[✔️] May 17, 2022 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Tue May 17 09:40:26 EDT 2022


/*May 17, 2022*/

/[  talking about the weather:  so temps of 40C = 104 F  ]
/*Unusually high temperatures to hit western Europe this week*
Analysis: Highs likely to reach mid-30s celsius in Spain and France, 10C 
above normal, and may break 40C/
/Brendan Jones (MetDesk)
Mon 16 May 2022/../
/- -
/Throughout April, large parts of Europe experienced below-normal 
temperature trends, with winds often emanating from a north-easterly 
direction. However, over the past week or so, weather patterns have 
rearranged to encourage more of a south or south-westerly feed of air 
across Europe, and temperatures have been picking up as a result./../
/- -
/https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/may/16/unusually-high-temperatures-to-hit-western-europe-this-week/
/



/[  Will this go all the way to SCOTUS?  ]/
*Exxon Challenges California’s Denial Of Oil Trucking Permit*
Reuters -  May 15, 2022
By Steve Gorman

LOS ANGELES, May 13 (Reuters) – Exxon Mobil Corp has gone to court 
seeking to force local California government officials to allow shipment 
of crude oil from coastal facilities to inland refineries by dozens of 
tanker trucks a day until replacement of a pipeline that burst in 2015, 
causing a major spill.

In a federal lawsuit filed on Wednesday, the energy giant challenged the 
denial of its trucking permit application by the Santa County Barbara 
County Board of Supervisors, calling the panel’s 3-2 vote against the 
plan in March a “prejudicial abuse of discretion.”

Exxon XOM.N claimed the board’s majority had essentially made up its 
mind to reject the application rather than deciding the issue on its 
merits, resulting in a “de facto ban on crude oil production and 
transportation.”

Exxon asserts that the board’s action effectively prevents the company 
from restarting three offshore drilling platforms and refinery 
operations shut down after a badly corroded pipeline ruptured along the 
Pacific shoreline near Santa Barbara on May 19, 2015.

As much as 3,400 barrels of crude oil escaped from the line, owned by 
Plains All American Pipeline PAA.O. It marked the worst oil spill to hit 
the energy-rich but ecologically sensitive coastline northwest of Los 
Angeles since a 100,000-barrel blowout in the Santa Barbara Channel in 
1969.
- -
In the meantime, Exxon has proposed hauling its offshore crude to one of 
two refineries under a plan to allow as many as 70 tanker trucks a day 
to run along California’s coastal Highway 101 and a smaller two-lane 
highway. Santa Barbara County has previously rejected alternative plans 
to transport Exxon’s oil via rail or marine tanker, the company said.

“It’s disturbing to see Exxon’s lawyers try to force through this 
dangerous plan to put hundreds of trucks carrying highly flammable oil 
on county highways,” Julie Teel Simmonds, a senior attorney with the 
environmental group Center for Biological Diversity, said in a statement 
on Friday.

Jennifer Richardson, an attorney in the Santa Barbara County counsel’s 
office, declined to comment on pending litigation.

In its lawsuit, Exxon claims the county’s denials amount to an 
unconstitutional “taking” of its property rights, a violation of the 
U.S. Constitution’s commerce clause and an illegal exercise of police 
powers.

When Exxon first halted offshore production from its three Santa 
Barbara-area platforms, output from those rigs was estimated at 30,000 
barrels a day, a fraction of California’s daily crude diet of some 1.7 
million bpd at the time.
https://gcaptain.com/exxon-challenges-californias-denial-of-oil-trucking-permit/



/[  sigh, this is probably true ]
/*America’s Fracking Boom Is Tilting the World Toward Climate Disaster*/
/Industry’s current plans would cause 140 billion metric tons of 
greenhouse emissions, analysis shows./
/
Planned drilling projects across US land and waters will release 140 
billon metric tons of planet-heating gases if fully realized, an 
analysis shared with the Guardian has found.

The study, to be published in the Energy Policy journal this month, 
found emissions from these oil and gas “carbon bomb” projects were four 
times larger than all of the planet-heating gases expelled globally each 
year, placing the world on track for disastrous climate change.

The plans include conventional drilling and fracking spanning the deep 
waters of the Gulf of Mexico to the foothills of the Front Range in 
Colorado and the mountainous Appalachian region. But the heart is the 
Permian basin, a geological formation 250 miles wide that sits under the 
mostly flat terrain of west Texas and New Mexico.

One lobe of this formation, known as the Delaware basin, is predicted to 
emit 27.8 billion metric tons of carbon during the lifetime of planned 
drilling, while another, known as the Midland basin, will potentially 
unleash 16.6 billion tons of emissions.
- -
Venegas said: “I worry about dying from climate disasters like fires and 
floods and get anxiety attacks if I think about what the wells are doing 
to my kids, it’s too scary.”

Around the most heavily drilled areas, the fear and anxiety about the 
unknown dangers coupled with a sense of impotence have led to high 
levels of stress and reported mental health problems including depression.
“The uncertainty and powerlessness people feel has a corrosive impact,” 
said Stephanie Malin, an associate professor of sociology at Colorado 
State University. “Plans to continue with fossil fuel extraction hangs 
on the industry’s pivot from climate denialism to the individual 
responsibility narrative that makes people feel hopeless and disempowered.”

A doctors’ group revealed this year how the industry had hidden the use 
of PFAS—a class of toxins also known as forever chemicals—in more than 
12,000 wells by claiming them as trade secrets.

After years of campaigning by grassroots activists, regulations have 
gradually been tightened, and in March the Colorado Oil and Gas 
Conservation Commission made history by denying its first 
permit—temporarily halting the state’s largest producer’s proposal to 
build 33 wells close to 62 homes.

New legislation, which changed state regulators’ mission from promoting 
oil and gas development to protecting public health, safety, welfare and 
the environment, stipulates that wells must be set back 2,000ft from 
property lines. Nevertheless, the company has been invited to reapply as 
exceptions can be granted, which campaigners argue weakens the legislation./
/
“It’s been like the wild west. There’s so much money behind the 
industry, it’s impossible to win,” said Therese Gilbert, a middle-school 
teacher and activist who says she was frequently harassed during her 
eight-year crusade for better regulation. Now she fears another boom.

“[The Russian war in Ukraine] is going to set climate change initiatives 
back under the cloak of patriotism when weaning ourselves off oil 
dictatorships and pivoting to renewables would be the patriotic choice,” 
she said.

The state’s much maligned roadmap to reduce greenhouse gas emissions 
allows for oil and gas drilling to increase substantially by 2030./../
/- -/
“We have an oil-based system, so to change that we need to reduce the 
demand for oil. Europe is moving forward with targets on clean energy, 
and hopefully this crisis will give a big push to that in the US too.”/
/https://www.motherjones.com/environment/2022/05/us-fracking-boom-industry-reserves-climate-disaster//
/

/
/

/
/

/[ Explained by the NYTimes - you can discover the risk ]/
*Here’s the First-Ever Map Showing Wildfire Risk to American Homes*
By Christopher Flavelle and Nadja Popovich  - - May 16, 2022
New data was used to calculate fire risk to residential and other 
properties throughout the lower 48 United States. The threats are rising.
Average Wildfire Risk to Properties in each ZIP Code
https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/2022/05/10/fsf-fire/fa5deb5f30ef0ed165d868c700a973163a961409/maps_zip_2022-zoom-big.jpg
DAMMERON VALLEY, Utah — The nation’s wildfire risk is widespread, severe 
and accelerating quickly, according to new data that, for the first 
time, calculates the risk facing every property in the contiguous United 
States.

The data, released Monday by the First Street Foundation, a nonprofit 
research group in New York, comes as rising housing prices in cities and 
suburbs push Americans deeper into fire-prone areas, with little idea 
about the specific risk in their new locale.

That’s because the federal government maps flood risk at the property 
level but doesn’t do the same for wildfires, which are growing more 
frequent and severe because of climate change.

“For too long, we have let people live in communities, and even 
attracted them to join a community, while keeping them in a state of 
ignorance about the risk that they’re under,” said Roy Wright, a former 
head of risk mitigation at the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

Mr. Wright said he hoped the new data would “draw attention to the risk 
and drive people to take action.”...
The data is being released at the outset of what promises to be an even 
worse wildfire season than usual, with blazes already burning in more 
than a dozen states.

Half of all addresses in the lower 48 states face some degree of 
wildfire risk, according to First Street’s model, a number that will 
rise to 56 percent by 2052. In some rural states, including Wyoming and 
Montana, more than 90 percent of properties already face some risk.

Of all the addresses nationwide that could be damaged by wildfire, more 
than 686,000 face at least a 1 percent chance this year — the same 
degree of risk that the government uses to determine which houses are 
sufficiently in danger of flooding that they need flood insurance. But 
wildfire risk is more dangerous, according to First Street, because, 
while flooding often damages only parts of a house, fire is more likely 
to destroy it entirely.

A 1 percent risk may seem small. But that possibility compounds over 
time, becoming a 26 percent risk over 30 years — the span of a typical 
mortgage. Over the course of that 30-year mortgage, more than 381,000 
properties nationwide face a risk of wildfire that is greater than 50 
percent, according to First Street.

First Street’s analysis of property-level exposure to risk is 
underpinned by a high-resolution model of wildfire behavior across the 
country. The model is based on a number of factors, including the 
proximity to combustible fuels that contribute to wildfire — like 
shrubs, grasses and trees — historical weather, previous fires, and 
warming climate conditions like temperature and precipitation. It builds 
on estimates from the United States Forest Service of community-level 
wildfire risk..
- -
It’s unclear whether new information about fire risks like the database 
compiled by First Street will prompt different choices about where and 
how people live.

Kimiko Barrett, a researcher who helps communities plan for wildfires at 
Headwaters Economics, a nonprofit research group in Montana, said many 
prospective homebuyers treat fire as an afterthought. A more important 
audience for the new data could be local officials, she said, who decide 
how much money to provide to reduce fire risk and where to allow new 
construction.

That construction is unlikely to slow down. Last week, Mr. Sorenson 
drove past the spot where the 2020 fire was stopped. Just below the fire 
line, a developer has plans to build more homes. Mr. Sorenson said he 
expected those plans to go ahead. He pointed to the land that almost burned.

“This,” Mr. Sorenson said, “is all going to be new houses.”
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/05/16/climate/wildfire-risk-map-properties.html 




/[  time to face the misinformation ] /
*We're Publishing the Facebook Papers. Here's How Facebook Killed News 
Feed Fixes Over Fear of Conservative Backlash.*
By Dell Cameron, Shoshana Wodinsky, and Mack DeGeurin
5-15-2022

This piece is part of Gizmodo’s ongoing effort to make the Facebook 
Papers available to the public.  See the full directory of documents here.

Facebook said it did not "build and withhold any News Feed changes based 
on potential impact on any one political party.” Internal documents say 
otherwise.
https://gizmodo.com/facebook-papers-news-feed-conservative-backlash-hate-sp-1848891557

- -

/[ Details of the deception ]/
*Read the Facebook Papers for Yourself*
Hundreds of internal documents formed the basis of dozen of news 
stories. They have not been made public. Until now.
In the fall of 2021, members of the U.S. Congress and hundreds of 
Western journalists obtained access to a collection of internal Facebook 
documents. The trove of research reports, proposals, presentations, and 
employee conversations would form the foundation for dozens of news 
stories describing Facebook’s own awareness of the real-world harms that 
resulted from its relentless pursuit of its users’ attention.

Whistleblower Frances Haugen—a former member of the Civic Integrity team 
at the company now called Meta—shared the cache of more than 1,300 
documents that would come to be known collectively as the Facebook 
Papers. She would go on to testify before Congress as to their 
implications. Lawmakers would grill Instagram CEO Adam Mosseri about 
them as well...

- -

This page will serve as a table of contents organizing every document 
Gizmodo has published to date along with a record of when we published 
them. We have categorized the documents by topic, redacted and reviewed 
them multiple times, and released them in batches. Additional documents, 
which require greater scrutiny for privacy or security reasons, will be 
added in the future.

Election 2020 Documents
Papers About the Jan. 6 Capitol Attack
Mission Control Post Jan 6th IPOC
CTO Mike Schroepfer’s Jan 6th post
Jan 6th Freedom of Expression Survey
Facebook Insurrection Redacted for Congress enclosures (Part 1)
Facebook Insurrection Redacted for Congress enclosures (Part 2)
Employee Post: Rhetoric of Violence
Papers Describing the Election-Related Task Force Monitoring “Complex 
Financial Organizations”
CFO Lookback and Forward
CFO Task Force Q3 Activity and Impact Summary
Papers Describing Election-Related Pages, Posts, Etc.
User Engagement on Civic Content
Where do top civic pages get their audiences from
Understanding the Impact of Political Content on Facebook Experience and 
Sentiment
Political Content on Facebook (Part 1) Understanding Consumer 
Experiences and how Facebook Can help
Internal Election-Related Research
User Perspectives on Facebook’s Voter and Census Disenfranchisement Policy
Adding civic users to XCheck (Cross Check)
Internal Election-Related Proposals
May 2020-Alternative Responses
Civic Disenfranchise - Interference, Demobilization, Interference
Sociographic Segments may be impactful for hate speech and voter suppression
Internal Election-Related Explainers
Populations at risk for 2020 Election
Election-Related Platform and Product Updates
2020 Election Integrity Lockdown
SEV Civic Non-Recommendable Groups
Write Up On Civic Non-Recommendable Groups SEV
2020 Crisis Pillar Detection Product Lookback
Civic Targeted Risk Scores
Top-N Integrity
Miscellaneous Papers
Update on political publishers
Proposal to reset White House Instagram over hostile followers
Groups before election
Elections Workshop Agenda 2019
Ranking Documents
Ranking-Related Explainers
Why We Build Feeds
Is Ranking Good?
Ranking-Related Platform and Product Updates
Big Levers Ranking Experiment
[LAUNCH] Civic Ranking: Engagement-Based Worth Your Time
Ranking-Related Proposals
Distributive Justice at Facebook
Papers Discussing “Demotions” in Feeds
Has Disaster Been Averted?
Demotions from Community Review Are Low Accuracy in Prevalence
This Note May Not Reach Many People: Driving Demotions Transparency 
Through Product Interventions
Demotions Transparency Does Not A Priori Increase Legitimacy
Policy Input on ARC (At-Risk Country) Demotions
Issues with Restrictions/Demotions on Palestinian Content
What Does It Mean to Have a Voice?
Demoting Troll-Like Comments
Integrity Tradeoffs
DMARS H2 Plan (WIP)
[LAUNCH] Replacing Downstream Impact for Civic and Health
Project Brief: Reduce Audit V2
Downside Metrics: Viewer-Side Collateral Damage Measures
Demotion Strategies for High-Quality Integrity Signals\
Papers Discussing “Meaningful Social Interactions” (MSI)
MSI Metric Note Series
The Meaningful Social Interactions Metric Revisited: Part 2
The Meaningful Social Interactions Metric Revisited: Part 4
The Meaningful Social Interactions Metric Revisited: Part 5
Meaningful Social Interactions Useful Links
MSI Documentation
Evaluating MSI Metric Changes with a Comment-Level Survey
Surveying The 2018 Relevance Ranking Holdout
Overview of MSI + Pages and Survey Research
Is Multi-Group Picker “Spammy?”
Filtering Out Engagement-Bait, Bullying, and Excessive Comments From MSI 
Deltoid Metric
[LAUNCH] Using p(anger) to Reduce the Impact Angry Reactions Have on 
Ranking Levers
Planned MSI Metric Changes in 2020
MSI Metric Changes for 2020 H1
Should We Reduce the MSI Weight of Sticker Comments?
Max Reshare Depth Experiment
Miscellaneous Papers
“Understand This Post’s Ranking” —How I Miss Thee!
Facebook and Responsibility
News Feed Documents
The Surprising Consequences to Sessions and MSI Caused by Turning Off 
Video Autoplay on News Feed
One-Go Summary Post for Recent Goaling and Goal Metric Changes for News Feed
News Feed UXR Quarterly Insights Roundup
What Happens If We Delete Ranked Feed?
News Feed Research: Looking Back on H2 2020
Content from “Political” Pages in In-Feed Recommendations
Political Content in In-Feed Recommendations (IFR)
In-Feed Recommendations HPM —April 15 2021

https://gizmodo.com/facebook-papers-how-to-read-1848702919



/[The news archive - looking back at significant events ]/
/*May 17, 2013*/
Andrew Sullivan points to the root cause of US climate-change denial:

"But the main reason many Americans still refuse to believe it is 
religious fundamentalism. That is immune to science and reason. But it 
is the bedrock belief of one of our political parties."

*The Climate Change “Debate” Is Over*
A recent study reviewed the published literature and talked to climate 
scientists about whether human activities are driving climate change. 
Their results indicate a general consensus in the scientific community:

    /An international team of scientists analyzed the abstracts of
    11,944 peer-reviewed papers published between 1991 and 2011 dealing
    with climate change and global warming. That’s right — we’re talking
    about 20 years of papers, many published long before Superstorm
    Sandy, last year’s epic Greenland melt, or Australia’s “angry summer.”/

    /About two-thirds of the authors of those studies refrained from
    stating in their abstracts whether human activity was responsible
    for climate change. But in those papers where a position on the
    claim was staked out, 97.1 percent endorsed the consensus position
    that humans are, indeed, cooking the planet./

    /The scientists involved with the new study also asked the authors
    of the peer-reviewed papers for their personal reflections on the
    causes of global warming. A little more than one-third expressed no
    opinion. Of those who did share a view, 97.2 percent endorsed the
    consensus that humans are to blame. Out of the 1,189 authors who
    responded to the survey, just 39 rejected the idea that humans are
    causing global warming./

But the main reason many Americans still refuse to believe it is 
religious fundamentalism. That is immune to science and reason. But it 
is the bedrock belief of one of our political parties.
http://dish.andrewsullivan.com/2013/05/17/settled-among-scientists/


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