[TheClimate.Vote] April 29, 2018 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli richard at theclimate.vote
Sun Apr 29 09:21:20 EDT 2018


/April 29, 2018/

[LA Times]
*Trump and California are set to collide head-on over fuel standards 
<http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-mileage-20180427-story.html>*
EVAN HALPER - APR 27, 2018
The Trump administration is speeding toward all-out war with California 
over fuel economy rules for cars and SUVs, proposing to revoke the 
state's long-standing authority to enforce its own, tough rules on 
tailpipe emissions.
The move forms a key part of a proposal by Trump's environmental and 
transportation agencies to roll back the nation's fuel economy 
standards. The agencies plan to submit the proposal to the White House 
for review within days.
The plan would freeze fuel economy targets at the levels required for 
vehicles sold in 2020, and leave those in place through 2026, according 
to federal officials who have reviewed it. That would mark a dramatic 
retreat from existing law, which aimed to get the nation's fleet of cars 
and light trucks to an average fuel economy of 55 miles per gallon by 
2025. Instead of average vehicle fuel economy ratcheting up to that 
level, it would stall out at 42 miles per gallon...
http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-mileage-20180427-story.html


[pleading to the EPA]
*Don't Gut Coal Ash Rules, Communities Beg EPA at Hearing 
<https://insideclimatenews.org/news/25042018/toxic-coal-ash-disposal-standards-epa-hearing-ccr-rule-groundwater-power-plant-health-data>*
'We're talking about poisoning groundwater,' one mayor told the agency 
at the only public hearing planned on Pruitt's coal ash rule change, 
proposed by industry.
Georgina Gustin
It took decades for the Environmental Protection Agency to craft public 
safeguards for the disposal of coal ash, the toxic byproduct that 
coal-burning power plants generate more than 100 million tons of every year.
Scott Pruitt's EPA is aiming to unravel those standards in a matter of 
months.
On Tuesday, in a hotel conference room outside Washington, dozens of 
people spoke at the EPA's only planned public hearing on Pruitt's 
proposed changes to the coal ash standards. They represented their 
communities, many of them poor, seemingly powerless and hundreds of 
miles away from the capital.
A pediatrician. A small-town mayor. Tribal members. Girls Scouts.
"Please, do not roll back EPA safeguards," 8-year-old Alivia Hopkins, a 
Scout from Pleasant Plains, Illinois, told a panel of agency employees 
as she stood on a chair to reach a microphone at the podium. "I'm 
counting on you to keep those I love safe."...
- - - -
In 2015, the EPA finalized a rule that calls for utilities to take 
certain steps when disposing of coal ash, which can include a number of 
toxins, including lead, mercury and arsenic.
The rule, known as the Coal Combustion Residuals, or CCR, rule requires 
utilities to close ponds that are leaking, to line the ponds and to 
locate them away from waterways. It also requires specific groundwater 
monitoring, creates certain allowable thresholds for toxic materials and 
mandates public disclosure of data.
- - - - -
Dink NeSmith, a newspaper owner from Jesup, Georgia, waged-and won-a 
multi-year fight against the disposal of coal ash in the city's 
landfill. Now he worries the changes to the CCR rule could reverse that.
"In five short years, we would have had a toxic mountain of more than 18 
million tons of coal ash," NeSmith said Tuesday. "That is still a 
possibility. Your proposed anything-goes set of rules will be 
devastating to our community and hundreds of others."
moe at: 
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/25042018/toxic-coal-ash-disposal-standards-epa-hearing-ccr-rule-groundwater-power-plant-health-data


[video with an important, positive message]
*Humanity's True Purpose <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0P-mE7-kPMc>*
Sailesh Rao - 9 minute video Published on Apr 20, 2018
Is humanity nothing more than a cancer on the planet, consuming its host 
until it is gone, guaranteeing its own destruction in the process? A 
quick glance at the effects of our behavior might lead us to say yes.
But looks can be deceiving. Nature shows us that what is destructive on 
one level can also be part of a larger process of change that creates 
new forms of value at another level...
To check the facts in the video, please go to 
http://www.climatehealers.org/facts
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0P-mE7-kPMc


[research paper]
*Integration anxiety: The cognitive isolation of climate change 
<http://ses.forestry.ubc.ca/people/postdoctoral-fellows/>*
Please find below a free link to our new paper in Global Environmental 
Change seeking to understand how people coordinate (or fail to 
coordinate) climate change risks with other decisions.

The study examines South Africa's commercial grain farmers as a uniquely 
informative group with the demonstrated capacity, incentive and 
willingness to adapt to climate change risks, including their ongoing 
adoption of farming practices associated with Conservation Agriculture. 
Using mental models analysis, we find that farmers' failure to integrate 
climate change with the many other risks they face makes it unlikely 
that they will adapt proactively and rationally to this new uncertainty 
even when they otherwise appear motivated and well-equipped to do so.
Highlights:

    - We evaluate how farmers mainstream climate change adaptation.
    - These farmers isolate climate change from weather and other
    'normal' risks.
    - They are explicitly sensitive to climate risks, expressing concern
    for its impacts.
    - But the cognitive isolation of climate risks makes them implicitly
    insensitive.
    - They appear unlikely to adapt proactively and rationally to
    climate change.

Using the following link, the paper may be downloaded for free until 8 
June 2018:
https://authors.elsevier.com/a/1Wv0q3Q8oPxLaV

Findlater KM, Donner SDD, Satterfield T,  Kandlikar M (2018). 
Integration anxiety: The cognitive isolation of climate change. Global 
Environmental Change, 50:178-189. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.02.010.
http://ses.forestry.ubc.ca/people/postdoctoral-fellows/


[Water in Arizona]
*Plight of Phoenix: how long can the world's 'least sustainable' city 
survive? 
<https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2018/mar/20/phoenix-least-sustainable-city-survive-water>*
Phoenix gets less than eight inches of rainfall each year; most of the 
water supply for central and southern Arizona is pumped from Lake Mead, 
fed by the Colorado river over 300 miles away. Anthem's private 
developer paid a local Native American tribe to lease some of its 
historic water rights, and pipes its water from the nearby Lake Pleasant 
reservoir - also filled by the Colorado.
That river is drying up. This winter, snow in the Rocky Mountains, which 
feeds the Colorado, was 70% lower than average. Last month, the US 
government calculated that two thirds of Arizona is currently facing 
severe to extreme drought; last summer 50 flights were grounded at 
Phoenix airport because the heat - which hit 47C (116F) - made the air 
too thin to take off safely. The "heat island" effect keeps temperatures 
in Phoenix above 37C (98F) at night in summer.
Phoenix and its surrounding area is known as the Valley of the Sun, and 
downtown Phoenix - which in 2017 overtook Philadelphia as America's 
fifth-largest city - is easily walkable, with restaurants, bars and an 
evening buzz. But it is a modern shrine to towering concrete, and gives 
way to endless sprawl that stretches up to 35 miles away to places like 
Anthem. The area is still growing - and is dangerously overstretched, 
experts warn.
"There are plans for substantial further growth and there just isn't the 
water to support that," says climate researcher Jonathan Overpeck, who 
co-authored a 2017 report that linked declining flows in the Colorado 
river to climate change...
- - - -
One of those plans is Bill Gates's new "smart city". The Microsoft 
founder recently invested $80m (£57m) in a development firm that aims to 
construct80,000 new homes on undeveloped land west of Phoenix, 
<In%20his%202011%20book%20Bird%20on%20Fire,+the+New+York+University+sociologist+Andrew+Ross+branded+Phoenix+the+least+sustainable+city+in+the+world.+He+says+he+stands+by+his+assessment+and+warns+of+an+%E2%80%9Ceco-apartheid%E2%80%9D,+whereby+low-income+neighbourhoods+on+the+more+polluted+south+side+of+the+Salt+River+%28which+once+flowed+vigorously+through+the+city+and+is+now+a+trickle%29+are+less+able+to+protect+themselves+from+the+heat+and+drought+than+wealthier+citizens.> 
and a new freeway all the way to Las Vegas...
- - - - -
In his 2011 book Bird on Fire, the New York University sociologist 
Andrew Ross branded Phoenix the least sustainable city in the world. He 
says he stands by his assessment and warns of an "eco-apartheid", 
whereby low-income neighbourhoods on the more polluted south side of the 
Salt River (which once flowed vigorously through the city and is now a 
trickle) are less able to protect themselves from the heat and drought 
than wealthier citizens.
https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2018/mar/20/phoenix-least-sustainable-city-survive-water


[2016 data visualization]
*The World Water Atlas <http://www.worldwateratlas.org/about>*
Water represents society's most challenging and complex risk. Too much, 
too little, and too dirty water combine in potentially disastrous ways 
with climate change and socio-economic development. The High Level Panel 
on Water (HLPW) Action Plan points out that we need to understand the 
risks and link them to potential solutions to inspire action.
- - - - -
The Action Plan recognizes the need for "a platform where states can 
share and exchange lessons and good practices for addressing 
water-related disasters and translate them into solutions that can be 
promoted globally".
The Kingdom of the Netherlands has developed the "World Water Atlas" 
under the patronage of the HLPW, and with support of the Dutch water 
sector. The action-inspiring narratives in the Atlas will be developed 
along three lines:*too much, too little and too dirty. **Interactive 
World Water Atlas <http://www.worldwateratlas.org/themes/too-little/>*
For all people and their leaders who want to understand and address the 
multifaceted risk related to water, The World Water Atlas is an 
interactive platform that marks water risk 'hotspots,' where challenges 
and opportunities collide. The Atlas is presented in compelling 
narratives backed by reliable open-source data.
For more information, please contact us at info at worldwateratlas.org
http://www.worldwateratlas.org/about
- - - - -
[subject blog water]
Aguanomics - The political economy of water - and other distractions
David Zetland has worked on water policy for 10+ years. He's an 
assistant professor of political-economy at Leiden University College in 
the Netherlands...
http://www.aguanomics.com/p/about-david.html


[Serious, deep opinions: distressing interview; grief and then positivism]
*'We're doomed': Mayer Hillman on the climate reality no one else will 
dare mention 
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/apr/26/were-doomed-mayer-hillman-on-the-climate-reality-no-one-else-will-dare-mention>*
By Patrick Barkham
The 86-year-old social scientist says accepting the impending end of 
most life on Earth might be the very thing needed to help us prolong it.

"We're doomed," says Mayer Hillman with such a beaming smile that it 
takes a moment for the words to sink in. "The outcome is death, and it's 
the end of most life on the planet because we're so dependent on the 
burning of fossil fuels. There are no means of reversing the process 
which is melting the polar ice caps. And very few appear to be prepared 
to say so."

Hillman, an 86-year-old social scientist and senior fellow emeritus of 
the Policy Studies Institute, does say so. His bleak forecast of the 
consequence of runaway climate change, he says without fanfare, is his 
"last will and testament". His last intervention in public life. "I'm 
not going to write anymore because there's nothing more that can be 
said," he says when I first hear him speak to a stunned audience at the 
University of East Anglia late last year.

 From Malthus to the Millennium Bug, apocalyptic thinking has a poor 
track record. But when it issues from Hillman, it may be worth paying 
attention. Over nearly 60 years, his research has used factual data to 
challenge policymakers' conventional wisdom. In 1972, he criticised 
out-of-town shopping centres more than 20 years before the government 
changed planning rules to stop their spread. In 1980, he recommended 
halting the closure of branch line railways - only now are some closed 
lines reopening. In 1984, he proposed energy ratings for houses - 
finally adopted as government policy in 2007. And, more than 40 years 
ago, he presciently challenged society's pursuit of economic growth.

When we meet at his converted coach house in London, his classic Dawes 
racer still parked hopefully in the hallway (a stroke and a triple heart 
bypass mean he is - currently - forbidden from cycling), Hillman is 
anxious we are not side-tracked by his best-known research, which 
challenged the supremacy of the car.

"With doom ahead, making a case for cycling as the primary mode of 
transport is almost irrelevant," he says. "We've got to stop burning 
fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for 
music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly 
use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on."

While the focus of Hillman's thinking for the last quarter-century has 
been on climate change, he is best known for his work on road safety. He 
spotted the damaging impact of the car on the freedoms and safety of 
those without one - most significantly, children - decades ago. Some of 
his policy prescriptions have become commonplace - such as 20mph speed 
limits - but we've failed to curb the car's crushing of children's 
liberty. In 1971, 80% of British seven- and eight-year-old children went 
to school on their own; today it's virtually unthinkable that a 
seven-year-old would walk to school without an adult. As Hillman has 
pointed out, we've removed children from danger rather than removing 
danger from children - and filled roads with polluting cars on school 
runs. He calculated that escorting children took 900m adult hours in 
1990, costing the economy £20bn each year. It will be even more 
expensive today.

Our society's failure to comprehend the true cost of cars has informed 
Hillman's view on the difficulty of combatting climate change. But he 
insists that I must not present his thinking on climate change as "an 
opinion". The data is clear; the climate is warming exponentially. The 
UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts that the world on 
its current course will warm by 3C by 2100. Recent revised climate 
modelling suggested a best estimate of 2.8C but scientists struggle to 
predict the full impact of the feedbacks from future events such as 
methane being released by the melting of the permafrost.

Hillman believes society has failed to challenge the supremacy of the car.
Hillman is amazed that our thinking rarely stretches beyond 2100. "This 
is what I find so extraordinary when scientists warn that the 
temperature could rise to 5C or 8C. What, and stop there? What legacies 
are we leaving for future generations? In the early 21st century, we did 
as good as nothing in response to climate change. Our children and 
grandchildren are going to be extraordinarily critical."

Global emissions were static in 2016 but the concentration of carbon 
dioxide in the atmosphere was confirmed as beyond 400 parts per million, 
the highest level for at least three million years (when sea levels were 
up to 20m higher than now). Concentrations can only drop if we emit no 
carbon dioxide whatsoever, says Hillman. "Even if the world went 
zero-carbon today that would not save us because we've gone past the 
point of no return."
Although Hillman has not flown for more than 20 years as part of a 
personal commitment to reducing carbon emissions, he is now scornful of 
individual action which he describes as "as good as futile". By the same 
logic, says Hillman, national action is also irrelevant "because 
Britain's contribution is minute. Even if the government were to go to 
zero carbon it would make almost no difference."

Instead, says Hillman, the world's population must globally move to zero 
emissions across agriculture, air travel, shipping, heating homes - 
every aspect of our economy - and reduce our human population too. Can 
it be done without a collapse of civilisation? "I don't think so," says 
Hillman. "Can you see everyone in a democracy volunteering to give up 
flying? Can you see the majority of the population becoming vegan? Can 
you see the majority agreeing to restrict the size of their families?"

Hillman doubts that human ingenuity can find a fix and says there is no 
evidence that greenhouse gases can be safely buried. But if we adapt to 
a future with less - focusing on Hillman's love and music - it might be 
good for us. "And who is 'we'?" asks Hillman with a typically impish 
smile. "Wealthy people will be better able to adapt but the world's 
population will head to regions of the planet such as northern Europe 
which will be temporarily spared the extreme effects of climate change. 
How are these regions going to respond? We see it now. Migrants will be 
prevented from arriving. We will let them drown."

A small band of artists and writers, such as Paul Kingsnorth's Dark 
Mountain project, have embraced the idea that "civilisation" will soon 
end in environmental catastrophe but only a few scientists - usually 
working beyond the patronage of funding bodies, and nearing the end of 
their own lives - have suggested as much. Is Hillman's view a 
consequence of old age, and ill health? "I was saying these sorts of 
things 30 years ago when I was hale and hearty," he says.

Hillman accuses all kinds of leaders - from religious leaders to 
scientists to politicians - of failing to honestly discuss what we must 
do to move to zero-carbon emissions. "I don't think they can because 
society isn't organised to enable them to do so. Political parties' 
focus is on jobs and GDP, depending on the burning of fossil fuels."

Without hope, goes the truism, we will give up. And yet optimism about 
the future is wishful thinking, says Hillman. He believes that accepting 
that our civilisation is doomed could make humanity rather like an 
individual who recognises he is terminally ill. Such people rarely go on 
a disastrous binge; instead, they do all they can to prolong their lives.

Can civilisation prolong its life until the end of this century? "It 
depends on what we are prepared to do." He fears it will be a long time 
before we take proportionate action to stop climatic calamity. "Standing 
in the way is capitalism. Can you imagine the global airline industry 
being dismantled when hundreds of new runways are being built right now 
all over the world? It's almost as if we're deliberately attempting to 
defy nature. *We're doing the reverse of what we should be doing, with 
everybody's silent acquiescence, and nobody's batting an eyelid."*
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/apr/26/were-doomed-mayer-hillman-on-the-climate-reality-no-one-else-will-dare-mention
- - -  -
[Who is]
*Dr Mayer Hillman, Contributing towards a better world 
<https://mayerhillman.com/>*
"Our continuing uneconomic growth makes us complicit in a process that 
is triggering an ecological catastrophe for our children and generations 
beyond them. They will justifiably sit in judgment on our failure to 
have prevented its devastating consequences knowing that we chose to 
look the other way."

Over the past 40 years, my research has been concerned with the 
development of public policy on the areas of transport, road safety, 
urban planning, energy conservation, waste avoidance, health promotion, 
and the environment. In recent years, I have focused in particular on 
the all-embracing implications of global climate change and how we can 
limit it.

In all my studies I have aimed to provide evidence that will aid the 
process of policy reform. I have repeatedly highlighted the inadequacy 
of attention paid to social and environmental issues, to intra- and 
inter-generational equity, and to the rights of those groups in the 
population with little, if any, public voice. A common theme has been 
the failure of successive governments to adopt policies that will 
compensate for the fact that few personal and business decisions are 
influenced by consideration of their wide impacts on society and the 
environment. Progress is further hindered by the unwillingness of 
politicians and their advisers to acknowledge the significance of any 
new evidence that challenges the status quo in conventional thinking and 
practice.
https://mayerhillman.com/
- - - - - -
[Opinion: the way through]
*New Creation News 
<https://newcreationews.blogspot.com/2018/04/chaos-and-collapse-part-ii.html>*
News of the planet and the nexus of culture, ecology, justice, and 
spirituality.
Chaos and Collapse, Part II
There is no way out of our predicament, but there is a way through it.
So let's look at what experience, our own deep personal experience, is 
telling us - when we pay attention to it, when we can work through the 
fear of looking at this irresolvable mess that humans have made and 
begin to see clearly how dire our situation really is. Let's surface 
that stuff and then see what it tells us about how to live now - because 
that's where we begin to discover, to perceive the way through.
In the previous post, I embedded a link to this article, Hope and 
Mourning in the Anthropocene: Understanding Ecological Grief. 
<https://theconversation.com/hope-and-mourning-in-the-anthropocene-understanding-ecological-grief-88630> 
It is an important reference for me these day when trying to find 
descriptors for our predicament. I, we, many of us use that word 
"predicament" because it implies the notion that there is no easy way 
out of this, no escape, no solution obvious to us.
One definition of the word '"predicament:" an unpleasantly difficult, 
perplexing, or dangerous situation.
And another, even more illuminating: a situation, especially an 
unpleasant, troublesome, or trying one, from which extrication is 
difficult. Yeah, no kidding...
More at: 
https://newcreationews.blogspot.com/2018/04/chaos-and-collapse-part-ii.html
- - - - -
[classic essay]
*Hope and mourning in the Anthropocene: Understanding ecological grief 
<https://theconversation.com/hope-and-mourning-in-the-anthropocene-understanding-ecological-grief-88630>*
We are living in a time of extraordinary ecological loss. Not only are 
human actions destabilising the very conditions that sustain life, but 
it is also increasingly clear that we are pushing the Earth into an 
entirely new geological era, often described as the Anthropocene.

Research shows that people increasingly feel the effects of these 
planetary changes and associated ecological losses in their daily lives, 
and that these changes present significant direct and indirect threats 
to mental health and well-being. Climate change, and the associated 
impacts to land and environment, for example, have recently been linked 
to a range of negative mental health impacts, including depression, 
suicidal ideation, post-traumatic stress, as well as feelings of anger, 
hopelessness, distress, and despair.

Not well represented in the literature, however, is an emotional 
response we term 'ecological grief,' which we have defined in a recent 
Nature Climate Change article: "The grief felt in relation to 
experienced or anticipated ecological losses, including the loss of 
species, ecosystems, and meaningful landscapes due to acute or chronic 
environmental change."

We believe ecological grief is a natural, though overlooked, response to 
ecological loss, and one that is likely to affect more of us into the 
future...
- - - - -
We argue that recognising ecological grief as a legitimate response to 
ecological loss <http://rdcu.be/KwWz>is an important first step for 
humanising climate change and its related impacts, and for expanding our 
understanding of what it means to be human in the Anthropocene 
<http://www.lesleyhead.com/admin/kcfinder/upload/files/pdf/journal/Head2015GeographicalResearch.pdf>. 
How to grieve ecological losses well - particularly when they are 
ambiguous, cumulative and ongoing - is a question currently without 
answer. However, it is a question that we expect will become more 
pressing as further impacts from climate change, including loss, are 
experienced.

We do not see ecological grief as submitting to despair, and neither 
does it justify 'switching off' from the many environmental problems 
that confront humanity. Instead, we find great hope in the responses 
ecological grief is likely to invoke. Just as grief over the loss of a 
loved person puts into perspective what matters in our lives, collective 
experiences of ecological grief may coalesce into a strengthened sense 
of love and commitment to the places, ecosystems and species that 
inspire, nurture and sustain us. There is much grief work to be done, 
and much of it will be hard. However, being open to the pain of 
ecological loss may be what is needed to prevent such losses from 
occurring in the first place.
https://theconversation.com/hope-and-mourning-in-the-anthropocene-understanding-ecological-grief-88630
- - - - -
[journal Climate Change]
*Ecological grief as a mental health response to climate change-related 
loss 
<https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-018-0092-2.epdf?author_access_token=UJYCnlw0zZieuYACw3AJQtRgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0MZ8cLxe72VDW0esMFb0zEFM26k9KCrjCPa-wqxJcwmMgcIei5y7ci3SN_gtpLunMy-I9r_Qst3A5V3rz96ScHSGy2dP3IB1DKK9qNem8yIrw%3D%3D>*
Ashlee Cunsolo and Neville R. Ellis
Climate change is increasingly understood to impact mental health 
through multiple pathways of risk, including intense feelings of grief 
as people suffer climate-related losses to valued species, ecosystems 
and landscapes. Despite growing research inter-est, ecologically driven 
grief, or 'ecological grief', remains an underdeveloped area of inquiry. 
We argue that grief is a natural and legitimate response to ecological 
loss, and one that may become more common as climate impacts worsen. 
Drawing upon our own research in Northern Canada and the Australian 
Wheatbelt, combined with a synthesis of the literature, we offer future 
research directions for the study of ecological grief.
More at: 
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-018-0092-2.epdf?author_access_token=UJYCnlw0zZieuYACw3AJQtRgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0MZ8cLxe72VDW0esMFb0zEFM26k9KCrjCPa-wqxJcwmMgcIei5y7ci3SN_gtpLunMy-I9r_Qst3A5V3rz96ScHSGy2dP3IB1DKK9qNem8yIrw%3D%3D


*This Day in Climate History - April 29, 1999 
<http://cei.org/op-eds-and-articles/warming-diplomacyat-what-cost>   -  
from D.R. Tucker*
April 29, 1999: The ExxonMobil-funded Competitive Enterprise Institute 
names former Rep. Jack Kemp (R-NY) its first "Distinguished Fellow." Two 
years later, in a Washington Times op-ed, Kemp asserts that the 
scientific evidence pointing to human-caused climate change is inconclusive.
http://cei.org/news-releases/jack-kemp-named-distinguished-fellow-competitive-enterprise-institute
http://cei.org/op-eds-and-articles/warming-diplomacyat-what-cost


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