[✔️] May 10, 2022 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Tue May 10 09:13:12 EDT 2022
/*May 10 , 2022*/
/[ BBC says ] /
*Climate change: 'Fifty-fifty chance' of breaching 1.5C warming limit*
By Matt McGrath
Environment correspondent
The likelihood of crossing a key global warming threshold has risen
significantly, according to a new analysis.
UK Met Office researchers say that there's now around a fifty-fifty
chance that the world will warm by more than 1.5C over the next five years.
Such a rise would be temporary, but researchers are concerned about the
overall direction of temperatures.
It's almost certain that 2022-2026 will see a record warmest year, they
say...
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-61383391
[ no surprise, just disappointment ]
*Manchin calls EV tax credit expansion 'ludicrous'*
Once again, Manchin is blocking the Biden administration's climate goals.
Lisa Martine Jenkins April 29, 2022
Surprise, surprise: Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin threw cold water on yet
another aspect of his party’s approach to climate policy. While the
Biden administration has proposed expanding the popular electric vehicle
tax credit, Manchin called the idea “ludicrous” during a Senate budget
hearing on Thursday.
Manchin’s colleagues are angling to resurrect certain provisions in the
catatonic-if-not-entirely-dead Build Back Better bill, including one to
increase the existing $7,500 credit for electric vehicle purchases to as
much as $12,500. But Manchin, who also basically killed the $1.75
trillion Build Back Better plan, isn't having it.
Manchin cited both existing waiting lists for EVs — especially in light
of tangled supply chains for the vehicles — and high fuel prices as
rationale for his resistance. He suggested that lawmakers instead direct
more funding toward developing hydrogen resources to decarbonize the
transportation sector (a complicated and potentially fraught
proposition). In February, Manchin joined three Republicans to launch a
working group to develop a hydrogen hub in West Virginia, which would
allow for the continued use of fossil fuels and would be a major win for
natural gas and coal producers in Manchin's state. The proposal has
already passed the House, but getting Manchin on board will likely be
necessary to get it through the Senate as well. Manchin has thrown a
wrench in Democratic policy plans in the past, including the $1.75
trillion Build Back Better spending plan, which included climate
provisions that would have impacted clean energy deployment and carbon
removal research...
https://www.protocol.com/bulletins/manchin-ev-tax-credits
/[ Information battles ]/
*Climate denial is dead on Facebook. What replaced it is more insidious. *
"Energy independence" is no less braindead than saying sunspots cause
climate change. But it's propagating across the social network largely
free of fact checks.
Brian Kahn May 7, 2022
We've reached the point where flat-out climate denial is being stamped
out. Newspapers have largely stopped quoting it and social networks and
search engines have throttled its spread online. But the fossil fuel
industry and its allies have found a new way to achieve the same ends of
inaction: touting "energy independence." Protocol got an exclusive first
look at an analysis by Media Matters showing how the meme based on a
false premise propagates across Facebook with little or no oversight.
The analysis looked at the top 100 Facebook posts by interactions from
September 2021 to April 2022 that spread climate and energy
misinformation. A large portion of those posts focused on the idea of
"energy independence" as a justification to drill for more oil and gas,
yet only two of those were labeled for spreading misinformation.
The idea that the U.S. is woefully dependent on foreign oil and gas is,
if we're being blunt, not true. The U.S. is a net exporter of liquid
natural gas and oil (though the latter may shift this year). The concept
that "energy independence" is tied to producing more oil and gas is also
misinformation. To avoid heating the planet more than 1.5 degrees
Celsius, a key climate guardrail, the International Energy Agency found
last year the world needs to stop new fossil fuel exploration by the end
of this year.
You wouldn't know any of this from the posts Media Matters identified,
though. The drumbeat for more oil and gas extraction has kicked into
high gear over the past few months as gas prices have spiked (this
despite the fact that you can't just magically flip the oil switch and
flood the market with cheap fossil fuels).
In a March 10 post highlighted in the report, Mike Rowe (yes, that guy—
it's kind of his thing) said, "One minute, America was a net exporter of
oil and natural gas. The next minute, we’re back to buying oil from
despots and sheiks, with gas prices at an all-time high." Literally
nothing has changed in the mythical "one minute" Rowe references.
"Honest question," Rowe continues, "Why would we allow energy
independence to slip through our fingers?” (We're not.)
The post has no fact-checking label and contains more misinformation and
hand waving. But we're not going to spend all day talking about Mike
Rowe here because there are other, even more egregious examples out
there. A post by Media Research Center TV, a right-wing media watchdog,
does have a fact-checking label for falsely claiming, "American energy
independence has been lost under Joe Biden and the policies of the
left." But it was still shared 29,000 times, reflecting the reality that
even with moderation, misinformation is still pinging across Facebook.
"We have to have shared language around how we're defining
misinformation, disinformation and malinformation," Allison Fisher, the
director of the climate and energy program at Media Matters, told
Protocol. "The wider definition that we're using includes anything
that's trying to erode climate science or efforts to act on climate as
misinformation. All of these achieve the same thing, though the intent
can be a little bit different."
That intent is to delay action on addressing climate change by ending
the use of fossil fuels. The longer misinformation about energy
independence propagates, the greater the risk of it being treated as a
political issue across the spectrum of left to right rather than a
scientific one. That points for the need for more stringent
fact-checking guidelines and even enforcement.
“This research and content illustrate that the policies that have been
in place to address climate misinformation are inadequate,” Fisher said.
“They’re just not working, either because they’re not being enforced, or
they’re just inadequate to begin with.”
https://www.protocol.com/bulletins/facebook-climate-denial-energy-independence
/[ Dave Roberts podcast audio ]/
*Volts podcast: Andy Frank on how to sell whole-home retrofits to
skeptical consumers*
David Roberts - May 9, 2022
One of the greatest riddles of the decarbonization effort is the
residential sector, responsible for about 20 percent of US
energy-related carbon emissions. There are about 142 million housing
units in the US, around 83 million of which are “owner-occupied.”
Substantially changing them involves dealing with 83 million separate
owners, each with their own circumstances and preferences.
Residential decarbonization seems incredibly difficult to scale up, and
attempts to date have not been particularly successful. At the rate we
are going, it will take hundreds of years to decarbonize America’s
housing stock.
The crew at New York-based climate tech company Sealed is trying
something new, imported from the commercial efficiency market. Rather
than trying to persuade homeowners to buy and install things with their
own scarce resources, Sealed covers all the upfront costs and
coordinates the work with trusted contractors. Homeowners pay the
retrofit back out of energy savings, which means Sealed only gets paid
if there are, in fact, measurable energy savings.
This kind of pay-for-performance arrangement is called an energy
services agreement (ESA). Listeners of my pod with Rob Harmon will
recognize the concept: customers are paying for metered energy
efficiency, in the same way they would pay for energy.
Sealed started small but is growing quickly, so I’m excited to talk to
its president and co-founder Andy Frank about the frustrations and
failures of residential energy efficiency to date, what he’s learned
about homeowner preferences, and what kind of benefits come along with
having a fully electrified home.
https://www.volts.wtf/p/volts-podcast-andy-frank-on-how-to?token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjoxNjgzNTA5LCJwb3N0X2lkIjo1MzI3NTYzNiwiXyI6IjJhYVVSIiwiaWF0IjoxNjUyMTQ3NjUzLCJleHAiOjE2NTIxNTEyNTMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi0xOTMwMjQiLCJzdWIiOiJwb3N0LXJlYWN0aW9uIn0.wiEBQdt_XFl_dkUJJmPpVuVHeDv0TEgmfxMQUZSXBUg&utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&s=r#play
/[ Important to know ] /
*Heat pumps do work in the cold — Americans just don’t know it yet*
These heating/cooling systems have been called the "most overlooked
climate solution." Now they can work in temperatures far below freezing.
By Shannon Osaka - - May 9, 2022
Heat pumps – heating and cooling systems that run entirely on
electricity – have been getting a lot of attention recently. They’ve
been called the “most overlooked climate solution” and “an answer to
heat waves.” And the technology is finally experiencing a global boom in
popularity. Last year, 117 million units were installed worldwide, up
from 90 million in 2010. As temperatures and greenhouse gas emissions
rise, heat pumps, which can be easily powered by renewable energy,
promise to provide a pathway to carbon-free home heating. Environmental
activist Bill McKibben even suggested sending heat pumps to Europe to
help wean the continent off Russian natural gas.
But despite this global surge in popularity, heat pumps in the U.S. are
belaboring under a misconception that has plagued them for decades: That
if the temperature falls to below 30 or even 40 degrees Fahrenheit,
their technology simply doesn’t work. “Do heat pumps work in cold
weather” is even a trending question on Google.
It’s a narrative that Andy Meyer, a senior program manager for the
independent state agency Efficiency Maine, has spent the past decade
debunking for residents in one of the U.S.’s coldest states.
“There were two types of people in Maine in 2012,” he said. “Those who
didn’t know what heat pumps were — and those who knew they didn’t work
in the cold.” But while that concern may have been true years ago, he
said, today “it’s not at all true for high-performance heat pumps.” ...
- -
Air-source heat pumps — there are also geothermal heat pumps and
water-source heat pumps — are poorly named and poorly understood.
(According to one small 2020 study from the heating tech company Sealed,
about 47 percent of homeowners in the U.S. Northeast had never even
heard of heat pumps.) They are essentially reversible air conditioners:
Like AC units, they can take heat from inside a home and pump it out to
provide a cooling effect. But unlike air conditioners, they can also run
backwards — drawing heat from outdoors and bringing it inside to warm a
home.
That process of moving heat rather than creating it explains why heat
pumps are mind-blowingly efficient. A gas furnace — which burns natural
gas to create heat — can only reach around 95 percent efficiency. A heat
pump can easily reach 300 or 400 percent efficiency; that is, it can
make around 3 to 4 times as much energy as it consumes.
Air-source heat pumps — there are also geothermal heat pumps and
water-source heat pumps — are poorly named and poorly understood.
(According to one small 2020 study from the heating tech company Sealed,
about 47 percent of homeowners in the U.S. Northeast had never even
heard of heat pumps.) They are essentially reversible air conditioners:
Like AC units, they can take heat from inside a home and pump it out to
provide a cooling effect. But unlike air conditioners, they can also run
backwards — drawing heat from outdoors and bringing it inside to warm a
home.
That process of moving heat rather than creating it explains why heat
pumps are mind-blowingly efficient. A gas furnace — which burns natural
gas to create heat — can only reach around 95 percent efficiency. A heat
pump can easily reach 300 or 400 percent efficiency; that is, it can
make around 3 to 4 times as much energy as it consumes.
Soon, high-performance heat pumps were being produced that could warm a
home even when outdoor temperatures were down to -31 degrees Fahrenheit.
(Even in extreme sub-zero temperatures, there is still some amount of
heat in outdoor air.) A heat pump’s efficiency does go down as it gets
colder, but even in subzero temperatures high-end units can be over 100
percent efficient. And in recent years, some of the country’s coldest
states have gone all-in on the technology. According to a study in
Environmental Research Letters, heat pumps could reduce CO2 emissions in
70 percent of homes across the country; homes heated by inefficient
electric heaters or fuel oil could particularly benefit. Utilities and
states have started offering rebates for consumers to install heat
pumps, even in colder states like New York, Massachusetts, or Maine.
Many environmental groups and state agencies are working hard to
convince residents that top-of-the-line heat pumps can function well in
cold climates.
Efficiency Maine has been part of that trend. Early on, Meyer said,
residents were deeply skeptical that a simple electric device could keep
them warm in the state’s frigid conditions. But Efficiency Maine
recruited installers, ran social media and radio ads, and released
studies and reports showing that heat pumps could work. “It started in
Northern Maine — a very close, tightly knit community,” Meyer said. Once
a few people installed heat pumps, they began telling their friends, who
told their friends, and so on. So far, Meyer says, Efficiency Maine has
offered rebates for 100,000 heat pumps — in a state where there are less
than 600,000 occupied housing units. Maine now has a higher rate of heat
pump installations per capita than most European countries.
Other organizations are doing similar work. The Center for Energy and
Environment in Minnesota has formed a collaborative with utilities to
help boost heat pump adoption in the state; they also maintain a list of
contractors who have been vetted to install the systems. The Northeast
Energy Efficiency Partnerships, a Massachusetts-based nonprofit, has
resources for installers and consumers, including a list of air-source
heat pumps that operate well under the climate conditions of Northeast
states. Some heat pumps are even being installed in Alaska, where
average winter temperatures hover around a high of 23 degrees Fahrenheit.
One of the benefits of installing heat pumps is cost-savings. In Maine,
many homes are heated with fuel oil or propane. At current prices, Meyer
says, running a heat pump costs half as much as oil and one-third as
much as propane. According to Efficiency Maine’s analysis, that can save
homeowners up to thousands of dollars in annual energy costs. A 2017
study by CEE similarly found that installing heat pumps in Minnesota
could save residents between $349 and $764 per year, compared to heating
with a standard electric or propane furnace.
There are some caveats. Lacey Tan, a manager for the carbon-free
buildings program at the energy think tank RMI, says there is still a
price premium for heat pumps: Some installers aren’t yet comfortable
with how they work and try to reduce their risk by increasing up-front
costs. In cold climates, some homes may want to have a back-up heating
system for extremely frigid days or in the event of a power outage. (In
Maine, Meyer says many homeowners use wood stoves as back-up for their
heat pumps.)
But many experts believe more and more cold-weather heat pumps will be
sold as homeowners learn about the new advances in the technology. Meyer
says that Mainers who install heat pumps naturally begin to share their
experience with friends and family. “We have over 100,000 salespeople
who have already gotten heat pumps,” he said jokingly. “Not bad for a
state where they ‘don’t work in the cold.’”
https://grist.org/housing/heat-pumps-do-work-in-the-cold-americans-just-dont-know-it-yet/
/[ Drought reveals the harsh past... more likely to come ]/
//*More human skeletal remains found at Lake Mead one week after a body
was found in a barrel*
May. 7, 2022
The discovery of these remains comes almost exactly one week from when a
body was found in a barrel at Lake Mead on Sunday afternoon. That
discovery was near Hemenway Harbor boat launch. The body may date back
to the 1980′s.
https://www.fox5vegas.com/2022/05/08/more-human-skeletal-remains-found-lake-mead-one-week-after-body-was-found-barrel/
/[The news archive - looking back at significant events ]/
/*May 10, 2005*/
The US Circuit Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia rules that
the White House does not have to disclose information regarding the
infamous 2001 Cheney Energy Task Force.
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/05/10/politics/10cnd-cheney.html?_r=0
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=4647599
http://www.boston.com/news/nation/washington/articles/2005/05/11/court_backs_cheney_on_energy_meetings/
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