[✔️] February 7, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | Positive and Optimistic tipping points, evaluating energy, Inconvenient History, some disinformation.
Richard Pauli
Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Tue Feb 7 09:20:25 EST 2023
/*February 7, 2023*/
/[ techno-carbon-optimism - informational video 14 min ] /
*Climate SOLUTION super tipping points.*
Just Have a Think
30,173 views Feb 5, 2023
We hear a lot about climate tipping points in the news these days, and
sure enough they are a very real threat. But according to analysis
published during the recent World Economic Forum, there are also tipping
points in the deployment of sustainable technology that are already
disrupting existing markets. So, are they real, and can they make a
genuine difference in a short enough time window?
Video Transcripts available at our website http://www.justhaveathink.com
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m6bJ-bW98G4
- -
/[ Evaluating sources of electric energy... by popular demand - 12 min
video ]/
*Are Renewables Actually the Cheaper Option?*
Engineering with Rosie
61.3K subscribers
22,460 views Jan 14, 2023
What’s the best energy source? At the end of 2021 I set out to answer
that question in a video on how to calculate the cost of energy from
different sources. And I used a car race metaphor to illustrate the
different components that make up the cost: construction, financing,
fuel and operations and maintenance. I got a tonne of comments asking me
to include more information. And this is that update.
By popular request I’ve added nuclear and geothermal power, in addition
to coal, gas, solar and wind that were in the original video. And we’ll
rerun the car race using data from Lazard’s latest levelized cost of
energy report, to see which of the six generation types comes out cheapest.
Then in the second half of the video we’ll look at another topic that
came up a lot in the comments of the previous video: what are the
assumptions behind the cost calculations? Do they include subsidies, the
cost of firming renewables with energy storage, or transmission that
would need to be added?
Thanks to John Poljak from www.keynumbers.com for doing the
calculations. Join us ... where we'll run the LCOE calculations with
different assumptions. https://youtu.be/Kx5hLwHoq0A
- -
Bookmarks:
00:00 Intro
01:20 Starting Grid Positions - Nameplate Capacity
02:28 First Corner - Overnight Construction Cost
03:37 Second Corner - Financing Costs
03:59 Pit Stop - Fuel Costs
04:39 Third Corner - Operations and Maintenance Costs
05:00 Finish Line - LCOE
05:23 LCOE for different countries and VALCOE
06:42 Subsidies assumptions in LCOE calculations
07:25 Storage requirements for different technologies
07:50 The cost of transmission
08:13 Other factors that affect LCOE - Electricity mix, integration
costs
10:09 Australia’s 82% Renewables Plan
10:55 Upcoming Livestream with John Poljak from Keynumbers
11:41 Outro
Sources:
Lazard’s LCOE Version 15
https://www.lazard.com/media/451881/l...
https://www.csiro.au/-/media
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=quI_8xYSWYE
/[ This is one great video - a science timeline video ]
/*Global Warming: An Inconvenient History*
Simon Clark
582,942 views Nov 30, 2022
This is the story of how we discovered the planet was warming, and why.
Learn the building blocks of climate science with Brilliant:
https://www.brilliant.org/simonclark
The climate crisis is caused by a build up of carbon dioxide in the
Earth's atmosphere, which traps energy and raises the planet's average
temperature. This was discovered over the course of 200 years by a large
cast of chemists, physicists, geologists, and other scientists. Some of
them you may know, such as Joseph Fourier and Charles Keeling, but many
of them are less well known. This video tells the remarkable story of
men and women like Eunice Foote, Roger Revelle, Guy Callendar, and James
Croll. But there's still more to be told! If you would like to see part
2 of the story, focusing on the 1970s, 80s, and 90s, let me know in the
comments.
Our Biggest Experiment: https://geni.us/biggestexperiment
Discovery of Global Warming: https://geni.us/weartdiscovery
Firmament: https://geni.us/firmament
Check out my website! https://www.simonoxfphys.com/
--------- II ---------
My twitter - http://www.twitter.com/simonoxfphys
My facebook - http://www.facebook.com/youtubesimon
My insta - http://www.instagram.com/simonoxfphys
My goodreads - http://www.goodreads.com/simonoxfphys
--------- II ---------
This science documentary is about the story of global warming, how we
discovered global warming, the beginning of the climate crisis. Who
discovered CO2? Who discovered global warming? Who was Svante Arrhenius?
Who was Eunice Foote? What did Charles Keeling do, and what is the
Keeling curve? The video essay is about how climate change was
discovered. If you enjoyed videos like The man who tried to fake an
element and other science documentaries from BobbyBroccoli or Kurzgesagt
you will enjoy this video essay about the history of global
warming.asier explanation of climate science ]
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GGtAilkWTtI&t=65s
/[ physics fundamentals of climate -- I trust her words, but it is hard
for me to follow at time. Perhaps because she likes to deploy math.
This may be a good example of a serious scientist trying to understand
global warming. Moderately high geek factor ]/
*I Misunderstood the Greenhouse Effect. Here's How It Works.*
Sabine Hossenfelder
172,601 views Feb 4, 2023 #science #climate
Correction to what I say at 7 mins 13: The major reason air pressure
decreases is that the gravitational pressure from the air above it
decreases. The gravitational force itself also decreases but that's a
rather minor contribution. Sorry about that, a rather stupid brain-fart.
How does the greenhouse effect work? Greenhouse gases, such as carbon
dioxide and methane, prevent infrared radiation from escaping to outer
space. This warms the surface of earth. More greenhouse gas means more
warming. Simple enough! Alas, if you look at the numbers, it turns out
that most infrared radiation is absorbed almost immediately above the
ground already at pre-industrial greenhouse gas levels. So how does it
really work? In this video, I try to sort it out.
👉 Transcript and References on Patreon ➜ https://www.patreon.com/Sabine
💌 Sign up for my weekly science newsletter. It's free! ➜
https://sabinehossenfelder.com/newsle...
📖 Check out my new book "Existential Physics" ➜
http://existentialphysics.com/
🔗 Join this channel to get access to perks ➜
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC1yN...
00:00 Intro
00:40 The Greenhouse Effect: Middle School Version
03:17 The Greenhouse Effect: High School Version
10:33 The Greenhouse Effect: PhD Version
14:30 Stratospheric Cooling
16:24 Summary
18:14 Protect Your Privacy With NordVPN
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oqu5DjzOBF8
/
//[ Massachusetts likes political demonstrations - dislikes suppression ]/
*After climate protest gets scientist fired, Sen. Ed Markey demands answers*
Feb. 06, 2023
In a letter sent to the American Geophysical Union on Friday, Sen. Ed
Markey demanded answers behind the expulsion of two climate scientists
who protested climate change in 2022 and urged their fellow scientists
to join them.
Dr. Rose Abramoff and Dr. Peter Kalmus were expelled from the American
Geophysical Union’s 2022 Fall Meeting in Chicago in December, Business
Insider reported at the time...
- -
“...AGU expelled them from the conference, threatened them with arrest
if they returned, and complained directly to their employers, apparently
precipitating Dr. Abramoff’s firing,” Markey said in his letter. “I fear
that this gross overreaction to a peaceful protest will have a chilling
effect on scientifically informed activism by climate scientists and
urge AGU not to respond so unnecessarily and disproportionately to
future climate-inspired civil disobedience.”
During the conference, Abramoff and Kalmus took to a stage and unfurled
a banner that read, “Out of the lab and into the streets.” The banner
was taken away, per a video tweeted by Kalmus, and the two were escorted
offstage. Both were met with applause from the audience.
“According to Dr. Abramoff, she and Dr. Kalmus then had their research
withdrawn from the conference program, were expelled from the
conference, threatened with arrest if they returned, and were the
subjects of complaints that AGU sent to their employers,” Markey said in
his letter.
Abramoff was fired from the Oak Ridge National Laboratory for her
actions and “because I misused government resources by engaging in a
personal activity on a work trip and because I did not adhere to its
code of business ethics and conduct,” she wrote in an op-ed to The New
York Times.
Markey noted in his letter that the conference hosted the former
president of Costa Rica, who “spoke of the “ethical and moral
responsibility” of climate scientists to place science at the ‘center of
political action,’ and how ‘doing the right thing gets very unpopular.’”
Markey added that the American Geophysical Union “supports policymakers
who seek solutions to climate change” and “awards a monetary prize to
scientists who engage in climate communication.”
“Protest may not be convenient or popular,” Markey’s letter read. “It
may disrupt and get in the way. But such disruption is nothing compared
to the planet-wide disruptions that climate change is already wreaking.
This upheaval will only worsen if we do not enact the ‘rapid,
far-reaching and unprecedented changes in all aspects of society’ that
the science demands to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
A scientist at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Kalmus made headlines
in April 2022 when he and other climate scientists chained themselves to
the doors of a JP Morgan Chase bank in downtown Los Angeles. The bank
was chosen for its funding of “new fossil fuel projects than any other
bank,” according to a climate report called “Banking on Climate Chaos.”
Below are the senator’s questions to the American Geophysical Union,
with answers requested by Feb. 20.
- After Drs. Abramoff and Kalmus’s demonstration at AGU’s 2022 Fall
Meeting, did AGU or anyone acting on its behalf threaten either of
them with arrest? If so, please explain why.
- Did AGU complain either to Dr. Abramoff’s or Dr. Kalmus’s employer
about their actions at the Fall Meeting? If so, how did AGU
communicate the complaint(s)? If any complaint was in writing,
please provide a copy.
- Did AGU withdraw the research presented by Dr. Abramoff and Dr.
Kalmus? If so, please explain why; identify the policies that were
followed in making this decision; explain how this decision is
consistent with AGU’s Scientific Integrity and Professional Ethics
standards;9 and provide a copy of the research abstracts that were
withdrawn.
- Does AGU believe that firing is an appropriate response to a
brief, non-violent protest related to and informed by scientific
topics under discussion at the Fall Meeting? If not, does AGU
believe that neither Dr. Abramoff nor Dr. Kalmus should lose their
jobs because of their actions at the Fall Meeting?
- AGU acknowledged funding from Chevron as recently as 2020, and
previously voted to continue receiving money from Exxon. 10 Does AGU
currently accept sponsorship or any other form of funding from
fossil fuel companies for the annual Fall Meeting or any other
activities? If not, when did AGU stop taking such funding? If yes,
what safeguards are in place to ensure that AGU is not influenced by
such funding in how it responds to climate protest?
- How does AGU intend to respond to peaceful climate activism in the
future?
https://www.masslive.com/politics/2023/02/after-climate-protest-gets-scientist-fired-sen-ed-markey-demands-answers.html
/[ the famous Bezos report has been accused of being overly positive and
techno-fides ]/
*The Breakthrough Effect:**
**HOW TO TRIGGER A CASCADE OF TIPPING POINTS TO ACCELERATE THE NET ZERO
TRANSITION*
Tipping Pointsand Net-Zero
Action to bring forward in time the triggering of positive
socio-economic tipping points will be critical to limit global
temperature increases and will unlock new economic value.
We know from historical experience that
the adoption of new solutions can increase
dramatically when tipping points are crossed,
such that incumbent solutions are replaced and
decline at an accelerated pace. In addition,
the strong reinforcing feedback loops that exist
within and between sectors for zero-carbon
solutions mean that tipping cascades can spread
change rapidly across sectors and make it less
reversible. A focus on joint international action
to activate tipping points and cascades could
have an outsized impact on global emissions
and contribute materially to reducing the risks
of dangerous climate change
https://www.systemiq.earth/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/The-Breakthrough-Effect.pdf
/[ Warning, this is mis-information sent to 8,000 teachers by the
Heartland Institute - from Grist ]/
*Climate denial campaign goes retro with new textbook*
‘The 1990s called. They want their scientific misinformation back.’
Blanca Begert News Fellow
Feb 06, 2023
After decades of intense public debate and misinformation campaigns,
nearly three-quarters of Americans now accept that climate change is
happening; not only that, more than half understand it is caused by
human activity. This shift has forced fossil fuel companies — and the
organizations they fund — to alter their tactics to avoid regulation.
Where they once denied climate science outright, companies now engage in
“discourses of delay,” publicly accepting the science but working to
stall climate policy by redirecting blame, pushing non-transformative
solutions, and emphasizing the downsides of taking action.
But the Heartland Institute, the infamous, free-market think tank that
has operated at the center of climate misinformation for decades, is
still hanging onto the old ways as it pushes on with its attempt to
discredit established climate science.
This week, the organization sent copies of its book “Climate at a
Glance” to 8,000 middle and high school teachers across the country, in
order to provide them, it says, with “the data to show the earth is not
experiencing a climate crisis.”
H. Sterling Burnett, who directs Climate and Environmental Policy for
the Heartland Institute and edited “Climate at a Glance,” said he hoped
the book would reach educators who are teaching climate change, “not to
replace the material they have, but to supplement it.”
But science education advocates aren’t too worried about the impact of
the materials.
“This is not Heartland’s first rodeo,” said Glenn Branch, deputy
director of the non-profit National Center for Science Education, which
promotes and defends accurate science education. “In previous campaigns,
the bulk of teachers and students who received the materials threw them
out or put them in the recycling bin.”
The institute’s last big mailout was in 2017 when it sent out 350,000
copies of its “Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming.” According
to Branch, while only a few picked up the information and taught from
it, a number of educators used the materials in their classrooms to
teach about propaganda techniques. Branch also thinks the fact that this
year’s campaign is so scaled back from the 2017 mailout means even
Heartland itself recognizes this as a failing strategy.
The new 80-page document, presented in the style of a slick and
authoritative textbook, covers 30 climate topics often discussed in
science classes. Many of the sections acknowledge modest planetary
warming, but assert that it is either good for species and ecosystems,
or doesn’t really have the impacts on extreme weather events that
climate scientists say it does...
“They typically give a straightforward observation or statistic that’s
not in dispute and add some commentary that’s wildly exaggerated or a
completely false interpretation,” said Branch. A section on crop
production, for example, notes how a longer growing season improves
yields; it does not acknowledge the net-negative impact of a hotter,
drier climate and extreme precipitation on agriculture in the long
term. A page on sea-level rise says “levels have been rising at a fairly
steady pace since at least the mid-1800s,” but the rate has actually
more than doubled in the 2000s when compared to most of the 20th century.
“It’s a misleading interpretation of scientific facts and questionable
inferences drawn from cherry picked data from unreliable sources,” said
Robert Brulle, a visiting professor of sociology at Brown University who
has researched the public relations strategies of the fossil fuel
industry. “It almost seems quaint that they’re still running with this.
It’s like ‘The 1990s called. They want their scientific misinformation
back.’”
Burnett defends the institute’s new booklet. “People say ‘oh, you don’t
have the proper context’,” he said, “but that’s their opinion on what
the proper context should be.”
Founded in Chicago in 1984, the Heartland Institute received hundreds of
thousands of dollars from fossil fuel companies and industrial
billionaires the Koch brothers until association with outright science
denial started to become more of a liability for the industry. The last
of the big oil companies mostly gave up on funding extreme climate
denial groups like Heartland around 2007, said Brulle. Any direct links
that might still exist would be hard to find; climate misinformation has
historically been funded and spread through a network of front groups,
and Heartland no longer discloses its major supporters. While its
revenue has declined over the years, it still receives millions from
conservative foundations and philanthropies.
“What Heartland is hoping for is to catch those who haven’t been
equipped to understand climate science well enough to realize the highly
misleading nature of the materials,” said Branch. A survey from 2015
found that about 57 percent of high school and middle school science
educators have not formally studied climate change. As states
increasingly add climate change to their science standards, Branch hopes
to see more states follow in the path of Washington, California, Maine,
and New Jersey in appropriating funds for teacher professional
development on the issue, which would equip them with the tools to
identify misinformation.
Even if teachers today are unlikely to fall for Heartland’s claims, the
organization’s messaging could still help the fossil fuel industry in a
roundabout way. In social science there’s a theory called the radical
flank effect, explained Brulle, where a position that is perceived as
extreme can be made to look more moderate by a position that is even
more extreme.
“If Exxon Mobil is saying ‘climate change is probably real and it can
cause harm, but we can adapt,’ without Heartland, they’re the
extremists,” said Brulle. “But if Heartland is out there saying ‘climate
change is going to be good for us,’ it makes the major oil companies
look moderate and reasonable.”
https://grist.org/science/climate-denial-campaign-goes-retro-with-new-textbook/
- -
/[ false information -- click at your own risk - disinformation warfare ]
/*"Climate at a Glance for Teachers and Students"*
Published by The Heartland Institute
3939 North Wilke Road
Arlington Heights, IL 60004
Phone 312/377-4000
www.heartland.org
https://heartland.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/CaaG-2022.pdf
/[The news archive - looking back at mishandling of science information ]/
/*February 7, 2007*/
*The US Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation holds
a hearing on climate change research and scientific integrity, *focusing
on the George W. Bush administration's slicing and dicing of science and
data. White House whistleblower Rick Piltz and Nobel laureate Sherwood
Rowland testify.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b9vXi61G0MU
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PYDQD8AeORA
http://scienceblogs.com/intersection/2007/02/07/senate-fireworks-on-climate-an/
http://scienceblogs.com/integrityofscience/2007/02/07/administration-testimony-one-o/
http://www.climatesciencewatch.org/2013/01/31/recalling-an-exchange-with-sen-john-kerry-about-climate-change-and-the-bush-white-house/
http://www.climatesciencewatch.org/2013/06/03/recalling-an-exchange-with-sen-lautenberg/
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