[✔️] November 22, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | WMO accelerating rise, record highs, WMO Greenhouse Gas Bulletin, Argentina reels, Why still terrifying, UN, Compost toilets, 2006 Newsweek blunder
Richard Pauli
Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Wed Nov 22 10:29:04 EST 2023
/*November *//*22, 2023*/
/[ clips from the Press Release from the WHO ]/
*Greenhouse Gas concentrations hit record high. Again.*
Published 15 November 2023
Press Release Number: 15112023
Geneva, 15 November (WMO) - The abundance of heat-trapping greenhouse
gases in the atmosphere once again reached a new record last year and
there is no end in sight to the rising trend, according to a new report
from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
Global averaged concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO2), the most
important greenhouse gas, in 2022 were a full 50% above the
pre-industrial era for the first time. They continued to grow in 2023...
- -
*It cites the need for greater information about:*
*Feedback Mechanisms:* The Earth's climate system has multiple
feedback loops, for example, increased carbon emissions from soils
or decreased carbon uptake by oceans due to changing climate as
illustrated for Europe for the droughts in 2018 and 2022.
*Tipping Points: *The climate system may be close to so called
"tipping points", where a certain level of change leads to
self-accelerating and potentially irreversible cascade of changes.
Examples would include the potential rapid die-back of the Amazon
rainforest, slowing of the northern ocean circulation or the
destabilization of large ice sheets;
*Natural Variability: *The major three greenhouse gases have
substantial variability driven by natural processes superimposed on
anthropogenic signal (e.g., driven by El Niño). This variability can
either amplify or dampen observed changes over short periods;
*Non-CO₂ Greenhouse Gases:* Climate change is driven by multiple
greenhouse gases, not just CO2. These gases have different
atmospheric lifetimes, greater Global Warming Potential (GWP) than
CO2 and uncertain future emissions...
https://public.wmo.int/en/media/press-release/greenhouse-gas-concentrations-hit-record-high-again
- -
/[ clip from WMO Bulletin is 11 pages ]/
*WMO GREENHOUSE GAS BULLETIN*
No. 19 | 15 November 2023
Achieving the goal of net-zero emissions and meeting
the Paris Agreement’s target of limiting global warming
to well below 2 °C, with a specific focus on keeping
it within 1.5 °C above the pre-industrial level, involves
navigating numerous uncertainties. These uncertainties
stem from scientific, technological, economic, social,
and political complexities associated with global climate
change. A growing body of literature highlights the
following challenges in addressing the drivers of climate
change, greenhouse gases (GHGs):
*• Feedback mechanisms:* The Earth’s climate system
has multiple feedback loops, including increased
carbon emissions from soils and reduced carbon
uptake by the oceans and forests due to the
changing climate, as illustrated in a recent Nature
Communications article concerning the droughts
in Europe in 2018 and 2022 (see Figure 1(b)) [1];
*• Tipping points:* The climate system may be on the
brink of “tipping points”, critical thresholds where
a certain degree of change triggers self-accelerating
and potentially irreversible cascades of changes.
Examples include the potential rapid die-back of the
Amazon rainforest, the slowing of the North Atlantic
circulation and the destabilization of large ice sheets;
*• Natural variability:* The three major greenhouse
gases (GHGs): carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4)
and nitrous oxide (N2O), have substantial variability
driven by natural processes (for example, El Niño)...
https://library.wmo.int/viewer/68532/download?file=GHG-19_en.pdf&type=pdf&navigator=1
/[ Big sigh at political error ]/
*‘Extremely worrying’: Argentinian researchers reel after election of
anti-science president*
As part of his plan to address the country’s economic crisis, Javier
Milei has promised to slash research funding and shut down key science
agencies.
20 November 2023
- -
Milei’s views on climate change being a “socialist hoax” have also
stirred concern in the science community. “His position is typical of a
denier,” says Matilde Rusticucci, an atmospheric scientist at the
University of Buenos Aires who has been an author since 2004 on the
global climate assessments published by the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change. Milei has said that companies should be allowed to
pollute rivers “as much as they want to”, while other members of La
Libertad Avanza have supported privatizing the seas, suggesting that
threatened species can be protected like livestock, by fencing them off.
Milei “is denying the value of science, denying the value of the
environment, denying climate change”, Rusticucci says. “His government
will be a massive setback for the entire scientific community, for all
the advances that are being made, which required a lot of effort.”
“National efforts in climate change will likely be discontinued,”
predicts Pilar Bueno, who studies international relations and climate
negotiations at the CONICET-funded University of Rosario in Argentina.
“A climate policy that also brings a business opportunity might still be
considered [by Milei]. However, seeing it only as a business opportunity
without the proper safeguards could generate many negative effects,” she
says.
How many of Milei’s ideas will be put into practice remains to be seen.
He will take office on 10 December.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-023-03620-3
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-03620-3
/[ why still the terror... ]/
*Why the latest temperature check on climate change is still terrifying*
The outlook is stark ahead of key international climate negotiations.
By Justine Calma, a science reporter covering the environment, climate,
and energy with a decade of experience. She is also the host of the Hell
or High Water podcast.
Nov 20, 2023
The latest numbers are in for how much our planet is projected to heat
up this century, and it’s got me sweating.
Look, I am not a numbers person. And if I didn’t write about climate
change for a living, this latest report from the United Nations
Environment Programme (UNEP) wouldn’t hit the same. It says that this
century, global temperatures are on track to reach between 2.5 and 2.9
degrees Celsius above where they were prior to the Industrial
Revolution. That statement’s a snooze, right? Well, here’s why I’m
stress-eating Corn Pops while writing this.
It felt like 139.5 degrees Fahrenheit (59.7 degrees Celsius) in Rio de
Janeiro, Brazil, on Saturday. That was the heat index, a measure of both
heat and humidity that’s crucial because humidity curbs the body’s
lifesaving ability to cool itself by sweating. The night before, a
thousand people reportedly fainted from the heat during a Taylor Swift
concert in the city, and one person died. Brazil’s wetlands are ablaze
during this month’s monster spring heatwave....
This is the kind of thing that happens with just a little over 1 degree
Celsius of global warming today. Now, imagine close to 3 degrees of
warming. That’s the trajectory countries’ current policies lead us to,
according to the UNEP analysis released today called the Emissions Gap
Report.
A hopeful caveat is that the outlook was much worse about a decade ago
before countries adopted the landmark 2015 Paris climate agreement. The
dire projection in 2014 was close to 4 degrees of warming this century.
So there’s been some progress. But not nearly enough to meet the goals
of the Paris accord and stave off even more extreme events like what’s
recently struck Brazil. The Paris agreement aims to limit global warming
to “well below” 2 degrees Celsius, preferably at 1.5 degrees above the
preindustrial era.
Those targets could slip out of reach very soon, research is starting to
show. With pollution levels rising, the world could breeze past that
1.5-degree threshold by as soon as 2029, according to a study published
last month in the journal Nature Climate Change. Preliminary data show
that on Friday, average global temperatures briefly rose above 2 degrees
Celsius for the first time in recorded history.
That was a brief, albeit terrifying, breach on Friday. The goal of the
Paris accord is to prevent sustained average temperatures that high. But
these dangerous side effects from burning fossil fuels are happening
much faster than scientists initially expected.
Back in 2018, United Nations climate experts published a roadmap for
meeting the goals of the Paris agreement that included reaching net-zero
greenhouse gas emissions by the middle of the century. As countries make
slow progress on that end, the window for success keeps shrinking. And
yet, global greenhouse gas emissions continued to grow over the past
year, the new UNEP report says. Another pivotal round of climate
negotiations is scheduled to start on November 30th at the United
Nations conference in Dubai. There, world leaders are expected to argue
over a potential deal to phase out fossil fuels to stop climate change —
never mind that the negotiations will be overseen by an oil exec
appointed president of this year’s climate conference held in a top
oil-producing country or that US President Joe Biden, head of the
world’s biggest oil and gas producer, has reportedly decided not to attend.
United Nations Secretary-General Antònio Guterres, at least, is ever the
optimist. “We know it is still possible to make the 1.5 degree limit a
reality. It requires tearing out the poisoned root of the climate
crisis: fossil fuels. And it demands a just, equitable renewables
transition,” Guterres said in a press release today.
https://www.theverge.com/2023/11/20/23969101/temperature-check-climate-change-united-nations-negotiations-dubai
- -
/[ from the UN Environment Programmer ]/
*Nations must go further than current Paris pledges or face global
warming of 2.5-2.9°C *
-- Predicted 2030 emissions must fall by 28-42 per cent for pathway to
2°C and 1.5°C
-- Relentless mitigation and low-carbon transformations essential to
narrow emissions gap
- - COP28 and Global Stocktake chance to build greater ambition for next
round of climate pledges
https://www.unep.org/news-and-stories/press-release/nations-must-go-further-current-paris-pledges-or-face-global-warming
/[ Patricia Arquette is in the news today for her actions from nearly a
decade ago ]/
*THERMOPHILIC COMPOSTING AS A SANITATION ALTERNATIVE *GIVELOVE.ORG
PROJECT, SANTO VILLAGE, LEOGANE, HAITI - A CASE STUDY
Project duration: February 2012 through December 2014
Author’s name and affiliations: Joseph Jenkins, Joseph Jenkins, Inc.;
Contact name: Joe Jenkins
Postal address: 143 Forest Lane, Grove City, PA 16127 USA; Email
address: Joe at JosephJenkins.com
Telephone: 1-814-786-9085; Skype: joseph.c.jenkins
Date of Paper: April, 2015 [All photos are by author unless otherwise
indicated.]
ABSTRACT
After Haiti’s devastating earthquake in January of 2010, sanitation
became non-existent there in many
areas. GiveLove.org, founded by actress Patricia Arquette and Rosetta
Getty, with Program Director Alisa
Keesey and Compost Instructor Lucho Jean, taught local personnel how to
establish sanitation systems based
on thermophilic (hot) composting. Visits to Haiti by the author, who was
also a volunteer composting consultant
for GiveLove during this time period, documented these systems in
schools and orphanages. By 2012, the organization had built over 30
toilets for over 4,000 users, and trained 15 Compost Managers.The most
recent
project, started in 2012, involved a village-wide system that serviced
about 250 households. The “small village
system” at Santo Village in Leogane, Haiti, is the subject of this paper.
The self-managed system utilized sugar cane bagasse as the primary
carbon-based cover material. It was
used to cover the contents of the toilets as well as the contents of the
compost bins. The toilets are designed
with either 20 liter or 60 liter recycled plastic receptacles used to
collect toilet material. The toilet contents are
covered with bagasse inside the toilet, then composted in bins located
on-site, away from the toilets and the
houses. Urine is not separated, nor is toilet paper. Food materials are
also used as a compost feedstock, if
available. Temperatures of the compost piles are monitored. The compost
system requires no turning of the
piles. The bins are walled using recycled wooden shipping pallets turned
on edge and are approximately 2.4
meters wide by 3.2 meters long by 1.2 meters deep.
The sanitation system is based upon the utilization of the thermophilic,
or heat-producing composting
process, which is effective in eliminating human pathogens. The
objective is to create an above-ground static
organic mass, made primarily of material collected in toilets, that
reaches a temperature of at least 55C (131F)
sustained for at least three days throughout the entire mass. The U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency requires a three day period at 131F for
static aerobic compost piles to be considered hygienically safe, because
this time and temperature combination has been shown to be deadly to
human disease organisms. The compost piles in Haiti are sustaining
temperatures at or above 55C for months, much more than the required time
period. The use of sugar cane bagasse as a cover material in the bins
minimizes the exposed surface area of
the compost and maximizes heat retention. This containment system also
eliminates odors and flies and helps
prevent vermin such as dogs and other animals from accessing the
compost. Soap and water used to clean
toilet receptacles are added to the compost piles, thereby creating a
closed system.
The process relies on local management by Haitians, compost training, a
dedicated compost management
crew, public education, access to and transport of carbon-based cover
materials to the toilet sites, and constructive use of the finished
compost. This project created many tons of odor-free, hygienically safe,
agriculturally valuable, finished compost.
https://humanurehandbook.com/downloads/Santo_Paper.pdf
https://humanurehandbook.com/videos.html
/[The news archive - blundered predictions of cooling - misinformation?
or exuberance? ]/
/*November 22, 2006 */
October 22, 2006: Newsweek's Jerry Adler acknowledges that his magazine
dropped the ball in April 1975 when it ran a story claiming that global
cooling was on the horizon--a story that went against the scientific
evidence of the era pointing to global warming.
http://www.newsweek.com/climate-change-prediction-perils-111927
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XB3S0fnOr0M
http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2008/11/10/203320/killing-the-myth-of-the-1970s-global-cooling-scientific-consensus/
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