[✔️] August 11, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | Hawaii fires, Elderly advice, Study warns against combustion, Early William Rees rant, 2017 Pruitt harms

[Richard Pauli]

/*August  11*//*, 2023*/

/[ Hawaii wildfires  ] /
*Update and Forecast for the Maui Wildfires*
Holt Hanley
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_BjxDDnKHgg

- -


/[ poignant tale and good advice from Yale Climate Connections ]/
*The climate canary is dead*
Award-winning religion journalist Cynthia B. Astle grapples with climate 
change.
by CYNTHIA B. ASTLE
AUGUST 9, 2023

I was on my way to a good friend’s installation to a new ministry when 
the climate crisis whomped me right upside my head.

Maybe it was the heat radiating up from the highway overpass I’d just 
crossed that ignited my brain. Or it could have been that my faulty 
70-year-old short-term memory kicked in. Or maybe my blood sugar spiked 
in the 102-degree Texas summer.

Whatever lit up my “leetle gray cells,” as Agatha Christie’s Hercule 
Poirot called his brain, I realized three things at once:

    1.  In the stress of trying to devise a worship-suitable outfit that
    was also climate-friendly, I’d forgotten to take my noontime
    medication, a complex of drugs that keeps me going.
    2.  Likewise, I’d forgotten to don my hearing aids.
    3.  Most of all, I realized that there was no way that I – an
    elderly, fat, Type 2 diabetic – was physically able to park my car
    (hopefully in a “handicapped” space), totter on my pretty pink
    collapsible cane to the sanctuary, worship, socialize, and totter
    back out to the car to drive myself home.

The thought of such effort in triple-digit heat made me dizzy and 
breathless. I simply couldn’t go through with it.

Defeated, I turned for home at the next intersection. My husband greeted 
me with alarm, and then with compassion. I went into the bedroom to 
change clothes and dropped down weeping on a bench. My husband heard me, 
and he and our two little dogs came in to console me.

I felt old and useless. And hot. Really, really hot, and not in a sexy way.

That’s when I remembered that not long ago, I’d written a column about 
being a “climate canary” because my disabilities made me more 
susceptible to climate change effects. Yep, I thought to myself, the 
climate canary is dead. Toes up on the cage bottom. No birdseed required.

Reaching the biblical “threescore years and ten” this year, I’ve been 
adjusting pragmatically to the realities of aging, but my encounter with 
this summer’s extreme heat has startled me into survival mode. I’m 
re-reading every resource I could find this summer about how vulnerable 
people – the elderly, people with chronic medical conditions, the 
unhoused, and those who work outside – must take extra precautions 
against excessive heat. I’m reading them again with gut-wrenching 
knowledge that all these tips are talking about me.

I’m more keenly aware that my revelation is janie-come-lately compared 
to that of people in vulnerable nations who are bearing the brunt of 
climate change they didn’t cause. As I drove home in defeat, I chafed 
and cringed at the long lines of Saturday traffic snaking through the 
scorching Texas sun. I’m a contributor to the lifestyle that’s taking my 
life from me, but I don’t know how to get out of it. Nor do I know how 
to persuade my nation – my vast, industrialized, gas-guzzling land of 
oily opportunity – to give up its filthy fossil-fuel ways in time to 
save the planet and, I hope, people like me.

As for right now, I’ve fashioned new personal habits to adapt to a world 
that’s going to be hotter than any summer of my Florida childhood. My rules:

    -- Never go outside for any extended time when the air temperature
    is above 90 degrees.
    -- Avoid going out in the heat of the day, even for close relationships.
    -- Set up a checklist to take your medicine in case the heat fries
    your brain.
    -- Drink water. Gallons upon gallons of water, because it prevents
    the dehydration that causes your blood sugar to rise and threaten
    fatal diabetic coma. Always carry a bottle of water with you.
    -- Wear sunscreen on your skin and sunshades over your eyeglasses
    when you go out. Even in the early morning, which lately has been
    around 80 degrees. A hat wouldn’t be a bad idea, either.
    -- Forget fashion. Wear clothes that help you cope with the heat.
    -- Forget make-up. It streams off your face in this heat. A little
    lipstick or gloss with sunscreen and a light dusting of powder.
    That’s it. (If you don’t like my un-made-up face, don’t look at me).
    -- If you feel you need to opt out of social events, even church
    worship (my top priority), because of the heat, then opt out. The
    COVID pandemic spurred virtual worship, so the technology is
    available for at-home watching (but online worship still isn’t the
    same for me).
    --Don’t apologize to anyone for these new personal rules. You have
    all the justification you need: age, disability, and most of all,
    climate change.

Our ability as humans to adapt has kept our species alive through 
millennia. Our adaptability even has led to scientists calling our 
geological era the Anthropocene, or the time of humans. Yep, like the 
dinosaurs before us, we humans have taken over the planet. Now the 
planet is trying to take itself back, and I suspect that, like this old 
canary, it’s going to make up its own rules from here on out.

I hope I survive to see another birthday.

This story was originally published by United Methodist Insight and is 
part of Covering Climate Now, a global journalism collaboration 
strengthening coverage of the climate story.
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2023/08/the-climate-canary-is-dead/



/[ We mustn't let our cooling continent convert to a heater ]/
*Study Warns Burning Fossil Fuels 'Anywhere in the World' Is Destructive 
to Antarctica*
Slashing greenhouse gas emissions is "our best hope of preserving 
Antarctica," said the lead author of a new study.
JAKE JOHNSON
Aug 08, 2023

The warming continent of Antarctica will face increasingly extreme and 
damaging weather events in the coming years if world leaders don't take 
"drastic action" to rein in fossil fuels, the primary driver of global 
climate chaos.

That's the conclusion of a study published Tuesday in the journal 
Frontiers in Environmental Science amid growing alarm over the failure 
of Antarctic sea ice to replenish during the continent's winter. 
According to scientists, Antarctica was missing an Argentina-sized 
amount of sea ice as of July—the hottest month on record.

The new study, led by glaciologist Martin Siegert of the University of 
Exeter, finds that it is "virtually certain that future Antarctic 
extreme events will be more pronounced than those observed to date" as 
countries continue to burn fossil fuels at a pace incompatible with 
warming targets set by the Paris climate accord.

The study notes that "the most extreme 'heatwave' ever recorded globally 
occurred over East Antarctica in March 2022 when surface temperature 
anomalies of up to 38.5°C were observed." The heatwave was associated 
with an atmospheric river, which transports "heat and moisture from the 
subtropics into the heart of the Antarctic continent."

"Although it was so extreme, a formal attribution of the March 2022 
event to human factors has not yet been conducted," the study adds. 
"However, an attribution analysis of an earlier record-breaking 
heatwave, that affected the Antarctic Peninsula in February 2020 and led 
to the highest recorded temperature in the Antarctic mainland (18.3°C at 
Esperanza Station), concluded a likely significant contribution from 
fossil-fuel burning."

The analysis also points to extreme cyclones that were "implicated in a 
major iceberg calving event of the Brunt Ice Shelf in 2020" as well as 
"the rapid sea ice decline in the Weddell Sea in 2016/17."

"Possibly the most recognizable extreme event that occurred in the 
atmosphere was the loss of stratospheric ozone, discovered above 
Antarctica in the 1980s," the study continues. "This loss was caused 
largely by a particular class of chemicals: Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs). 
Whilst this event catalyzed rapid and effective policy action by the 
global community in the development of the Montreal Protocol (adopted in 
1987), the effects of the 'ozone hole' are being felt decades later."

"This must matter to every country—and individual—on the planet."

Anna Hogg, professor in the School of Earth and Environment at the 
University of Leeds and a study co-author, said the new research makes 
clear that "while extreme events are known to impact the globe through 
heavy rainfall and flooding, heatwaves, and wildfires, such as those 
seen in Europe this summer, they also impact the remote polar regions."

"Antarctic glaciers, sea ice, and natural ecosystems are all impacted by 
extreme events," said Hogg.

According to the new study, the Antarctic ice sheet today "contributes 
six times more mass to the ocean than it did just 30 years ago," an 
increase that the authors attributed to the burning of fossil fuels.

Siegert stressed that "Antarctic change has global implications." A 
study published earlier this year in the journal Nature found that 
melting Antarctic ice could impact global oceans for "centuries to come" 
by disrupting the critical process of overturning circulation.

"Reducing greenhouse gas emissions to net zero is our best hope of 
preserving Antarctica, and this must matter to every country—and 
individual—on the planet," said Siegert.

Dozens of countries—including the United States, the world's top 
historical emitter of planet-warming carbon dioxide—are party to the 
Antarctic Treaty, an agreement that obliges signatories to protect the 
continent from "considerable stress and damage."

"Nations must understand that by continuing to explore, extract, and 
burn fossil fuels anywhere in the world," Siegert said Tuesday, "the 
environment of Antarctica will become ever more affected in ways 
inconsistent with their pledge."

https://www.commondreams.org/news/study-warns-burning-fossil-fuels-anywhere-in-the-world-is-destructive-to-antarctica

- -

/[ see for yourself ]/
Front. Environ. Sci., 08 August 2023
Sec. Interdisciplinary Climate Studies
Volume 11 - 2023 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2023.1229283
*Antarctic extreme events*

There is increasing evidence that fossil-fuel burning, and consequential 
global heating of 1.1°C to date, has led to the increased occurrence and 
severity of extreme environmental events. It is well documented how such 
events have impacted society outside Antarctica through enhanced levels 
of rainfall and flooding, heatwaves and wildfires, drought and 
water/food shortages and episodes of intense cooling. Here, we briefly 
examine evidence for extreme events in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean 
across a variety of environments and timescales. We show how vulnerable 
natural Antarctic systems are to extreme events and highlight how 
governance and environmental protection of the continent must take them 
into account. Given future additional heating of at least 0.4°C is now 
unavoidable (to contain heating to the “Paris Agreement 1.5°C” 
scenario), and may indeed be higher unless drastic action is 
successfully taken on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to net zero by 
mid-Century, we explain it is virtually certain that future Antarctic 
extreme events will be more pronounced than those observed to date.

*Introduction*
The past decade has seen a great awareness of increases in the size and 
frequency of extreme environmental events across a variety of global 
settings, and the associated consequential damage to lives and 
livelihoods (Fischer et al., 2021). Many of these events have been 
attributed primarily to the burning of fossil fuels and the loss of 
nature. For some time now the science of such attribution has been 
robust at the level that is needed beyond reasonable doubt (e.g., Otto 
et al., 2018), which has led to serious efforts to consider ‘loss and 
damage’ payments from rich developed fossil-fuel-based economies to 
parts of the world experiencing the effects of extreme events. While 
much attention has been given to weather-driven events such as heatwaves 
and rainfall elsewhere in the world, there is yet to be as great an 
appreciation of the occurrence and impact of extreme events in 
Antarctica. Here, we open a discussion of Antarctic Extreme Events, 
focusing on their records across a variety of realms (ocean, atmosphere, 
cryosphere, biosphere, etc.), indicating their likely causes and 
suggesting how they may change in future. We do not restrict ourselves 
solely to those derived from enhanced greenhouse gases, rather we aim to 
understand a range of ways in which Antarctica has and can experience 
extreme events and their consequences. In the Antarctic, extreme events 
are manifested in many ways, including the effects of: climatic extremes 
such as extreme weather events; catastrophic events such as ice shelf 
collapse; possible step changes in the environment such as recent sea 
ice loss; very rapid periods of environmental change and corresponding 
rapid changes in key biota; and sudden, human-induced direct 
perturbations, such as the effects of whaling and sealing. By taking an 
inclusive approach it allows us to understand how and why (relatively) 
rapid change can occur in Antarctica through high-magnitude 
low-frequency events of a variety of types...
https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2023.1229283/full


/[ This is a famous William Rees //History //lecture --  6 years ago and 
only 2000 views - this is a rant ]/
*Show Me the Numbers | William Rees | Walrus Talks*
The Walrus
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4_Hg-E_-qPo


/[The news archive - looking back at a major setback for human 
civilization ]/
/*August 11, 2017 */

August 11, 2017: The New York Times reports on the machinations and 
secrecy of EPA head Scott Pruitt.

    *Scott Pruitt Is Carrying Out His E.P.A. Agenda in Secret, Critics Say*

    By Coral Davenport and Eric Lipton
    Aug. 11, 2017
    WASHINGTON — When career employees of the Environmental Protection
    Agency are summoned to a meeting with the agency’s administrator,
    Scott Pruitt, at agency headquarters, they no longer can count on
    easy access to the floor where his office is, according to
    interviews with employees of the federal agency.

    Doors to the floor are now frequently locked, and employees have to
    have an escort to gain entrance.

    Some employees say they are also told to leave behind their
    cellphones when they meet with Mr. Pruitt, and are sometimes told
    not to take notes.

    Mr. Pruitt, according to the employees, who requested anonymity out
    of fear of losing their jobs, often makes important phone calls from
    other offices rather than use the phone in his office, and he is
    accompanied, even at E.P.A. headquarters, by armed guards, the first
    head of the agency to ever request round-the-clock security.
    A former Oklahoma attorney general who built his career suing the
    E.P.A., and whose LinkedIn profile still describes him as “a leading
    advocate against the EPA’s activist agenda,” Mr. Pruitt has made it
    clear that he sees his mission to be dismantling the agency’s
    policies — and even portions of the institution itself.

    But as he works to roll back regulations, close offices and
    eliminate staff at the agency charged with protecting the nation’s
    environment and public health, Mr. Pruitt is taking extraordinary
    measures to conceal his actions, according to interviews with more
    than 20 current and former agency employees.

    Together with a small group of political appointees, many with
    backgrounds, like his, in Oklahoma politics, and with advice from
    industry lobbyists, Mr. Pruitt has taken aim at an agency whose
    policies have been developed and enforced by thousands of the
    E.P.A.’s career scientists and policy experts, many of whom work in
    the same building.

    “There’s a feeling of paranoia in the agency — employees feel like
    there’s been a hostile takeover and the guy in charge is treating
    them like enemies,” said Christopher Sellers, an expert in
    environmental history at Stony Brook University, who this spring
    conducted an interview survey with about 40 E.P.A. employees.

    Such tensions are not unusual in federal agencies when an election
    leads to a change in the party in control of the White House. But
    they seem particularly bitter at the E.P.A.

    Allies of Mr. Pruitt say he is justified in his measures to ramp up
    his secrecy and physical protection, given that his agenda and
    politics clash so fiercely with those of so many of the 15,000
    employees at the agency he heads.

    “E.P.A. is legendary for being stocked with leftists,” said Steven
    J. Milloy, a member of Mr. Trump’s E.P.A. transition team and author
    of the book “Scare Pollution: Why and How to Fix the E.P.A.” “If you
    work in a hostile environment, you’re not the one that’s paranoid.”

    Mr. Pruitt’s penchant for secrecy is reflected not just in his
    inaccessibility and concern for security. He has terminated a
    decades-long practice of publicly posting his appointments calendar
    and that of all the top agency aides, and he has evaded oversight
    questions from lawmakers on Capitol Hill, according to the
    Democratic senators who posed the questions.

    His aides recently asked career employees to make major changes in a
    rule regulating water quality in the United States — without any
    records of the changes they were being ordered to make. And the
    E.P.A. under Mr. Pruitt has moved to curb certain public
    information, shutting down data collection of emissions from oil and
    gas companies, and taking down more than 1,900 agency webpages on
    topics like climate change, according to a tally by the
    Environmental Defense Fund, which did a Freedom of Information
    request on these terminated pages.

    William D. Ruckelshaus, who served as E.P.A. director under two
    Republican presidents and once wrote a memo directing agency
    employees to operate “in a fishbowl,” said such secrecy is
    antithetical to the mission of the agency.

    “Reforming the regulatory system would be a good thing if there were
    an honest, open process,” he said. “But it appears that what is
    happening now is taking a meat ax to the protections of public
    health and environment and then hiding it.”

    Mr. Ruckelshaus said such secrecy could pave the way toward, or
    exacerbate, another disaster like the contamination of public
    drinking water in Flint, Mich., or the 2014 chemical spill into the
    public water supply in Charleston, W.Va. — while leading to a dearth
    of information when such events happen.

    “Something will happen, like Flint, and the public will realize they
    can’t get any information about what happened or why,” he said.

    But Liz Bowman, a spokeswoman for the E.P.A., categorically denied
    the accounts employees interviewed for this article gave of the
    secrecy surrounding Mr. Pruitt.

    “None of this is true,” she said. “It’s all rumors.”

    She added, in an emailed statement, “It’s very disappointing, yet
    not surprising, to learn that you would solicit leaks, and collude
    with union officials in an effort to distract from the work we are
    doing to implement the president’s agenda.”

    Mr. Pruitt’s efforts to undo a major water protection rule are one
    example of his moves to quickly and stealthily dismantle regulations.

    The rule, known as Waters of the United States, and enacted by the
    Obama administration, was designed to take existing federal
    protections on large water bodies such as the Chesapeake Bay and
    Mississippi River and expand them to include the wetlands and small
    tributaries that flow into those larger waters.

    It was fiercely opposed by farmers, rural landowners and real estate
    developers.

    The original estimate concluded that the water protections would
    indeed come at an economic cost to those groups — between $236
    million and $465 million annually.

    But it also concluded, in an 87-page analysis, that the economic
    benefits of preventing water pollution would be greater: between
    $555 million and $572 million.

    E.P.A. employees say that in mid-June, as Mr. Pruitt prepared a
    proposal to reverse the rule, they were told by his deputies to
    produce a new analysis of the rule — one that stripped away the
    half-billion-dollar economic benefits associated with protecting
    wetlands.

    “On June 13, my economists were verbally told to produce a new study
    that changed the wetlands benefit,” said Elizabeth Southerland, who
    retired last month from a 30-year career at the E.P.A., most
    recently as a senior official in the agency’s water office.

    “On June 16, they did what they were told,” Ms. Southerland said.
    “They produced a new cost-benefit analysis that showed no
    quantifiable benefit to preserving wetlands.”

    Ms. Southerland and other experts in federal rule-making said such a
    sudden shift was highly unusual — particularly since studies that
    estimate the economic impact of regulations can take months or even
    years to produce, and are often accompanied by reams of paperwork
    documenting the process.

    “Typically there are huge written records, weighing in on the
    scientific facts, the technology facts and the economic facts,” she
    said. “Everything’s in writing. This repeal process is political
    staff giving verbal directions to get the outcome they want,
    essentially overnight.”

    Jeffrey Ruch, the executive director of Public Employees for
    Environmental Responsibility, an organization representing
    government employees in environmental fields, said the E.P.A. could
    not allow changes like this to take place, or expect its employees
    to follow such directives.

    “This is a huge change, and they made it over a few days, with
    almost no record, no documentation,” Mr. Ruchs said, adding, “It
    wasn’t so much cooking the books, it was throwing out the books.”

    Experts in administrative law say such practices skate up to the
    edge of legality.

    While federal records laws prohibit senior officials from destroying
    records, they could evade public scrutiny of their decision-making
    by simply not creating them in the first place.

    “The mere fact they are telling people not to write things down
    shows they are trying to keep things hidden,” said Jeffrey Lubbers,
    a professor of administrative law at American University.

    Mr. Pruitt had a reputation for being secretive before he ever came
    to the E.P.A.

    While serving as Oklahoma’s attorney general, he came under
    criticism for maintaining at least three separate email accounts,
    including one private account that he at times used for state
    government business.

    During his Senate confirmation, he was asked about these multiple
    accounts, providing what some senators considered a misleading answer.

    A subsequent lawsuit resulted in the release of some of these other
    emails, which Mr. Pruitt had asserted did not exist.

    “He’s got a serious problem because of his emails down in Oklahoma —
    he’s burned himself,” said David Schnare, who worked at the agency
    from 1978 to 2011 and then on the Trump administration’s E.P.A.
    transition team. “He doesn’t want to take any risks.”

    Mr. Schnare, a conservative Republican who has backed President
    Trump’s broader agenda, had taken on what was expected to be a more
    permanent role at the E.P.A.

    But he resigned last month in protest of what he said is Mr.
    Pruitt’s mismanagement of the agency.

    Mr. Schnare noted that some previous E.P.A. administrators had been
    secretive — during the Obama administration, for example, Lisa
    Jackson, the E.P.A. administrator, came under criticism for using an
    email alias, “Richard Windsor,” to conduct official business.

    But Mr. Schnare said that Mr. Pruitt’s methods stood out from all of
    his predecessors.

    “My view was that under this administration we would be good at
    transparency, particularly in the regulatory area,” he said. “But
    these guys aren’t doing that.”

    Senator Thomas R. Carper of Delaware, the top Democrat on the
    committee overseeing federal government operations, has criticized
    Mr. Pruitt for embracing what he calls “a culture of secrecy around
    everything from his schedule to the way the agency makes scientific
    determinations.”

    Mr. Carper and other Senate Democrats have a dozen outstanding
    requests awaiting a response from Mr. Pruitt, and when responses do
    come, Mr. Carper said, they referred lawmakers to printouts of news
    releases instead of answering questions.

    An E.P.A. spokesman disputed Mr. Carper’s criticisms.

    “Administrator Pruitt has responded to 14 of the 27 oversight
    letters, which often contain numerous in-depth questions and it
    takes time to provide an extensive and through response,” he said,
    adding that he “has been incredibly responsive to Congress.”

    Mr. Pruitt and his staff are also subject to intense scrutiny from
    the public and the news media: The E.P.A., just in the last two
    months, has received more than 2,000 Freedom of Information
    requests, many of them focused on Mr. Pruitt, asking for every
    possible record related to his tenure, including text messages,
    telephone records and even his web browsing history.

    Yet for E.P.A. employees, information about Mr. Pruitt’s activities
    can be hard to obtain.

    In April, for example, he traveled to Chicago to visit an
    E.P.A.-designated hazardous waste site.

    But E.P.A. employees at the agency’s Chicago office said they had no
    idea he was there — nor did he visit the Chicago branch of the
    agency, or meet with staff members.

    “He won’t meet with us or talk to us to make decisions about policy,
    and we don’t even know when he’s in town,” said Nicole Cantello, a
    lawyer in the E.P.A.’s Chicago office and a leader of the employee
    union.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/11/us/politics/scott-pruitt-epa.html?mwrsm=Email 


https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/11/us/politics/scott-pruitt-epa.html?unlocked_article_code=Bwpakxm_2lydo1Tz4AvUU7GL9OXW4--C4YPdId730pnpp2Jr9DK7WfjMEcsc7QHut2lv0_y03k6LBgdtZHfx5ZWIohXI3e9GFkmUZH26dlC7SbWRsYvmPKn3xtUTUe-i9EJoz3hyCMuKm4m5l1kLXeW4l3owdJxY1WQTeF2HJ_x0vdu0HiEXBpeJR74Pone5TzJkcGu0VJEfXzUL7OSr2PIs81vwZAOlq51GzyYrq7jW0YcyWSFBkmx_MR0bb6mjVs1LQD_zg6IZFYhfHXZVV1T1m3EDm5F6YJvw1kFSY9aSyRrIGP6DkPPCdB9FE046hkXMxPznHqoFOSAJheI&smid=url-share



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