[✔️] January 20, 2023- Global Warming News Digest - Dis-information, clean energy grid, Greta, Exxon knew, birth in climate chaos

Richard Pauli Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Fri Jan 20 09:04:25 EST 2023


/*January  20, 2023*/

/[ attacks of disinformation ]/
*Fossil fuel sector spent millions on ads to influence public during Cop27*
By Ellen Ormesher | Reporter
JANUARY 19, 2023
The Climate Action Against Disinformation (CAAD) coalition has revealed 
the scale of paid advertising climate disinformation detected around the 
United Nations climate conference (Cop27) in Sharm el-Sheikh.
The ‘Deny, Deceive, Delay’ report, released January 19, reflects the 
efforts of the coalition’s Cop27 Intelligence Unit, which includes 
analysts from 18 organizations, having been led by the Institute for 
Strategic Dialogue (ISD). The unit tracked the most prominent false and 
misleading narratives posted to social media.

What did it find?
$3m-$4m was spent on Meta by the fossil fuel sector between September 1 
and November 23, 2022.

Broader tactics have changed from climate denial to subtler forms of 
‘delayism’ and ‘inactivism’.

A small number of groups drove the majority of false or greenwashed 
advertising on Facebook. These included misleading claims on the climate 
crisis, net-zero targets as well as pushing the necessity of fossil fuels.

The analysis identified 3,781 ads during this time. Many were from 
Energy Citizens (a PR group of the American Petroleum Institute), while 
America’s Plastic Makers alone spent over $1m and the Saudi Green 
Initiative ran 13 ads.

Some organizations, including PragerU and The Heartland Institute, 
posted ads with active climate denial – for example, claiming that a 
‘New poll debunks the 97% consensus claim about #climatechange’ or 
asking ‘Has environmentalism become a religion?’

Analysts also detected a surprising increase in content related to 
outright climate denial, including a spike on Twitter for the hashtag 
#ClimateScam since July 2022.

The term ‘Climate Scam’ was actively recommended by Twitter for organic 
searches of ‘climate’, often as the top result, as well as when 
‘#climate’ is included within a post. This was observed during Cop27 and 
remains the case despite direct flagging by campaign group Climate 
Action Against Disinformation’s (CAAD) partners to the platform.

“This research shows that climate disinformation isn’t going away and, 
in fact, it’s getting worse. During Cop27, Twitter’s search engine 
pushed #ClimateScam as a top result without any justification for the 
data behind it,” said Erika Seiber, climate disinformation spokesperson 
at Friends of the Earth US.

“Until governments hold social media and ad companies accountable, and 
companies hold professional disinformers accountable, crucial 
conversations around the climate crisis are going to be put in jeopardy. 
To start, Twitter should offer an explanation of how this inexcusable 
climate denial trend came to be.”
What happens now?
The report emerges not long after Sultan Ahmed Jaber was announced as 
the new president for Cop28, making the next UN Climate Summit the first 
to be led by an active oil executive.

CAAD highlights that Cop27 saw record-breaking attendance for fossil 
lobbyists and that these developments set the stage for a greater spread 
of disinformation at next year’s climate conference and around other 
climate policy moments.

“Cop27 became the first conference where climate misinformation became 
part of the conversation among country delegations and leaders,” says 
Jake Dubbins, co-chair of Conscious Advertising Network. “Leaders we 
spoke to from countries Germany to Saint Lucia were all deeply concerned 
about the disinformation war. If the urgency of the climate crisis 
continues to be undermined by mis- and disinformation, then the climate 
action we all so desperately need will continue to be delayed to the 
point of no return.”

CAAD is now calling on the US government, EU, UN, IPCC and Big Tech 
companies to acknowledge the climate disinformation threat and take the 
required steps to improve transparency and data access to quantify 
disinformation trends, to stop misleading fossil fuel advocacy in paid 
ad content, enforce policies against repeat offenders spreading 
disinformation on platforms, and to adopt a standardized and 
comprehensive definition of climate disinformation.
https://www.thedrum.com/news/2023/01/19/fossil-fuel-sector-spent-millions-ads-influence-public-during-cop27

- -

/[ an important organization ]/
*Climate Action Against Disinformation*
A global coalition of over 50 leading climate and anti-disinformation 
organisations
*Universal Definition*
Climate disinformation and misinformation refers to deceptive or 
misleading content that:

Undermines the existence or impacts of climate change, the unequivocal 
human influence on climate change, and the need for corresponding urgent 
action according to the IPCC scientific consensus and in line with the 
goals of the Paris Climate Agreement;
Misrepresents scientific data, including by omission or cherry-picking, 
in order to erode trust in climate science, climate-focused 
institutions, experts, and solutions; or
Falsely publicises efforts as supportive of climate goals that in fact 
contribute to climate warming or contravene the scientific consensus on 
mitigation or adaptation.
*Problem*
Climate change misinformation and disinformation are major threats to 
climate action. They create a distorted perception of climate science 
and solutions; meanwhile they weaken the public mandate for effective 
domestic and international policies aligned with the goals of the Paris 
Agreement.

Outright climate denial no longer has as much traction in mainstream 
media, but continues to flourish across social media, with algorithms 
often amplifying the worst and most extreme content. Discourses of 
climate delay also continue to pervade the mainstream media and social 
media platforms around topics such as net zero policy, and pose a real 
threat to implementing targets or agendas in line with the urgency of 
the threat. In parallel, digital advertising and monetisation through 
social media and the open web diversify opportunities to spread climate 
mis/disinformation – including ‘greenwashing’ – and, in many cases, 
create active financial incentives to do so.

More than 20 leading climate and anti-disinformation organisations 
established a global coalition in the summer of 2021, to safeguard 
public debate and mitigate information attacks against the COP26 summit. 
These efforts led to the creation of a universal definition of climate 
mis/disinformation; initiated a long-term process for decision makers to 
acknowledge the threat; spotlighted climate disinformation threats; 
provided insight for media outlets globally; and helped decision makers 
to understand the scale of the problem. It also inspired Google to roll 
out a global climate misinformation policy across all its monetised 
products and services including YouTube and to ban disinformation 
adverts that deny the existence of climate change or humanity’s impact 
on the climate. While good progress, these efforts were only the initial 
steps of what is needed to solve the problems detailed above.

*Solution*
We need more robust, coordinated and proactive strategies to deal with 
the scale of the threat to platforms. (For the purposes of this 
document, ‘platforms’ henceforth refers to both tech platforms and ad 
networks serving the open web.)

To prevent climate mis/disinformation and its impacts on climate action, 
civil society needs to pressure platforms, governments and regulators to 
rein in the problem of climate denial and wider discourses of delay. As 
a first step, we need acknowledgement and transparency about 
mis/disinformation of all forms from the platforms, and to support 
international and national government legislation that would enforce this.

The coming two years will provide opportunities to turbo-charge climate 
disinformation in the mainstream, `including: the COP27 & COP28 summits; 
elections in key geographies such as Australia, Brazil, France, India, 
Nigeria, Turkey, Ukraine and the United States; the release of major 
IPCC reports; updated announcements on nationally determined 
contributions (NDCs); and other key milestones in climate financing and 
governance. Fortunately, the stars are also aligning for opportunities 
to create strong policies from both governments and tech platforms, if 
we continue to build up what we achieved together in 2021 and organise 
collective interventions for decision-makers and the tech platforms to 
ramp up their action against climate mis/disinformation.
https://caad.info/what-is-climate-disinformation/



/[ //Davos 2023//Greta wades into international affairs ] /
*‘Ridiculous’: Greta Thunberg blasts decision to let UAE oil boss chair 
climate talks*
Climate activist at Davos says lobbyists have been influencing 
conferences ‘since forever’
Four years after taking the World Economic Forum by storm, Greta 
Thunberg returned to Davos on Thursday to blast the United Arab Emirates 
for appointing the head of its state-owned oil company to chair the 
Cop28 climate talks later this year.

Thunberg said it was “completely ridiculous” that Sultan Ahmed al-Jaber, 
chief executive of the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC), will 
preside over the next round of global climate talks in Dubai in November.

She told an event on the sidelines of the WEF’s annual meeting in Davos 
that lobbyists have been influencing these conferences “since, 
basically, forever”.

“This just puts a very clear face to it,” she added. “It’s completely 
ridiculous.”
- -  video https://youtu.be/EU6vQXif5Xo
A “cease and desist” order, signed by Thunberg, and fellow activists 
Gualinga, Neubauer and Vanessa Nakate from Uganda, said Big Oil has 
known for decades that fossil fuels cause climate breakdown, and has 
misled the public and deceived politicians.

“You must end these activities as they are in direct violation of our 
human right to a clean, healthy and sustainable environment, your duty 
of care, as well as the rights of Indigenous people,” the notice says.

The people who are mostly fueling the destruction of the planet, who are 
at the very core of the climate crisis, investing in fossil fuels, are 
in Davos, Thunberg said.

“And yet somehow these are the people that we seem to rely on solving 
our problems, where they have proven time and time again, that they are 
not prioritising that,” she said. “They are prioritising self greed, 
corporate greed and short term economic profits above people and above 
planet.”...
Nakate said the climate crisis is evident in the areas that are most 
affected, such as the horn of Africa, where children are suffering from 
severe, acute malnutrition.

The quartet were joined by Fatih Birol, head of the International Energy 
Agency.

In 2021, the IEA said that exploitation and development of new oil and 
gas fields had to stop that year, if the world was to meet the goal of 
net zero emissions by 2050.

On Thursday, Birol said he was “very happy” that the activists were 
pushing the climate agenda forwards...
Birol warned it might not make sense for banks to fund new fossil fuel 
projects.

Asked about the banks who fund new oil and gas generation, despite their 
net zero pledges, Birol said it was “their money”, not the IEA’s. But 
added there was a risk that demand might not be there when new oilfields 
come online, perhaps six or seven years after the decision is taken to 
drill.

In 2019, Thunberg warned Davos delegates that “our house is on fire”, 
after travelling by train to the ski resort in a 32-hour journey, and 
camping with climate scientists on the mountain slopes – where 
temperatures fell to -18C..
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/jan/19/greta-thunberg-uae-cop28-davos-climate



/[ Covering Climate Now ]/
*“Exxon Knew” Story Finally Goes Mainstream**
*“Exxon really did know.” So wrote Bloomberg columnist Mark Gonglof, 
commenting on the latest revelations that the oil giant knew decades ago 
that it would dangerously overheat the planet. A peer-reviewed study 
released last week in Science cited internal ExxonMobil documents 
showing that, as far back 1977, the company’s scientists were predicting 
the future trajectory of global warming “correctly and skillfully.” 
Geoffrey Supran, the study’s co-author, told the Guardian: “We now have 
the smoking gun showing that [Exxon] accurately predicted warming years 
before they started attacking the science [in public].”

The fact that “Exxon Knew” was first revealed in 2015 by investigative 
reporters at the Los Angeles Times, Inside Climate News, and Columbia 
University’s Graduate School of Journalism. But this latest episode in 
the saga comes with an important twist: This time, some of the world’s 
biggest news organizations also covered the story. So now, it’s not just 
climate insiders who know that Big Oil lied — the general public is 
hearing about it as well.
https://mailchi.mp/coveringclimatenow/us-supreme-court-v-climate-action-and-the-stories-that-will-follow-16748781?e=d61cfe5aa4



/[ study validates common sense - does this mean there is no free will?  
Can psychology help?  ]/
*‘Born into a time of chaos’: how being pregnant amid a climate disaster 
can affect children*
Study suggests children who were in the womb during Superstorm Sandy are 
more likely to have behavior disorders
Paige Perez
Wed 18 Jan 2023
Four days before Superstorm Sandy made landfall and about three weeks 
before her due date, Sporer-Newman gave birth to a baby boy named Izzy. 
He was 7lb 6oz and jaundiced, and otherwise appeared healthy. But as the 
rain from Sandy began to come down, Sporer-Newman and her baby would 
face challenges beyond their expectations...
- -
A study released this fall suggests there may be other more insidious, 
long-term effects. Children who were exposed to Superstorm Sandy while 
in the womb have “substantially” higher risks for developing depression, 
anxiety and attention deficit and disruptive behavior disorders, 
including ADHD.

The research, published in September in the Journal of Child Psychology 
and Psychiatry, surveyed 163 preschool-age children and found that those 
exposed to Sandy in utero were more than twice as likely to be diagnosed 
with anxiety disorders and nearly four times as likely to be diagnosed 
for attention deficit and disruptive behavior disorders. The study also 
found a sex difference in diagnosis among girls and boys. Girls were 
more at risk of anxiety and depression, and boys were more at risk of 
ADHD. About 86% of the study’s participants were from racial and ethnic 
minorities and low-income backgrounds.

Dr Yoko Nomura, the study’s lead author and a professor of psychology at 
City University of New York’s Queens College, said she did not 
anticipate the magnitude or consistency of these findings. “Superstorm 
Sandy turned out to be really a bad, bad guy,” she said...
- -
All of a sudden, expecting parents were forced to change their birth 
plans. One study participant reported having gotten stuck alone in an 
elevator. “[She was afraid she would] have a baby in the elevator 
without anybody’s help,” Nomura said.

Sporer-Newman participated in the study. “All I could think about was 
how stressed I was,” she said, thinking back on Superstorm Sandy and 
Izzy’s birth.

Though Izzy was born a few days before the storm made landfall, 
researchers included him in the group with kids of mothers who watched 
news reports of the storm. She went into labor ahead of her scheduled 
C-section and gave birth without an epidural – there was no time for 
one, she said. “I don’t know if the stress induced [labor] or … I had so 
many other things to do that I just wasn’t paying attention to my own 
body,” Sporer-Newman said.

Sporer-Newman wanted to get home before the storm struck and left the 
hospital with her son against medical advice. She said hospitals can get 
overwhelmed and didn’t want to risk an evacuation. She felt her chances 
of staying safe were better at home and, as a medical professional, she 
was able to monitor herself and her baby.
- -
At Izzy’s one-month visit, the doctor said that he was not gaining 
weight. He was taken to the emergency room, where he remained 
hospitalised for 10 days. He was diagnosed as “failure to thrive”, 
meaning his weight was below average, and he was not receiving the 
nutrition he needed to grow. But hospital staff couldn’t pinpoint 
exactly what was wrong. The baby cried and fussed a lot and, in 
retrospect, Sporer-Newman wonders if he was in pain. Eventually, doctors 
and his mother learned ways to help Izzy gain and maintain enough weight 
that allowed him to go home.

Sporer-Newman said if she had brought Izzy to his early doctor’s visits, 
then his struggle to gain weight would have been noticed and treated 
earlier. Now, she wonders if the unease around the storm affected the 
medical attention Izzy received. “He was born into a time of chaos. I’m 
not blaming anybody for missing things … but like, maybe he would’ve had 
a little bit more attention,” she said..
- -
Today, Izzy Newman is ten years old and in the fifth grade. His mother 
describes him as active, empathic and happy, but said that he struggles 
with focusing and sometimes misplaces his belongings. Sporer-Newman 
recalled that one question in Nomura’s study asked parents if their 
child said please and thank you. “The answer is absolutely,” said 
Sporer-Newman. “And meanwhile ​​he’s bouncing, like literally on his 
feet going, ‘thank you, thank you, thank you, thank you.’”

She said his personality is different compared to her other three boys. 
He will run a block ahead of the family on walks and they will stroll 
behind, struggling to keep up with him.

Sporer-Newman said she plans to have Izzy tested for ADHD. Such a 
diagnosis could be an opportunity for early intervention, said Nomura, 
who led the study published in September. It would help him access 
certain accommodations, like a quiet room without distractions to take 
tests, which may help him in school.

“In all of his jittery movements, inability to sit still, brilliant 
mind. We love him. All of our kids are different. We love them each for 
what they are,” said Sporer-Newman
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/jan/18/study-pregnant-climate-disaster-children-behavior

- -

/[ From the PubMed.gov ]/
*Prenatal exposure to a natural disaster and early development of 
psychiatric disorders during the preschool years: stress in pregnancy study*
Yoko Nomura # 1 2 3, Jeffrey H Newcorn # 3, Christine Ginalis 1 2, 
Catherine Heitz 1, Jeenia Zaki 1, Farzana Khan 1 4, Mardia Nasrin 1 5, 
Kathryn Sie 1, Donato DeIngeniis 1, Yasmin L Hurd 3
Affiliations expand
PMID: 36129196 DOI: 10.1111/jcpp.13698
*Abstract*
Background: Growing evidence shows an association between in utero 
exposure to natural disasters and child behavioral problems, but we 
still know little about the development of specific psychopathology in 
preschool-aged children.

*Methods:* Preschool children (n = 163, mean age = 3.19, 85.5% racial 
and ethnic minorities) and their parents (n = 151) were evaluated 
annually at ages 2-5 to assess the emergence of psychopathology using 
the Preschool Age Psychopathological Assessment (PAPA), a parent-report 
structured diagnostic interview developed for preschool-age children. 
Sixty-six (40.5%) children were exposed to Sandy Storm (SS) in utero and 
97 (59.5%) were not. Survival analysis evaluated patterns of onset and 
estimated cumulative risks of psychopathology among exposed and 
unexposed children, in total and by sex. Analyses were controlled for 
the severity of objective and subjective SS-related stress, concurrent 
family stress, and demographic and psychosocial confounders, such as 
maternal age, race, SES, maternal substance use, and normative prenatal 
stress.

*Results:* Exposure to SS in utero was associated with a substantial 
increase in depressive disorders (Hazard Ratio (HR) = 16.9, p = .030), 
anxiety disorders (HR = 5.1, p < .0001), and 
attention-deficit/disruptive behavioral disorders (HR = 3.4, p = .02). 
Diagnostic rates were elevated for generalized anxiety disorder (GAD; HR 
= 8.5, p = .004), attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD; HR = 
5.5, p = .01), oppositional-defiant disorder (ODD; HR = 3.8, p = .05), 
and separation-anxiety disorder (SAD; HR = 3.5, p = .001). Males had 
distinctively elevated risks for attention-deficit/disruptive behavioral 
disorders (HR = 7.8, p = .02), including ADHD, CD, and ODD, whereas 
females had elevated risks for anxiety disorders (HR = 10.0, p < .0001), 
phobia (HR = 2.8, p = .02) and depressive disorders (HR = 30.0, p = 
.03), including SAD, GAD, and dysthymia.

*Conclusions:* The findings demonstrate that in utero exposure to a 
major weather-related disaster (SS) was associated with increased risk 
for psychopathology in children and provided evidence of distinct 
psychopathological outcomes as a function of sex. More attention is 
needed to understand specific parent, child, and environmental factors 
which account for this increased risk, and to develop mitigation strategies.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/36129196/

- -

/[ opinion in The Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry ]/
*Editorial: ‘In our time’: Has the pandemic changed the way we write and 
read mental health and neurodevelopmental disorder research reviews?*
Sara R. Jaffee
First published: 27 April 2021 https://doi.org/10.1111/jcpp.13424
It has long been recognized that the prevalence of mental health 
problems among young people and adults exceeds the number who receive 
treatment. One potential benefit of the pandemic might be the widespread 
transition to telehealth, which has made traditional treatments more 
widely available to individuals who live in areas with few available 
high-quality services or who find it challenging to access treatment for 
other reasons. Creswell et al. (2021) explore the possibility that 
nontraditional treatments, such as gaming and virtual reality 
interventions, offer another opportunity to meet the need for mental 
health services, particularly for young people who are sophisticated 
users of technology. They review the evidence that gaming and virtual 
reality interventions are effective in treating depression, anxiety, and 
phobias in young people and the evidence that young people find these 
interventions relevant and engaging.
https://acamh.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jcpp.13424



/[ Spotify --//start about 20 mins in //to hear about misinformation and 
opinion manipulation ]/
*Hot to talk to a climate denier*
with Ed Miliband and Geoff Lloyd

Episode Description

Hello! This week we’re talking about climate misinformation and how we 
tackle it. Mis- and disinformation about the climate crisis is not new: 
since the 1970s industry players and fossil fuel giants have been 
denying the reality of climate change in order to sow confusion and 
polarise public support for taking action. Delay is the new denial, 
according to Jennie King, who talks to us about some of the arguments 
used to delay action on climate change. Professor Sander van der Linden 
tells us about the psychology of misinformation spread and why social 
media has only turbocharged it. Finally, Sean Buchan talks to us about 
the grassroots campaign Stop Funding Heat which aims to make climate 
misinformation unprofitable.Plus: Geoff goes on a gastronomic journey 
with Ed's latest cooking attempt.GuestsJennie King, Head of Climate 
Research and Policy, Institute for Strategic Dialogue (@jkingy, 
@ISDglobal)Professor Sander van der Linden, Professor of Social 
Psychology, University of Cambridge (@Sander_vdLinden)Sean Buchan, 
Campaign Director, Stop Funding Heat (@seanforachange, 
@stopfundingheat)More infoWhat is climate mis-/disinformation?Deny, 
deceive, delay: documenting and responding to climate disinformation at 
COP26 and beyond Report from the ISDTaxonomy of climate contrarian 
claims Academic paper: Coan, Boussalis, Cook, NankoDiscourses of Climate 
Delay Comic by Céline KellerClimate Action Against Disinformation 
Pre-order a copy of Sander's book Foolproof: Why we fall for 
misinformation and how to build immunityStop Funding Heat CampaignOther 
resourcesDeSmog Journalism to clear the 'PR Pollution' clouding the 
science and solutions to climate changeSkeptical science Website set up 
by academic Jon Cook to examine the science and arguments of climate 
scepticismEd and Geoff mentioned:Three policies making life in Paris 
better for children

https://open.spotify.com/episode/5pgmKM09CQ3aSOs9EqXjDm

https://open.spotify.com/episode/5pgmKM09CQ3aSOs9EqXjDm?utm_campaign=Hot%20News&utm_medium=email&_hsmi=242163476&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-_Yph_SfU_XYHQyCbeczhVKmhWNPCzBJooirNZAqlBEBstTJUXVBpEKu29H-1qTSDRmxSnZ0fWAVAsP8Ebvue31L8A9dQ&utm_content=242163476&utm_source=hs_email

- -

/[ the book comes out March 21, 2023 ]/
*Foolproof: Why Misinformation Infects Our Minds and How to Build Immunity*
Sander van der Linden
Informed by decades of research and on-the-ground experience advising 
governments and tech companies, Foolproof is the definitive guide to 
navigating the misinformation age.

 From fake news to conspiracy theories, from inflammatory memes to 
misleading headlines, misinformation has swiftly become the defining 
problem of our era. The crisis threatens the integrity of our 
democracies, our ability to cultivate trusting relationships, even our 
physical and psychological well-being―yet most attempts to combat it 
have proven insufficient. In Foolproof, one of the world’s leading 
experts on misinformation lays out a crucial new paradigm for 
understanding and defending ourselves against the worldwide infodemic.

With remarkable clarity, Sander van der Linden explains why our brains 
are so vulnerable to misinformation, how it spreads across social 
networks, and what we can do to protect ourselves and others. Like a 
virus, misinformation infects our minds, exploiting shortcuts in how we 
see and process information to alter our beliefs, modify our memories, 
and replicate at astonishing rates. Once the virus takes hold, it’s very 
hard to cure. Strategies like fact-checking and debunking can leave a 
falsehood still festering or, at worst, even strengthen its hold.

But we aren’t helpless. As van der Linden shows based on award-winning 
original research, we can cultivate immunity through the innovative 
science of “prebunking”: inoculating people against false information by 
preemptively exposing them to a weakened dose, thus empowering them to 
identify and fend off its manipulative tactics. Deconstructing the 
characteristic techniques of conspiracies and misinformation, van der 
Linden gives readers practical tools to defend themselves and others 
against nefarious persuasion―whether at scale or around their own dinner 
table.
https://www.amazon.com/dp/039388144X?psc=1&smid=ATVPDKIKX0DER&ref_=chk_typ_imgToDp



/[ Carbon offsets allow the deceit of carbon neutrality ]/
*Revealed: more than 90% of rainforest carbon offsets by biggest 
provider are worthless, analysis shows*
Investigation into Verra carbon standard finds most are ‘phantom 
credits’ and may worsen global heating
Patrick Greenfield
@pgreenfielduk
Wed 18 Jan 2023
The forest carbon offsets approved by the world’s leading provider and 
used by Disney, Shell, Gucci and other big corporations are largely 
worthless and could make global heating worse, according to a new 
investigation.

The research into Verra, the world’s leading carbon standard for the 
rapidly growing $2bn (£1.6bn) voluntary offsets market, has found that, 
based on analysis of a significant percentage of the projects, more than 
90% of their rainforest offset credits – among the most commonly used by 
companies – are likely to be “phantom credits” and do not represent 
genuine carbon reductions...
- -
The investigation found that:

    -- Only a handful of Verra’s rainforest projects showed evidence of
    deforestation reductions, according to two studies, with further
    analysis indicating that 94% of the credits had no benefit to the
    climate.
    -- The threat to forests had been overstated by about 400% on
    average for Verra projects, according to analysis of a 2022
    University of Cambridge study.
    -- Gucci, Salesforce, BHP, Shell, easyJet, Leon and the band Pearl
    Jam were among dozens of companies and organisations that have
    bought rainforest offsets approved by Verra for environmental claims.
    -- Human rights issues are a serious concern in at least one of the
    offsetting projects. The Guardian visited a flagship project in
    Peru, and was shown videos that residents said showed their homes
    being cut down with chainsaws and ropes by park guards and police.
    They spoke of forced evictions and tensions with park authorities.

- -
How companies use carbon offsetting to hit emissions goals

    *Step 1 Offsetting project set up*

    A project is established to mitigate global heating. Many are
    avoided-emission projects that prevent greenhouse gases from being
    released from deforestation or fossil fuels, but do not remove
    carbon from the atmosphere.

    *Step 2 Credits are calculated*

    Carbon credits are calculated using dozens of methods.
    Avoided-deforestation projects estimate what would happen if the
    project was not there. Projects claim the difference between what
    happens and what could have as credits.

    *Step 3 Company makes net zero strategy*

    Firms work out the emissions they are producing every year from
    their own activities. In order to meet their net zero strategy,
    alongside efforts to cut emissions, some companies decide to buy
    carbon offsets.

    *Step 4 Company acquires carbon credits*

    Firms get carbon credits through a specialist broker, others go
    directly to a project. Most offsets are approved by Verra and Gold
    Standard. These credits are used to offset emissions, allowing them
    to claim large net reductions.

    *Step 5  Company makes climate claim*

    Once a firm has worked out the amount of carbon they want to offset,
    they buy the equivalent amount of credits. Many then claim the
    company or product they are selling has become carbon neutral.

Shell told the Guardian that using credits was “in line with our 
philosophy of avoid, reduce and only then mitigate emissions”. Gucci, 
Pearl Jam, BHP and Salesforce did not comment, while Lavazza said it 
bought credits that were certified by Verra, “a world’s leading 
certification organisation”, as part of the coffee products company’s 
“serious, concrete and diligent commitment to reduce” its carbon 
footprint. It plans to look more closely into the project.

The fast food chain Leon no longer buys carbon offsets from one of the 
projects in the studies, as part of its mission to maximise its positive 
impact. EasyJet has moved away from carbon offsetting to focus its net 
zero work on projects such as “funding for the development of new 
zero-carbon emission aircraft technology”.

Barbara Haya, the director of the Berkeley Carbon Trading Project, has 
been researching carbon credits for 20 years, hoping to find a way to 
make the system function. She said: “The implications of this analysis 
are huge. Companies are using credits to make claims of reducing 
emissions when most of these credits don’t represent emissions 
reductions at all.

“Rainforest protection credits are the most common type on the market at 
the moment. And it’s exploding, so these findings really matter. But 
these problems are not just limited to this credit type. These problems 
exist with nearly every kind of credit.

“One strategy to improve the market is to show what the problems are and 
really force the registries to tighten up their rules so that the market 
could be trusted. But I’m starting to give up on that. I started 
studying carbon offsets 20 years ago studying problems with protocols 
and programs. Here I am, 20 years later having the same conversation. We 
need an alternative process. The offset market is broken.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jan/18/revealed-forest-carbon-offsets-biggest-provider-worthless-verra-aoe



/[ I want to live in this grid -- audio interview ]/
*An energy provider attempts to achieve 24/7 clean energy*
A conversation with Jan Pepper of Peninsula Clean Energy.
Dave Roberts
JAN 18 2023
Back in November of 2021, I did a series of stories and podcasts on the 
hottest new trend in clean energy: attempting to achieve not just 100 
percent clean energy but 24/7 clean energy, ie, clean energy at every 
hour of every day.

For reasons explained at length in those pieces, 24/7 is a much more 
difficult goal. Offsetting 100 percent of your energy use with clean 
energy mainly involves buying bulk wind and solar wherever and whenever 
they are cheapest. But matching your energy use with clean energy on an 
hourly basis means finding sources that can cover for wind and solar 
when they are not available.

Some big corporate players like Google have taken the first steps down 
this road, but the first energy provider to attempt it, as far as I 
know, is Peninsula Clean Energy (PCE), a Bay Area community choice 
aggregator (CCA) that serves all 20 of the cities and towns in San Mateo 
County, as well as the City of Los Banos.
In December 2021, PCE issued a white paper on the need for 24/7 clean 
energy, its rationale for pursuing 24/7 by 2025, and the steps it 
intended to take to get there. Earlier this month, it issued a follow-up 
white paper reporting on the tool it built to map out 24/7 and the 
lessons learned.

I am fascinated by the practical challenges of getting to 24/7, so I’m 
excited to talk to Jan Pepper, CEO of Peninsula and lead author on the 
latest white paper, about why PCE is setting out to achieve 24/7, the 
main barriers, and the ways it may get easier in the future.
https://www.volts.wtf/p/an-energy-provider-attempts-to-achieve
https://www.volts.wtf/p/an-energy-provider-attempts-to-achieve?utm_source=podcast-email%2Csubstack&publication_id=193024&post_id=95976713&utm_medium=email#details

- -

/[  ( more about Peninsula Clean Energy’s 24/7 push — charts and Jeff 
St. John’s latest article for Canary Media.) ]/
*24/7 carbon-free energy is about to become a reality in California*
Peninsula Clean Energy says it can deliver affordable clean energy to 
its Bay Area territory nearly every hour of the year by 2025. Here’s the 
data to prove it.
18 January 2023
Jeff St. John
Five years ago, California community energy provider Peninsula Clean 
Energy decided that buying enough clean energy to match its average 
annual electricity demand wasn’t enough. Instead, it wanted to deliver 
clean energy to its customers during every hour of every day — what it 
calls ​“24/7 carbon-free energy.” And last week, Peninsula explained how 
it plans to get there.

The goal of 24/7 carbon-free electricity is also being pursued by 
corporate giants Google and Microsoft, cities including Los Angeles and 
Des Moines, Iowa, and a growing number of other companies and 
communities across the world. But Peninsula Clean Energy appears to be 
the first energy provider to set a target of getting there by 2025, well 
ahead of other zero-carbon mandates at the utility or state level.

Achieving 24/7 carbon-free energy is a lot harder than achieving 100 
percent carbon-free energy on an annual basis. As climate journalist and 
Canary Media editor-at-large David Roberts explains in a new Volts 
podcast on Peninsula Clean Energy, ​“Offsetting 100 percent of your 
energy use with clean energy mainly involves buying bulk wind and solar 
wherever and whenever they are cheapest. But matching your energy use 
with clean energy on an hourly basis means finding sources that can 
cover for wind and solar when they are not available.” (Here’s a basic 
primer on 24/7 carbon-free energy.)
But there’s a debate over 24/7 carbon-free energy. Is trying to get 
clean power to serve every single hour of the year a laudable way to 
match an energy buyer’s decarbonization commitments with concrete 
actions? Or is it an excessively expensive pipe dream that sucks 
investment away from more effective alternatives, like building more 
solar and wind power in places where the grid is the dirtiest?

Last week, Peninsula Clean Energy unveiled an analysis showing that, at 
least for the residents of San Mateo County and the town of Los Banos, 
California that it serves, round-the-clock clean energy by 2025 is not 
only theoretically possible but well within its technical and financial 
reach.

Peninsula Clean Energy CEO Jan Pepper said the new white paper, which 
uses data from a modeling tool PCE developed with partners over the past 
two years, validates the importance of the 24/7 carbon-free energy goal 
PCE set back in 2017. PCE’s board of directors is planning to use the 
findings of the analysis to formally set the 99 percent target into a 
​“final procurement strategy” for the coming years, Pepper told Canary 
Media. ​“This is what we’re after.”

PCE’s modeling shows that procuring enough clean energy to supply its 
customers 99 percent of the hours of the year by 2025 is expected to 
cost only 2 percent more than its baseline energy-procurement plans, 
which deliver carbon-free energy roughly 70 percent of the hours of the 
year. That’s far less of a cost premium than one might expect for 
achieving round-the-clock clean energy almost every hour of the year. 
After making this finding, PCE adopted 99 percent 24/7 carbon-free 
energy as its official goal starting in 2025.

Cost comparisons for different procurement strategies were calculated 
using conservative assumptions about energy prices and the costs of 
contracting a portfolio of solar, wind, geothermal power and lithium-ion 
batteries, Pepper noted. With more optimistic assumptions, the costs are 
significantly lower, as this chart indicates. .
- - 
https://img.canarymedia.com/content/uploads/PCE-247-MATCH-Figure-17.jpg.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&crop=focalpoint&fit=crop&fp-x=0.5&fp-y=0.5&w=1168&s=2578217676b0f63b77f93a81fa798587
Keeping costs in check is vital for PCE, one of California’s many 
community choice aggregators that have been created with the goal of 
offering a greater proportion of clean energy at lower prices than the 
state’s investor-owned utilities.

But the slight cost premium for delivering carbon-free energy nearly 
every hour of the day will have outsize benefits in reducing the 
carbon-intensity of the power PCE consumes, the analysis shows. As of 
2021, PCE’s average hourly energy consumption contributed roughly 222 
pounds of carbon dioxide equivalent per megawatt-hour — less than half 
the California utility average of 456 pounds per megawatt-hour, but well 
above the 26 pounds per megawatt-hour that a 99 percent 24/7 clean 
energy portfolio is expected to enable...
The resulting impact on carbon emissions is made clear in the following 
two ​“heat maps” that show the carbon-intensity of electricity purchased 
across every hour of the year. The first heat map shows the emissions 
from a portfolio that delivers 100 percent clean energy measured on an 
annual basis.

And the second heat map shows the emissions impact of a portfolio 
designed to deliver clean energy in 99 percent of the hours of the year.
- - 
https://img.canarymedia.com/content/uploads/PCE-247-MATCH-Figure-12.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&crop=focalpoint&fit=crop&fp-x=0.5&fp-y=0.5&w=1168&s=20f8627d0cf0902781d415cad76c4bef
Heat map of carbon intensity of energy on an hourly basis under an 99 
percent clean energy procurement strategy for PCE
- - 
https://img.canarymedia.com/content/uploads/PCE-247-MATCH-Figure-13.jpg.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&crop=focalpoint&fit=crop&fp-x=0.5&fp-y=0.5&w=1168&s=3585ad85191d9b9f1da9e47622f4d59a
“For slightly more cost, we’re able to make these huge impacts on 
reduced emissions,” Pepper said.
- -
PCE also didn’t factor in the potential for emerging technologies such 
as offshore wind power or long-duration energy storage, both of which 
are seen as vital to enabling California to reach its zero-carbon goals 
in the coming decades.

The open-source modeling tool that PCE developed to do its analysis, 
dubbed Matching Around-The-Clock Hourly Energy, is available for other 
California community choice aggregators or energy buyers that are 
interested in investigating their own 24/7 carbon-free energy 
opportunities, Pepper said. ​“We would be happy to work with anyone who 
wants to look at how they can use the model and put their data in,” she 
added.
https://www.canarymedia.com/articles/clean-energy/24-7-carbon-free-energy-is-about-to-become-a-reality-in-california


/[The news archive - looking back a famous opinion in the Washington 
Post - still applies today ]/
/*January  20, 2015*/
• Washington Post columnists Catherine Rampell and Eugene Robinson 
denounce the GOP's continued refusal to do anything about human-caused 
climate change.

    Opinions
    *Dangerously in denial on climate change*
    By Catherine Rampell  - January 19, 2015
    Last year, government scientists tell us, was the hottest year on
    record.

    This news is terribly — what’s the word? — inconvenient.

    No, not for polar bears or drought victims or coastal dwellers. It’s
    inconvenient for politicians across the country who, despite
    whatever data or overwhelming scientific consensus might be
    proffered, insist on denying global warming.

    In recent weeks, West Virginia has snatched national headlines for
    its attempts to doctor school science standards to discredit climate
    change. The sixth-grade science curriculum, for example, was amended
    so that, rather than having students “clarify evidence of the
    factors that have caused the rise in global temperatures over the
    past century,” they would examine causes behind the rise “and fall”
    in global temperatures.

    After a national outcry from educators, West Virginia backed down.
    But the science curriculum standards — which come from
    recommendations developed and adopted by a partnership of states —
    have already been rejected by Wyoming. South Carolina blocked the
    standards before they were even finalized, and other states are
    gearing up for similar battles. Climate change has slipped into the
    same contentious curricular role that evolution once occupied, and
    some sort of Scopes penguin trial or a debate over “intelligent
    warming” seems inevitable.

    The question is why. Passionate anti-evolution skepticism was
    clearly borne of biblical teaching. But the motivations behind
    climate denialism — which, to my knowledge, remains unaddressed in
    Genesis — are a bit blurrier.

    To some extent, of course, economic self-interest discourages a
    belief in man-made climate change, particularly if you’re from a
    state heavily dependent on fossil fuel production. West Virginia
    happens to be one such state, and a school board member there who
    backed the curricular changes even publicly alluded to the coal
    industry’s stake in the matter. Wyoming legislators’ thinking might
    be similarly influenced by their state’s status as both the nation’s
    top producer of coal — it is responsible for 39 percent of domestic
    production — and the top consumer of energy in per capita terms. In
    these states, man-made global warming is simply too economically
    inconvenient to be true.

    But plenty of other states keep voting climate-change deniers into
    office even though doing so is against their interests. South
    Carolina is one obvious example, since its lucrative coastal tourism
    industry is vulnerable to rising seas. Florida and Texas are likely
    to be hit with more and increasingly devastating hurricanes, but
    both have elected federal lawmakers who are outspoken skeptics of
    human-caused climate change: Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, and Sen.
    Ted Cruz and Rep. Lamar Smith of Texas, all Republicans.

    I mention these lawmakers in particular because they have the power
    to do a lot of damage on the science policy front, seeing as they,
    among other Republican climate “truthers,” all lead important
    committees or subcommittees that help set science policy. And in
    fact, it’s hard to talk about their party’s views of climate change
    without considering the broader context of its attitudes toward the
    entire scientific community.

    The Republican War on Science has become a bit of a cliche, and GOP
    leaders have denied that they are indeed waging such a war. But who
    could blame them if they were? Survey data show that conservatives —
    who, back in 1974, were the political group that expressed the
    highest amount of trust in science — are now the most distrusting of
    the scientific community. Decades of anti-elite, anti-intellectual
    rhetoric, combined with the Internet’s uncanny ability to connect
    like-minded conspiracy theorists, have sowed a great distrust not
    only of climate change research specifically but of scientific
    researchers in general.

    The ivory tower’s sole mission, in the minds of Republican leaders
    such as Sen. James Inhofe (Okla.) and his constituents, is not to
    push the boundaries of human knowledge but rather to perpetuate a
    great liberal hoax upon the world while crippling businesses and
    hoovering up Americans’ hard-won tax dollars for dubious research
    projects. Thus Republicans’ near-obsessive condemnations not only of
    strategies to combat climate change but also of the Environmental
    Protection Agency and of the relatively small amounts of tax dollars
    delivered through peer-reviewed grants. (A good way to delegitimize
    the science community further, by the way, is to cut public funding
    so that research agendas are more often dictated by the whims of
    private donors and corporate sponsors.)

    Conservative climate-change denialism is indeed dangerous, and not
    just because it threatens coral reefs and polar bears tomorrow. It’s
    also dangerous because it’s a symptom of a much greater
    anti-intellectual, anti-science epidemic, one that prioritizes
    populist punch lines over smart policy and threatens our ability to
    compete in the global economy today.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/catherine-rampell-dangerously-in-denial-on-climate-change/2015/01/19/20796658-a01c-11e4-b146-577832eafcb4_story.html?tid=HP_opinion?tid=HP_opinion 




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