[✔️] November 12, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | Huge contradiction, Sabine correction, Manchin tries to harness the bull, Exxon knew, Simon Michaux. 2012 Grover Norquist
Richard Pauli
Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Sun Nov 12 09:08:20 EST 2023
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/*November *//*12, 2023*/
/[ Opinion from The Atlantic ]/
*One Huge Contradiction Is Undoing Our Best Climate Efforts*
The math isn’t adding up.
By Zoë Schlanger
NOVEMBER 10, 2023
You’d be forgiven for thinking that the fight against climate change is
finally going well. The clean-energy revolution is well under way and
exceeding expectations. Solar is set to become the cheapest form of
energy in most places by 2030, and the remarkable efficiency of heat
pumps is driving their own uptake now. Sales of electric vehicles could
surpass those of gas-burning cars in the next six years. The world’s
biggest powers are putting huge sums toward infrastructure to usher in
some form of energy transformation. Pledges are being made; legislation
is being passed. The world, it seems, is finally lurching in the right
direction.
But none of that is enough, practically speaking, because of one
enormous hitch: The world is still using more energy each year, our
consumption ticking ever upward, swallowing any gains made by renewable
energy. Emissions are still rising—more slowly than they used to but,
nonetheless, rising. Instead of getting pushed down, that needle is
fitfully jiggling above zero, clawing into the positive digits when it
needs to be deeply pitched into the negative. We are, in other words,
simply not making a dent...
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2023/11/climate-change-policies-contradictions/675967/
/[ this //controversial //Net Zero lecture repairs her previous version
-- video ]/
*[Re-upload] The Net Zero Myth. Why Reaching our Climate Goals is
Virtually Impossible*
Sabine Hossenfelder
Nov 11, 2023 #science #climatechange #environment
- -
Everyone is talking about Net Zero. But Net Zero what? What does this
even mean? Is it a reasonable goal? How far are we on the way? And do we
have any chance of reaching it? For this video, we have collected all
facts and numbers that you need to join the discussion.
This video comes with a quiz which you can take here:
https://quizwithit.com/start_thequiz/1699515745778x206633411542960240
Many thanks to Jordi Busqué for helping with this video
http://jordibusque.com/
00:00 Intro
00:20 Net zero definition
01:56 Why aim for Net Zero?
05:05 Where are we on the way to net zero?
07:19 Not all is bad
10:54 Carbon Capture
15:03 Resistance
16:25 Summary
16:36 Make a Difference with Planet Wild!!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2bJTOymi3eo
/[ He helped with a bubble gum repair to a Titanic gash. a shrewd
politician just beginning to act against a world of a hundred Pearl
Harbor catastrophes per day - Manchin is trying to harness this dilemma.
Maybe some day, but for now anything less than World Government will be
tepid tokenism. ]/
*Joe Manchin deserves (some) credit for fighting climate change*
You do, in this circumstance, gotta hand it to him.
By Umair Irfan Nov 11, 2023,
The 2022 Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) — with nearly $370 billion
allocated to wind turbines, electric cars, transmission lines, heat
pumps, and environmental cleanup — is the single largest piece of US
legislation to keep climate change in check.
And West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin, who this week announced he will
not seek reelection, was absolutely essential to getting it over the
line. Don’t take my word for it: President Joe Biden specifically
praised Manchin this week for his vote on the IRA, which passed the
Senate 51-50 on August 7, 2022...
- -
It’s hard to overstate how big of a deal the Inflation Reduction Act is
for climate change. The country has committed to cutting its greenhouse
gas emissions by 50 to 52 percent from 2005 levels by 2030. The IRA on
its own is poised to cut emissions by about 40 percent, according to the
Environmental Protection Agency. Manchin was also critical in shaping
the $1 trillion Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL) that includes
funding for adapting to the effects of climate change, though that law
passed the Senate 69-30.
It’s also important to note how difficult it was to pass these bills, in
no small part due to Manchin himself. As the deciding vote, he
previously tanked the $555 billion Build Back Better Act in 2021. And as
legislators scrambled to come up with a backup plan, Manchin’s
opposition to the Clean Energy Performance Program — which would pay
power utilities to switch from fossil fuels to clean energy sources —
kept a powerful tool to limit emissions in the box
- -
In response, environmental activists focused their ire on Manchin,
noting his longstanding ties to the fossil fuel industry. According to
Open Secrets, Manchin was the largest Senate recipient of money from the
coal, oil, and gas industries in 2022. Campaigners also painted him as
wealthy and out of touch: They accosted him on his houseboat and
surrounded his Maserati.
During negotiations for the BIL and IRA, Manchin effectively leveraged
his position. He landed a $925 million hydrogen hub to develop clean
hydrogen in West Virginia. In the IRA, Manchin secured a permanent
extension of the federal fund for coal miners affected by black lung
disease, incentives to build renewables in old fossil fuel mining
regions, and tax credits for hydrogen and carbon capture, technologies
that could extend a lifeline to coal, oil, and gas.
He’s been pleased with the results. “Today, West Virginia is attracting
more investment, opportunity, and jobs than it has in decades,” he said
in a video announcement. “Here at home and across the country, we are
building more roads, bridges, manufacturing plants, and energy
infrastructure than almost any time in American history.”...
- -
So why credit Manchin on climate?
In short, he easily could’ve said no, but he didn’t. Keep in mind that
climate change legislation has long struggled in Congress, even under
far more favorable circumstances. In 1997, the Senate, with a 52-seat
Republican majority, voted 95-0 against the Kyoto Protocol, an early
attempt at an international climate treaty. The 2009 American Clean
Energy and Security Act, a.k.a. Waxman-Markey, which would have created
a cap and trade scheme to limit carbon dioxide emissions, didn’t even
come up for a vote in the Senate where Democrats had a 60-vote majority
because of the threat of a Republican filibuster.
Manchin, a Democrat in a state Trump won by almost 39 points in 2020,
has also been in a dicey position. Despite this, Manchin voted with Joe
Biden 88 percent of the time. Meanwhile, Republicans, if anything, have
become even more hostile to action on climate change. Every Republican
voted against the IRA, including the two senators from Texas, the
largest wind energy-producing state; the two senators from Louisiana,
which is losing land to sea level rise; and the two senators from
Florida, where insurers are fleeing due to mounting losses from extreme
weather. None of the Republican contenders for president are willing to
say that humans are heating up the planet.
Climate change, at its core, is a collective action problem. To limit
warming, everyone is going to have to eventually zero out their
greenhouse gas emissions, not just in the US but around the world. That
demands a radical transformation of the global economy, and the window
for action is slamming shut. Those changes require building coalitions,
making concessions, and taking steps that appear frustratingly
inadequate because the alternative is dithering as the situation gets
worse. This year is likely to be the hottest year humanity has ever
measured and possibly the hottest humans have ever experienced, a grim
window into the future of a warming world.
The same challenge is playing out at an international scale. At the end
of November, climate negotiators from around the world will gather at
the COP28 conference for a deliberative process somehow even more arcane
and vexatious than the US Senate. At the meeting — held in the United
Arab Emirates, a major oil producer — countries whose economies depend
on fossil fuels will have to come to an agreement with countries baking
under extreme heat or being swallowed up by rising seas. Countries that
are literally at war with each other will have to sign off on the next
steps to limit carbon dioxide.
So one can deride all the features of the US political system that end
up putting so much weight on one Senate vote — Senate malapportionment,
a right-wing-dominated Supreme Court, archaic legislative traditions —
but unless any of these variables change, that single vote matters, even
if it’s always milked for maximum drama.
Whether his decision was sincere, cynical, or hypocritical, actions
speak louder than words, and Manchin ultimately delivered a victory for
Democrats and US efforts to curb climate change. And whether or not
Democrats and environmental campaigners are feeling grateful, they’re
facing a much more hostile landscape for the Senate in the next election
and may soon find that they will miss him when he’s gone...
https://www.vox.com/climate/23955967/joe-manchin-climate-change-senate-biden-inflation
/[ Exxon Knew - updating video indictment of disinformation ]/
*How Long Did Exxon Know About Climate Change?*
Planet Zero - Climate Change
Nov 11, 2023 #climatecrisis #exxonmobil #greenwashing
It should come as no shock that ExxonMobil is aware that their product
is harming the planet and contributing to climate change. But what may
surprise you is that they had knowledge of this going as far back as
1977. Yet, with all this research about carbon emissions and their
impact on climate, Exxon refused to inform the public, openly lied on
record, and made no changes to their operations. Now, in 2023, with our
climate showing warning signs of a breakdown, what consequences should
Exxon face for their actions?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Q9jvU0Ygus
- -
*[ Planet Zero is a worthy and interesting channel ]*
https://www.youtube.com/@PlanetZeroVideos/featured
/[ discussions familiar across the simple and the complex ]/
*Peak Oil Chat: October Edition w/ Simon Michaux*
Andrii Zvorygin
Streamed live on Oct 30, 2023
See our Peak Oil Chat with Simon Michaux. Topics: Michael Dowd, Saudi
demand vs supply, deep dives into Net Zero 2050, Baseline calculations,
Power & Metal Production, Hydro storage, Hydrogen, Sensitivity
Scenarios, Alternative Batteries, Commodities, Thorium, Q&A, and more.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X4E_rlxwzDI
/[The news archive about Tax Killer Grover Norquist ]/
/*November 12, 2012 */
November 12, 2012: Powerful conservative activist Grover Norquist is
quoted in the National Journal as saying that a federal revenue-neutral
carbon tax would not violate the Republican Party's "no new taxes"
position. After being viciously criticized by representatives from Koch
Industries, Norquist abruptly flip-flops.
http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/11/13/1182511/grover-norquist-abruptly-reverses-position-on-carbon-tax-after-facing-criticism-from-koch-backed-group/
*Grover Norquist Abruptly Changes Position On Carbon Tax After Facing
Criticism From Koch-Backed Group*
By Stephen Lacey on Nov 13, 2012
Anti-tax crusader Grover Norquist raised a lot of eyebrows on Monday
when he told National Journal that a carbon tax might be on the table if
it were swapped with a cut to the income tax.
“It’s possible you could structure something that wasn’t an increase and
didn’t violate the pledge,” he reportedly said.
As president of Americans for Tax Reform, Norquist has convinced
hundreds of members of Congress to sign a pledge that they will never
raise taxes. While his influence appears to be waning in Washington,
Norquist’s tax pledge is still considered gospel for many Republicans.
That’s why his willingness to consider a tax on global warming pollution
is a big deal in political circles.
But one day later, after being criticized by the American Energy
Alliance, the advocacy arm of a Koch-supported energy think tank devoted
to promoting fossil fuel development, Norquist has completely reversed
his statement, saying there virtually “no conceivable way” he could
support a tax on carbon.
“Grover, just butch it up and oppose this lousy idea directly. This
word-smithing is giving us all headaches,” wrote AEA in its newsletter,
while promoting a newly-published study labeling carbon taxes “political
cronyism.”
Americans for Tax Reform issued this statement this morning:
*Americans for Tax Reform opposes a carbon tax and will work
tirelessly to ensure one does not become law.*
Taxing American energy consumption not only opens up a new revenue
stream for proponents of big government, but threatens to forever
damage the American economy.
Americans for Tax Reform President Grover Norquist describes a
carbon tax this way:
“The creation of any new tax such as a VAT or energy tax — even if
originally passed with offsetting tax reductions elsewhere — would
inevitably lead to higher taxes as two taxes would be at the
disposal of politicians to increase taxes. Two smaller tapeworms are
not an improvement over one big tapeworm. Tapeworms and taxes grow.
There is no conceivable way to add an energy or VAT tax to the
burdens American taxpayers face that would not violate the pledge
over time. If someone first passed and implemented a constitutional
amendment with 2/3 of the House and Senate and 3/4 of the states
concurring to forbid the restoration of the income tax, we might
more safely consider passing a VAT or energy VAT. And then it would
be foolish and economically destructive thing to do.”
Meanwhile, conservatives who understand the threat of climate change
continue to discuss the prospects for pricing carbon in Obama’s second
term, possibly as part of a grand bargain on a deficit deal. While some
consider taxing carbon pollution a “pipe dream,” others believe it’s one
of the only opportunities to get Congressional Republicans to support a
carbon reduction policy. Norquist’s immediate reversal shows just how
difficult it will be to bring enough Republicans around on the issue and
get something done.
The Obama Administration said last week that it has no intentions to
introduce a carbon tax proposal.
https://web.archive.org/web/20121115231519/https://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/11/13/1182511/grover-norquist-abruptly-reverses-position-on-carbon-tax-after-facing-criticism-from-koch-backed-group/
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