[✔️] November 13, 2022 - Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Sun Nov 13 09:04:13 EST 2022
/*November 13, 2022*/
/[ Alternatives at COP27 Aljazeera report - clips] /
*COP27 protesters call for climate reparations, human rights*
Demonstrators call for the release of political prisoners, chanting ‘no
climate justice without human rights’.
- -
Many demonstrators, alongside several vulnerable countries, have called
for “loss and damage” payments, or financing to help pay for
climate-related harms, to be central to negotiations. “Africa is crying,
and its people are dying,” Nbani said.
- -
Activists chanted “keep it in the ground” in reference to their
rejection of the continued extraction of fossil fuels.
On Friday, some of them heckled US President Joe Biden’s speech and
raised an orange banner that read, “People vs. Fuels” before being
removed. One of the activists, Jacob Johns, had his access to the
conference revoked as a result.
The demonstration came at the end of the first week of the two-week
summit, when typically protest action at climate summits is at its height.
COP27 featured a light agenda for Saturday, and a full day of rest on
Sunday before the focus shifts to discussions around a final document
meant to reflect what has been agreed upon and achieved at the summit
this year.
- -
Talks are expected to intensify through next week until the conference
concludes on November 18, as delegates jockey for their priorities to be
included in the closing declaration.
Rallies also called for an end to a crackdown on environmental activists
and minorities and for the rights of Indigenous groups, women, labourers
and people with disabilities, especially in developing nations.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/11/12/climate-protests-at-cop27-rally-behind-hunger-strikers-sister
[ 19C = 66F ]
*Scotland's temperatures hit record high for warmest ever Armistice Day*
The mercury climbed to 19.1C in Lossiemouth on November 11 as Scotland
continues to experience record temperatures this year
https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/scottish-news/scotlands-temperatures-hit-record-high-28472076
/[ Editorial from Africa Monitor ]/
*The cop out at COP27*
Saturday, November 12, 202
- -
In a nutshell, what Gore proposed was that we give up our fossil fuel
projects, the West keep theirs, we give up any hope for climate finance
and in return, we wait for a day in the not too distant future when
someone will organise a global finance conference and tell lenders to
give the same terms to Namibia or Uganda that are given to Germany...
- -
The real solution to the climate crisis is not keeping Africans poorer.
The solution is to get the top emitters to reduce their emissions. At
the next COP we should hear less from climate activists that have no
solutions and only have sermons, and we should hear more from climate
realists.
For now, Africa must stand firm and reject even the most eloquent
sermons from those who think we should preserve the environment by
conserving poverty.
The writer is an advocate and partner at Kampala Associated Advocates
elisonk at kaa.co.ug
https://www.monitor.co.ug/uganda/oped/commentary/the-cop-out-cop27-4017186
/[ Outside magazine notices the changes ]/
*How Bad Will Climate Change Get? Just Look at the U.S.*
“As the world warms, the United States warms more,” reads the latest
National Climate Assessment
Wes Siler
Nov 12, 2022
Last month, the United Nations issued a warning that the world is on
track for at least 2.5 degrees Celsius of warming by the end of the
century. Far more than the 1.5 degree increase targeted by the 2015
Paris Agreement. What will that look like? A draft of the National
Climate Assessment, released last month, suggests we only have to look
at the United States, right now, for at least some of the answer.
“Over the past 50 years, the U.S. has warmed 68 percent faster than the
planet as a whole,” the assessment reads. While the world has already
warmed about 1.1 degrees Celsius since pre-industrial times, the U.S.
has warmed 1.4 degrees.
That means we’re experiencing some of the impacts of climate change
sooner than other parts of the world might. And it’s going to get even
hotter.
But average temperatures across an entire planet, or even just one
country, paint a vague picture. What do they mean for you and me right
now? “In the 1980s, the country experienced, on average, $1
billion-dollar (inflation-adjusted) event every four months,” says the
assessment. “Now, there is one every three weeks on average.”
Those hundreds of billions are impacting our dollars and cents right
now. “Worsening extreme weather events are causing direct economic
losses through infrastructure damage, disruptions in critical services,
and losses in property values,” it says. “The things Americans value
most are at risk.”
*National Climate Assessment Findings*
The National Climate Assessment is an apolitical,
Congressionally-mandated, interagency effort to summarize the past,
current, and future impacts of climate change on the country. Published
every four years, the report is legally mandated to employ the best
possible science and is intended to inform the work of policy makers,
emergency planners, financial risk managers, and other institutions.
Here’s the fifth installment’s primary conclusions about how climate
change is currently harming everyday Americans.
*Extreme Weather Is More Harmful in an Interconnected World*
The report finds that every region of the country is now impacted by
“compound events,” in which one or more climate-related problem occurs
at once. A good example is the record breaking heat that spread across
the Pacific Northwest over 2020 and 2021. The heat coincided with
drought, contributing to massive wildfires. Smoke from those wildfires
exposed people to multiple health risks, while restricting outdoor
activities (an important economic driver in the region) and worsening
the summer 2021 Northwest heatwave, which killed 229 people. That heat
also caused harmful algae blooms, reducing access to clean drinking
water, and caused a mass die-off of shellfish and salmon. Altogether the
heat cost the region at least $36 billion. ..
- -
*Climate Change Exacerbates Inequality*
The effects of climate change are felt most by historically
disenfranchised communities, who are least prepared to deal with them.
“These frontline communities experience harmful climate impacts first
and worst, yet are often the least responsible for the greenhouse gas
emissions that cause climate change,” reads the report. “Climate change
exacerbates existing risks to these communities from unmet
infrastructure needs, low-quality housing, and other stressors creating
cycles of worsening inequality.”...
- -
*Everyone in the United States Is Feeling the Effects *
While the risk an individual faces involves a myriad of factors, no
area, community, or person is immune to the effects of climate change.
The report breaks out these impacts by infrastructure, water supply,
health and well-being, food security, livelihoods and heritage, and
ecosystems, and assesses the risk by region.
*Water Supplies Are Threatened*
Both droughts and floods pose threats to the country’s water supply, in
some areas combining to compound risks. “Urban and agricultural
environments are especially vulnerable to runoff and flooding, which can
damage crops and transport debris, fertilizers, chemicals, sewage, and
other contaminants that contribute to the development of harmful algal
blooms and contaminate drinking water supplies,” the report reads.
“During 1981 to 2016, excessive rainfall led to a U.S. maize yield loss
comparable to that from extreme drought.”
Then, between 1980 and 2021, heatwaves and droughts caused $291 billion
(inflation adjusted) in damage. Coastal areas aren’t immune either. Sea
level rise is causing saltwater to intrude into aquifers and wetlands.
And, of course, decreasing snowpack reduces streamflow in the mountains,
threatening downstream agriculture and municipal water supplies, while
exacerbating wildfire severity.
*Food Is Becoming Scarcer and More Expensive*
Food is another area where multiple impacts cascade and hurt everything
from crops and the workers who harvest them to supply chains that move
food and supplies to and from consumers and producers.
*The report calls out three main areas of concern:*
-- “Rising CO2 levels, increasing temperatures, and changes in
precipitation reduce productivity, yield, and nutritional content of
many crops. These changes can also introduce disease, disrupt
pollination, and result in crop failure, outweighing potential
benefits of longer growing seasons and increased CO2 fertilization.”
-- “Heavy rain and storms damage crops and property and contaminate
water supplies. Drought and wildfires reduce forage production and
nutritional quality, diminish water supplies, and increase heat
stress on livestock.”
-- “Increasing water temperatures, invasive aquatic species, harmful
algal blooms, and ocean acidification and deoxygenation put
fisheries at risk. Fishery collapses can result in large economic
losses, as well as loss of cultural identity and generational
livelihoods.”
*Americans’ Homes Are at Risk*
Heavy rainfall, flooding, and wildfire are risking the physical safety
of the places where we live. Less dramatically, older homes weren’t
designed for the extreme temperatures caused by climate change, which is
drastically increasing energy costs. And again, the associated problems
compound.
“People who spend a high percentage of their income on energy costs—such
as rural, low-income, and older fixed-income households, communities of
color, and renters, are increasingly vulnerable to extreme heat events,”
says the report. “For example, Black Americans are more likely than
white Americans to live in older, energy-inefficient homes with
structural issues, outdated appliances, and faulty energy systems. This
disproportionate burden of energy insecurity is associated with higher
incidence of poor health outcomes.”...
*Climate Change Is Already Forcing Americans to Relocate*
One of the largest long-term concerns with climate change is that it may
render many current high-density population areas uninhabitable. But the
report finds that climate change is already displacing large populations
of Americans within their own country.
Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands were hit by numerous extreme
events over the last two decades, driving migration of vulnerable
communities to the mainland,” the report reads. “More severe wildfires
in California, sea level rise in Florida, and more frequent flooding in
Texas are expected to displace millions of people.”
When talking about infrastructure impacts, consider healthcare. It’s
easy to see how more traffic traveling across an old bridge that’s
increasingly battered by more extreme storms might cause a problem. It’s
less obvious that those same climate change impacts are also stressing
our healthcare infrastructure. Higher temperatures, exposure to storm or
wastewater, and risks posed by events like storms is increasing demand
for healthcare, the report finds. Climate change also increases the
distribution and infectiousness of pathogens, wildfire smoke stresses
the respiratory system, and exposure to pollen impacts reports of
allergic reactions. These health concerns combined with food and water
insecurity increase demand for already stressed healthcare resources,
and impact the nation’s mental health.
*Climate Change Is Threatening Indigenous Culture*
“Indigenous communities, whose ways of life, cultures, intergenerational
continuity, and spiritual health are tied to nature and the environment,
are experiencing disproportionate health impacts of climate change,” the
report reads. “Rising temperatures and increasingly extreme events are
reducing biodiversity and shifting the ranges of culturally important
species like Pacific salmon, wild rice, and moose, making it difficult
for Indigenous peoples to fish, hunt, and gather traditional and
subsistence resourcing within tribal jurisdictions. Heatwaves can
prevent tribal members from participating in tribal ceremonies, while
flooding, landslides, and wildfires increasingly disrupt or damage
burial grounds and ceremonial sites.”
*Economic Growth Is Slowing*
The report finds that climate change is expected to reduce global
economic output by about $23 trillion annually by 2050. The United
States experiences half the annual global losses caused by extreme
weather, a bill that costs us about $150 billion each year. Risks posed
by climate change reduce the ability for governments to borrow money to
fund infrastructure projects to prepare for climate change’s impacts.
Household consumers are paying more for goods and services as a result
of all the above.
*Traditional Industries Are Disappearing*
Climate change has already caused 14 major fishery collapses in Alaska.
The report was written before news broke that Alaska’s king crab
population has virtually vanished. Rapid shifts between wet and dry
conditions, along with stress caused by increases in pests and pathogens
is making it impossible to grow apples in the midwest, and wine grapes
on the West Coast. Oil and gas jobs across the plains are disappearing.
Recreation-dependent jobs like tourism in Hawaii or skiing in the
Rockies are experiencing “significant economic loss.”
“Many beloved sports and outdoor activities are already being affected
by climate change, with overall impacts projected to further hinder
recreation, tourism, and the ability of communities to maintain a sense
of place and heritage,” reads the report.
*Climate Change Is Reducing Quality of Life *
Many American households are already feeling the economic impacts of
climate change,” reads the assessment. “Projected economic damages in a
warmer world mean that household incomes will be slower to grow at the
same time healthcare, food, insurance, building, and repair costs become
more expensive. American’s quality of life is also threatened by climate
change in ways that may be more difficult to quantify or predict, such
as increased crime and domestic violence harm to mental health, reduced
happiness, and fewer opportunities for outdoor recreation and play.
These compounding stressors can increase segregation, reliance on social
safety net programs, and income inequality.” ...
*What Can We Do?*
While many of these impacts are already occurring and are certain to get
worse over coming decades no matter what we do, the assessment finds
that cutting emissions in the near term remains the only way reduce harm
for future generations.
Encouragingly, it also lays out some immediate benefits of cutting those
emissions: “Accelerating the deployment of low-carbon technologies,
promoting public transportation, providing subsidies to incentivize
renewable energy and electric vehicle purchases, and improving building
efficiency have significant near-term social and economic benefits,” the
report states.
It also finds that, “reducing emissions of short-lived climate
pollutants like methane improves air quality and saves lives while also
reducing near-term warming.”
And “improvements in cropland management and practices like reduced
tillage and diversification of crop rotations can increase soil carbon
uptake and storage and enhance agricultural yields, strengthening the
resilience and profitability of farms while also sequestering hundreds
of millions of tons of CO2 each year.”
The list stops there. Less encouraging is the finding that accompanied
the UN’s prediction that at least 2.5 degrees Celsius of warming by 2100
is already certain. Despite commitments to the contrary and the certain
conclusion that our only hope is to drastically cut, if not entirely
eliminate, the production of global warming gases, the global economy is
currently on track for a 10.6 increase from 2010 levels in annual
emissions by 2030.
https://www.outsideonline.com/outdoor-adventure/environment/united-nations-climate-change-u-s/
/[ Ooops, better check the science again ..]/
*Sea levels might rise much faster than thought, data from Greenland
suggest*
By Tereza Pultarova Nov. 9, 2022
"If this is correct, the contribution of ice dynamics to overall mass
loss on Greenland will be larger than what current models suggest."
Greenland's largest ice sheet is thawing at a much higher rate than
expected, a new study has revealed, suggesting it will add six times
more water to the rising sea levels than previously thought. And the
trend may not be limited to Greenland, scientists worry.
The study used GPS measurements and computer modeling to estimate how
much ice is being lost due to climate change from the Northeast
Greenland Ice Stream (NEGIS), a prominent ice flow that drains ice and
meltwater from Greenland's inland ice-covered basin.
The calculations revealed that, since 2012, NEGIS melting has been
speeding up so much that by the end of this century, it will add more
than 0.5 inches (1.3 centimeters) of water to the global ocean level.
That's equivalent to the past 50 years' worth of Greenland's entire
contribution to sea level rise.
he NEGIS ice-melt acceleration started after the Zachariae Isstrøm
glacier that protected the coastal part of the ice stream broke off in
2012, allowing warmer sea water to penetrate deeper inland. The new data
has revealed that the wave of rapid ice-thinning triggered by this
incident propagated much deeper upstream than previously thought.
Scientists were able to measure the thinning as far as 186 miles (300
kilometers) from Greenland's northeastern coast where NEGIS meets the ocean.
"Many glaciers have been accelerating and thinning near the margin in
recent decades — GPS data helped us detect how far inland these changes
happening near the coast propagate," study co-author Mathieu Morlighem,
a professor of Earth Sciences at Dartmouth College in New Hampshire,
said in a statement(opens in new tab). "If this is correct, the
contribution of ice dynamics to overall mass loss on Greenland will be
larger than what current models suggest."
Morlinghem added that similar trends might be underway in other parts of
the Greenland ice sheet as the whole system might be much more sensitive
to changes happening in coastal areas than previously thought.
The study found that the accelerating melting continued even throughout
the winter of 2021 and the summer of 2022, which were unusually cold in
Greenland, suggesting the process will be quite difficult to stop.
"We can see that the entire basin is thinning and the surface speed is
accelerating," Shfaqat Abbas Khan, a researcher at the University of
Denmark and first author of the new study, said in the same statement.
"Every year, the glaciers we've studied have retreated farther inland,
and we predict that this will continue over the coming decades and
centuries. Under present-day climate forcing, it is difficult to
conceive how this retreat could stop."
If confirmed, the findings will have consequences for current sea level
rise predictions, which foresee global ocean levels rising by 8 to 38
inches (22 to 98 cm) by the end of the century. The actual sea level
rise is likely to be much more significant, the authors concluded, which
will have catastrophic consequences for residents in low-lying regions
and coastal areas around the world.
"We foresee profound changes in global sea levels, more than currently
projected by existing models," Eric Rignot, a professor of Earth system
science at the University of California, Irvine, who is also a co-author
of the paper, said in the statement. "Data collected in the vast
interior of ice sheets, such as those described in our research, help us
better represent the physical processes included in numerical models and
in turn provide more realistic projections of global sea-level rise."...
The study was released while countries are negotiating at the 27th
Conference of Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on
Climate Change (COP27) in the Egyptian coastal city of Sharm el-Sheikh.
The summit, building on the outcomes of last year's COP26 climate change
gathering in Glasgow, Scotland, seeks to identify solutions for a vast
range of climate-related emergencies, including the energy crisis and
the increasing severity of extreme weather events.
The study(opens in new tab) was published in the journal Nature on Nov. 9.
Follow Tereza Pultarova on Twitter @TerezaPultarova(opens in new tab).
Follow us on Twitter @Spacedotcom(opens in new tab) and on
Facebook(opens in new tab).
https://www.space.com/greenland-ice-melting-satellite-data-climate-change
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/[ in the Journal Nature - " moving at 100 kilometers per year "]/
Published: 09 November 2022
*Extensive inland thinning and speed-up of Northeast Greenland Ice Stream*
Shfaqat A. Khan, Youngmin Choi, Mathieu Morlighem, Eric Rignot, Veit
Helm, Angelika Humbert, Jérémie Mouginot, Romain Millan, Kurt H. Kjær &
Anders A. Bjørk
Nature (2022)Cite this article
*Abstract*
Over the past two decades, ice loss from the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS)
has increased owing to enhanced surface melting and ice discharge to the
ocean. Whether continuing increased ice loss will accelerate further,
and by how much, remains contentious. A main contributor to future ice
loss is the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream (NEGIS), Greenland’s largest
basin and a prominent feature of fast-flowing ice that reaches the
interior of the GrIS. Owing to its topographic setting, this sector is
vulnerable to rapid retreat, leading to unstable conditions similar to
those in the marine-based setting of ice streams in Antarctica. Here we
show that extensive speed-up and thinning triggered by frontal changes
in 2012 have already propagated more than 200 km inland. We use unique
global navigation satellite system (GNSS) observations, combined with
surface elevation changes and surface speeds obtained from satellite
data, to select the correct basal conditions to be used in ice flow
numerical models, which we then use for future simulations. Our model
results indicate that this marine-based sector alone will contribute
13.5–15.5 mm sea-level rise by 2100 (equivalent to the contribution of
the entire ice sheet over the past 50 years) and will cause precipitous
changes in the coming century. This study shows that measurements of
subtle changes in the ice speed and elevation inland help to constrain
numerical models of the future mass balance and higher-end projections
show better agreement with observations.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-05301-z
/[ Follow the money ]/
*How Oil & Gas Funding Distorts Energy Research*
Prominent energy centers at MIT, Stanford, and Columbia may be biased
toward natural gas because of funding, a new study says.
By Molly Taft
Published Nov. 11, 2022
Journalists like me often seek out academics for comment and insight on
stories related to the energy transition, since these professors have
often done in-depth research into various fuel sources and their
impacts. The hope is that these sources are relatively unbiased; their
loyalty is to the data. But a study published Thursday in Nature Climate
Change found that prominent energy policy centers at top-tier
universities that are funded by the fossil fuel industry may produce
content more favorable to dirty energy than other, similar centers. This
is concerning, because it’s not just journalists who seek the council of
these academics—it’s policymakers, too.
“Reports by fossil-funded [centers] are more favorable towards natural
gas than towards renewable energy, while centers less dependent on
fossil fuel industry funding show a pro-renewable energy preference,”
Anna Papp, a PhD student in Sustainable Development at Columbia
University and one of the authors of the paper, told Earther in an email.
Academic centers focused on energy research have become an increasingly
respected and important voice in energy policy conversations, as the
U.S. and the world begin grinding the gears on the energy transition.
Representatives from places like Columbia’s Center on Global Energy
Policy and MIT’s Energy Initiative have testified in Congress and are
often featured on television as experts; some of their reports have even
been the subject of their own Congressional hearings. But several of the
most prominent academic think tanks working on energy issues also have
significant funding from the fossil fuel industry. Columbia’s Center on
Global Energy Policy, for instance, lists its financial partnerships on
its website, which include big fossil fuel names like BP,
ConocoPhillips, ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Occidental Petroleum. (Full
disclosure: While I was employed at a PR firm between 2014 and 2016,
Columbia University’s Center on Global Energy Policy was a client; I
worked on some of their press needs and materials.) What’s more, much of
the research and whitepapers produced by these centers does not undergo
the peer review process that a scientific paper may receive.
“Given longstanding concerns about the objectivity of corporate-funded
research—for example, biomedical research—we wanted to better understand
industry-funded research in the context of climate change,” Papp said.
Papp and her coauthors set out to see if the reports and materials put
out by academic centers who did disclose their fossil fuel funding were
different from the centers that had no fossil fuel funding or which did
not prominently feature that funding. To more accurately capture
attitudes from these energy centers toward certain topics, Papp and her
colleagues used a machine learning approach known as “text as data.”...
“‘Text as data’ algorithms convert written text to data that can be
analyzed quantitatively,” Papp said. “A human reader forms an opinion
about the sentiment of sentences or paragraphs, e.g., how positive or
negative the text is. Of course, labeling sentences manually is
extremely time-consuming and subjective. Sentiment analysis tools
attempt to replicate this process computationally and quantify emotions
contained in text.”
Using a sentiment analysis tool, Papp and her fellow researchers
compiled 1,706 research reports, consisting of more than one million
sentences, from 26 energy research centers at universities based in the
U.S., UK, and Canada published between 2009 and 2020. They chose to
focus the analysis on academic centers’ sentiment towards natural gas.
While natural gas has been promoted in the past as a “bridge fuel”
between coal and oil and renewables, the massive amount of methane
involved in its production has meant that its former climate-friendly
branding is coming under serious scrutiny. Despite research showing that
the world needs to cease all new fossil fuel exploration immediately in
order to keep the world from warming more than 1.5 degrees Celsius, many
oil and gas majors continue to promote natural gas as part of a climate
solution.
“Natural gas is now the U.S.’s largest energy source for electricity
generation,” Papp said. “All major fossil fuel companies produce it. So
natural gas is very policy-relevant.”
The researchers found that reports from the three prominently fossil
fuel-funded centers in the analysis at Columbia, MIT, and at Stanford’s
Precourt Institute for Energy were “more favorable” toward natural gas
than renewable energy. The positive sentiment in content from these
three centers was “indistinguishable,” the paper found, from content
produced by the American Gas Foundation and the American Gas
Association, industry groups “whose explicit purpose is to promote the
gas industry.” The 23 energy centers that did not prominently advertise
fossil fuel funders, meanwhile, produced materials that were favorable
to renewable energy and hydropower, and more “neutral” toward natural gas.
“Our scholars carry out their research by following facts and evidence
wherever they lead, independently and free from any influence or control
by funders or other interest groups,” the Columbia Center on Global
Energy Policy’s website states. “They adhere to strict conflict of
interest policies established by Columbia University to protect against
real or perceived risks to the integrity of research.” A spokesperson
from Columbia’s Center on Global Energy Policy said that the staff of
the Center had not had time to review the paper but that they had
confidence in their scholars and their independent research.
A spokesperson from MIT’s Energy Initiative said they had not seen the
paper and had no comment. “Our research reports are the work of MIT
faculty, staff and students with no influence–no approval or rejection,
no oversight, no opportunity to accept or reject any findings—from any
funders, whether MITEI members or not,” they said in a statement.
Stanford’s Precourt Institute for Energy did not get back to us. We’ll
update this story if they do.
One of the main challenges of this research is that the three centers
identified as the most positive toward natural gas are simply the ones
who disclose their prominent relationships with fossil fuel funders.
Papp said it was difficult to find information on funding from many
centers’ public information sources. It’s not out of the question that
fossil fuel companies may be giving money to other energy centers in
this study who simply did not disclose the funding publicly. And of the
three centers at MIT, Stanford, and Columbia that do disclose
larger-scale funding, the research found that less than 25% of the
reports produced by these centers between 2009 and 2020 had explicit
funding acknowledgements. With the nebulous nature of universities
disclosing financial interests and without the guardrails built in by
peer-reviewed research, it’s tough to figure out who is paying for the
perspectives presented by university energy centers—even as the work
they put out becomes more and more important to policymakers...
“The academically-branded but non peer-reviewed research of these energy
centers are increasingly used for policy making, but without appropriate
disclosures it is difficult for the public and policymakers to determine
whether there may be a threat to the impartiality of these products,”
Papp said.
https://gizmodo.com/how-oil-gas-funding-distorts-energy-research-1849772161
/[ Some dynamic time-lapse video ]/
*This timelapse of a melting Italian glacier puts global warming on epic
display*
From the Watch Now: Hubble telescope captures merging galaxies, and
more of today's top videos series
Nov 9, 2022
This year glaciers in Europe had record levels of melt. Veuer’s Tony
Spitz has the details.
https://buffalonews.com/news/world/this-timelapse-of-a-melting-italian-glacier-puts-global-warming-on-epic-display/video_47421c4b-3c2e-5f98-b94b-9f2eed9d2016.html
/[ boring but smart talk on the economics of climate change -- from
Australia, video ]/
*What are the economic implications of a changing climate? Dr Tim Neal
lecture*
Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia
Sep 13, 2022
Given the warnings from scientists of potentially catastrophic changes
to our climate from greenhouse gas emissions, it might surprise you to
learn that we know very little about the potential economic implications
of these unprecedented changes to the Earth’s climate. This lecture,
directed at a general audience, will explore the potential channels
through which climate change will impact our economy, and the
unrealistic assumptions that underlie current models used to predict the
economic impact of a changing climate. Insights from current research
will be presented, as well as directions of future research into this
extremely important subject.
Dr Timothy Neal is a recipient of the Academy of the Social Sciences in
Australia’s prestigious Paul Bourke Award for Early Career Research.
The Paul Bourke Lectures are named in honour of the late Paul Francis
Bourke (1938–1999), President of the Academy of the Social Sciences in
Australia from 1993–1997. These lectures are presented each year by the
recipients of the previous year’s Paul Bourke Awards for Early Career
Research.
This lecture was jointly hosted by the Academy of the Social Sciences in
Australia and UNSW for Social Sciences Week.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yfm0y1Z3QTA
/[ Portugal ]/
*Climate protesters in Lisbon storm building and urge minister to resign*
Portuguese economy minister António Costa e Silva was giving a speech
when demonstrators got on to the premises
Reuters in Lisbon
12 Nov 2022
Hundreds of protesters angry about the climate crisis took to the
streets of Lisbon on Saturday, with dozens storming a building where
Portugal’s economy minister, António Costa e Silva, was speaking,
demanding that the former oil executive resign.
Holding banners and chanting slogans, protesters demanded climate
action. As some demonstrators broke into the building, those outside
shouted: “Out Costa e Silva!”
Police officers dragged the protesters out of the building. Portuguese
broadcaster RTP reported the minister left the building through a backdoor.
The economy ministry declined to comment.
The protest in Portugal took place as world leaders, policymakers and
delegates from nearly 200 countries were gathered at the Cop27 UN
climate summit in Egypt, where they hope to keep alive a goal to avert
the worst impacts of climate change...
But some activists do not believe Cop27 will solve the problem.
“Cops are not designed to face climate change because it would need more
participation from civil society, less participation from lobbyists from
the fossil industry,” said Pedro Franco, a 27-year-old student.
Joao Duarte, 23, also pointed a finger at governments for favouring the
“monetary interests” of big companies instead of putting climate change
at the top of the political agenda.
“There will be no change until governments stop being best friends and
allies of the big companies,” he said.
UN experts said in a report on Tuesday that promises by companies, banks
and cities to achieve net zero emissions often amount to little more
than greenwashing.
“The situation is serious and urgent,” Marta Leandro, the vice-president
of Portuguese environment group Quercus, said at the protest in Lisbon.
“What we do or do not do in this decade will have a great impact on
climate security.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/nov/12/climate-protesters-lisbon-storm-building-urge-minister-resign
/[ Opinion from Bloomberg $ Amanda Little ]/
*The Preppers Were Right All Along*
Once the domain of end-of-timers and right-wing radicals, the
survivalist mindset is pushing into the mainstream thanks to rising
climate-change disasters and civil unrest.
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-11-06/climate-change-is-launching-a-new-generation-of-preppers#xj4y7vzkg
/[ From National Geographic has very positive notion ]/
*How climate change can help heal conflicts—not just fuel them*
Increasingly, environmental cooperation is solving local conflicts
around the world that are caused in part by global warming.
PETER SCHWARTZSTEIN
NOVEMBER 10, 2022
For years, pastoralists in northern Senegal had been at each other’s
throats. They tussled over prime pasture for their livestock,
particularly as the rains repeatedly failed and desert vegetation
shriveled. They competed for space and time at watering holes. In 2017,
after a herder was murdered and tit-for-tat animal killings began to
proliferate, AVSF, an agricultural NGO with a local presence, decided
enough was enough.
It recruited a representative from each village in the area and
established a “pastoral unit,” now one of 25 across Senegal. And through
that forum the local leaders were able to agree on maximum herd numbers,
their placement, and compensation for farmers in the event of damage to
their fields.
This is a variation of so-called environmental peacebuilding (EP) in
action, and across the world increasing numbers of NGOs, governments,
and conflict resolution groups are using it to tackle spiraling
environmental woes and instability—especially instances that combine the
two.
Several years on, and despite worsening climate shocks, herders around
Younouféré say there are now fewer disputes and less systematic
overgrazing than there have been for years. “Life is still hard, but
we’ve found that we can provide for most people and protect the land
with better coordination,” says Demboi Sow, a Younouféré village elder.
“I think we would have been slaughtering each other without this mediation.”
*EP 101*
Amid mounting awareness of climate and the environment’s capacity to
both fuel violence and suffer from it, EP’s champions insist that the
natural world can help bring people together every bit as much as it is
tearing them apart: Think of it as the optimistic flip side of
climate-related violence.
In wonkish terms, environmental peacebuilding describes the full
spectrum of ways in which environmental issues can be harnessed to
prevent, reduce, resolve, and recover from conflict. That can mean
everything from securing access to farmland for former fighters who
might otherwise return to violence, to rebuilding the rule of law after
a conflict by training judges to better decide environmental cases...
- -
For all EP’s good reputation, it can only deliver better environmental
and peace outcomes if local nuances are kept in mind, says Silja Halle,
Manager of the EU-UNEP’s Partnership Programme on Climate Change and
Security. “The evidence for environmental peacebuilding at a local level
is compelling,” she said. “The challenge for us is scaling it up without
losing that nuanced understanding. A cookie-cutter approach simply won’t
work.”
Nevertheless, most environmental peacebuilders seem bullish about their
concept’s prospects over the coming years. Even a world that begins to
take climate change seriously might need their efforts.
“Now we’re starting to hear questions such as, ‘What happens if we are
able to transition to a carbon neutral economy?’,” says Carl Bruch.
“Could that drive conflict? What of cutting off the cash flows of oil
producers? There’s a lot going on.”
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/climate-change-can-help-heal-conflicts-environmental-peacebuilding
/[The news archive - looking back]/
/*November 13, 2005 */
November 13, 2005: Fox News Channel airs "The Heat is On: The Case of
Global Warming," a special that reportedly (and surprisingly,
considering Fox's track record) does not feature any climate-change
deniers. After fossil-fuel-industry front groups attack Fox for not
including their viewpoint, Fox runs a special several months later
featuring the views of climate-change deniers.
https://www.mediamatters.org/research/2012/10/24/timeline-fox-news-role-in-the-climate-of-doubt/190906
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