[✔️] Dec 24, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | Certain to pass 1.5, Analysis Nov 2023, NPR beyond Eden, 1988 Time honors Planet of the Year

Sun Dec 24 08:42:19 EST 2023

/*December 24*//*, 2023*/

/[ reading aloud a few articles ]/
*Only an Asteroid Hit or a Supervolcano this Week Can Keep Us Below 1.5 
C According to Berkeley Earth*
Paul Beckwith
Dec 23, 2023
With one more week left to close out 2023, we are over 99% certain to 
surpass 1.5 C above the 1850 to 1900 baseline.

We have had an exceptional acceleration in global warming this year, 
unlike anything we have ever seen before.

Why not 100%.

If a Supervolcano erupted today, or we were hit by a massive asteroid 
impact tomorrow, then we could either cool enough over the next week to 
not break 1.5 C or not be around to do the math to calculate the 
average. Neither case is desirable, I’d rather go over 1.5.

So 1.5 is dead.

The 1.5 Alive slogan propaganda at COP28 and in countless reports and 
writings and scientific papers is just stupid. The sooner governments 
realize this reality the better. They are living in a world of rainbows 
and unicorns and are utterly detached from reality.

The Berkeley Earth year end report link is here:
https://berkeleyearth.org/november-2023-temperature-update/

It is chock full of graphs and information on global average 
temperatures, overall and land and oceans, and forcing causes and 
acceleration, all of which I chat about in this video.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lUWhSzAwki4

- -

/[ unpleasant predicaments from Berkeley Earth ]/
*November 2023 Temperature Update*
Posted on December 19, 2023 by Robert Rohde
The following is a summary of global temperature conditions in Berkeley 
Earth’s analysis of November 2023.

      * Globally, November 2023 was the warmest November since records
        began in 1850.
      * The previous record for warmest November was broken by 0.36 °C
        (0.65 °F), an unusually large margin.
      * Both land and ocean individually also set new records for the
        warmest November.
      * Record warmth in 2023 is primarily a combined effect of global
        warming and a strengthening El Niño, but other natural
        variability and man-made factors have also contributed.
      * Particularly warm conditions occurred in the Central Asia,
        Northern Canada, North Africa, the Middle East, South America,
        parts of the Atlantic, and parts of the Indian Ocean.
      * Unusually cold conditions were present in Northern Europe and
        Eastern Antarctica.
      * 51 countries set new monthly average records for November.
      * A strong El Niño is present and is expected to continue into
        next year.
      * 2023 is now virtually certain to become a new record warm year
        (>99% chance).
      * 2023 is virtually certain (99% chance) to average more than 1.5
        °C above our 1850-1900 baseline.

https://berkeleyearth.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/SeasonalTemperature-Nov2023-1536x846.png
https://berkeleyearth.org/november-2023-temperature-update/

/[ NPR radio reminds us of the positive experiences ]/
*A naturalist finds hope despite climate change in an era he calls 'The 
End of Eden'*
DECEMBER 23, 2023
Brian Mann
- -
In the book that grew out of his travels around the world, Welz lays out 
a portrait of climate change not as one big, abstract thing, but as a 
growing network of sometimes surprising, sometimes hard-to-see fractures 
or breakdowns in the natural world.
One chapter, for instance, describes the bird species vanishing from 
many deserts because it's simply too hot to forage for food or care for 
their young...
- -
Welz says he struggles with how to observe and describe what he calls 
the "weirding" of nature without feeling despair.

"Writing the book was extremely difficult at times," he says. He managed 
to finish the project by leaning into a naturalist's scientific 
curiosity. "I'm desperately curious to see how this works out, 
basically. My curiosity is what's pulled me through a lot of dark times."

Welz says his research convinced him many wild ecosystems around the 
world won't survive. That's the grim part of his narrative.

But he also believes despair over climate change is mostly unfounded. He 
describes it as a cop-out, in fact...
- -
Locals, environmentalists and government scientists created policies 
that protected huge areas of forest and wetlands. The goal was to 
protect wilderness areas and wildlife habitat from development. But 
along the way, Welz says, they made the Park far more resilient to 
climate change.

"This is a much more diverse, much more stable system than it was a 
hundred years ago because of these efforts to protect certain areas and 
allow species, wild species, to re-establish themselves," Welz says.

As we talk, a flock of tiny chickadees sweeps around us, so close we can 
feel the brush of wind from their wings. Welz grins in pleasure at the 
scene.

"This is not effort that's been wasted," he says. "There's an 
accumulation of good that comes from trying to put things back together 
again."...
- -
"Human society is completely reliant on the predictable functioning of 
ecosystems," Welz says. "We are pushing those ecosystems into unstable 
states, driving up uncertainty, pushing ourselves deeper and deeper into 
the unknown."

It will take lots of projects, big and small, all over the world, to 
help ecosystems begin to heal, Welz says. But that effort could also 
ease the impact of climate-fueled events like the more intense fires, 
droughts and heat waves that are already reshaping our human lives.
https://www.npr.org/2023/12/23/1214002178/naturalist-looks-for-hope-despite-climate-change

/[The news archive - UPI Archives of TIME magazine announces cover 
publication for 1989 ]/
/*December 24, 1988 */
December 24, 1988: TIME Magazine names "Endangered Earth" its "Planet of 
the Year" for 1988, citing in part rising concerns over global warming.
DEC. 24, 1988
*Time man of year is -- Planet Earth*
By DAN JACOBSON

NEW YORK -- Citing droughts, pollution and a plague of environmental 
crises, Time magazine Saturday named 'Endangered Earth' the 'Planet of 
the Year,' only the second time in 62 years an inanimate object was 
accorded 'Man of the Year' status.
To emphasize its dire, apocalyptic vision of a planet and its 
inhabitants bound for extinction, the cover of next week's issue 
features a suffocating globe wrapped in clear plastic, tied with twine, 
sitting on a Long Island beach at sunset.

The beaches of New York's Long Island and much of the Atlantic Coast 
suffered from a wave of medical waste and debris last summer.

'Now, more than ever, the world needs leaders who can inspire their 
fellow citizens with a fiery sense of mission, not a nationalistic or 
military campaign, but a universal crusade to save the planet,' Time 
said in announcing its choice.

'Unless mankind embraces that cause totally, and without delay, it may 
have no alternative to the bang of nuclear holocaust or the whimper of 
slow extinction.'

In a departure from previous years, when there were runners-up for the 
year-end cover story honor, Time said nothing or no one else was even 
considered for the annual selection of the person, people or thing that 
most significantly influenced -- for better or worse -- the course of 
world events.

The choice 'had its origin in the scorching summer of 1988, when 
environmental disasters -- droughts, floods, forest fires, polluted 
beaches -- dominated the news,' publisher Robert Miller wrote in a note 
at the beginning of the issue.

Drought wreaked havoc for farmers and grain supplies across the country 
and touched off intense forest fires in the American West, manmade 
pollution drove swimmers from beaches on both sides of the Atlantic and 
in the Mediterranean, killer hurricanes tore through the Caribbean and 
floods devastated Bangladesh, the magazine said.

The atmosphere's ozone layer continued to be depleted by 
chlorofluorocarbons from spray cans, plastic objects and air 
conditioners, and large areas were poisoned by radioactive waste, it said.

In a special plea, Time said the United States, the largest user of 
natural resources, must take the lead in efforts to solve the world's 
environmental crises.

The magazine said the environment should be placed at the top of the 
agenda at the next economic summit to be held in Paris in June.

Time convened a group of 33 scientists, administrators and political 
leaders from 10 countries, including the Soviet Union, to help formulate 
an agenda for environmental action.

Miller noted that the participants from the Soviet Union were 
'particularly' open in what they revealed about their country's 
environmental problems. The Soviet leader, Mikhail Gorbachev, was Time's 
Man of the Year in 1987.

The cover photograph of a 16-inch globe was created by Bulgarian-born 
environmental sculptor Christo, who has wrapped everything from bridges 
to islands in the name of art.
https://archive.org/details/time-1989-05-22/Time%201989-01-02/

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