twice as much on bird food than the 
rest of Europe put together, so in some ways it's easy to see how we 
might be causing evolutionary change," says Dr Cole.

Our changing climate has put a renewed focus on the evidence this 
project has provided about how the natural world is responding - 
allowing scientists to put all of the aspects of how a population of 
wild birds works in the context of climate change.

"We can ask how productivity and survival change over time, as well as 
behaviours like dispersal and migration," says Prof Ben Sheldon from 
Oxford University, who currently leads the great tit project.

"We're also able to ask how extreme climatic events - increasingly seen 
as a risk of climate change - affect the population because the length 
of the study gives us more chance to observe these."

The study shows no sign of slowing down - a small group of researchers 
has the task of checking about 800 occupied nest boxes every spring. And 
each year, the timing of their busiest season becomes a little more 
unpredictable.
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-61314226


/[ surviving stupidity - advice from a disasterologist... 17 min video ]/
*How to Live in an Age of Disaster | Amanpour and Company*
Apr 27, 2022
Amanpour and Company
Juliette Kayyem, former assistant secretary for homeland security, is 
one of today's foremost thinkers on disaster management. Her latest book 
is a guide on what to do when things go wrong.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DX4gArycs2k


/[  So you want to try a Diesel car? - Sabine Hossenfelder video ] /
*How bad is Diesel?*
May 7, 2022
Sabine Hossenfelder
Subscribe to my newsletter: https://sabinehossenfelder.com/

In recent years we’ve seen a lot of bad headlines about diesel. Why do 
diesel engines have such a bad reputation? How much does diesel exhaust 
affect our health really? And what’s the car industry doing about it? In 
this video we go through the numbers.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=apbS205t53w



/[  So you want to build a solar energy farm? -- one minute video tip  ]
/*Peter Schubert PhD on Building Solar Farms (and taking them out)*
May 6, 2022
greenmanbucket
I interviewed Dr Peter Schubert,  a Professor of electrical and computer 
engineering and the Director of the Richard G. Lugar Center for 
Renewable Energy (LCRE) at Indiana University-Purdue University 
Indianapolis (IUPUI)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lic1pQQIcSM


/[ visit Venice and see the great art ]/
*At the 2015 Biennale we gave six reasons why Venice was doomed. Guess 
what: it still is*
 From the impact of the global sea level rise to Unesco’s abandonment of 
the city, the situation is looking bleak. Has anything changed for the 
better in the past seven years?
https://www.theartnewspaper.com/2022/04/11/at-the-2015-biennale-we-gave-six-reasons-why-venice-was-doomed-guess-what-it-still-is//



/[ The news archive - looking back at significant events ]/
/*May 8, 1989*/
May 8, 1989: The New York Times reports that the Office of Management 
and Budget in the George H. W. Bush administration altered NASA climate 
scientist James Hansen's upcoming Senate testimony to emphasize alleged 
uncertainties in climate science.

    *Scientist Says Budget Office Altered His Testimony*

    By Philip Shabecoff, Special To the New York Times
    May 8, 1989
    The White House's Office of Management and Budget has changed the
    text of testimony scheduled to be delivered to Congress by a top
    Government scientist, over his protests, making his conclusions
    about the effects of global warming seem less serious and certain
    than he intended.

    The testimony had been prepared by Dr. James E. Hansen, director of
    the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's Goddard
    Institute for Space Studies, for delivery Monday before the Senate
    Subcommittee on Science, Technology and Space, Congressional sources
    said. Dr. Hansen confirmed that the testimony had been changed.

    In his original testimony, he said that computer projections of
    climatic changes caused by carbon dioxide and other gases released
    into the atmosphere would cause substantial temperature increases,
    drought, severe storms and other stresses that will affect the
    earth's biological systems.

    The text of his testimony was edited by the budget office to soften
    the conclusions and make the prospects of change in climate appear
    more uncertain, Dr. Hansen said in an interview.
    The budget office and other officials in the White House have been
    urging a go-slow approach to policies dealing with global warming,
    called the greenhouse effect by scientists. Those officials have
    opposed the State Department and Environmental Protection Agency,
    which have been urging President Bush to take the lead in mobilizing
    the international community to meet the threat of rapid climate
    change. The Administration is deeply split over whether to endorse
    an international treaty that would require action to deal with
    global warming, high-ranking executive branch officials said.

    Senator Albert Gore, Democrat of Tennessee and chairman of the
    subcommittee, who had been told by Dr. Hansen of the alterations in
    the testimony, said that White House officials were attempting to
    change science to make it conform to their policy rather than base
    policy on accurate scientific data.

    ''They are scared of the truth,'' Mr. Gore said. He charged that the
    testimony was censored to support those in the Office of Management
    and Budget and other parts of the Administration who are seeking to
    keep the United States from proposing an international treaty to
    ameliorate the now widely anticipated global warming trend.

    Mr. Gore said that at a future hearing ''I intend to ask O.M.B.
    officials who have substituted their scientific judgments for those
    of atmospheric scientists to come in and testify about the basis for
    their conclusions. I want to determinte their qualifications, the
    climate models they have used, the amount of study they have given
    to the subject and the evidence that they found most persuasive. And
    I intend to pursue this at great length.'' Budget Office Review Is
    Routine

    A spokeswoman for the budget office reached Saturday said that she
    made repeated attempts to seek an explanation but that no one from
    the office was available to respond to questions about the changed
    testimony. She also said that the only press official who will agree
    to have her name used in connection with budget office statements is
    Barbara Clay, who was among those not available.
    The Office of Management and Budget routinely reviews testimony to
    be presented to Congressional committees by officials to make sure
    that Federal policy conforms to the President's budget.

    The United States heads an international panel assigned the task of
    preparing a policy response to the global warming trend. The panel
    is scheduled to make recommendations at a meeting sponsored by the
    United Nations in Geneva this week.

    Secretary of State James A. Baker 3d and Environmental Protection
    Agency Administrator William K. Reilly are said to be urging that
    the United States take the lead on a convention to meet the threat
    of global warming. But officials in the White House, including the
    Office of Management and Budget, as well as in the Department of
    Energy, are urging a wait-and-see approach, saying the scientific
    information and data on economic effects of a remedial action are
    inadequate.

    Dr. Hansen's testimony, before it was changed, would have given
    strong support to the position that while there are still many
    uncertainities, enough is known now about the general and even
    regional effects of the global warming trend to start acting now to
    mitigate and prepare for those effects. Dr. Hansen concluded, for
    example, ''We believe it is very unlikely that this overall
    conclusion - drought intensification at most middle- and
    low-latitude land ares, if greenhouse gases increase rapidly - will
    be modified by improved models.''

    At the end of the section of his testimony dealing with regional
    effects of global warming, however, the Office of Management and
    Budget, over Dr. Hansen's objections, added this paragraph: ''Again,
    I must stress that the rate and magnitude of drought, storm, and
    temperature change are very sensitive to the many physical processes
    mentioned above, some of which are poorly represented in the
    G.C.M.'s [ general climate models ] . Thus, these changes should be
    viewed as estimates from evolving computer models and not as
    reliable predictions.'' Scientists Criticizes Change

    Dr. Hansen said in an interview that the additional paragraph served
    to ''negate'' the entire point of that part of his testimony, which
    was that scientific understanding has now reached the stage where
    ''we can begin to draw significant conclusions about droughts,
    storm, temperature - conclusions which are unlikely to change as the
    models and observational data become more detailed.''

    Another change required the testimony to say that the relative
    contribution of human and natural processes to changing climate
    patterns ''remains scientifically unknown.'' In fact, Dr. Hansen
    said, he and his colleagues at NASA who helped prepare the testimony
    ''are confident that greenhouse gases are primarily'' of human origin.
    The Office of Management and Budget routinely reviews testimony to
    be presented to Congressional committees by officials to make sure
    that Federal policy conforms to the President's budget.

    The United States heads an international panel assigned the task of
    preparing a policy response to the global warming trend. The panel
    is scheduled to make recommendations at a meeting sponsored by the
    United Nations in Geneva this week.

    Secretary of State James A. Baker 3d and Environmental Protection
    Agency Administrator William K. Reilly are said to be urging that
    the United States take the lead on a convention to meet the threat
    of global warming. But officials in the White House, including the
    Office of Management and Budget, as well as in the Department of
    Energy, are urging a wait-and-see approach, saying the scientific
    information and data on economic effects of a remedial action are
    inadequate.

    Dr. Hansen's testimony, before it was changed, would have given
    strong support to the position that while there are still many
    uncertainities, enough is known now about the general and even
    regional effects of the global warming trend to start acting now to
    mitigate and prepare for those effects. Dr. Hansen concluded, for
    example, ''We believe it is very unlikely that this overall
    conclusion - drought intensification at most middle- and
    low-latitude land ares, if greenhouse gases increase rapidly - will
    be modified by improved models.''

    At the end of the section of his testimony dealing with regional
    effects of global warming, however, the Office of Management and
    Budget, over Dr. Hansen's objections, added this paragraph: ''Again,
    I must stress that the rate and magnitude of drought, storm, and
    temperature change are very sensitive to the many physical processes
    mentioned above, some of which are poorly represented in the
    G.C.M.'s [ general climate models ] . Thus, these changes should be
    viewed as estimates from evolving computer models and not as
    reliable predictions.'' Scientists Criticizes Change

    Dr. Hansen said in an interview that the additional paragraph served
    to ''negate'' the entire point of that part of his testimony, which
    was that scientific understanding has now reached the stage where
    ''we can begin to draw significant conclusions about droughts,
    storm, temperature - conclusions which are unlikely to change as the
    models and observational data become more detailed.''

    Another change required the testimony to say that the relative
    contribution of human and natural processes to changing climate
    patterns ''remains scientifically unknown.'' In fact, Dr. Hansen
    said, he and his colleagues at NASA who helped prepare the testimony
    ''are confident that greenhouse gases are primarily'' of human origin.

http://www.nytimes.com/1989/05/08/us/scientist-says-budget-office-altered-his-testimony.html


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