[✔️] November 23, 2023- Global Warming News Digest |Smithsonian says 3 degrees, Anxiety data, Follow $. Econ models, 2007 future disease risk,

Thu Nov 23 09:55:22 EST 2023

/*November *//*23, 2023*/

/[ Smithsonian Magazine  ]/
*Earth Headed for Nearly Three-Degree Temperature Hike—Well Above Paris 
Agreement Level*
A new U.N. report finds current pledges put the planet on track to warm 
2.5 to 2.9 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels this century
Margaret Osborne
Daily Correspondent
November 21, 2023
The Earth is on track for global average temperatures to rise by up to 
nearly 3 degrees Celsius by the end of the century, according to a new 
United Nations report. That temperature hike is almost double the amount 
that nations agreed upon in the Paris Agreement.

“There is no person or economy left on the planet untouched by climate 
change, so we need to stop setting unwanted records on greenhouse gas 
emissions, global temperature highs and extreme weather,” Inger 
Andersen, executive director of the U.N. Environment Program (UNEP), 
says in a statement. “We must instead lift the needle out of the same 
old groove of insufficient ambition and not enough action, and start 
setting other records: on cutting emissions, on green and just 
transitions and on climate finance...
- -
The analysis comes as the Earth hits another major climate milestone: 
The planet appears to have reached an average surface temperature of 
more than 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels for the first time.

According to preliminary data, November 17, 2023, was the first day on 
record that this threshold was breached, and November 18, 2023, was the 
second day. This doesn’t mean that the Paris Agreement was broken, as 
the treaty refers to a sustained average over two or more decades, 
rather than one day or even one year, writes Andrew Freedman of Axios. 
But it does signal how much the planet has warmed already—crossing this 
milestone is “shockingly impactful,” as Carlo Buontempo, director of the 
Copernicus Climate Change Service, tells the Atlantic.

In less than two weeks, the U.N. climate conference called COP28 will 
start in Dubai. There, countries will gather to draft plans for limiting 
human-caused global warming. COP28 will begin on Nov. 30, 2023, and run 
through Dec. 12, 2023.
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/earth-headed-for-nearly-three-degree-temperature-hike-well-above-paris-agreement-level-180983305/

/[ data moving up ]/
*Climate change: Rise in Google searches around ‘anxiety’*
22nd November 2023
By Lucy Gilder
BBC 100 Women
Online search queries related to "climate anxiety" have risen, according 
to data gathered by Google and shared exclusively with BBC 100 Women.

Studies also suggests that women are more affected by climate anxiety 
than men.

The rise of wildfires, floods and droughts around the world are just 
some of the highly visible signs of climate change.

What is reported less is the impact of climate change on human minds.

Climate anxiety - defined as feelings of distress about the impacts of 
climate change - has been reported globally, particularly among children 
and young people...
- -
Data from Google Trends shows that search queries related to "climate 
anxiety" have increased dramatically.

Search queries in English around "climate anxiety" in the first 10 
months of 2023 are 27 times higher than the same period in 2017...
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-67473829

/[ "Follow the money" Reuters news ]/
*Economic models buckle under strain of climate reality*
By Mark John
November 22, 2023
Summary
Critics say economic models not fit for purpose
Economists urged to take broader, cross-discipline view
COP28 climate talks start in Dubai on Nov. 30
Nov 22 (Reuters) - Ahead of international climate talks in Dubai this 
month, economists are updating estimates of the impact of global warming 
on the world economy, sometimes calculating down to a decimal place the 
hit to output in decades to come.

But detractors say those numbers are the product of economic models that 
are not fit to capture the full extent of climate damage. As such, they 
can provide an alibi for policy inaction...
Record temperatures, droughts, floods and wildfires this year have 
caused billions of dollars of damage, even before emissions take warming 
beyond the 2015 Paris Agreement cap of 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 
Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels.

Still, some economist models conclude - implausibly, say the critics - 
that by the turn of the century, warming will cause less harm to the 
world economy than COVID-19 has, or hit global shares by less than in 
the 2007-2009 financial crisis.
https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/economic-models-buckle-under-strain-climate-reality-2023-11-22/

/[ from the Irish Examiner  ]/
*Climate change models based on grossly wrong interpretation of economic 
stakes*
Climate economists insist there is essentially nothing to worry about, 
and economic growth will continue even as the world burns, ecosystems 
fail, the ice shelves collapse, and the global weather system goes 
haywire, writes John Gibbons
  19 NOV, 2023
JOHN GIBBONS
Social share
While not yet over, 2023 has already delivered some of the most extreme 
weather conditions in human history. This year is virtually certain to 
be the hottest since records began. In all probability, 2023 is the 
hottest year on Earth in about 125,000 years.

A new study found damage from extreme weather fuelled by the worsening 
climate crisis has cost on average about €15m an hour, every hour for 
the last 20 years. In 2022 alone, these costs totalled at least €270bn.

While the deterioration in global weather conditions is in line with 
scientific projections, what is now becoming apparent is that “our 
societies and ecosystems are more vulnerable to even small changes than 
expected previously, and so the damages are worse”.  That's according to 
climate attribution specialist Dr Friederike Otto.

Given this unremitting torrent of bad news from the scientific 
community, you may be surprised to hear that, in fact, everything is 
fine, and that economic growth means humanity as a whole will be 
wealthier, healthier and no doubt happier by the end of the 21st century.

This news came via an article on the website of Chartered Accountants 
Ireland. Author Cormac Lucey, a finance lecturer and former political 
adviser to Progressive Democrats’ leader Michael McDowell, decrying the 
“public hysteria” surrounding the climate debate.

As Lucey recently explained, scenarios set out by the Intergovernmental 
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) show human welfare “will likely increase 
to 450% of today’s welfare over the 21st century. Climate damages will 
reduce this to 434%.”

In other words, climate change is no more than a slight bump on the road 
towards our ever-improving golden era of human prosperity.

On the one hand, climate scientists warn we face a near-term future of 
deadly heatwaves, droughts, wildfires, extreme flooding, coastal 
inundation, mass migration, freshwater shortages, more dangerous storms 
and major threats to global food production.

*Climate economics*
On the other hand, climate economists insist there is essentially 
nothing to worry about, and economic growth will continue even as the 
world burns, ecosystems fail, the ice shelves collapse, and the global 
weather system goes haywire.

The fact politicians, media and corporations are far more likely to take 
their advice from economists than scientists means the dominant 
messaging being listened to is that yes, climate is an issue, but no, 
it’s absolutely not a crisis...
- -
*Negligence by economists like Nordhaus, he said, “will end up killing 
billions of people.”*

Andrew Glikson, who teaches at Australian National University in 
Canberra and advises the IPCC, has written about the coming era of mass 
human death, what he calls the Plutocene, the natural successor to the 
Anthropocene. Global governments, he charges, are “criminals” for 
ushering in the Plutocene in pursuit of short-term political and 
economic gain. I first reached out to him during the black summer of 
bushfires that raged across Australia in 2020. Glikson’s mood was foul 
then, and it has not gotten better since.

“The governing classes have given up on the survival of numerous species 
and future generations,” he told me, “and their inaction constitutes the 
ultimate crime against life on Earth.” Part of the reason for inaction 
is the false cheer that Nordhaus has spread with his math-genius, 
climate-idiot models.
- -
Yet, in a nutshell, Nordhaus is dead wrong. About almost everything, in 
fact. According to the IPCC, the world should aim to keep global warming 
to well below 2C, ideally close to 1.5C, to avoid the most dangerous 
impacts of climate change, including multiple irreversible tipping points.

Ignoring the physical sciences, Nordhaus argues the global economy 
reaches what he calls “optimal adaptation” at between 2.7C and 3.5C — 
his argument is that it does not make economic sense to try to prevent 
climate change until it has reached these near-apocalyptic levels.

Any first-year science undergrad will understand that if Nordhaus’s 
“optimal” world of temperatures rising 3C and more versus pre-industrial 
comes to pass, it would mean global immiseration, with dying oceans and 
runaway sea level rise, while famines, conflict and disease sweep away 
countless millions.
https://www.irishexaminer.com/opinion/commentanalysis/arid-41273215.html

/[The news archive - health risk of climate change ]/
/*November 23, 2007 */
October 23, 2007: Dr. Julie Gerberding of the Centers for Disease 
Control and Prevention addresses a US Senate committee regarding the 
health risks of climate change. Her testimony was extensively edited by 
the Bush White House to dramatically downplay the severity of the risks.

http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2007/10/23/17139/gerberding-global-warming/

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/25/science/earth/24cnd-climate.html?_r=1&pagewanted=print

http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2008/07/08/174078/burnett-cheney-boiling/

http://www.c-span.org/video/?201698-1/HumanImp

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