[TheClimate.Vote] Nov. 11, 2016 - Daily Global Warming News for voters, candidates and officials
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Politics - Donald Trump Could Put*Climate Change*on Course for
'Danger Zone'
<http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/11/us/politics/donald-trump-climate-change.html>
New York Times -1 hour ago
The world, then, may have no way to avoid the most devastating
consequences of*global warming*, including rising sea levels,
extreme droughts and food shortages, and more powerful floods and
storms.....Mr. Trump cannot legally block other countries from
fulfilling their Paris agreement commitments, nor can he quickly or
unilaterally erase Mr. Obama’s climate rules....But he can, as
president, choose not to carry out the Paris plan in the United
States. And he could so substantially slow or weaken the enforcement
of Mr. Obama’s rules that they would have little impact on reducing
emissions in the United States, at least during Mr. Trump’s
term.....That could doom the Paris agreement’s goal of reducing
carbon dioxide emissions enough to stave off an atmospheric warming
of at least 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit, the point at which, many
scientists say, the planet will be locked into an irreversible
future of extreme and dangerous warming....."With Mr. Trump in the
Oval Office and Republican majorities in both houses," Mr. Sterman
wrote, "there is little hope that the Clean Power Plan will survive
in the Supreme Court or for federal action to meet the U.S.
commitment under the Paris accord. Worse, other key emitter nations
— especially India — now have little reason to follow through on
their Paris pledges: If the U.S. won’t, why should developing
nations cut their emissions?"....The Clean Power Plan is the
ambitious centerpiece of Mr. Obama’s climate change legacy and the
key to his commitment under the Paris accord. At its heart is a set
of Environmental Protection Agency regulations intended to curb
planet-warming pollution from coal-fired power plants. If enacted,
the rules could transform the American electricity sector, close
hundreds of coal-fired plants and usher in the construction of vast
new wind and solar farms. The plan is projected to cut United States
power plant emissions 32 percent from 2005 levels by 2030.
Al Gore offers to work with Trump on*climate change*. (Good luck
with that)
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/11/10/al-gore-offers-to-work-with-trump-on-climate-change-good-luck-with-that/>
Washington Post -10 hours ago
... the harmful effects of*global warming*. "President-elect Trump
said he wanted to be a president for all Americans," Gore wrote on
the website of the*Climate*Reality Project, the advocacy group he
founded with a mission of helping accelerate the*...*
'Game Over' for*Climate*? Report Warns Warming Is Still
Underestimated
<http://www.commondreams.org/news/2016/11/10/game-over-climate-report-warns-warming-still-underestimated>
Common Dreams (press release) -11 hours ago
Greenhouse gases are rising so fast that it could soon be "game
over" for the*climate*, a leading scientist warned in response to a
new study published Wednesday that finds the planet could be heading
for more than 7°C warming within a lifetime The study, published in
the journal Science Advances, reported that the United Nations' most
accurate estimates on the "business as usual" rate of global warming
may actually be vastly underestimated.....The U.N.'s
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) recently estimated
that continuing to use fossil fuels at current rates would put the
Earth on track for an average temperature rise of 2.6°C to 4.8°C
above pre-industrial levels by 2100...But the authors, a team of
climate researchers and scientists at the University of Hawaii at
Manoa, the University of Washington, the University of Albany, and
the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, say the range for
that same time period is actually 4.78°C to 7.36°C. That's because
the climate has "substantially higher sensitivity" to greenhouse
gases during warm phases, they write—which ultimately means that
"within the 21st century, global mean temperatures will very likely
exceed maximum levels reconstructed for the last 784,000
years."...The results correspond with other recent data that finds,
despite all the pledges made in the landmark Paris climate
agreement, the planet is still on track for at least a 3°C global
temperature rise. Scientists have long warned that catastrophic,
irreversible damage would come at 2°C.....President-elect Donald
Trump, who has denied that climate change exists, has vowed to
withdraw from the Paris agreement, and his transition team is rife
with fellow deniers and fossil fuel industry lobbyists. Green groups
on Wednesday reacted to his win by calling on people around the
world to mobilize against his anti-environmental policies "for the
sake of our brothers and sisters around the world and for all future
generations."...Professor Michael Mann of Penn State University told
the Independent that the study "does indeed provide support for the
notion that a Donald Trump presidency could be game over for the
climate."...."By 'game over for the climate,' I mean game over for
stabilizing warming below dangerous (i.e. greater than 2°C) levels,"
he wrote in an email to the outlet. "If Trump makes good on his
promises, and the U.S. pulls out of the Paris [climate] treaty, it
is difficult to see a path forward to keeping warming below those
levels."....Dr. Tobias Friedrich, one of the authors, said, "Our
results imply that the Earth's sensitivity to variations in
atmospheric carbon dioxide increases as the climate warms.
Currently, our planet is in a warm phase—an interglacial period—and
the associated increased climate sensitivity needs to be taken into
account for future projections of warming induced by human
activities."..."The only way out is to reduce greenhouse gas
emissions as soon as possible," he said...
*Nonlinear climate sensitivity and its implications for future
greenhouse warming
<http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/2/11/e1501923>*
Furthermore, we find that within the 21st century, global mean
temperatures will very likely exceed maximum levels reconstructed
for the last 784,000 years. On the basis of temperature data from
eight glacial cycles, our results provide an independent validation
of the magnitude of current CMIP5 warming projections. YouTube
Video: *6 Degrees Warmer: Mass Extinction? | National Geographic
<https://youtu.be/O8qmaAMK4cM?list=PL513A1C0ACD1C5FD2>***... If the
world warms by six degrees, oceans will turn into marine wastelands
and natural disasters become common events.
...https://youtu.be/O8qmaAMK4cM?list=PL513A1C0ACD1C5FD2
These Kids Are Suing the Federal Government to
Demand*Climate*Action. They Just Won an Important Victory
<http://time.com/4567012/federal-government-lawsuit-climate-change/>
TIME -4 hours ago
A group of young Americans suing the federal government to demand
increased efforts on*climate change*won a notable battle Thursday,
as a federal court rejected the government's request to dismiss the
case.
*Conservatives elected Trump; now they own climate change
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2016/nov/10/they-elected-trump-now-conservatives-own-climate-change>*
Anyone who voted for Trump shares the responsibility for the climate
damages resulting from his presidency.... It is now virtually
certain the world will not meet any of its climate targets. If Trump
(and the Republican-controlled Congress) stand by their pledges, we
will see a major rollback of the tremendous progress that has been
made on reducing emissions. A Trump presidency will likely set us
back at least a decade, perhaps longer. And that is a decade we
can’t afford....The world will blow past the 2C (3.6F) target set in
Paris. This means it will be difficult to avoid the worst
consequences of climate change....The election also affects how we
should talk about climate change. In the US, and in many other
countries, opposing steps to cut carbon pollution has become a
litmus test for conservative politicians. So, in this sense,
conservatives now own climate change. I can just imagine the
slogans, "Climate change, brought to you by your neighborhood
conservatives."....George W Bush was the worst president ever on
climate change. Back then, with the reality of climate change not as
widely known, it is conceivable to give voters a pass. But not now.
Anyone who voted for Trump shares the responsibility for what is now
inevitable. ...It’s really too bad because many conservatives
certainly don’t want to destroy the Earth’s climate. Furthermore,
there are some conservatives who do take climate change seriously.
However, when a central belief to conservatism results in decades of
inaction, it makes it impossible to avoid staring facts in the
face.... Conservatives own climate change....Conservatives own the
consequences of climate change.
They own the increased droughts, more severe storms, sea level rise,
and floods.
They own the heat waves, the loss of habitat and the shifting
climate zones.
They own the climate refugees, the resulting political strive, and
climate conflicts.
They own it all.
Liberals, both in the US and around the world, have tried to work
with conservatives to devise practical plans that will reduce the
threats of climate change. In the past few years there was real
progress.
We had hope.
Now, we can look forward to the US going backwards. Becoming the
world’s laggard on climate change (again). Once again, America’s
leaders will describe climate change as a hoax or as a
non-threat....So, I’d like to rename climate change to "Climate
Change, brought to you by Conservatives". I will spend the next four
years reminding people that the climate change we are seeing, and
the climate change which is now unavoidable could have been stopped.
I will count up the economic and social consequences of climate
change which could have been stopped. These are now the liability of
conservatives. The financial costs of adapting will also be owned by
conservatives....They asked for it, they got it. Our job is to never
let them forget it.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2016/nov/10/they-elected-trump-now-conservatives-own-climate-change
DemocracyNow video
*Bill McKibben: Trump's Presidency Comes When the Warming World Can
Least Afford It
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-XNiwBpGX-A&feature=youtu.be>*
"The damage from this election will be measured in geological time"
On the same day Donald Trump was elected, the World Meteorological
Organization reported that the five years from 2011 to 2015 were the
hottest on record, with hundreds of thousands of deaths likely due
to global warming from human activity. The report found
human-induced climate change was directly linked to extreme events,
including an East African drought and famine in 2011 that claimed
over a quarter-million lives, and "Superstorm" Sandy in the U.S.
that caused $67 billion of damage in 2012. Delegates at the United
Nations climate summit in Marrakesh, Morocco, are expressing panic
over Tuesday’s election results, saying President-elect Donald Trump
may threaten the future of any international agreement to slow
catastrophic climate change. Trump has said he will "cancel the
Paris Climate Agreement and stop all payments of U.S. tax dollars to
U.N. global warming programs." Trump has also promised to promote
coal power and fracking, and says he will allow for oil and gas
drilling on federal lands. He has also promised to ask TransCanada
to renew its permit application for the Keystone XL pipeline. For
more, we’re joined by Bill McKibben, co-founder of 350.org. He’s the
author of several books, including "Eaarth: Making a Life on a Tough
New Planet." His recent article for The New York Times is titled
"Why Dakota is the New Keystone."
*The carbon bubble: why investors can no longer ignore climate risks
<https://www.theguardian.com/sustainable-business/2016/oct/27/investment-advice-retirement-portfolio-tips-climate-change-financial-risk>*
The financial risks posed by climate change and bad investments
could make an ugly dent in your retirement savings, a new report
warns...a growing number of investors who see global warming not
only as a looming environmental problem but also an investment risk.
Some fund managers are ringing alarm bells as well. BlackRock, the
world’s largest asset manager with almost $5tn in assets, issued a
report last month recommending investors include climate risks in
their decisions....
*A warm climate is more sensitive to changes in atmospheric CO2
<http://phys.org/news/2016-11-climate-sensitive-atmospheric-co2.html>*
Increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations cause an imbalance in the
Earth's heat budget: more heat is retained than expelled, which in
turn generates global surface warming. Climate sensitivity is a term
used to describe the amount of warming expected to result after an
increase in the concentration of CO2. This number is traditionally
calculated using complex computer models of the climate system, but
despite decades of progress, the number is still subject to
uncertainty....The new study, which included scientists from the
University of Washington, the University at Albany, and the Potsdam
Institute for Climate Impact Research, took a different approach in
calculating climate sensitivity: using data from the history of
Earth. The researchers examined various reconstructions of past
temperatures and CO2 levels to determine how the climate system has
responded to previous changes in its energy balance....Read more at:
http://phys.org/news/2016-11-climate-sensitive-atmospheric-co2.html#jCp
*(Editorial today) This day in Climate History November 11, 2016 *
<http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/11/us/politics/donald-trump-climate-change.html>*<http://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2014/11/10/fuel-divestment-movement-grows-boston-campuses/uOKCKYo71b6QhMVaKmQQNK/story.html>:
From D.R. Tucker ----------
*
November 11, 2016: The New York Times reports:
"For a look at how sharply policy in Washington will change under
the administration of Donald J. Trump, look no further than the
environment....."Mr. Trump has called human-caused climate change a
'hoax.' He has vowed to dismantle the Environmental Protection
Agency 'in almost every form.'..."And in an early salvo against one
of President Obama’s signature issues, Mr. Trump has named Myron
Ebell of the business-backed Competitive Enterprise Institute to
head his E.P.A. transition team. Mr. Ebell has asserted that
whatever warming caused by greenhouse gas pollution is modest and
could be beneficial. A 2007 Vanity Fair profile of Mr. Ebell called
him an 'oil industry mouthpiece.' .."Global warming may indeed be
the sharpest example of how policy in Washington will change under a
Trump administration. President Obama has said his efforts to
establish the United States as the global leader in climate policy
are his proudest legacy...."But if Mr. Trump makes good on his
campaign promises, experts in climate change policy warn, that
legacy would unravel quickly. The world, then, may have no way to
avoid the most devastating consequences of global warming, including
rising sea levels, extreme droughts and food shortages, and more
powerful floods and
storms."....http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/11/us/politics/donald-trump-climate-change.html
*
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