[✔️] Feb 15 2024 Global Warming News | Aussie cartoon AMOC, 15% stupid, Pogo - invisible governments, Will Steffen obit clip. Ain't gonna happen, 2010 warning

[R.Pauli]

/*February*//*15, 2024*/

/[ cute poster from an Aussie cartoonist ]/
*Are you ready for the collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning 
circulation? No, you are not*
First Dog on the Moon
Tue 13 Feb 2024
https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/3d96fcd2d15697f39b5553103cc761b25c25ee7d/0_0_1812_6959/master/1812.jpg?width=1900&dpr=2&s=none

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/picture/2024/feb/14/are-you-ready-for-the-collapse-of-the-atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-no-you-are-not



/[  A percentage that can do lots of damage  ]/
*Nearly 15% of Americans don’t believe climate change is real, study finds*
Denialism highest in central and southern US, with Republican voters 
less likely to believe in climate science
Aliya Uteuova
Wed 14 Feb 2024
Nearly 15% of Americans don’t believe climate change is real, a new 
study out of the University of Michigan reveals – shedding light on the 
highly polarized attitude toward global warming.

Additionally, denialism is highest in the central and southern US, with 
Republican voters found less likely to believe in climate science.

Using artificial intelligence, researchers analyzed over 7.4m tweets 
posted by roughly 1.3 million people on the social media platform X 
(previously Twitter) between 2017 and 2019. The social media posts were 
geocoded, and classified as “for” or “against” climate change using a 
large language model, a type of artificial intelligence developed by OpenAI.

“Over half of the tweets we looked at simply denied that climate change 
was real, that it was a hoax,” said Joshua Newell, co-author of the 
study and professor of environment and sustainability at the University 
of Michigan. “It wasn’t surprising but it was disappointing, I would 
hope that more and more Americans would believe in climate change and 
the importance of addressing it.”

Donald Trump emerged as one of the most influential figures among 
climate change deniers. His tweets around a cold snap in Texas in 
December 2017, as well as his missives rejecting the 2018 IPCC report 
released at the Cop24 UN conference, were some of his most engaged 
social media posts among climate change deniers.

“Public figures such as Trump are highly influential,” Newell said, 
“when they use these events to trigger disbelief in climate change among 
social media users.”

The findings are consistent with similar studies, such as the recent 
survey out of Yale University which estimates that as of 2023, 16% of 
Americans do not believe in climate change (about 49 million people).

Acceptance and belief in global warming is most prevalent along the west 
and east coasts, correlating with those regions’ high rates of 
Democratic voters. Still, clusters of denialism exist within blue 
states, like in the case of Shasta county, California. There, disbelief 
in climate change is as high as 52%, but statewide, less than 12% of 
California’s population does not believe in global warming.

“It comports with my understanding that there is a small but very vocal 
and active minority of the public that still denies the overwhelming 
evidence of human-caused warming,” said Michael Mann, climatologist and 
geophysicist at the University of Pennsylvania, about the study.

Last week, Mann was awarded $1m in a defamation lawsuit against 
conservative writers who called his pioneering climate change research 
“fraudulent”, comparing it to the work of a convicted child molester. In 
his book The New Climate War, Mann argues that scientists have to rebut 
the misinformation and disinformation promoted on social media by bad 
actors, “not because we’re going to win them over, their ideological 
heels are dug in, but because they are infecting the entire social media 
space with myths, falsehoods and toxic anti-scientific sentiment”, Mann 
said.

Researchers’ use of AI helped classify millions of social media posts 
that otherwise would be too time-consuming and expensive to conduct. 
Still, some skepticism remains regarding the ethics of using AI for 
research, as artificial intelligence has a documented history of bias, 
especially in facial recognition, highlighting the need for human vetting.
- -
“It’s an intriguing new tool to use for these purposes,” Mann said. “But 
its limitations must be kept in mind as it’s an evolving technology.”

It is up to social media platforms to combat misinformation, and 
fact-check what the researchers call “knowledge vulnerability”.

“There is proper action by the social media companies to monitor 
disinformation and to act accordingly,” Newell said, referencing Trump’s 
ban from X (then Twitter) following the January 6 insurrection. “These 
very powerful social media companies should consider similar strategies 
for misinformation regarding climate change.”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/feb/14/americans-believe-climate-change-

/
/


/[ Beware “We Have Met the Enemy and He Is Us”  Pogo ]
/*World scientists’ warning: The behavioural crisis driving ecological 
overshoot*
Joseph J Merz https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1808-6477 
joseph at merzinstitute.org, Phoebe Barnard, […], and Rory Sutherland+8

https://doi.org/10.1177/00368504231201372

*Abstract*

    Previously, anthropogenic ecological overshoot has been identified
    as a fundamental cause of the myriad symptoms we see around the
    globe today from biodiversity loss and ocean acidification to the
    disturbing rise in novel entities and climate change. In the present
    paper, we have examined this more deeply, and explore the
    behavioural drivers of overshoot, providing evidence that overshoot
    is itself a symptom of a deeper, more subversive modern crisis of
    human behaviour. We work to name and frame this crisis as ‘the Human
    Behavioural Crisis’ and propose the crisis be recognised globally as
    a critical intervention point for tackling ecological overshoot. We
    demonstrate how current interventions are largely physical, resource
    intensive, slow-moving and focused on addressing the symptoms of
    ecological overshoot (such as climate change) rather than the distal
    cause (maladaptive behaviours). We argue that even in the best-case
    scenarios, symptom-level interventions are unlikely to avoid
    catastrophe or achieve more than ephemeral progress. We explore
    three drivers of the behavioural crisis in depth: economic growth;
    marketing; and pronatalism. These three drivers directly impact the
    three ‘levers’ of overshoot: consumption, waste and population. We
    demonstrate how the maladaptive behaviours of overshoot stemming
    from these three drivers have been catalysed and perpetuated by the
    intentional exploitation of previously adaptive human impulses. In
    the final sections of this paper, we propose an interdisciplinary
    emergency response to the behavioural crisis by, amongst other
    things, the shifting of social norms relating to reproduction,
    consumption and waste. We seek to highlight a critical disconnect
    that is an ongoing societal gulf in communication between those that
    know such as scientists working within limits to growth, and those
    members of the citizenry, largely influenced by social scientists
    and industry, that must act.

    For Will Steffen (1947–2023), one of the kindest advocates for our
    planet in a time of crisis.

        ‘The conscious and intelligent manipulation of the organized
        habits and opinions of the masses is an important element in
        democratic society. Those who manipulate this unseen mechanism
        of society constitute an invisible government which is the true
        ruling power of our country. We are governed, our minds are
        molded, our tastes formed, our ideas suggested, largely by men
        we have never heard of’.
            – Edward Bernays, Propaganda, 1928

        ‘A species causing the extinction of 150 species per day doesn’t
        need more energy to do more of what it does’.
            – Hart Hagan, Environmental journalist..

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00368504231201372/
/

/- -/

/[ related to the above - a clip from obit ] /

*Will Steffen (1947–2023)
Earth-system scientist and climate advocate.*
By Lesley Hughes & Martin Rice

20 February 2023

He was attracted to tackling complex problems in an interdisciplinary 
way, and with Earth-system science he blossomed as a researcher. Many 
ideas that he developed and popularized were at first considered radical 
but are now mainstream. These include the ‘Great Acceleration’^1 
<https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00519-x#ref-CR1> , which 
describes the dramatic increase in human environmental impact since the 
1950s, brought about by population growth and fossil-fuel burning. He 
was also a significant advocate of the Anthropocene, the idea 
popularized by his colleague, Nobel prizewinner Paul Crutzen, that the 
planet has entered a new geological epoch because of human activity. 
Steffen served as the climate-science expert on the Anthropocene Working 
Group.

Among many seminal publications, Steffen is particularly known for the 
2009/Nature/paper ‘A safe operating space for humanity’^2 
<https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00519-x#ref-CR2> , which 
introduced the key conceptual framework of ‘planetary boundaries’. Along 
with Johan Rockström and colleagues, Steffen identified nine 
planet-scale processes that regulate Earth-system stability, together 
with thresholds that, if crossed, could lead to large-scale 
environmental tipping points. He also led work on Hothouse Earth^3 
<https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00519-x#ref-CR3> , exploring 
how self-reinforcing feedbacks might push Earth into a regime in which 
its climate could no longer be stabilized even if greenhouse-gas 
emissions were substantially reduced.

Steffen was fearless in his advocacy of science and science-based 
policy, communicating the risks of climate change with sobering clarity. 
In 2011, he was appointed to the Australian government’s Climate 
Commission, which was dedicated to deepening public understanding of 
climate change and its impacts. When the commission was abolished in 
2013, Steffen co-founded the Climate Council of Australia to continue 
the work, funded by public donations.

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00519-x/
/

/
/


/[ Two doomer cynics make a list of things that are not going to happen  ]/
*The Dynamic Doomer Duo Explain Why All of this Happy Horseshit Hopium 
Just Ain't Gonna Happen*
Collapse Chronicles
   Feb 7, 2024  DUNNELLON
In the latest meet-up between Collapse Chronicles and Climate Casino, 
two Doomers with brains (Eliot Jacobson and Sam Mitchell) try to analyze 
and explain why this never-ending barrage of pointless apocaloptimistic 
horseshit being bandied about the Doomosphere about "what we need to do" 
to save the planet just ain't gonna happen, which is just one more 
reason we are all doomed.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8TpPcY5vgWg



/[The news archive -  14 year ago - a strong warning ]/
/*February 15, 2010 */
In the Boston Globe, MIT climate scientist Kerry Emanuel writes:
"With all the interest in alleged misdeeds of the Intergovernmental 
Panel on Climate Change and hacked email exchanges among climate 
scientists, it is easy to lose track of the compelling strands of 
scientific evidence that have led almost all climate scientists to 
conclude that mankind is altering climate in potentially dangerous 
ways...A few essential points are undisputed among climate scientists. 
First, the surface temperature of the Earth is roughly 60 F higher than 
it would otherwise be thanks to a few greenhouse gasses that 
collectively make up only about 3 percent of the mass of our atmosphere.

"Second, the concentrations of the two most important long-lived 
greenhouse gases, carbon dioxide and methane, have been increasing since 
the dawn of the industrial era; carbon dioxide alone has increased by 
about 40 percent. These increases have been brought about by fossil fuel 
combustion and changes in land use.

"Third, in the absence of any feedbacks except for temperature itself, 
doubling carbon dioxide would increase the global average surface 
temperature by about 1.8 F. And fourth, global temperatures have been 
rising for roughly the past century and have so far increased by about 
1.4 F. The rate of rise of surface temperature is consistent with 
predictions of human-caused global warming that date back to the 19th 
century and is larger than any natural change we have been able to 
discern for at least the past 1,000 years."

http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/editorial_opinion/oped/articles/2010/02/15/climate_changes_are_proven_fact/ 



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