[TheClimate.Vote] April 5, 2017 - Daily Global Warming News
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Wed Apr 5 09:47:04 EDT 2017
/April 5, 2017 /
http://www.set-nav.eu/sites/default/files/common_files/deliverables/d11/Policy%20Brief%20on%20Energy%20and%20Climate%20towards%202050%20-%20Four%20Scenarios.pdf
*Policy Brief on Energy and Climate towards 2050 - Four Scenarios
<http://www.set-nav.eu/sites/default/files/common_files/deliverables/d11/Policy%20Brief%20on%20Energy%20and%20Climate%20towards%202050%20-%20Four%20Scenarios.pdf>*
The Policy Brief on Energy and Climate towards 2050-Four Scenarios
<http://www.set-nav.eu/sites/default/files/common_files/deliverables/d11/Policy%20Brief%20on%20Energy%20and%20Climate%20towards%202050%20-%20Four%20Scenarios.pdf>
is now available online! Aiming to support decision making under
uncertainty, the SET-Nav project investigates four alternative
scenarios for global energy markets up to 2050...
These four narratives, do not attempt to predict the state of the
global energy system by the year 2050, but rather bound the range of
plausible alternative futures by defining certain trajectories,
downside risks, new trends, and 'unknown unknowns' that could
significantly affect decarbonisation policy in the years to come...
Download and read the Policy Brief on Energy and Climate towards
2050-Four Scenarios
<http://www.set-nav.eu/sites/default/files/common_files/deliverables/d11/Policy%20Brief%20on%20Energy%20and%20Climate%20towards%202050%20-%20Four%20Scenarios.pdf>
developed by DIW Berlin.
https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/guest-blog/forget-about-climate-change/
Forget about*Climate Change*
<https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/guest-blog/forget-about-climate-change/>
Scientific American (blog) -10 hours ago
We should be embracing energy efficiency and the low-carbon economy
because they promote jobs, national security and human health.
If I said coal use in the United States dropped 20 percent in the
last two years, slashing carbon dioxide emissions and future climate
change, some people would roll their eyes. If I said the same drop
in coal use and air pollution will save 3,000 lives this year—and
every year after if we stick with it—people might notice. Both
statements are true.
After two centuries of data and all these years, we're still arguing
over the reality of climate change and what's making our seas rise.
We're missing the boat. We live in a society that embraces progress
and the energy landscape is changing under our feet. We should
embrace it....
We should be embracing energy efficiency and the low-carbon economy
as fast as we can. Pick whatever reasons you like: jobs, national
security, human health, money. Even pick the environment. But leave
climate change out of it. We don't need it. Any of it.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/04/business/economy/geoengineering-climate-change.html
To Curb Global Warming, Science Fiction May Become Fact
<https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/04/business/economy/geoengineering-climate-change.html>
New York Times -5 hours ago
Last month, scholars from the physical and social sciences who are
interested in climate change gathered in Washington to discuss
approaches like cooling the planet by shooting aerosols into the
stratosphere or whitening clouds to reflect sunlight back into
space, which may prove indispensable to prevent the disastrous
consequences of warming...
The best way to think of the options ahead is as offering a balance
of risks. On one plate sit whatever pitfalls geoengineering might
bring. They might be preferable to the prospect of radical climate
change. Thinking in terms of delirious sci-fi fantasies, the
trade-off won't necessarily be between cockroach protein bars and
some happy future of cheap, renewable energy. It is more likely to
pit cockroach treats against some dystopian, broiling world.
http://lancasteronline.com/news/local/pennsylvania-resisting-federal-efforts-to-end-chesapeake-bay-cleanup-climate/article_3fd360a2-1889-11e7-88cb-97e9b3c337b7.html
Pennsylvania resisting federal efforts to end Chesapeake Bay
cleanup, climate-change pollution
<http://lancasteronline.com/news/local/pennsylvania-resisting-federal-efforts-to-end-chesapeake-bay-cleanup-climate/article_3fd360a2-1889-11e7-88cb-97e9b3c337b7.html>
LancasterOnline -9 hours ago
Pennsylvania is moving ahead with ways to reduce pollution tied to
climate change and cleanup of the Chesapeake Bay even as the Trump
administration takes steps to end both programs...
A proposed budget by the federal Environmental Protection Agency
would end federal assistance for the Chesapeake Bay cleanup...
The budget proposal also would slash $165 million from nonpoint
source pollution, a program that has been used to provide financial
assistance to farmers in Lancaster County and Pennsylvania so they
can make on-the-farm improvements to prevent soil and manure runoff.
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/03/predictable-and-unpredictable-behaviour/
*Predictable and unpredictable behaviour
<http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/03/predictable-and-unpredictable-behaviour/>*
Filed under: Climate Science - rasmus @ 13 March 2017
Terms such as "gas skeptics" and "climate skeptics" aren't really
very descriptive, but they refer to sentiments that have something
in common: unpredictable behaviour.
*Statistics is remarkably predictable*
The individual gas molecules are highly unpredictable, but the bulk
properties of the gases are nevertheless very predictable thanks to
physics. More specifically the laws of thermodynamics and the ideal
gas law...
The bulk aspects of the gases are a result of the statistical
properties of a vast number of particles. Statistics is surprisingly
predictable even if the individual cases are not...
Just look at Las Vegas and the insurance industry which make a
living on the fact that probabilities (statistics) are predictable.
Even economists pin their hope on statistics, and the medical
sciences would never be where they are now without the predictive
power of statistics...
A "gas skeptic" would say that you cannot predict the state of the
gas because the molecules are unpredictable. This is analogous to
saying that climatic states cannot be predicted because the weather
is unpredictable (a "climate skeptic")...
*Climate is weather statistics*
Climate can be viewed as weather statistics. Early climatological
work was dedicated to survey of how the weather statistics varied
from place to place and over the seasons...
There are clear effects of physical factors (latitude, mountains,
distance to the coast) on the statistical character of the weather
and the weather statistics (climate)...
In other words, the statistical properties are a result of the
physical processes and conditions present and are readily predicted
from e.g. geographical factors, seasonal variations in the solar
inclination, the atmospheric composition and the planet's distance
to the Sun...
The weather statistics (eg probabilities) are predictable in spite
of the chaotic and nonlinear character of weather itself.
*Common misconceptions...*
snip from:
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/03/predictable-and-unpredictable-behaviour/
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=35639
*This Day in Climate History April 5, 1988
<http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=35639> - from D.R. Tucker*
President Reagan signs the Montreal Protocol, an international
treaty that would reduce the usage of substances that were
furthering ozone depletion; over two decades later, the Montreal
Protocol would be cited as an example of what can happen when
political partisanship and rigid ideology can be set aside to
protect the common interests of humanity. Supporters of President
Reagan also note that the Montreal Protocol was, in its own way, an
effective tool to limit greenhouse gases.
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=35639
http://www.shatteredsky.com/about/
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/10/science/the-montreal-protocol-a-little-treaty-that-could.html
http://www.ohio.com/editorial/lee-thomas-climate-change-a-present-danger-1.449815
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/frances-beinecke/saving-the-ozone-layer-le_b_1885547.html
http://www.rstreet.org/op-ed/reagan-the-environmentalist/
http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2012/09/28/ozone-layer-montreal-protocol/1598559/
http://ofbuckleyandbeatles.wordpress.com/2010/11/20/climate-change-champion-ronald-reagan/
http://www.bu.edu/today/2013/bu-aided-research-montreal-protocol-has-slowed-global-warming/
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