[✔️] October 2, 2022 - Global Warming News - daily selection

Sun Oct 2 04:19:56 EDT 2022

/*October 2, 2022*/

/[ opinion in Scientific American ]/
*The Public Wants Scientists to Be More Involved in Policy Debates*
Researchers worry about being branded as partisan, but people want to 
hear from experts
By Naomi Oreskes on September 1, 2022
Many scientists are loath to involve themselves in policy debates for 
fear of losing credibility. They worry that if they participate in 
public debate on a contested issue, they will be viewed as biased and 
discounted as partisan. That perception then will lead to science itself 
being branded as partisan, further weakening public trust in research...
- -
A 2021 survey by researchers at the Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public 
Health and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation found there is broad 
support for public health agencies and their activities in the U.S. Yet 
although public health experts say that dealing with the medical effects 
of climate change is a major responsibility of these health agencies, 
most survey respondents did not. Perhaps many people don't realize how 
seriously climate change threatens health.

Trusting in science is not an either-or proposition. It depends on many 
variables. Researchers do need to stay within their areas of authority: 
climate scientists should not be offering stock tips or medical advice. 
But our research suggests that they can feel comfortable offering policy 
advice in fields where they are acknowledged experts. The ozone story is 
a case in point: no one knew better than ozone scientists about the 
cause of the dangerous hole and therefore what needed to be done to fix it.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-public-wants-scientists-to-be-more-involved-in-policy-debates/

/[ //Maggie Koerth is a senior science writer for FiveThirtyEight. //]/
*How Natural Disasters Can Change A Politician*
By Maggie Koerth
SEP. 30, 2022
A 2021 review of existing literature discovered ample evidence that 
living through a natural disaster is associated with higher levels of 
self-reported belief that climate change is a problem and a greater 
concern about what this might do to you and your family. Our own polling 
with Ipsos earlier this month showed something similar. Even among 
Republicans, nearly half of those who had experienced an extreme weather 
event in the past five years told us they were worried about climate 
change, compared with only 17 percent who hadn’t experienced a natural 
disaster.

But there are limits to the ability of a disaster to prevent future 
calamities. For one thing, the same review paper that showed increased 
belief in climate change didn’t find a corresponding increase in 
behaviors that would deal with that issue. And changes in belief are 
still heavily moderated by what people already think...
- -
It’s going to take a lot more research to fully understand why 
politicians sometimes change their policy in the face of climate 
disaster and sometimes don’t. Meanwhile, just because lawmakers are 
responding to natural disasters with environmental votes doesn’t mean 
they aren’t seeing other, seedier kinds of legislative opportunities 
from the same event. Ethan Kaplan, an economist at University of 
Maryland, College Park, and his colleagues found that politicians are 
likely to use the immediate aftermath of a natural disaster to push 
through votes favoring the concerns of special-interest donors when 
nobody is paying attention. That’s not a contradiction to the idea that 
disaster could prompt politicians to take action on climate change. 
Instead, Kaplan said, the two things can run parallel. A disaster can 
create a distraction for donors’ goals in the short term, even as it 
prompts greater environmental policies in the long run.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-natural-disasters-can-change-a-politician/

/[ smart visuals and great animations, key interviews in this superb DW 
documentary -- w/ Stefan Rahmstorf -- video 52 mins ]/
*Wind and climate change | DW Documentary*
Oct 1, 2022  Shifting wind patterns are making extreme weather events 
more likely. This is because the wind, which distributes areas of high 
and low pressure along the latitude lines of the Earth, is also being 
influenced by climate change.

The wind is the motor for our weather. It brings us both sunshine and 
rain. And during the winter months, it regularly blows itself up into 
heavy storms. But throughout the globe, climate change is causing shifts 
in existing wind systems - with devastating consequences. Atlantic 
hurricanes, which build up over the tropics and often lay waste to 
swathes of land on the eastern coast of the US, are becoming more 
intense and bringing heavier rainfall.

Scientists are looking for clues as to the precise causes for the 
warming in the Arctic, where temperatures are climbing more rapidly than 
anywhere else in the world. In the northern hemisphere, rising 
temperatures result in wind systems ‘twisting’ at 10-kilometer 
altitudes. The Arctic jet stream drives high- and low-pressure areas 
around the globe. It travels around the planet from west to east at 
speeds of up to 500 kilometers an hour. But in recent years, 
meteorologists have noticed more frequent weaker phases in the jet 
stream - with fatal consequences for Europe. Droughts like the one 
experienced in 2018 and flood catastrophes like that of 2021 are both 
likely to recur.

Researchers on the island of Spitsbergen have already made an alarming 
discovery. Climate change is altering the wind, and the altered wind is 
accelerating climate change - a dangerous vicious cycle.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qySBQjSXbfw

/[  The World is a system -- "The climate situation is a result of 
something much different - 50 min video interview ] /
*The Limits of Human Wisdom | George Mobus*
Aug 25, 2022  George Mobus is Professor Emeritus at University of 
Washington, Tacoma. His broad academic background saw him conduct 
research on artificial intelligence, cybernetics and systems science.

George joins me to discuss how systems science is failing to grasp the 
polycrisis—that the field has been split into silos, leaving most 
systems scientists without the tools to model the complexity of the 
emergency we face.

He also explains the neurological limits of individual human wisdom, 
suggesting the agricultural revolution affected our capacity for 
abstract thinking, before revealing how humans can work past those 
limits—collectively.

🔴 Discover George's work: https://faculty.washington.edu/gmobus/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RLKYI1TDFXI

/[ It's SO distressing to see and feel the consequences of decades of 
Humans attacking our global resources - Now, all our plans for survival 
rely on ethical decision-making from those in power (who mostly  have 
little use for ethics).   For forty years we have known the toxicity of 
carbon combustion - now part of our new enlightenment is the discovery 
of how badly we have blundered.   The first error was in doing the wrong 
thing for long-term survival -- and the second error is that we are 
failing to put a stop to our first error.   We have faced  many tests -- 
and since so many were inconsequential -- we learned nothing.  Now we 
face the biggest test - extinction ( escalating because we failed to 
learn from the myriad of our earlier errors. )   We facie our conundrum 
by pretending it doesn't matter.   Most everyone has been rewarded for 
ignoring the problem.  (means the rewards for ignorance must be more and 
more)  Pretty exciting times these are.    ]/

/[The news archive - looking back at how we presented controversy ]/
/*October 2, 2008*/
October 2, 2008: Vice-presidential candidates Joe Biden and Sarah Palin 
spar over climate and energy issues in their lone debate, moderated by 
Gwen Ifill.

http://youtu.be/5qhox5P_jCg

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