[✔️] February 9, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | Propaganda, Styrofoam cement, Paleo-climatology, Beckisphere

Richard Pauli Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Thu Feb 9 12:03:02 EST 2023


/*February 9, 2023*/

/[ The Jerusalem Post says maybe, maybe not ]/
*Earthquakes: What causes them and is climate change involved? - explainer*
How do earthquakes happen? How can they be predicted or stopped? Where 
do earthquakes happen the most and is climate change involved?
By AARON REICH
FEBRUARY 8, 2023
- -
*Does climate change cause earthquakes?*
First off, there is no connection between weather and earthquakes, 
despite a myth going back thousands of years to the contrary (though 
technically there are "slow earthquakes" that can happen due to 
hurricanes, but these are gradual and cause little to no damage, as the 
USGS noted).

This makes sense since earthquakes happen underground, where surface 
temperature and conditions are irrelevant.

However, climate change can in theory have an impact on earthquakes. 
This is because the only real variable in earthquakes is the amount of 
stress on a fault line. According to NASA geophysicist Paul Lundgren, 
the main way this could happen is if climate change caused surface water 
to add to the stress on a fault.

These do happen and are known as microseismicity, tiny earthquakes with 
magnitudes below zero on the Richter scale that humans can't feel.

Then there are droughts. As noted by NASA researcher Donald Argus, 
droughts can alter the size of mountains due to a loss of water. This 
could, in theory, result in a change of stress on faults. Other studies 
have also noted that groundwater extraction by humans during droughts 
can also impact stress by essentially changing the weight of the 
planet's crust, which could cause changes between both sides of a fault 
line and could, in theory, cause an earthquake.

Then there are glaciers, which themselves move around. As glaciers move 
around due to climate change, these can cause glacial earthquakes. This 
can actually reduce earthquakes because it will reduce stress loads.

But this comes at the cost of increasing magma movement, which could 
therefore in theory cause volcanic eruptions to become more frequent, as 
noted by NASA.

The key to all of this is "in theory," though. Because earthquakes are 
so unpredictable, it is extremely difficult to say for sure how much of 
a role climate change could play.

But while climate change's roles are unclear, the role of the same 
processes that cause climate change is far more evident.

As explained by the USGS, earthquakes in the central and eastern US have 
skyrocketed in recent years. Between 1973 and 2008, the eastern US had 
an average of 21 earthquakes a year between magnitude 3 and a bit 
larger. But Between 2009 and 2013, this jumped to 99 magnitude 3 
earthquakes and higher per year. 2014 alone had 659 magnitude 3 and 
above earthquakes. Some of these were even as high as magnitude 5.6, 
which is enough to cause damage.

And all of this seems to be due to gas and oil production, the very 
things that are the most destructive in terms of greenhouse gas 
emissions and worsening climate change. Specifically, it is because of 
how wastewater is injected in deep disposal wells, which essentially 
lubricates the faults. However, the USGS states that fracking doesn't 
have this effect.

So in other words, climate change may or may not be a factor in 
earthquakes, but the same things that cause climate change are.
https://www.jpost.com/science/article-730935

- -

/[ See the data for yourself  USGS ]/
*Find recent or historic earthquakes, lists, information on selected 
significant earthquakes, earthquake resources by state, or find 
webservices.*
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php



/[ YouTube - DW cameras get on private jets, ask questions, shows us 
dreck. 27 min ]/
*Climate change and the rich | DW Documentary*
DW Documentary
4.57M subscribers
66,727 views  Feb 7, 2023  #dwdocumentary #wealth #documentary
Wealthy people are responsible for far more greenhouse gas emissions 
than poorer people. To reduce carbon footprints and prevent the worst 
effects of the climate crisis, one climate researcher is proposing a CO2 
cap and trade system for individuals.

Disasters such as droughts, fires, and floods are occurring all over the 
world, triggered by the climate crisis. To counteract this catastrophe, 
Germany is among many nations pledging to slow global warming at well 
below two degrees. To achieve this target, the amount of harmful carbon 
dioxide released into the atmosphere must be restricted in the coming 
decades.

If a fundamental principle of justice were applied, Hans Joachim 
Schellnhuber from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research says 
that each person would be allowed to emit no more than three tons of CO2 
per year by 2050. But Germans are a long way from achieving this target, 
with an average carbon footprint of eight to ten tons.  By burning 
fossil fuels, many millionaires emit more than 100 tons of carbon 
dioxide per year, and the world’s wealthiest individuals emit thousands 
of tons each.

Most of the rich protagonists in this film show no willingness to reduce 
their climate-damaging behavior. One of them flies in a private jet, 
while another drives a gas-guzzling sports car for fun.

Schellnhuber, a renowned scientist, is therefore calling for a carbon 
cap to be imposed on individuals, while allowing private trading in CO2 
credits. He proposes that each person receives an allowance of three 
tons of CO2 per year. Those who need more would have to buy from those 
who consume less, Schellnhuber suggests.

However, German Economy and Climate Minister Robert Habeck from the 
Green Party is not in favor of individual CO2 caps. In an interview, 
Habeck says he’s not focused on the question of "individual budgets.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p7yAk5iYm_k



/[ either paleo-climatology, or climate paleontology ]
/*Improving the relevance of paleontology to climate change policy*
Wolfgang Kiessling, Jansen A. Smith, and Nussaïbah B. Raja
February 6, 2023
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2201926119
*Abstract*
Paleontology has provided invaluable basic knowledge on the history of 
life on Earth. The discipline can also provide substantial knowledge to 
societal challenges such as climate change. The long-term perspective of 
climate change impacts on natural systems is both a unique selling point 
and a major obstacle to becoming more pertinent for policy-relevant 
bodies like the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). 
Repeated experiments on the impacts of climate change without 
anthropogenic disturbance facilitate the extraction of climate triggers 
in biodiversity changes. At the same time, the long timescales over 
which paleontological changes are usually assessed are beyond the scope 
of policymakers. Based on first-hand experience with the IPCC and a 
quantitative analysis of its cited literature, we argue that the 
differences in temporal scope are less of an issue than inappropriate 
framing and reporting of most paleontological publications. Accepting 
that some obstacles will remain, paleontology can quickly improve its 
relevance by targeting climate change impacts more directly and focusing 
on effect sizes and relevance for projections, particularly on 
higher-end climate change scenarios.
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2201926119



/[ Super-double-powerful propaganda from the Oil Industry - see the 
classic video  ]/
*Life Runs On Energy, Connected by Oil and Natural Gas, Energy Transfer 
TV Commercial*
Energy Transfer
3,892,854 views  Nov 24, 2021
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EOURX29-eFQ

- -

/[ the YouTube channel archive for oil industry propaganda ]/
*Energy Transfer*
https://www.youtube.com/@EnergyTransferFacts/videos

- -

/[ Wanda Sykes shows it and talks about it and mocks it skillfully -  
video ]/
*Wanda Sykes Tackles Trump's Awkward Eulogy & Biden's Classified 
Documents | The Daily Show*
The Daily Show
1,571,449 views  Jan 23, 2023  #DailyShow #Comedy
Wanda Sykes covers the latest news, including Donald Trump's awkward 
eulogy at Diamond's funeral, more classified documents found in 
President Biden's home, the Church of England blessing same-sex marriage 
but not allowing same-sex weddings in the church, and a ridiculous oil 
and gas commercial. #DailyShow #Comedy
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M05WyTZjB10&t=333s



/[ It happened in Seattle where styrofoam made the difference - video ]/
*Why Some Roadways Are Made of Styrofoam*
Practical Engineering
3.14M subscribers
37,405 views  Feb 7, 2023
What do you do when soil is too heavy for the job? Use lightweight backfill!
Over the years, engineers have come up with a lot of creative ways to 
mitigate the settlement of heavy stuff on soft soils, but one of those 
solutions seems so simple that it’s almost unbelievable: just make 
embankments less heavy.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t65tbfU9sCI



/[ High geek factor -- economics nicely explained -- predicated on a 
technology future  - comment: "Your progression into a source of 
scientific information on our transition to renewables and electric 
vehicles is really important and interesting to watch Thanks "]/
*The True Cost of Renewables - LCOE Calcs with John Poljak | Engineering 
with Rosie Live ep. 20*
Engineering with Rosie
61.8K subscribers
2,774 views  Jan 20, 2023  #FullyChargedLIVE
This is a follow up livestream from my recent upload 
https://youtu.be/quI_8xYSWYE on LCOE (levelised cost of energy) from 
solar, wind, combined cycle gas, geothermal, coal and nuclear. Plus 
transmission and storage costs needed to integrate a lot of variable 
renewables into the grid.
- -
Do you have opinions about the assumptions I’ve made in that video? Or 
ideas about more realistic ones? I think that is so fun to play around 
with the calculations like that, and so I’m going to get John Poljack 
from Keynumbers www.keynumbers.com on for this livestream to run through 
the Keynumbers for a bunch of these. As well as changing fuel prices to 
reflect the increases over the last year or two, we might change 
assumptions on capacity factor, to reflect the trend towards coal plants 
operating less of the time, or nuclear’s current woes in France, where 
it is sitting at around 60% capacity factor for 2022. Or we could change 
asset lifetimes or financing assumptions, anything at all.
- -
Bookmarks:
00:00 Intro
01:38 Intro to John Poljak from Keynumbers
02:44 Thanks to Weather Guard Lightning Tech for sponsoring this livestream!
03:14 Challenges of Measurement
10:34 How accurate is Lazard (Capital Cost)?
13:03 Accuracy of capacity factors (US figures)
15:31 Why is capacity factor for coal very low?
17:18 Reduction in capacity factor due to increasing renewables - David 
Osmond NEM Simulation
20:08 Increasing wind energy in the UK
23:36 Delays in Constructing Nuclear
26:06 Mass Production Nuclear - NuScale SMR
29:32 Nuclear Project Lifetime
40:30 Decommissioning Costs
44:12 Nuclear Waste Storage and Accidents
46:19 Impact of Subsidies
49:21 Carbon Tax
53:31 Offshore Wind
55:08 Variation in Renewables by Location
55:28 Storage Requirements
57:01 Electric Vehicles as Storage - V2G
59:05 System Costs in Renewable Energy
1:03:45 Rosie at Fully ChargedLIVE Australia Sydney March 11-12
1:04:04 Outro

🎙Listen to the Uptime Podcast on Spotify: https://bit.ly/uptimepod
🎥Watch the Uptime Podcast on YouTube: https://bit.ly/watchuptime
✅Sign up for Uptime Tech News: https://bit.ly/uptimetech
- -
If you would like to help develop the Engineering with Rosie channel, 
you could consider joining the Patreon community, where there is a chat 
community (and Patreon-only Discord server) about topics covered in the 
videos and suggestions for future videos and production quality 
improvements. https://www.patreon.com/engineeringwi...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kx5hLwHoq0A


/[ video lectures on Apocalyptic and Post Apocalyptic studies ]/
*Emily Ray: Beyond the Bunker: Colonizing Space, Building Offworlds*
Centre for Apocalyptic & Post-Apocalyptic Studies
Started streaming 2/7/23
Emily Ray: Beyond the Bunker: Colonizing Space, Building Offworlds
CAPAS - Lecture Series 2022-2023
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1XbbxXzAakA



/[The news archive - looking back at the media suppression of 
information. ]/
/*February 9, 2007*/
February 9, 2007: Boston Globe columnist Ellen Goodman becomes the 
target of vicious online right-wing criticism for writing a piece in 
which she observes:

"By every measure, the U.N.‘s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 
raises the level of alarm. The fact of global warming is 'unequivocal.' 
The certainty of the human role is now somewhere over 90 percent. Which 
is about as certain as scientists ever get.

"I would like to say we’re at a point where global warming is impossible 
to deny. Let’s just say that global-warming deniers are now on a par 
with Holocaust deniers, though one denies the past and the other denies 
the present and future."

https://www.truthdig.com/articles/political-climate-change-needed/



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