[✔️] April 10, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | Reporting Tornadoes, oceans overheating, Nepal glacier melting, Investors demanding attention, Hot air holds and releases water
Richard Pauli
Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Mon Apr 10 08:35:00 EDT 2023
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/*April*//*10, 2023*/
/[ Pecos Hank videographer, weatherman and storm-chaser- now more of a
reporter - video not for broadcast ]/
*DEADLY TORNADOES in ARKANSAS - March 31, 2023*
Apr 9, 2023
The Little Rock & Wynne Arkansas tornadoes on March 31, 2023. These
tornadoes were moving roughly 50 mph leaving behind a wake of destruction.
**NOT FOR REBROADCAST** COPYRIGHT PECOS HANK 2023
To license video contact hankschyma at gmail.com
LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS TORNADO
On March 31 a Tornado Emergency was issued for Little Rock Arkansas
as an EF3 tornado was tearing through town at 50 mph. In its 34 mile
long wake, At least 2,700 structures, houses, apartments, businesses and
churches would be damaged or destroyed. With peak wind speeds estimated
at 165 mph this long tracking tornado would cause 54 injuries and
miraculously only 1 fatality was reported. However, this tornado
outbreak was just beginning and another intense storm
was racing directly toward the town Wynne Arkansas.
WYNNE ARKANSAS TORNADO
Southeast of Wynne I observed a thin tornado with a high debris cloud
for about 3 minutes before it appeared to dissipate. Then, I believe a
second much larger tornado developed further north. Radar velocity
appears to validate that these were indeed two separate tornadoes but
I'm not 100% positive. The much larger tornado was heading directly
toward the town center as I documented it while driving north on Highway 1.
This Tornado (currently rated at least EF3) would carved a path through
Wynne (Cross County) around 445 pm CDT. Structures were obliterated, and
at least four fatalities resulted. Farther downstream, the same tornado
wreaked havoc (i.e. homes damaged or destroyed and trees uprooted or
snapped) just west of Parkin (Cross County) and north of Earle
(Crittenden County). South of Turrell (Crittenden County), The tornado
eventually crossed the Mississippi River and dissipated near Burlison,
TN after a 73 mile trek.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EjqWaWdu8P8
/[ oops, bathtub water is too hot. Withdraw and wait till it cools
down ]/
*‘Headed off the charts’: world’s ocean surface temperature hits record
high*
Scientists warn of more marine heatwaves, leading to increased risk of
extreme weather
Graham Readfearn
@readfearn
Fri 7 Apr 2023
The temperature of the world’s ocean surface has hit an all-time high
since satellite records began, leading to marine heatwaves around the
globe, according to US government data.
Climate scientists said preliminary data from the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (Noaa) showed the average temperature at the
ocean’s surface has been at 21.1C since the start of April – beating the
previous high of 21C set in 2016.
“The current trajectory looks like it’s headed off the charts, smashing
previous records,” said Prof Matthew England, a climate scientist at the
University of New South Wales...
Three years of La Niña conditions across the vast tropical Pacific have
helped suppress temperatures and dampened the effect of rising
greenhouse gas emissions.
But scientists said heat was now rising to the ocean surface, pointing
to a potential El Niño pattern in the tropical Pacific later this year
that can increase the risk of extreme weather conditions and further
challenge global heat records.
Dr Mike McPhaden, a senior research scientist at Noaa, said: “The recent
‘triple dip’ La Niña has come to an end. This prolonged period of cold
was tamping down global mean surface temperatures despite the rise of
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
“Now that it’s over, we are likely seeing the climate change signal
coming through loud and clear.”
La Niña periods – characterised by cooling in the central and eastern
tropical Pacific and stronger trade winds – have a cooling influence on
global temperatures. During El Niño periods, the ocean temperatures in
those regions are warmer than usual and global temperatures are pushed up.
According to the Noaa data, the second-hottest globally averaged ocean
temperatures coincided with El Niño that ran from 2014 to 2016.
The data is driven mostly by satellite observations but also verified
with measurements from ships and buoys. The data does not include the
polar regions.
More than 90% of the extra heat caused by adding greenhouse gases to the
atmosphere from burning fossil fuels and deforestation has been taken up
by the ocean.
A study last year said the amount of heat accumulating in the ocean was
accelerating and penetrating deeper, providing fuel for extreme weather.
England, a co-author of that study, said: “What we are seeing now [with
the record sea surface temperatures] is the emergence of a warming
signal that more clearly reveals the footprint of our increased
interference with the climate system.”...
Measurements from the top 2km of the ocean show the rapid accumulation
of heat in the upper parts of the ocean, particularly since the 1980s.
Dr Kevin Trenberth, a climate scientist and distinguished scholar at the
US National Center for Atmospheric Research, said observations showed
the heat in the tropical Pacific was extending down to more than 100
metres...
- -
Prof Dietmar Dommenget, a climate scientist and modeller at Monash
University, said the signal of human-caused global heating was much
clearer in the oceans.
“Obviously we’re in a fast-warming climate and we’re going to see new
records all the time. A lot of our forecasts are predicting an El Niño.
“If this happens, we’ll see new records not just in the ocean but on
land. This data is already suggesting we’re seeing a record and there
could be more coming later this year.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/apr/08/headed-off-the-charts-worlds-ocean-surface-temperature-hits-record-high
- -
/[ see for yourself in your region ]/
*Marine Heatwave Tracker*
This web application shows near-real-time information on where in the
world marine heatwaves (MHW) and marine cold-spells (MCS) are occurring
and what category they are.
https://www.phys.ocean.dal.ca/~schlegel/
/[ From Asia ]/
*Glacial Melt is Dispossessing Nepal’s Indigenous Communities*
Shrinking glaciers are forcing residents to flee, leaving a scattering
of ghost towns across the country’s unforgiving north.
By Tulsi Rauniyar
April 04, 2023...
- -
“Most people in the area are still unaware of the full consequences of
global warming. The communities who are most vulnerable to the effects
of climate change are generally unaware of the nature of possible
impacts, and may not be fully prepared to deal with them.”
Shrinking Glaciers, Shrinking Settlements
Just over a decade ago, relatively little was known about the glaciers
that run through the Hindu Kush Himalayas, the vast and icy mountain
range system that runs across Central and South Asia, from Afghanistan
in the west to Myanmar in the east.
In the past decade, research efforts have intensified, largely driven by
a major error in a report published in 2007 by the intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The report incorrectly predicted that
Himalayan glaciers would disappear by 2035, prompting a closer
examination of the subject. This increased focus has resulted in
significant advancements in our understanding of glacier loss.
Scientists have sounded the alarm: a 2014 study by ICIMOD that was
conducted using satellite data showed that between 1980 and 2010, Nepal
lost a quarter of its glacier area.
While many of the world’s 198,000 glaciers have been studied
extensively, the few in Nepal remain mostly unexamined. As Sudeep
Thakuri, a researcher in glaciology, put it, “this side of the Himalayas
is a blank hole.” The reasons are largely financial: Nepal is a
relatively poor country, and there are scant funds available for
research. “To adequately study the Himalayan glaciers, we need thirty to
forty times more money and technical support than we actually receive,”
Thakuri told The Diplomat.
- -
Running Out of Options
While the likes of Kancho Dolkar have chosen to stay on in Dhye, other
members of the village chose to leave after water became too scarce. A
few kilometers downstream, they recently built a new village, named
Chambaleh, where they work in a village collective, growing and selling
apples.
But the settlement process in Chambaleh is fraught as well. The village
still isn’t recognized by the federal government, which means its
residents don’t have a legal right to the land. This weakens their
tenure security, makes it difficult to bequeath land to their children,
and creates challenges when applying for essential services such as
getting their homes connected to the electrical grid. They have a hard
time procuring credit from banks to build houses and selling their
apples at the market for a fair price, thanks to local taxes levied on
agricultural products from unregistered farms.
Chairman Raju Bista of Lo-Gekar Municipality which includes the village
of Dhye and Samzong, says that the residents have little say about local
issues, and that their grievances aren’t represented in national
discussions. They say they feel disconnected due to their remote
location and hardly know what’s happening in their district or the
country at large...
- -
Migration often announces itself with disasters and devastation but the
resettlement at Chambaleh reflected a quieter type of disruption. Even
still, the locals said it was clear that a seismic shift was taking
place around them. For Kancho Dolkar and others across Nepal, climate
change is something that was imposed on them by the rest of the world
and is impacting the fate of the glaciers that are so integral to the
survival of their communities.
For a country like Nepal, which barely has the institutional capacity or
financial resources to adequately manage development in the remote
frontier regions, let alone to pay the premiums necessary to ameliorate
the challenges brought upon by climate change, Sherpa poses a critical
question: How can communities on the forefront of climate change sustain
themselves in the lack of even basic infrastructure?
The article was supported by a grant from Internews’ Earth Journalism
Network.
https://thediplomat.com/2023/04/glacial-melt-is-dispossessing-nepals-indigenous-communities/
/[ follow the money again - text and audio ] /
*Businesses face more and more pressure from investors to act on climate
change*
April 9, 20236:00 AM ET
By Michael Copley
Every spring, shareholders in publicly-traded companies get to weigh in
on how they're run. It's a chance for investors to vote on proposals to
shape corporate policies for things like executive pay and political
spending. But as the Earth heats up, annual shareholder meetings have
become a battleground for activist investors who are pressing companies
for more aggressive action on climate change.
This year, shareholders filed around 540 proposals as of mid-February
asking companies to address environmental, social and corporate
governance issues, according to Proxy Preview. Resolutions focused on
climate change accounted for about a quarter of this year's total, with
the number increasing by about 12% from the same point in 2022.
Investors want to know how companies are contributing to rising
temperatures, and what they're doing about the problem. They're calling
for executives and corporate boards to set targets for cutting
greenhouse gas emissions, and then to report on their progress. And they
want to know how businesses plan to keep making money as industries are
reshaped by the push to cut emissions.
The message to companies is, "set targets, issue plans, give us clear
disclosure," says Kirsten Snow Spalding, who leads investor initiatives
at Ceres, a nonprofit focused on sustainability. "And all of it is
about, how are you addressing the risks and moving towards the
opportunities?"...
- -
*Are shareholder proposals working?*
Most resolutions are non-binding, but just introducing them has proven
to be an effective tool for activist investors. Last year, shareholders
withdrew a record 110 proposals that were focused on climate change
after they struck deals with companies, according to Ceres. Another 15
climate resolutions that went to a vote at various corporations won
majority support from shareholders.
"The trend toward climate action is really on the rise," Spalding says.
But the pace of corporate change is slower than activists would like —
and what climate science shows is needed. Scientists working for the
United Nations say the planet is on track for catastrophic warming that
will cause more extreme weather. Heat waves, droughts and floods that
are fueled by climate change are already inflicting severe economic
damage and killing and displacing people around the world.
Some of the worst impacts could be avoided by quickly cutting emissions.
Right now, though, emissions aren't falling. Activists say a lot of
companies aren't doing enough to address the threat, despite pressure
from investors.
*Activist shareholders focus on emissions that are hard to measure*
Chubb Ltd., a big insurance company, is one of the businesses that
activist investors are targeting this year.
Chubb is already cutting its own greenhouse gas emissions. But, like
other insurers, the company doesn't directly produce a lot of emissions.
However, some of its clients do. So, Chubb says it's limited its
underwriting and investing in coal and oil sands. And the company said
in March that it will require clients in the oil and gas industry to cut
emissions of methane, a potent greenhouse gas.
But the company's recent methane initiative was met with a shrug from a
leading shareholder advocacy group called As You Sow. It noted that a
lot of oil and gas companies already have their own plans to reduce
methane emissions.
"I don't ever like to say this, but it feels a little bit like window
dressing — that they are attempting to convince investors that they're
taking action," says Danielle Fugere, president of As You Sow. "But
because they aren't measuring, they aren't disclosing, we don't have a
way to measure the effectiveness of those actions."
As You Sow filed a shareholder proposal last year asking Chubb to
publish a report on whether and how it plans to measure and cut
greenhouse gas emissions connected to its underwriting, insurance and
investing activities. The group wants Chubb to make commitments that
align with the Paris Agreement's goal of limiting global warming to 1.5
degrees Celsius by the end of the century. To do that, all greenhouse
gas emissions need to be eliminated or offset by 2050.
A majority of Chubb's shareholders backed the proposal. But the company
said it didn't know how to "reasonably measure" emissions from the
entities it insures. As You Sow and other activists filed a similar
proposal this year that's set for a vote at Chubb's annual meeting in May.
"Insurers' activities can contribute to systemic climate risk to the
global economy, investor portfolios, and insurers' profitability," the
activist investors say in the proposal.
How one company is responding to a shareholder resolution
Chubb is urging investors to vote against the resolution. The company
didn't make anyone available to NPR for an interview. It said in a
recent filing to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that
there's still not a "well-established and widely accepted" way to
measure emissions from all its customers...
Methods for measuring these so-called Scope 3 emissions aren't perfect,
but more than 3,300 companies reported theirs anyway in 2021.
"Chubb shares the proponent's goal of achieving a net zero economy by
2050," the company said in a recent filing to the SEC, referring to As
You Sow. "We disagree that forcing Chubb to set targets related to the
emissions produced by its insureds, rather than Chubb's own emissions,
would advance that goal."
Chubb is planning more investments in "alternative energy and clean
tech," the company said in a climate report last year, and it says its
underwriting practices are encouraging companies to move away from using
the dirtiest fossil fuels.
It's unclear if most Chubb shareholders will vote again this year for
the company to make a plan to cut emissions from its various business
activities.
*Mainstream investors want climate proposals tailored to individual
companies*
While the number of shareholder resolutions focused on climate change
has been increasing, support, on average, fell last year for those that
went to a vote at annual meetings. Ceres says average support dropped to
about 32% from 42% in 2021 amid a global energy crisis and rising inflation.
Paul Washington, who leads The Conference Board ESG Center, a
sustainability think tank, says the decline was also driven by concerns
that proposals were too prescriptive and might interfere with how
companies are run. Investors were also less willing to consider
shareholder resolutions when companies had their own climate strategies.
He says those same factors are at play this year.
"I think there's still a strong interest [in] climate from mainstream
investors," says Washington. "But they are taking a more case-by-case
approach to what climate strategy makes sense for a particular industry
and a particular company."
https://www.npr.org/2023/04/09/1168446621/businesses-face-more-and-more-pressure-from-investors-to-act-on-climate-change
//
/[ Heated air holds more water vapor, and at other times releases water
and is very dry ]/
*What happens when we run out of water? Thanks to climate change, a
dystopian premise is coming true*
Experts say climate change is depleting or polluting our freshwater
sources. Can we survive in a drier world?
By MATTHEW ROZSA
Staff Writer
Arguably the most important question for humanity in the 21st century is
how we will adapt to climate change. While climate change is a
multifaceted problem that is going to wreak all kinds of havoc on Earth
and its life, humans will inevitably need to focus on preserving
resources that are most fundamental to sustaining us. Water is foremost
among them. The inorganic compound covers 71 percent of the Earth's
surface and is without question one of the most vital resources. Humans
cannot survive for more than three days without consuming it, and water
is essential to growing and raising the plants and animals that humans
rely on for food. Since only three percent of Earth's water is
freshwater, and less than half of that is potable (safe for drinking),
it would be a very bad thing if climate change made potable water more
scarce.
Unfortunately, experts say that is exactly what is happening.
Water is becoming scarce both in quantity and quality, explains East
Carolina University associate professor of geology Dr. Alex K. Manda in
an email to Salon. Manda added that we can expect "reduction in
precipitation amounts due to changing climate, persistent drought
conditions [and] excessive withdrawals of groundwater from aquifers."
Meanwhile, the quality of freshwater is diminishing, too, owing to
"saltwater intrusion [and] pollution of water resources."
Dr. Michael E. Mann can attest to this from his own experience. A
professor of Earth and Environmental Science at the University of
Pennsylvania, Mann and a team of scientists studied the so-called "water
tower" of Asia, the Tibetan Plateau — a natural feature so massive and
significant that 2 billion people rely on water from its downstream
flow. According to their research, "in a 'business as usual' scenario,
where we fail to meaningfully curtail fossil fuel burning in the decades
ahead, we can expect a substantial — that is, nearly 100% loss — of
water availability to downstream regions of the Tibetan Plateau," as
Mann explained in the report. This will imperil the water supplies for
"central Asia, Afghanistan, Northern India, Kashmir and Pakistan by the
middle of the century."
Nor will the issues be limited to potability.
"One thing we know is that stronger hurricanes and more severe flooding
events can wreak havoc on factories and refineries, releasing hazardous
chemicals into the environment, as we've seen in Houston, Louisiana, and
Alabama," Mann told Salon by email.
- -
"In short, climate change is making dry regions drier — and wet regions
wetter," Akanda says. As such, "the water scarcity problems are getting
worse ... we are seeing longer and warmer drought cycles, and over
larger geographic areas." He mentioned that urban development is
exacerbating water scarcity issues that are already being worsened by
warming temperatures (Phoenix, for instance, may in the near future be
close to uninhabitable). "Human practices are also playing a major role
as urbanization is intensifying the demand in many arid regions where
water is already scarce (Dubai, Los Angeles, etc.) and also due to civil
unrest and conflicts which are destroying the infrastructure and
limiting supplies (Yemen, Ethiopia, etc)."
Humans rely on irrigated agriculture so heavily that it accounts for
roughly 90 percent of our species' total water consumption, and is
responsible for 40 percent of our total food consumption. Despite that,
we are just beginning to figure out ways to meet the biggest challenges
caused by our impending water scarcity crisis. Dr. Lorenzo Rosa, the
Principal Investigator at Carnegie Institution for Science at the
Department of Global Ecology at Stanford University, specializes in this
problem and referred Salon to his 2022 report for the journal
Environmental Research Letters. As Rosa explains, because our population
is expanding, humans will need to expand irrigated agriculture to
underutilized rainfed croplands in order to meet future global food
demand. Yet we've only begun to quantify how to make irrigation
sustainable, despite it being "one of the land management practices with
the largest environmental and hydroclimatic impacts." Rosa's study
detailed the areas where sophisticated policies will be necessary,
ranging from global food security and water quality to energy use and
water storage infrastructure.
"Agricultural interventions adopted under current climate conditions may
be ineffective under future global warming," Rosa writes. "By the end of
the century, freshwater limitations could require the reversal of 60
million hectares from irrigated to rainfed. However, climate change is
altering rainfall patterns in a way that will exacerbate water-stress
over 70 million hectares of currently rainfed croplands, which provide
food for 700 million people worldwide." Even worse, climate change will
increase the intensity and length of heat waves, so people will be
hotter even as crop yields go down.
While humanity's water future is bleak, it is not hopeless. Akanda, for
one, had plenty of policy suggestions.
"There are many," Akanda wrote to Salon. "First and foremost,
governments need to do a far better job of risk communication — sharing
the science, explaining the details and the potential impacts on food,
health, and livelihoods to the affected public." Akanda said another
focus should be in forecasting, and sharing resources in that realm.
"For example, in a big river basin, all the riparian countries should
invest together in a basinwide forecasting scheme instead of unilateral
developments," he opined.
Akanda also advocated for better disaster management and contingency
planning, all of which "goes without saying," but added that "those are
all post-event responses. Governments need to be proactive and
preemptive ... armed with early warning systems and efficient plans for
adaptation and protection."
https://www.salon.com/2023/04/08/what-happens-when-we-run-out-of-water-thanks-to-climate-change-a-dystopian-premise-is-coming-true/
/[The news archive - looking back]/
/*April 10, 2007*/
April 10, 2007: In a debate with Senator John Kerry in Washington, DC,
Newt Gingrich acknowledges that climate change is real and largely
caused by human activity, though he insists that regulatory solutions
are not needed to stem emissions. By 2009, Gingrich would once again
suggest that the basic science of human-caused climate change was in
dispute.
http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/197538-1
https://mediamatters.org/blog/2014/02/19/gingrich-didnt-always-take-issue-with-john-kerr/198125
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