[✔️] July 13, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | Vermont drone footage, Antarctic scientist, Bernie, Bill, AOC and others live, Weather never normal, Anti-ESG stupidity, GW Bush obscured science.
Richard Pauli
Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Thu Jul 13 04:46:52 EDT 2023
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/*July*//*13, 2023*/
/[ trend in local news has viewers sending in drone footage ] /
*Viewers share devastating scenes of flooding, damage across our region*
WCAX-TV Channel 3 News
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0YHfbQdqe8E
- -
/[ Antarctic scientist giving a summary to CCAG - Climate Crisis
Advisory Group - we need to consider RISK ]/
*Antarctica currently has very little sea ice – the lowest ever
recorded. What are the causes and likely consequences of this reduction?*
Jun 29, 2023
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O2WRb-MOFD0
/
/
/[ recorded archive of live event activist presentations Wednesday -
video ]/
*CLIMATE CHANGE: Where do we go from here? (LIVE AT 8PM ET)*
Bernie Sanders, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Bill McKibben, Senator
Sheldon Whitehouse, David Wallce-Welles
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SzEKxRvhOuU
/[ from an informed journalist ]//
/*Floods, Heat, Smoke: The Weather Will Never Be Normal Again*
July 12, 2023
By David Wallace-Wells
Opinion Writer
- -
A month ago, when orange skies blanketed New York, it was a sign to many
that this particular climate horror could no longer be conceptually
quarantined as a local phenomenon of the American West, where tens of
millions had already acclimated to living in the path of fire and every
year breathing in some amount of its toxic smoke. That was normal for
them, we New Yorkers thought, even though San Francisco had turned a
sunless dark amber for the first time only in 2020. It wasn’t normal for
us, we told ourselves. Then, when the air quality index dropped from 405
back into the 100s again, in the weeks after, the joggers hit the
pavement at their routine times, glad the sky was merely unhealthily smoggy.
Last weekend, it was Hudson Valley streets turned into swimming pools by
supercharged rain and ravines disgorging landslides that those in New
York City watched with a mix of horror and false relief. The flooding
was “upstate,” we told ourselves, though by “upstate,” of course, we
meant not even 50 miles north of the city. It was so close that as late
as Sunday morning, it seemed possible that the rains would bring a
deluge to the city worse than anything in the past decade. The United
States Military Academy at West Point was briefly flooded by a
once-in-a-thousand-years climate event. And yet the deluge seemed so
quotidian that you could’ve easily missed the alarm — as I did, not even
noting the threat of a storm until a few hours before it hit.
It is always comforting to believe disasters are far away, unfolding
elsewhere, but increasingly doing so means defining ever smaller
increments of space as distant. In this case, New Yorkers drew comfort
from the fickle path of a single local storm system. The rains had
pulled just a few miles west, on Sunday, sparing New York City and
instead pummeling Vermont, where government buildings acquired new
moats, Main Streets became canal towns, and ski resorts were flattened
by brown muddy rubble. People were kayaking through Montpelier, and the
Winooski River rose to levels not seen since catastrophic flooding in
1927. The governor had to hike his way to an open road.
It didn’t even seem that freakish, all things considered — we see so
many more climate-fueled disasters now, with global average temperatures
breaking records every day recently. There were terrifying floods this
week in Himachal Pradesh, in India, where several bridges collapsed and
others carrying dozens of cars and trucks seemed about to. Japan
experienced the “heaviest rain ever,” and in Spain, floodwaters carried
cars backward through traffic at rapid speeds, their drivers simply
watching powerless from the roof, where they’d taken refuge when the
water began filling the cabin. A monthslong heat wave centered on Texas
and Mexico and spread outward as far as Miami, which, as of Monday, had
reached heat indexes north of 100 degrees for 30 straight days. In Death
Valley in California, this week temperatures may reach or surpass the
global record of 130 degrees Fahrenheit, set just in 2021. In El Paso,
there hasn’t been a day that didn’t hit 100 for weeks.
Off the coast of Florida, the water was nearly as warm as a hot tub — 95
degrees according to one buoy, 97 degrees according to another. It was
just last month when life-threatening heat indexes as high as 125 simply
parked in Puerto Rico for days on end. According to a coral bleaching
forecast published by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, there is likely to be bleaching across the entire
Caribbean this summer. It’s not clear how much will survive. According
to some estimates, as much as 50 percent of the world’s oceans will
experience marine heat wave conditions this summer; normally the figure
is about 10 percent.
There are also the Canadian fires, which continue burning along an
off-the-charts trajectory, though the smoke has more recently dispersed
to the north and across to Europe rather than directly into the airways
of the American Northeast and Midwest. In the first 25 days of June,
more land burned in Quebec than had burned there over the previous 20
years combined. Across Canada as a whole, more than 22 million acres
have now burned, more than five times the record-shattering California
fire season of 2020 and more than double the totals from the most
destructive American seasons of the past 60 years.
But with New York’s skies merely unseasonably gray, we’ve moved on. As
my colleague David Gelles noted this week, writing from inside his own
flooding home, recent research suggests we may come to accept weather
extremes as normal within two years — a grim prophecy of accommodation
to disaster as a form of adaptation.
A year ago, as potentially lethal wet-bulb temperatures swallowed parts
of India and Pakistan where hundreds of millions lived, I wrote a long
essay headlined “Can you even call deadly heat ‘extreme’ anymore?” This
spring and summer, lethal heat swept the subcontinent again, delivering
temperatures regularly above 110 degrees Fahrenheit but generating
considerably less media attention in the West, though this time the
official death toll was higher.
A new analysis of last summer in Europe suggested that heat was
responsible for more than 61,000 deaths — an eye-popping figure all the
more remarkable for approaching the 70,000 dead in the 2003 European
heat wave, long described as a worst-case benchmark. In the aftermath,
it was often said that those heat deaths had changed Europe, which would
never again be quite so blindsided by extreme temperatures. But the
61,000 deaths last year passed with barely a murmur. This summer is only
halfway over, and Europe has been setting new temperature records almost
by the week. Presumably we won’t even know the mortality impacts for
some time, at which point even the extremes of this summer will have
passed into the rearview mirror, where they’ll look like some form of
familiar, too.
In fact, what has been perhaps most striking to me this summer is how
often global warming has caused what appears to be an unthinkable
extreme — and then is contextualized, by careful climate scientists, as
merely normal and predicted. Normally extreme, that is, and predictably
scary.
Last month, when mind-bending charts of anomalous ocean temperatures
were feverishly circulated on social media, it produced a sort of “calm
down” response from some of the world’s most esteemed and careful
climate scientists.
This probably wasn’t a step change, they said, or a tipping point, or
what is often called by those most gripped by apocalyptic climate panic
a “termination shock.” The record-setting ocean temperatures didn’t need
to be explained as a sudden impact of a 2020 ban on sulfur pollution,
which has a locally concentrated cooling effect when emitted by cargo
ships; or by a slowdown of the ocean’s temperature-regulating system; or
by some other unexpected and therefore alarming turn in the path of the
climate system as it marched farther outside the range of temperatures
that have enclosed all of human history. It may have had something to do
with the amount of Saharan dust circulating across the ocean. But in the
main, they said, it was just climate change.
In the end, the message isn’t all that reassuring. The experience of the
near future will mean quite regular encounters with seemingly
unprecedented events, often quite precisely predicted, but which so few
wanted to believe could ever become real. Fewer still want to believe
they might strike so close to home.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/12/opinion/floods-vermont-heat-fires.html
/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/12/opinion/floods-vermont-heat-fires.html?unlocked_article_code=tle6r721DpwzWOLQYez0k3l57WXbUQnvTq1imbWPgtWoFHAl9UtoMSlqTde2x0foghitLE4gqyltil9U29FgLwW72GhyfYGYJqnXpzF-dr7Q9efxlm2AEJBzm2Z3aoXCagPV8Ri0aRM9H3TzuoXoHajMIcisF3t1cw6tlNG2GnCYnPCeUpcC4hbVqS3wacS5YXicORxnExzF7J9IvXLk_kqNoup1zrSjFrtc8WKHrdaj4RDAhkBoQG5EbeHoez5lCCklVD4KGNDqEHhzQzmDGHlnYUCvgZPPfuzzPy8jdcG83zkAHOToyQGiZc_glH4yjTAkrT1biEtP_1mxiwwXwcM3SA&smid=url-share
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///[ if you follow the money, watch where you step - audio podcast ]/
*The depthless stupidity of Republicans' anti-ESG campaign*
A conversation with Kelly Mitchell of the watchdog group Documented.
JUL 12, 2023
For the last few years, the fastest growing segment of the global
financial services industry has been ESG (environmental, social, and
governance) funds.
Here’s how it works: one of several ratings firms uses its own
proprietary formula to rate how well a company is responding to
environmental, social, and governance risks. An environmental risk might
be: will the county where you’re locating your data centers have
sufficient water supply in coming years? A governance risk might be:
have you filed all the proper disclosures?
Fund managers like BlackRock then gather highly rated companies into ESG
funds, which are sold to investors as socially responsible. Hundreds of
billions of dollars flow into ESG funds every year.
Note that there’s a bit of a shell game at the heart of the enterprise.
What customers and investors generally think is that a company gets high
ESG ratings because it goes above and beyond in those areas, that it is
trying to “do well by doing good.” But in reality, high ESG ratings
simply mean that a company is responding to material risks — maximizing
its profits, as public companies are bound by law to do.
So Tesla gets no ESG credit for accelerating the electric vehicle
market, but it can pull a low ESG rating (and fall out of ESG funds)
over vulnerability to lawsuits over working conditions. (This is why
Elon calls ESG “the devil incarnate.”) McDonald’s loses no ESG points
for the enormous carbon impact of its supply chain, but it gains points
for reducing plastic in its packaging, because regulations against
plastic packaging are imminent in Europe.
So investors get to feel like do-gooders and big companies are rewarded
for carrying out their legal obligation to assess risks to their
business. There’s not much social benefit to the whole thing, but
everyone feels good and green and happy.
Except now there’s a problem: Republicans bought it. The whole sales
pitch — they believe it. They believe that companies in ESG funds are
going out of their way to do social and environmental good … and they’re
furious about it.
Over the past year or two, an enormous, billionaire-funded backlash
against ESG has consumed the GOP, leading to multiple congressional
hearings, hundreds of proposed state bills, and red-state treasurers
vowing never to do business with woke lefty activist funds like [checks
notes] BlackRock.
It is stupid almost beyond reckoning. And I’m just brushing the surface.
To dig into the deep layers of dumb and where it all might go, I called
Kelly Mitchell. She’s a senior analyst at the journalistic watchdog
group Documented, which uncovered emails and other communications
between the architects of the anti-ESG campaign that led to a New York
Times exposé...
https://www.volts.wtf/p/the-depthless-stupidity-of-republicans?utm_source=podcast-email%2Csubstack&publication_id=193024&post_id=132685761&utm_medium=email#details
/[The news archive - looking back at early misinformation skirmish ]/
/*July 13, 2003 */
July 13, 2003: Former EPA Climate Policy Adviser Jeremy Symons recounts
the George W. Bush Administration's assault on climate science in a
Washington Post op-ed.
washingtonpost.com
*How Bush and Co. Obscure the Science*
By Jeremy Symons
Sunday, July 13, 2003
Christine Todd Whitman's tenure at the Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) ended last month much
the way it began, amid controversy over the Bush administration's
unwillingness to craft an effective
response to global warming. Whitman arrived just before the
president reversed a campaign promise to
reduce global warming pollution from power plants. As she leaves,
leaked EPA documents suggest that
the White House attempted to rewrite an EPA report to play down the
risks of global warming.
Regardless of who replaces Whitman as EPA administrator, a change in
direction is needed from the
White House itself. What began with the Bush administration
exercising its discretion over policy
choices on global warming has devolved into attempts to suppress
scientific information. These efforts
jeopardize the credibility of federal agencies and the information
they provide to Congress and the
public.
The administration's commitment to protecting the environment has
been an issue from the outset, when
the Bush team made a number of policy decisions on global warming
that matched those advocated by
the coal and oil industries.
At EPA, where I was then serving as a climate policy adviser, we
believed one of Whitman's first tasks
would be to make good on the president's campaign promise to seek
new laws to reduce pollution from
power plants, the largest U.S. source of carbon dioxide emissions
that trap heat in the atmosphere. But as
soon as Whitman publicly reiterated the president's pledge in late
February 2001, a debate ensued within
the administration. White House aides drafted a six-page memorandum
to John Bridgeland, who was
then the president's deputy assistant for domestic policy. It listed
the potential impacts on the coal
industry, but devoted only six sentences to the science of global
warming. Two weeks later, the president
sent a letter to Congress announcing that he would no longer support
new controls on global warming
pollution from power plants. His letter left no room for compromise.
Whitman, who had argued throughout the brief but intense debate that
the White House should at least
leave its options open, had been publicly undermined. Secretary of
State Colin L. Powell compared her
to a "wind dummy," a military term for a dummy that is pushed out of
an airplane to determine which
way the wind is blowing. When Vice President Cheney noted that
Whitman was being a "good soldier,"
the tone for the EPA's role in the administration was set.
Since U.S. power plants alone account for 10 percent of global
carbon dioxide emissions, the Bush
administration next had to address the issue on the international
stage. A State Department options paper
in March 2001 outlined potential next steps for dealing with our
allies on the Kyoto Protocol, an
international agreement to reduce greenhouse gas emissions that the
president opposed. According to the
paper, the United States could "repudiate the Kyoto negotiating
process" altogether. Or, the
administration could advance its own proposal in order to "give us
time to develop a credible alternative
approach to Kyoto, rather than simply blowing up the current
negotiations." But the paper warned that
leaving the door open to an alternative agreement "may not fully
satisfy domestic groups that wish to
drive the final stake in the heart of the Protocol." The United
States subsequently walked away without
offering an alternative.
With more than 80 percent of the nation's global warming pollution
coming from the use of fossil fuels,
the Bush energy plan dashed all hope for proposals to ease global
warming. The plan, released in May
2001, made increased supplies of coal, oil and natural gas the
priority in the coming decades.
In the few months that I worked under Whitman, I represented the EPA
on the interagency working
group that had been charged by Cheney with drafting the energy plan.
Cheney's staff refereed the
meetings, which were attended by representatives from other federal
agencies and the White House.
During the sessions I attended, the Energy Department continually
pushed plans to increase coal and oil
supplies while paying little heed to promoting energy efficiency and
clean energy sources, options that
could help meet the nation's growing energy needs without increasing
pollution.
The issue of energy conservation came to a head at a Cabinet-level
meeting hosted by Cheney on April 3,
2001. Whitman recommended that the government set a national goal
for energy efficiency measured as
a reduction in the nation's energy use relative to the size of the
economy over the next two decades.
People who attended the meeting told me later that Secretary of
Energy Spencer Abraham spoke against
the proposal, noting that it would only invite unwelcome scrutiny of
the energy plan's modest energy
efficiency provisions. He prevailed.
Within a few months of taking office, the administration had hung a
"do not disturb" sign on U.S. policy
toward global warming. But the administration's position -- that new
regulations would harm U.S.
industry -- is not shared by most Americans, who are optimistic
about the ability of businesses to
innovate and adapt.
Concerned about public opinion, presidential counselor Karen Hughes
called a White House
communications strategy meeting on the environment in April 2001,
declaring that green issues "are
killing us," according to a Time magazine report. Having ruled out
any significant policy change,
however, the administration's only choice was damage control.
One example was its effort to raise doubts about the international
scientific consensus that carbon
dioxide pollution is causing global warming. In May 2001, the White
House asked the National Research
Council, part of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, for a second
opinion. But the effort backfired.
The council's report confirmed the scientific consensus that
greenhouse gas emissions are major
contributors to global warming,
Then a June 2002 report by the EPA and the State Department
concluded that "continuing growth in
greenhouse gas emissions is likely to lead to annual average warming
over the United States that could
be as much as several degrees Celsius (roughly 3 to 9 degrees
Fahrenheit) during the 21st century." The
report also detailed deleterious effects on public health and the
environment in each region of the
country, warning, for example, that "drought is likely to be more
frequent and intense" in the Great
Plains.
Pressed to respond, Bush dismissed the report as a product of "the
bureaucracy," denigrating years of
work by scientists throughout the federal government.
Afterward, the administration took a much bolder approach to dodge
such embarrassment by trying to
minimize awareness of the threat of global warming. In September
2002, it stripped a global warming
section from an annual EPA report on trends in air pollution. An
annual update had been included for
years.
Most recently, internal EPA documents obtained by the National
Wildlife Federation show that White
House officials tried to force the EPA to alter the scientific
content of a report in order to play down the
risks of global warming. The EPA has billed the report, released in
June, as "the first-ever national
picture of environmental quality and human health in the United
States." An internal EPA decision paper
noted that White House officials were insisting on "major edits" to
the climate change section and were
telling the EPA that "no further changes may be made" beyond the
White House edits. In the internal
paper, EPA staff warned that the report "no longer accurately
represents scientific consensus on climate
change." The EPA ultimately pulled the global warming section from
the report to avoid publishing
information that is not scientifically credible.
Former EPA administrator Russell Train responded in a letter to the
New York Times. "Having served as
EPA administrator under both Presidents Nixon and Ford, I can state
categorically that there never was
such White House intrusion into the business of the EPA during my
tenure," he wrote. "The EPA was
established as an independent agency in the executive branch, and so
it should remain. There appears
today to be a steady erosion in its independent status."
Perhaps the most disturbing element of the leaked papers is that so
far the White House has been
unapologetic.
The leaked EPA memo provides only one glimpse into the
administration's recent efforts to control
information on global warming. The Washington Post reported this
month that the EPA scrubbed its
analysis of a congressional plan to require power plants to reduce
emissions of carbon dioxide and other
air pollutants. The EPA estimated the cost of the proposal, but
withheld information that it would result
in 17,800 fewer premature deaths every year than would the
president's air pollution plan (dubbed "Clear
Skies" by the administration's spin doctors). The EPA recently
turned down Arizona Sen. John McCain's
request for an analysis of a global warming plan that he and
Connecticut Sen. Joseph Lieberman intend
to add to pending energy legislation, breaking the agency's long
tradition of providing such assistance to
Congress.
The administration's conduct illustrates a broader pattern of
managing information to fend off criticism
on environmental initiatives such as weakening the Clean Air Act and
lifting Clean Water Act
protections for wetlands. For example, the administration postponed
an analysis requested by an EPA
advisory group reviewing toxic mercury emissions from power plants
for fear it would discredit Bush's
proposed changes in the Clean Air Act.
When President Reagan pursued a more overt agenda of undermining the
EPA's ability to regulate
industry, aggressive congressional oversight led to the resignation
of the EPA head, Ann Gorsuch
Burford. Despite the similarly far reaching impact of the current
administration's proposed rollbacks in
clean water and air protections, Congress has been largely held at
bay by the White House's adept control
of information.
Soon Bush will pick a new head for the EPA. In the confirmation
hearings, it will be incumbent upon
senators to demand accountability not just from the nominee, but
from the White House itself.
Author's e-mail: symons at nwf.org
http://stephenschneider.stanford.edu/Publications/PDF_Papers/Symons.pdf?language=printer
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