[✔️] October 15, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | Sept was the hottest, Crackdown on protesters, Debating energy transition, El Nino, 2007 [Krugman ridicules right wing on Al Gore outrage

[Richard Pauli]

/*October 15*//*, 2023*/

/[ data from Berkeley Earth, science must inform ]/
September 2023 Temperature Update
Posted on October 11, 2023 by Robert Rohde
*The following is a summary of global temperature conditions in Berkeley 
Earth’s analysis of September 2023.
*

      * Globally, September 2023 was the warmest September — and the
        largest monthly anomaly of any month — since records began in 1850.
      * The previous record for warmest September was broken by 0.5 °C
        (0.9 °F), a staggeringly large margin.
      * Both land and ocean individually also set new records for the
        warmest September.
      * The extra warmth added since August occurred primarily in polar
        regions, especially Antarctica.
      * Antarctic sea ice set a new record for lowest seasonal maximum
        extent.
      * Record warmth in 2023 is primarily a combined effect of global
        warming and a strengthening El Niño, but natural variability and
        other factors have also contributed.
      * Particularly warm conditions occurred in the North Atlantic,
        Eastern Equatorial Pacific, South America, Central America,
        Europe, parts of Africa and the Middle East, Japan, and Antarctica.
      * 77 countries, mostly in Europe and the tropics, set new monthly
        average records for September.
      * El Niño continues to strengthen and is expected to continue into
        next year.
      * 2023 is now virtually certain to become a new record warm year
        (>99% chance).
      * 2023 is very likely (90% chance) to average more than 1.5 °C
        above our 1850-1900 baseline.

*Global Summary*

Globally, September 2023 was the warmest September since directly 
measured instrumental records began in 1850, breaking the record 
previously set in September 2020. In addition, this September exceeded 
the previous record by 0.50 °C (0.90 °F), an enormous margin described 
by one climate scientist as *“absolutely gobsmackingly bananas”*.

https://berkeleyearth.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Month_only_time_series_combined-1.png

https://berkeleyearth.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/SeasonalWrap-Sep2023.png
https://berkeleyearth.org/september-2023-temperature-update/

- -

[OPINION GUEST ESSAY - see the graphics ]
*I Study Climate Change. The Data Is Telling Us Something New.*
Oct. 13, 2023

By Zeke Hausfather

Staggering. Unnerving. Mind-boggling. Absolutely gobsmackingly bananas.

As global temperatures shattered records and reached dangerous new highs 
over and over the past few months, my climate scientist colleagues and I 
have just about run out of adjectives to describe what we have seen...

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/13/opinion/climate-change-excessive-heat-2023.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/13/opinion/climate-change-excessive-heat-2023.html?unlocked_article_code=3rDdOANfj-VmB_HwY89rfehDbZfbf2w7QuDbc9Y0DOGzCeDbbKQ_cRNv-oY2bwlFHhZknizrK6oIlRCg0F_eRxSCGiQN8ismj8CsWWb9opoOde8a2DaCvZgT94qC3Oq6HVPyHrJxMang_1Wfc3YYPwGdTYm43NvaWaRO6D4fcZVjAGfkbGPrch4AOcV3ykMqlMHyb_UyoOK32FUiJgpGSO89eL-dO1rU2uPb-2gnl_tixZwNZ-Vs6z_UcjDb8nooZNau8VLZCs6ozMr77Tkd5m3s_XxFRk2xLbw9VKeghlLGE25UR7SQTqfu_gY7rWq06YI8o5a6Z-fFOSI6cjpoAv6VgogmWvMCAWw_Yg&smid=url-share/
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/[ Suppression of protestation is not wise ]
/ *Human rights experts warn against European crackdown on climate 
protesters*
Damien Gayle, Matthew Taylor and Ajit Niranjan
12 Oct 2023
UK has led the way, with countries across the continent making mass 
arrests, passing draconian new laws and labelling activists as 
eco-terrorists

       - How criminalisation is being used to silence climate activists
    across the world
       - Threats to Germany’s climate campaigners fuelled by
    politicians’ rhetoric, says activist

Human rights experts and campaigners have warned against an intensifying 
crackdown on climate protests across Europe, as Guardian research found 
countries across the continent using repressive measures to silence 
activists.

In Germany, France, Italy, Sweden, the Netherlands and the UK, 
authorities have responded to climate protests with mass arrests, the 
passing of draconian new laws, the imposing of severe sentences for 
non-violent protests and the labelling of activists as hooligans, 
saboteurs or eco-terrorists.

The crackdowns have come in spite of calls by senior human rights 
advocates and environmental campaigners to allow civic space for the 
right to non-violent protest, after a summer of record-breaking heat in 
southern Europe that is attributed to the effects of climate breakdown.

The UK has led the way in the crackdown, experts say, with judges 
recently refusing an appeal against multi-year sentences for climate 
activists who blocked a motorway bridge in east London. The three-year 
jail terms for Marcus Decker and Morgan Trowland earlier this year are 
thought to be the longest handed out by a British judge for non-violent 
protest.

The ruling came as protesters in the UK try to navigate a new legal 
environment that includes significant limits on the right to protest, 
including two wide-ranging new laws passed in the past two years giving 
police the discretion to ban protests regarded as “disruptive” and 
criminalising a host of protest tactics.

Michel Forst, the UN rapporteur on environmental defenders since June 
last year, described the situation in the UK as “terrifying”. He added 
that other countries were “looking at the UK examples with a view to 
passing similar laws in their own countries, which will have a 
devastating effect for Europe”.

“Since my appointment I have been travelling to many countries in Europe 
and there is a clear trend,” Forst told the Guardian. “We can see an 
increasing number of cases by which these climate activists are brought 
to court more and more often and more and more severe laws being passed 
to facilitate these attacks on defenders.”

He added: “I’m sure that there is European cooperation among the police 
forces against these kinds of activities. My concern is that when 
[governments] are calling these people eco-terrorists, or are using new 
forms of vilifications and defamation … it has a huge impact on how the 
population may perceive them and the cause for which these people are 
fighting. It is a huge concern for me.”

Amnesty International said it was investigating a continent-wide 
crackdown on protest. Catrinel Motoc, the organisation’s senior 
campaigner on civil space and right to protest in Europe, said: “People 
all around the world are bravely raising their voices to call for urgent 
actions on the climate crisis but many face dire consequences for their 
peaceful activism.

“Peaceful protesters are left with no choice but to stage public 
protests and non-violent direct actions because European countries are 
not doing enough to tackle the climate crisis.

“There’s alarming evidence of criminalisation, harassment, 
stigmatisation and negative rhetoric towards environmental defenders.”

Motoc said that instead of demonising and restricting peaceful 
environmental defenders, “European governments should put [their] energy 
into open dialogue with activists and organisations to fix the problems 
of climate crisis. Climate protesters are not a nuisance, and they 
should not be silenced or crushed.”

In June, Dunja Mijatović, the Council of Europe’s commissioner for human 
rights, also called for an end to crackdowns on environmental activists. 
Last December, Volker Türk, the UN’s high commissioner for human rights, 
appealed to governments to protect the “civic space” for young 
environmental activists, and “not crack down in a way that we have seen 
in many parts of the world”.
There was widespread outrage this summer when France’s interior 
minister, Gérald Darmanin, used one of the state’s most-powerful tools 
to order the banning of one of the country’s leading environmental 
protest groups.

Les Soulévements de la Terre, a collective of local environmental 
campaigns, had staged a series of protests, with tactics including 
sabotage, that ended with violent confrontations with police, and 
Darmanin denouncing the activists as “far left” and “ecoterrorists”.

In the Netherlands, one of a series of roadblock protests on the A12 
highway in The Hague in May was dispersed by police using water cannon, 
with more than 1,500 arrested. Seven climate activists were convicted of 
sedition – a charge that had never before been levelled against climate 
protesters – in relation to online posts calling for people to join an 
earlier demonstration.

In Sweden, about two dozen members of the Återställ Våtmarker [Restore 
Wetlands] group were convicted of sabotage for blocking highways in the 
capital, Stockholm. Others were held on remand for up to four weeks for 
taking part in protests.

n Germany in May, police staged nationwide raids against the Letzte 
Generation (Last Generation) group, whose supporters had glued 
themselves to roads on a near-weekly basis for months, as well as 
targeting art galleries and other cultural spaces. On a police 
directive, the homepage of the group was shut down and possessions 
belonging to members were seized.

At the most recent count, supplied by the activists, police had made 
more than 4,000 arrests of supporters of Last Generation taking part in 
road blocks in Berlin alone.

Authorities in Italy have used anti-organised crime laws to crack down 
on protests, where the Ultima Generazione (also Last Generation) group 
has staged road blocks since last year. The Digos police unit, which 
specialises in counter-terrorism, in April justified the use of 
anti-Mafia laws to target the group by saying its civil disobedience 
actions had not taken place spontaneously, but were organised, discussed 
and weighed up by an internal hierarchy. This came along with new, 
stiffer penalties for protests, with activists facing fines of up to 
€40,000 for actions targeting artworks and other cultural heritage.

Richard Pearshouse, director of the environment division at Human Rights 
Watch, said: “These restrictions on environmental protest across Europe 
and the UK are incredibly short-sighted. These governments haven’t 
grasped that we all have a huge interest in more people taking to the 
streets to demand better environmental protection and more climate action.

“Governments need to respect the rights to assembly and expression, and 
ramp up their own environmental protections and climate ambitions. 
That’s the only way we have a chance to get out of this climate crisis 
with our democratic institutions intact.”

A spokesperson for the UK Home Office said: “The right to protest is a 
fundamental part of our democracy but we must also protect the 
law-abiding majority’s right to go about their daily lives.

“The Public Order Act brings in new criminal offences and proper 
penalties for selfish, guerrilla protest tactics.”

The French interior ministry said local officials had the right to ban 
demonstrations with a serious risk of disturbing public order. “These 
one-off bans, of which there are very few in absolute terms, are not 
imposed because of the reason for the demonstration.”

The Italian interior ministry referred to a statement from the culture 
minister Gennaro Sangiuliano in April, who said attacks on monuments 
cause economic damage to the community that is is expensive to clean up. 
“Those who cause damage must pay personally.”

The German interior ministry declined to comment. The Bavarian interior 
ministry referred the Guardian to the public prosecutor’s office in 
Munich, which provided a statement from June in which it confirmed it 
had authorised the tapping of phones for six of seven Last Generation 
members under criminal investigation.

The Swedish interior ministry declined to comment. The Dutch ministry of 
justice did not respond to requests for comment.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/oct/12/human-rights-experts-warn-against-european-crackdown-on-climate-protesters


/
/

/[ A positive, calm, and excellent discussion of our predicament and our 
way forward.  video   ]/
*Debating the Energy Transition | Simon Michaux & Nafeez Ahmed*
Planet: Critical

Jul 12, 2023  #energycrisis #energytransition
So do we have enough materials for a renewable economy or not?

A few months ago, the energy-Twittersphere exploded into debate over 
Simon Michaux’s report detailing how we lack enough materials and 
minerals for a renewable economy. I interviewed Simon, a researcher at 
GTK Finland, about this report, in which he laid out the lack of raw 
materials and the ecological cost of mining which will impede a 
renewable energy future.

The report was divisive, with anyone and everyone weighing in on the 
debate, and more than some name-calling online. Nafeez Ahmed, a systems 
researcher and investigative journalist who has been reporting on the 
environment for 20 years, published a detailed piece “debunking” Simon’s 
report. It caused another stir online, with calls for a debate between 
the two tweeted from around the world.

Watching this unfold, I was concerned by how those on the same side of 
the fight can end up at odds, and bemused by the vitriol I witnessed on 
Twitter in both Simon and Nafeez’s name. Simply, if we can’t learn to 
speak with one another, what’s the point?

They were both quick to agree to a debate, and had already been engaging 
over email on the topic. We go into the technical details of the report 
but also discuss the polarisation of science, the processing of 
information, the politics and tribalism driving conversation, before 
exploring the benefits of how an energy transformation can truly 
transform society.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2-Ga3UNp3vE



/[ //The great,  former NASA climate science chief James Hansen: "If 
this El Nino peak is as high as we project it will be, the 1.5°C global 
warming level will have been reached, for all practical purposes. There 
will be no need to ruminate for 20 years about whether the 1.5°C level 
has been reached, as IPCC proposes." ]/

*El Nino Fizzles. Planet Earth Sizzles. Why?*
13 October 2023
James Hansen, Makiko Sato, Reto Ruedy, and Leon Simons

    Abstract.
    September 2023 smashed the prior global temperature record.
    Hand-wringing about the magnitude of the temperature jump in
    September is not inappropriate, but it is more important to
    investigate the role of aerosol climate forcing – which we chose to
    leave unmeasured – in global climate change. Global temperature
    during the current El Nino provides a potential indirect assessment
    of change of the aerosol forcing. Global temperature in the current
    El Nino, to date, implies a strong acceleration of global warming
    for which the most likely explanation is a decrease of human-made
    aerosols as a result of reductions in China and from ship emissions.
    The current El Nino will probably be weaker than the 1997-98 and
    2015-16 El Ninos, making current warming even more significant. The
    current near-maximum solar irradiance adds a small amount to the
    major “forcing” mechanisms (GHGs, aerosols, and El Nino), but with
    no long-term effect. More important, the long dormant Southern
    Hemisphere polar amplification is probably coming into play.

  A PDF of this Communication is available on my webpage 
https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/
https://mailchi.mp/caa/el-nino-fizzles-planet-earth-sizzles-why?e=3763203384



/[The archive - at Al Gore misinformation and attention from years ago. ]/
/*October  15, 2007 */
October 15, 2007: New York Times columnist Paul Krugman ridicules 
right-wing outrage over Al Gore's Nobel Prize win.

    *Gore Derangement Syndrome*
    Paul Krugman
    By Paul Krugman
    Oct. 15, 2007

    On the day after Al Gore shared the Nobel Peace Prize, The Wall
    Street Journal’s editors couldn’t even bring themselves to mention
    Mr. Gore’s name. Instead, they devoted their editorial to a long
    list of people they thought deserved the prize more.

    And at National Review Online, Iain Murray suggested that the prize
    should have been shared with “that well-known peace campaigner Osama
    bin Laden, who implicitly endorsed Gore’s stance.” You see, bin
    Laden once said something about climate change — therefore, anyone
    who talks about climate change is a friend of the terrorists.

    What is it about Mr. Gore that drives right-wingers insane?

    Partly it’s a reaction to what happened in 2000, when the American
    people chose Mr. Gore but his opponent somehow ended up in the White
    House. Both the personality cult the right tried to build around
    President Bush and the often hysterical denigration of Mr. Gore
    were, I believe, largely motivated by the desire to expunge the
    stain of illegitimacy from the Bush administration.

    And now that Mr. Bush has proved himself utterly the wrong man for
    the job — to be, in fact, the best president Al Qaeda’s recruiters
    could have hoped for — the symptoms of Gore derangement syndrome
    have grown even more extreme.

    The worst thing about Mr. Gore, from the conservative point of view,
    is that he keeps being right. In 1992, George H. W. Bush mocked him
    as the “ozone man,” but three years later the scientists who
    discovered the threat to the ozone layer won the Nobel Prize in
    Chemistry. In 2002 he warned that if we invaded Iraq, “the resulting
    chaos could easily pose a far greater danger to the United States
    than we presently face from Saddam.” And so it has proved.

    But Gore hatred is more than personal. When National Review decided
    to name its anti-environmental blog Planet Gore, it was trying to
    discredit the message as well as the messenger. For the truth Mr.
    Gore has been telling about how human activities are changing the
    climate isn’t just inconvenient. For conservatives, it’s deeply
    threatening.

    Consider the policy implications of taking climate change seriously.

    “We have always known that heedless self-interest was bad morals,”
    said F.D.R. “We know now that it is bad economics.” These words
    apply perfectly to climate change. It’s in the interest of most
    people (and especially their descendants) that somebody do something
    to reduce emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases,
    but each individual would like that somebody to be somebody else.
    Leave it up to the free market, and in a few generations Florida
    will be underwater.

    The solution to such conflicts between self-interest and the common
    good is to provide individuals with an incentive to do the right
    thing. In this case, people have to be given a reason to cut back on
    greenhouse gas emissions, either by requiring that they pay a tax on
    emissions or by requiring that they buy emission permits, which has
    pretty much the same effects as an emissions tax. We know that such
    policies work: the U.S. “cap and trade” system of emission permits
    on sulfur dioxide has been highly successful at reducing acid rain.

    Climate change is, however, harder to deal with than acid rain,
    because the causes are global. The sulfuric acid in America’s lakes
    mainly comes from coal burned in U.S. power plants, but the carbon
    dioxide in America’s air comes from coal and oil burned around the
    planet — and a ton of coal burned in China has the same effect on
    the future climate as a ton of coal burned here. So dealing with
    climate change not only requires new taxes or their equivalent; it
    also requires international negotiations in which the United States
    will have to give as well as get.Everything I’ve just said should be
    uncontroversial — but imagine the reception a Republican candidate
    for president would receive if he acknowledged these truths at the
    next debate. Today, being a good Republican means believing that
    taxes should always be cut, never raised. It also means believing
    that we should bomb and bully foreigners, not negotiate with them.

    So if science says that we have a big problem that can’t be solved
    with tax cuts or bombs — well, the science must be rejected, and the
    scientists must be slimed. For example, Investor’s Business Daily
    recently declared that the prominence of James Hansen, the NASA
    researcher who first made climate change a national issue two
    decades ago, is actually due to the nefarious schemes of — who else?
    — George Soros.

    Which brings us to the biggest reason the right hates Mr. Gore: in
    his case the smear campaign has failed. He’s taken everything they
    could throw at him, and emerged more respected, and more credible,
    than ever. And it drives them crazy.

https://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/15/opinion/15krugman.html?unlocked_article_code=RqOdvoH8_h4hfFNRzOSlY0kwHc2UnOgZMgzkpz4FfFJ7tSRGnlq2GnGHeAaC965mFgKFXTARttX-GmnKpGCGPL-mF53vblx3yhlut-PyMmsB8q4vVgM-r0U-Ys_MOqnY2M2kfuZrFxc1JkXflwWZoGFqkO-Ovg9YSI1W0oGNavT8eBodgbiCA-vz67_QxH1KdQAi4NkODNh5yO9AIupxVJIrBJdkpDBI_iRMAMK7aVzmPEHAVT_CMv7A1aQRj43s6q2uv1qIenR_U2kJWeJkfvRzQI6AJ_rBM0ahh13ManrMDPOeGjyk3q-CUoWXItGoSJwo&smid=url-share

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/15/opinion/15krugman.html?_r=0



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