[✔️] September 29, 2022 - Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Thu Sep 29 06:52:00 EDT 2022


/*September 29, 2022*/

/[ McKibben --  New Yorker simple explanation ] /
*Hurricane Ian Is a Storm That We Knew Would Occur*
Too much climate energy, too little climate action.
By Bill McKibben
September 28, 2022
Officials have done little, if anything, with decades of information on 
the phenomena that are making storms more severe...
- -
Whatever the eventual damage, it’s already another stark demonstration 
of what happens when there’s too much physical energy in a closed 
system, and too little political energy.
https://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/hurricane-ian-is-a-storm-that-we-knew-would-occur 


- -

/[ The United Nations - UN News  ]/
*Climate Change: Hurricanes and cyclones bring misery to millions, as 
Ian makes landfall in the US*
*Fingerprints of climate change*
The World Meteorological Organization has reminded that climate change 
is expected to increase the proportion of major tropical cyclones 
worldwide, and to increase the heavy rainfall associated with these events.

Meanwhile, sea level rise and coastal development are also worsening the 
impact of coastal flooding...

“The human and socio-economic impacts of these cyclones will be felt for 
years,” warned Cyrille Honoré, WMO Director of Disaster Risk Reduction 
and Public Services branch...
https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/09/1128221

- -

/[ Vox seems to have best scientific explanation ]/
*Hurricane Ian’s rapid intensification is a sign of the world to come*
How Hurricane Ian got so powerful — in just two days.

By Benji Jones and Umair Irfan  Sep 28, 2022
On Monday morning, Hurricane Ian had wind speeds of 75 miles per hour. 
Just 48 hours later, those speeds had more than doubled. On Wednesday, 
as the storm made landfall in southwestern Florida, Ian’s wind hit 155 
mph — just shy of a Category 5 storm, the most severe category for a 
hurricane.

Such rapid growth is known by meteorologists as “rapid intensification.” 
It’s defined as storms whose wind speeds increase by roughly 35 mph or 
more in less than 24 hours. “Ian definitely met that criteria,” said 
Paul Miller, a professor of oceanography and coastal sciences at 
Louisiana State University.

While wind speed isn’t the only force that makes storms dangerous, 
hurricanes that rapidly intensify are especially worrisome. They can 
easily catch coastal communities off guard, giving them little time to 
prepare, Miller said.
- -
*What made Hurricane Ian strengthen so quickly*
There are three main ingredients that, when mixed together, can result 
in a rapidly intensifying hurricane: moist air, low wind shear (wind 
coming from different directions or at different speeds), and warm ocean 
water.
All three of those things create a favorable ecosystem for a hurricane 
to establish circulation and intensify,” Miller said.

Ian had them all. As it developed several days ago, the storm system 
faced some disrupting winds, but there was little shear as it grew over 
the last few days, Miller said. And Ian has largely avoided a region of 
dry air in the Gulf of Mexico. (Had Ian hit Florida farther north, it 
might have deteriorated faster, he said.)

Then there’s the warm ocean water. The Gulf of Mexico has been 
unseasonably warm this summer, according to the National Weather 
Service. And climate change is heating the Caribbean ocean by a little 
over 1 degree C (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit) per century.

“Even small changes — half a degree C, or a degree — can really make a 
big difference,” said Brian McNoldy, a hurricane researcher at the 
University of Miami...
- -
According to a recent analysis of hurricane data by the Associated 
Press, there were about 25 percent more rapidly intensifying storms in 
the Atlantic Ocean and Eastern Pacific in the last 10 years compared to 
40 years ago. Some past scientific studies have also shown that 
hurricanes are intensifying more rapidly in parts of the Atlantic in 
recent years.

“As the oceans warm a little bit, you’re just gradually making [rapid 
intensification] more likely,” McNoldy said.

Global warming could also help rapidly intensify storms in another way: 
Climate change tends to warm the land faster than the sea, forming a 
temperature gradient along coasts, said Karthik Balaguru, a climate 
scientist at the Pacific Northwest National Lab. That gradient tends to 
favor rapid intensification of hurricanes along the Atlantic Coast, he 
said...
https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/2022/9/28/23376761/hurricane-ian-rapid-intensification-climate-change



/[ Planetary sabotage is not very smart ]/
*Nord Stream Gas Leaks May Be a New Disaster for the Climate*
Germany estimates 300,000 metric tons of methane escapes
Scientists speculate it could be one of the worst leaks ever
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-28/nord-stream-gas-leaks-could-be-unprecedented-climate-disaster#xj4y7vzkg



/[  BBC -- considering Tipping Point #5 Society ]/
*Justin Rowlatt asks whether humanity itself is on the cusp of its own 
tipping point* - one that will galvanise us to take rapid unprecedented 
action in order to contain the worst effects of climate change. In this 
series, he discovers how global warming may trigger irreversible changes 
to our planet.
Producer: Laurence Knight
Released On: 10 Jun 2022 --Available for over a year
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m00181m0


/
/

/[  60 min video lecture - will be difficult to view ]/
*Collapse and Ecocide as Religious Failure - Dowd*
1,733 views  Sep 20, 2022  A follow-up to Rev. Michael Dowd's "Main 
Drivers of Collapse, Ecocide, and Likely NTHE" video, this 44-minute 
video makes the rather audacious claim that each of the four main 
drivers of collapse: (1) Civilization, (2) Science & Technology, (3) 
Progress & Development, and (4) Growth Economics arise from and remain 
grounded in anthropocentrism (human-centeredness), which is itself 
caused by being "G🌎D-blind and biosphere deaf". For those unfamiliar 
with such an "Eco-Theo" or "Religious Naturalism" perspective, please 
see the links below.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FCGFkRGfiUk&



/[ Carbon Brief - calling attention to the un-quantified losses ]/
*Loss and damage: What happens when climate change destroys lives and 
cultures?*
INTERNATIONAL POLICY 28 September 2022
According to the most recent assessment of climate impacts from the 
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), loss and damage can 
broadly be split into two categories: economic losses involving “income 
and physical assets”; and non-economic losses, which include – but are 
not limited to – “mortality, mobility and mental wellbeing losses”.

Non-economic loss and damage is often also referred to as “intangible” 
loss and damage. According to a scientific review published in 2019, the 
term “intangible” is used because non-economic losses “cannot and 
perhaps should not be quantified”.

This review offers a much broader definition of what constitutes 
intangible loss and damage from climate change.It says that intangible 
loss and damage can result from climate-induced harm to:

    Biodiversity and species
    Culture, traditions and heritage
    Human dignity
    Ecosystem services or habitat
    Human life
    Human mobility
    Human identity
    Knowledge and ways of knowing
    Mental and emotional wellbeing
    Order in the world
    Physical health
    Productive land
    Self-determination and influence
    Sense of place
    Social fabric
    Sovereignty
    Territory

https://www.carbonbrief.org/loss-and-damage-what-happens-when-climate-change-destroys-lives-and-cultures/

- -

[  perhaps an academic paper will help us better understand ]
*One thousand ways to experience loss: A systematic analysis of 
climate-related intangible harm from around the world*
Author links open overlay panelP.TschakertN.R.EllisC.AndersonA.KellyJ.Obeng

    *Abstract*
    A situated and socially engaged science of loss arising from climate
    change takes people’s lived experiences with risk and harm as its
    fundamental starting point. It foregrounds what losses occur, where
    and how, which of these losses matter most to people and why, and
    whether or not such losses are considered acceptable and potentially
    reversible. However, obtaining such insight is difficult if the many
    things people value, across space and time, are intangible, i.e.
    they cannot and perhaps should not be quantified, and hence are
    often overlooked and omitted. This is the case, for instance, for
    the symbolic and affective dimensions of culture and place, such as
    sense of belonging, personal and collective notions of identity, and
    ways of knowing and making sense of the world, all of which are
    already undermined by climate change. Here, we perform the first
    systematic comparative analysis of people-centered and
    place-specific experiences with climate-related harm to people’s
    values that are largely intangible and non-commensurable. We draw
    upon >100 published case studies from around the world to make
    visible and concrete what matters most to people and what is at
    stake in the context of climate-related hazards and impacts. We show
    that the same threats can produce vastly different outcomes, ranging
    from reversible damages to irreversible losses and anticipated
    future risks, across numerous value dimensions, for indigenous and
    non-indigenous families, communities, and countries at all levels of
    development. Through this analysis, we also empirically validate
    dimensions of harm that have been produced and reproduced in the
    literature, albeit often devoid of distinct substance, lived
    experiences, and intrinsic significance. We end by discussing
    ethical implications of the ‘one thousand ways’ to encounter harm
    and offer recommendations to overcome methodological challenges in
    advancing a science of loss grounded in place.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0959378018308276?via%3Dihub#!



/[The news archive - looking back]/
/*September 29, 2000*/
September 29, 2000: In an apparent effort to convince moderate voters
not to support Democratic opponent Al Gore, GOP presidential candidate
George W. Bush delivers an energy speech implying that he will pursue
efforts to reduce carbon pollution as president. Bush would go on to
abandon this implied promise during his tenure in the White House.


http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/EnergyIssues3


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