[✔️] May 8, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | 111C, Ins costs rise, Arctic warmings, monthly analysis, Montana gets tough, 1989 Bush sabotages Hansen

Mon May 8 08:35:04 EDT 2023

/*May*//*8, 2023*/

/[  That's 111 degrees Fahrenheit  ]/
*Climate change: Vietnam records highest-ever temperature of 44.1C*
- -
In Vietnam's central city of Danang, farmer Nguyen Thi Lan told AFP the 
heat was forcing workers to start earlier than ever and finish by 10:00.

Vietnam's previous record temperature of 43.4C was set in central Ha 
Tinh province four years ago.

Further west, the Bangladeshi capital Dhaka recorded its highest 
temperature since the 1960s while Indian authorities said parts of the 
country were experiencing temperatures that were three or four degrees 
above normal.

In April, Spain recorded its hottest-ever temperature for that month, 
hitting 38.8C at Cordoba airport in the south of the country.

In March climate scientists said a key global temperature goal was 
likely to be missed.

Governments had previously agreed to act to avoid global temperature 
rises going above 1.5C. But the world has already warmed by 1.1C and now 
experts say that it is likely to breach 1.5C in the 2030s.

In its report, the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change said 
"every increment of global warming will intensify multiple and 
concurrent hazards".
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-65518528

/[ Opinion ]/
*Your Homeowners’ Insurance Bill Is the Canary in the Climate Coal Mine*
May 7, 2023...
- -
Why are so many home buyers putting themselves in harm’s way? The 
simplest explanation is that they are choosing to focus on the 
short-term benefits of sunny weather rather than the longer-term 
problems. A defining feature of the pandemic housing boom has been 
Americans, particularly retirees, moving southward. And with about 
10,000 Americans turning 65 each day, this pattern could continue for 
years to come....
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/07/opinion/climate-change-homeowners-insurance-housing-market.html

/[  makes one pause - 12 min YouTube video 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A3tV_l-zTXA ] /
*News you don't want to hear about the arctic.*
Just Have a Think
May 7, 2023
Arctic temperatures are rising as much as four times faster than the 
global average, and we've all heard about the reduction in the surface 
area of sea ice. Now a new study has identified an abrupt decrease in 
the thickness of ice too. But what are the consequences and why should 
we care?

Video Transcripts available at our website
http://www.justhaveathink.com

Interested in mastering and remembering the concepts that I present in 
my videos? Check out the FREE Dive Deeper mini-courses offered by the 
Center for Behavior and Climate. These mini-courses teach the main 
concepts in select JHAT videos and go beyond to help you learn 
additional scientific or conservation concepts. The courses are great 
for teachers to use or for individual learning.
https://climate.bds.com/just-have-a-think-jhat

Research links

    Phys.Org
    https://phys.org/news/2023-04-arctic-peak-ice-shrunk-area.html

    NSIDC
    http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2023/03/

    The Economist - Climate Migrants : What can be done?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A3AuCQml7IQ

    Climate.gov
    https://www.climate.gov/maps-data/data-snapshots/data-source/arctic-sea-ice-age

    Zack Labe
    https://zacklabe.com/

    European Environment Agency - GDP Projections
    https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/past-and-projected-global-economic-output-1

    Financial Times - Habitable areas on Earth in 2070
    https://www.ft.com/content/072b5c87-7330-459b-a947-be6767a1099d

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A3tV_l-zTXA

- -

[ See the monthly archives ]
*Arctic Sea Ice News & Analysis *
MONTHLY ARCHIVES: MARCH 2023
Arctic sea ice maximum at fifth lowest on satellite record
https://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2023/03/

/[ Montana makes it harder to challenge carbon infrastructure ]/
*New Montana laws plow through environmental regulations for fossil fuels*
Tom Lutey
May 7, 2030
Montanans will have a harder time challenging state government 
decisions, while cities are losing the ability to regulate anything 
involving fossil fuels, from power plants to gas stations, under new 
laws passed by the Montana Legislature.

Before ending its biennial session May 2, the Legislature’s Republican 
majority created several laws plowing a regulatory road for mining and 
fossil fuels.

The House GOP suspended rules to rush to the aid of a gas-fired power 
plant being built by NorthWestern Energy, which had been court ordered 
to halt construction because state permitters had ignored carbon emissions.

Senate Republicans went to work on bills making it more expensive for 
citizens to challenge government decisions on issues ranging from power 
plants and mining to management of bison and elk, as well as the 
preservation of battlefields and burial grounds. All those subjects are 
supposed to receive due diligence under permitting steps prescribed by 
the Montana Environmental Policy Act, the state’s half-century old a 
look-before-you-leap review of impacts to the environment, wildlife, and 
historical and cultural sites. Challenging the state’s pre-permit review 
will now require a lawsuit...
https://billingsgazette.com/news/new-montana-laws-plow-through-environmental-regulations-for-fossil-fuels/article_99ffab2a-ebd8-11ed-b13a-57c25ebdbb33.html

/[The news archive - looking back at a powerful act of unkindness to the 
future ]/
/*May 8, 1989*/
May 8, 1989: The New York Times reports that the Office of Management 
and Budget in the George H. W. Bush administration altered NASA climate 
scientist James Hansen's upcoming Senate testimony to emphasize alleged 
uncertainties in climate science.

    The White House's Office of Management and Budget has changed the
    text of testimony scheduled to be delivered to Congress by a top
    Government scientist, over his protests, making his conclusions
    about the effects of global warming seem less serious and certain
    than he intended.

    The testimony had been prepared by Dr. James E. Hansen, director of
    the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's Goddard
    Institute for Space Studies, for delivery Monday before the Senate
    Subcommittee on Science, Technology and Space, Congressional sources
    said. Dr. Hansen confirmed that the testimony had been changed.

    In his original testimony, he said that computer projections of
    climatic changes caused by carbon dioxide and other gases released
    into the atmosphere would cause substantial temperature increases,
    drought, severe storms and other stresses that will affect the
    earth's biological systems.

    The text of his testimony was edited by the budget office to soften
    the conclusions and make the prospects of change in climate appear
    more uncertain, Dr. Hansen said in an interview.
    The budget office and other officials in the White House have been
    urging a go-slow approach to policies dealing with global warming,
    called the greenhouse effect by scientists. Those officials have
    opposed the State Department and Environmental Protection Agency,
    which have been urging President Bush to take the lead in mobilizing
    the international community to meet the threat of rapid climate
    change. The Administration is deeply split over whether to endorse
    an international treaty that would require action to deal with
    global warming, high-ranking executive branch officials said.

    Senator Albert Gore, Democrat of Tennessee and chairman of the
    subcommittee, who had been told by Dr. Hansen of the alterations in
    the testimony, said that White House officials were attempting to
    change science to make it conform to their policy rather than base
    policy on accurate scientific data.

    ''They are scared of the truth,'' Mr. Gore said. He charged that the
    testimony was censored to support those in the Office of Management
    and Budget and other parts of the Administration who are seeking to
    keep the United States from proposing an international treaty to
    ameliorate the now widely anticipated global warming trend.

    Mr. Gore said that at a future hearing ''I intend to ask O.M.B.
    officials who have substituted their scientific judgments for those
    of atmospheric scientists to come in and testify about the basis for
    their conclusions. I want to determine their qualifications, the
    climate models they have used, the amount of study they have given
    to the subject and the evidence that they found most persuasive. And
    I intend to pursue this at great length.'' Budget Office Review Is
    Routine

    A spokeswoman for the budget office reached Saturday said that she
    made repeated attempts to seek an explanation but that no one from
    the office was available to respond to questions about the changed
    testimony. She also said that the only press official who will agree
    to have her name used in connection with budget office statements is
    Barbara Clay, who was among those not available.
    The Office of Management and Budget routinely reviews testimony to
    be presented to Congressional committees by officials to make sure
    that Federal policy conforms to the President's budget.

    The United States heads an international panel assigned the task of
    preparing a policy response to the global warming trend. The panel
    is scheduled to make recommendations at a meeting sponsored by the
    United Nations in Geneva this week.

    Secretary of State James A. Baker 3d and Environmental Protection
    Agency Administrator William K. Reilly are said to be urging that
    the United States take the lead on a convention to meet the threat
    of global warming. But officials in the White House, including the
    Office of Management and Budget, as well as in the Department of
    Energy, are urging a wait-and-see approach, saying the scientific
    information and data on economic effects of a remedial action are
    inadequate.

    Dr. Hansen's testimony, before it was changed, would have given
    strong support to the position that while there are still many
    uncertainities, enough is known now about the general and even
    regional effects of the global warming trend to start acting now to
    mitigate and prepare for those effects. Dr. Hansen concluded, for
    example, ''We believe it is very unlikely that this overall
    conclusion - drought intensification at most middle- and
    low-latitude land ares, if greenhouse gases increase rapidly - will
    be modified by improved models.''

    At the end of the section of his testimony dealing with regional
    effects of global warming, however, the Office of Management and
    Budget, over Dr. Hansen's objections, added this paragraph: ''Again,
    I must stress that the rate and magnitude of drought, storm, and
    temperature change are very sensitive to the many physical processes
    mentioned above, some of which are poorly represented in the
    G.C.M.'s [ general climate models ] . Thus, these changes should be
    viewed as estimates from evolving computer models and not as
    reliable predictions.'' Scientists Criticizes Change

    Dr. Hansen said in an interview that the additional paragraph served
    to ''negate'' the entire point of that part of his testimony, which
    was that scientific understanding has now reached the stage where
    ''we can begin to draw significant conclusions about droughts,
    storm, temperature - conclusions which are unlikely to change as the
    models and observational data become more detailed.''

    Another change required the testimony to say that the relative
    contribution of human and natural processes to changing climate
    patterns ''remains scientifically unknown.'' In fact, Dr. Hansen
    said, he and his colleagues at NASA who helped prepare the testimony
    ''are confident that greenhouse gases are primarily'' of human origin.

    ''It distresses me that they put words in my mouth; they even put it
    in the first person,'' Dr. Hansen said, adding that he had tried to
    ''negotiate'' with the budget office over the wording but ''they
    refused to change.''

    ''I should be allowed to say what is my scientific position; there
    is no rationale by which O.M.B. should be censoring scientific
    opinion,'' Dr. Hansen insisted. ''I can understand changing policy,
    but not science.''

    While there is strong consensus within the scientific community that
    the greenhouse effect is real, there have been a substantial number
    of challenges to Dr. Hansen's contention that long-term global
    temperature trends show a high probability that it is already taking
    place. Dr. Hansen's testimony that the global warming trend is
    already occurring was presented to Congress last July and attracted
    widespread attention.

    While the O.M.B., in its function of coordinating policies within
    the executive branch, reviews and edits such testimony, the research
    findings of Government scientists are subject to peer review, not to
    change by the policy-oriented budget office. Dr. Hansen's testimony
    was based on his and his colleagues' research, which had been
    subjected to such peer review.

    Mr. Reilly, asked about what proposals the United States would take
    to the Geneva meeting on global warming, said ''the United States
    Government would be very positive and very involved.'' As for United
    States sponsorship of an international treaty, he said, ''We are
    still looking at whether a convention is desirable and what it
    should contain.''

    A number of foreign leaders have been urging the United States to
    take the lead on global action to meet the threat of global warming,
    recalling President Bush's campaign pledge to exert such leadership.

    Prime Minister Gro Harlem Brundtland of Norway, who discussed the
    issue with the President last week, said in an interview on Friday:
    ''A United States leadership role is essential. The United States
    has to step forward in this process.''

http://www.nytimes.com/1989/05/08/us/scientist-says-budget-office-altered-his-testimony.html

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