[✔️] April 19, 2024 Global Warming News |Poll disappoints, Outlook Arizona, Reference Assessment, $38 trillion, Reef cost, Dubai not seeding, Amanpour, 1990 Bush

[Richard Pauli]

/*April *//*19, 2024*/

/[ Polls expose disappointment ]/
*More Americans worried about climate change, but few think Biden’s 
climate law will help, AP-NORC poll says*
Politics Apr 18, 2024
Most say it’s extremely or very important for the federal government to 
invest in new, environmentally friendly technologies, and most, like 
38-year-old Julio Carmona, a health program associate who lives in 
Stratford, Connecticut, and identifies as a moderate Democrat, say the 
same about enforcing current environmental regulations.

“We can all do our part when it comes to saving energy, recycling and 
all those other things,” said Carmona. “But if the big corporations 
aren’t doing it, I think that, for me, would be where the government 
should start.”...

The poll of 1,204 adults was conducted April 4-8, 2024, using a sample 
drawn from NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak Panel, which is designed 
to be representative of the U.S. population. The margin of sampling 
error for all respondents is plus or minus 3.9 percentage points...
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/more-americans-worried-about-climate-change-but-few-think-bidens-climate-law-will-help-ap-norc-poll-says



/[ I heartily and mindfully recommend //this top-notch channel //- today 
it's about Arizona  ]/
*Arizona 2C Climate Outlook: NCA5 Update*
American Resiliency
Apr 18, 2024
Folks, this outlook is rough. Lots of details here for the greater 
Phoenix area, Tucson, and Flagstaff. Bottom line: we're looking at an 
almost 3 month extension of days over 95 in the cities of southern 
Arizona, with a full month of that over 105. Bad situation. Follow along 
with me in this video, we'll look at what you're up against in this 
outlook for 2C conditions.

Here's a link to the NCA5 https://nca2023.globalchange.gov/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CG_GCpmc9IU

- -

/[ reference the 5th National Climate Assessment ]/
*How the United States Is Addressing Climate Change*
The effects of human-caused climate change are already far-reaching and 
worsening across every region of the United States. Rapidly reducing 
greenhouse gas emissions can limit future warming and associated 
increases in many risks...
Throughout this report, three important terms are used to describe the 
primary options for reducing the risks of climate change:

    *Mitigation:* Measures to reduce the amount and rate of future
    climate change by reducing emissions of heat-trapping gases
    (primarily carbon dioxide) or removing greenhouse gases from the
    atmosphere.

    *Adaptation: *The process of adjusting to an actual or expected
    environmental change and its effects in a way that seeks to moderate
    harm or exploit beneficial opportunities.

    *Resilience: *The ability to prepare for threats and hazards, adapt
    to changing conditions, and withstand and recover rapidly from
    adverse conditions and disruptions.

https://nca2023.globalchange.gov/



/[  Why not sooner?  ]/
*Climate change may cost $38 trillion a year by 2049, study says*
Andrew Freedman, author of Axios Generate
Projected change in income due to climate change by 2049
Climate change through the middle of this century is likely to be far 
costlier than thought — to the tune of $38 trillion per year, a new 
study finds.

*Why it matters: *The study finds the world economy is already headed 
for a loss of 19% of income per capita around the globe within the next 
26 years due to historical emissions that will continue to warm the planet.
The study, published Wednesday in the journal Nature, shines a new light 
on the patterns and severity of climate change's economic impacts while 
bolstering key conclusions from other research.
The $38 trillion figure is given in 2005 dollars.
It is more than double the annual GDP of the entire European Union.
*Zoom in: *The paper, from three scientists at the Potsdam Institute for 
Climate Impact Research in Germany, found that the likely economic 
damages of climate change during the next quarter century outweigh by 
six times the costs of mitigating global warming and holding it to 2°C 
above preindustrial levels.

The research is novel since it focuses on subnational regions, rather 
than looking at broader geographical areas.
It examines climate's economic impacts during the past 40 years in about 
1,600 subnational regions and then projects such impacts out to 2050.
*How it works: *The researchers examined how climate change is likely to 
change daily temperature variability, total annual precipitation, the 
annual number of wet days and extreme daily rainfall that occur, plus 
the shifts already identified by changing average temperatures.

The study finds that the economic impacts of climate change are likely 
to be far more persistent than previous studies have shown.
For example, study coauthor Anders Levermann tells Axios via email that 
"a change in annual mean temperature will yield a change in [the] 
economic growth rate that persists for about 8-10 years."
*Between the lines:* The new research is likely an underestimate of the 
economic hit from climate change since it does not include the impacts 
of sea level rise, stronger hurricanes, heat waves and human health 
effects, along with other costly influences./

/The study shows that the largest economic losses are likely to take 
place at warmer latitudes, with the countries least responsible for 
historical emissions absorbing outsized economic damages.
However, the U.S. and EU would be significantly affected, the study 
shows, with per capita incomes increasing but by smaller amounts than 
they otherwise would have in the absence of climate change. (In the 
short-term, far northern latitudes could see net economic benefits from 
climate change, purely from a numbers perspective.)
"The study is consistent with previous studies but finds even higher 
damages. It shows that also rich countries suffer enormous economic 
consequences of climate change," Levermann tells Axios. "These arise not 
only from destruction due to weather extremes, but also through ... 
perturbations of the economic flow which is less easily detected and 
thereby less easily adapted to and countered."
One message of the study is the necessity of making sharp, near-term 
emissions cuts to avoid even larger economic losses after mid-century.
Yes, but: The damages, with an average person losing 19% of their income 
through midcentury, are compared to a baseline of a world without 
human-caused climate change.
This means that many places would still see incomes grow, but at a 
slower pace and to a lower extent than they would have otherwise.
*What they're saying: *Outside researchers who were not involved in the 
new study told Axios that it adds valuable information and builds upon 
previous work.

"I think the paper's main finding that there are committed damages from 
climate change over the next few decades, and that these damages can be 
large, makes a lot of sense," said Marshall Burke of Stanford's Doerr 
School of Sustainability, via email.
He said the study makes the point that even small amounts of warming 
over a few decades can have "very large economic impacts."
"This is believed by some but not by others," he said, noting he agrees 
with that point.
Amir Jina, a climate and economics researcher at the University of 
Chicago, said the precise numbers in the study may be off, but the main 
points and trends are supported by other studies.
https://www.axios.com/2024/04/18/climate-change-damages-38-trillion

/
/

/
/

/[  Choose one or the other  ]
/*The only way to save coral reefs is to end fossil fuels*
One of the world's premier coral scientists calls for more "honest" 
messaging amid a global bleaching event.
Emily Atkin
Apr 18/
/The world’s coral reefs are in bad shape. On Monday, two major 
scientific bodies announced that record-breaking ocean heat is causing a 
worldwide coral bleaching event. It’s the fourth-ever mass bleaching 
event on record, and the second in the last decade. This current global 
bleaching is expected to be the worst ever recorded, endangering coral 
from the Caribbean to the South Pacific.

I’ve been following this latest mass coral bleaching with concern since 
Monday. And through it all, I haven’t been able to stop thinking of 
something one of the world’s premier coral reef scientists told me years 
ago.

We were chatting for a 2022 story about the world’s most 
climate-threatened places, which I was reporting for GQ magazine. She 
said that, after decades of studying coral reefs, she came to a 
realization: The best way to save coral reefs was not actually to be in 
a lab studying how they work. It was to advocate for a transition away 
from fossil fuels...
If society does not transition away from fossil fuels, these solutions 
will also fail and nearly all of the world’s coral will die. “If we push 
the climate system to 2 degrees Celsius, we’re talking about 1 percent 
of reefs surviving,” Kim Cobb, a Georgia Tech climate scientist, told me 
for the GQ story. “That makes it less likely that coral-resilience 
engineering efforts will succeed.”
reply+2djje6&10305&&016d8aba0fc3649300bc2c47d2e48d91dc772623bb7933cfc69a444bfc183629 at mg1.substack.com

/
/


/[  Not caused by cloud seeding -  and the cat was saved ]/
*Unprecedented flooding soaks Dubai*
NBC News
  Apr 17, 2024  #WorldNews #Dubai #Flood
A massive storm that flooded roads and closed the airport in Dubai also 
killed at least 18 people in neighboring Oman.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C77_VGku7RI


/[ Amanpour & Co ]/
*Destroyed Communities & Climate Migrants: Climate Change Upends Small 
Towns | Amanpour and Company
*Amanpour and Company
Apr 16, 2024  #amanpourpbs
Hurricanes, storms, and wildfires are persuading Americans to abandon 
their homes as nature lashes out against human-made climate change. Over 
three million Americans have already moved due to risk of flooding, and 
climate experts say some 13 million coastal residents will be displaced 
by the end of this century. CBS News correspondent and author Jonathan 
Vigliotti has reported from the front lines of climate change. He 
explains to Hari Sreenivasan how American towns might become more 
resilient and why it's crucial to listen to the science.
     Originally aired on April 16, 2024
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ltF3-llZ1JU



/[The news archive - again with Bush  ]/
/*April 19, 1990 */
April 19, 1990: The New York Times reports:
"President Bush, responding to criticism that the United States had 
delayed taking concrete steps to address the threat of global warming 
linked to pollution, said today, 'We have never considered research a 
substitute for action.'

"Closing a two-day White House conference on the issue, Mr. Bush said: 
'To those who suggest we're only trying to balance economic growth and 
environmental protection, I say they miss the point. We are calling for 
an entirely new way of thinking, to achieve both while compromising 
neither, by applying the power of the marketplace in the service of the 
environment.'

"Mr. Bush also proposed a series of steps for integrating international 
responses to the issue of global climate change. They included an 
international 'charter' for cooperation in science and economics related 
to global change, a statement of principles to guide such research, the 
creation of international research institutes and a communications 
network to monitor global changes."
http://www.nytimes.com/1990/04/19/us/bush-denies-putting-off-action-on-averting-global-climate-shift.html

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