[TheClimate.Vote] February 6, 2018 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Tue Feb 6 09:57:56 EST 2018
/February 6, 2018/
[mercury]
*The Arctic is full of toxic mercury, and climate change is going to
release it
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2018/02/05/the-arctic-is-full-of-toxic-mercury-and-climate-change-is-going-to-release-it/?utm_term=.90c4668e77e9>*
By Chris Mooney
We already knew that thawing Arctic permafrost would release powerful
greenhouse gases. On Monday, scientists revealed it could also release
massive amounts of mercury - a potent neurotoxin and serious threat to
human health....
U.S. government scientists on Monday revealed that the permafrost also
contains large volumes of mercury, a toxic element humans have already
been pumping into the air by burning coal...
There are 32 million gallons worth of mercury, or the equivalent of 50
Olympic swimming pools, trapped in the permafrost, the scientists wrote
in a study published in the journal Geophysical Research Letters. For
context, that's "twice as much mercury as the rest of all soils, the
atmosphere, and ocean combined," they wrote...
The research was led by Paul Schuster, a scientist with the U.S.
Geological Survey, and was co-authored by 16 other federal,
university-based and independent researchers....
Mercury, a naturally occurring element, binds with living matter across
the planet - but the Arctic is special. Normally, as plants die and
decay, they decompose and mercury is released back to the atmosphere.
But in the Arctic, plants often do not fully decompose. Instead, their
roots are frozen and then become buried by layers of soil. This suspends
mercury within the plants, where it can be remobilized again if
permafrost thaws....
The study says that with current emissions levels through 2100,
permafrost could shrink by between 30 and 99 percent...
"But the magnitude of this risk is as yet unknown," Natali continued.
"The best option for managing these permafrost-related risks is to keep
the permafrost - and the carbon and mercury contained in permafrost -
frozen, through immediate reduction of fossil fuel emissions."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2018/02/05/the-arctic-is-full-of-toxic-mercury-and-climate-change-is-going-to-release-it/?utm_term=.90c4668e77e9
-
[mercury study Geophysical Research Letters]
*Permafrost Stores a Globally Significant Amount of Mercury
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017GL075571/full>*
Plain Language Summary
Researchers estimate the amount of natural mercury stored in
perennially frozen soils (permafrost) in the Northern Hemisphere.
Permafrost regions contain twice as much mercury as the rest of all
soils, the atmosphere, and ocean combined...
Over thousands of years, sedimentation buried mercury (Hg) bound to
organic material and froze it into the permafrost (Obrist et al.,
2017). Permafrost is soil at or below 0 degreesC for at least two
consecutive years. The active layer is the surface soil layer on top
of the permafrost that thaws in summer and refreezes in winter
(Figure S1 in the supporting information). Hg deposits onto the soil
surface from the atmosphere, where it bonds with organic matter in
the active layer. Microbial decay then consumes the organic matter,
releasing the Hg (Smith-Downey et al., 2010). At the same time,
sedimentation slowly increases soil depth such that organic matter
at the bottom of the active layer becomes frozen into permafrost.
The organic matter consists almost entirely of plant roots, and,
once frozen, microbial decay effectively ceases, locking the Hg into
the permafrost. However, permafrost has begun to thaw under a
changing climate (Hinzman et al., 2005; Romanovsky et al., 2008;
Smith et al., 2010). Once the permafrost and associated organic
matter thaws, microbial decay will resume and release Hg to the
environment, potentially impacting the Arctic Hg balance, aquatic
resources, and human health (Dunlap et al., 2007; Jonsson et al.,
2017; Obrist et al., 2017; USGS Fact Sheet,
https://www2.usgs.gov/themes/factsheet/146-00/, 2016). Model
projections estimate a 30–99% reduction in the area of Northern
Hemisphere permafrost by 2100, assuming anthropogenic greenhouse
gases emissions continue at current rates (Koven et al., 2013). In a
novel approach, we make the first-ever estimate of the storage of Hg
in the Northern Hemisphere permafrost soils using empirical
relationships based on in situ measurements of sediment total
mercury (STHg) combined with published maps of soil organic carbon
(Hugelius, Tarnocai, et al., 2013; Hugelius, Bockheim, et al., 2013).
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017GL075571/full
[Evidence Squared - audio]
*Ep 20: Dave Roberts on conservatives and climate change
<http://evidencesquared.com/ep20/>*
We talk to David Roberts from Vox about the intractability of
conservatives on climate change and whether polarization is something to
be avoided or embraced.
You can listen to our episode at http://evidencesquared.com/ep20/ or
download it directly fromiTunes
<https://evidencesquared.us15.list-manage.com/track/click?u=8a0f5ded9e53e63b39b708165&id=178a52dfb2&e=0b49e9050f>
or Soundcloud
<https://evidencesquared.us15.list-manage.com/track/click?u=8a0f5ded9e53e63b39b708165&id=b12f4afe19&e=0b49e9050f>.
You can also follow us on Facebook
<https://evidencesquared.us15.list-manage.com/track/click?u=8a0f5ded9e53e63b39b708165&id=8247c41958&e=0b49e9050f>,
Twitter
<https://evidencesquared.us15.list-manage.com/track/click?u=8a0f5ded9e53e63b39b708165&id=87b6d22b33&e=0b49e9050f>,
and YouTube
<https://evidencesquared.us15.list-manage.com/track/click?u=8a0f5ded9e53e63b39b708165&id=ff66f6bcab&e=0b49e9050f>.
Links for this episode:
/Outside/magazine on Roberts unplugging
<https://www.outsideonline.com/1926796/reboot-or-die-trying>
Niskanen Center podcast on polarization and framing
<https://niskanencenter.org/blog/episode-3-polarized-opinion-climate-change-messages-move-conservatives/>
Dave's/Vox/post in response
<https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2017/11/10/16627256/conservatives-climate-change-persuasion>
Eagan and Mullin climate opinion paper
<http://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev-polisci-051215-022857>
Dixon value-based messaging paper
<http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/1075547017715473>
McCright et al. counter-messages negate framing
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/tops.12171/abstract>
Inoculation paper
<http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0175799>and/Vox/write
up
<https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/2017/5/31/15713838/inoculation-climate-change-denial>
Technocognition paper
<http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211368117300700>
Creation Museum and science <https://creationmuseum.org/creation-science/>
Arvo (font) <https://fonts.google.com/specimen/Arvo>
Arvo (Australian slang)
<https://www.theaussieenglishpodcast.com/ep006-slang-word-arvo/>
Follow Evidence Squared on Facebook
<https://www.facebook.com/evidencesquared>, Twitter
<https://twitter.com/evidencesquared> and Soundcloud
<https://soundcloud.com/user-434246752>.
http://evidencesquared.com/ep20/
[animated map
<https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/rnnawEw1dUFY3VdJHQJwt-i2V-U=/0x0:720x480/620x413/filters:focal%28303x183:417x297%29:gifv%28%29:no_upscale%28%29/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/58540011/theewatersklooof_oli_2018014.0.gif>]
*This disappearing Cape Town reservoir is a preview of climate
nightmares to come
<https://www.theverge.com/2018/2/1/16961258/cape-town-reservoir-water-shortage-climate-change-drought>*
Just three years of drought have dried Cape Town's biggest reservoir
<video%20https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/rnnawEw1dUFY3VdJHQJwt-i2V-U=/0x0:720x480/620x413/filters:focal%28303x183:417x297%29:gifv%28%29:no_upscale%28%29/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/58540011/theewatersklooof_oli_2018014.0.gif>
to just 13 percent capacity
In less than 100 days, Cape Town - a South African city of about 4
million people - could run out of water, in what officials call "Day
Zero.
<https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/opinionista/2018-01-22-from-the-inside-the-countdown-to-day-zero/#.WnM6_ZM-dE6>"
A view of the crisis from space shows the city's massive reservoirs
drying up after just three years of drought - a preview of the
nightmares climate change could bring, unfolding right now.
video
https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/rnnawEw1dUFY3VdJHQJwt-i2-U=/0x0:720x480/620x413/filters:focal(303x183:417x297):gifv():no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/58540011/theewatersklooof_oli_2018014.0.gif
https://www.theverge.com/2018/2/1/16961258/cape-town-reservoir-water-shortage-climate-change-drought
-
*What southern Africa can learn from other countries about adapting to
drought
<http://www.sixdegreesnews.org/archives/22447/what-southern-africa-can-learn-from-other-countries-about-adapting-to-drought>*
by The Conversation
Andrew Slaughter and Sukhmani Mantel Some arid countries have been
forced to develop novel technologies and strategies to survive extremely
dry conditions. Australia and Israel, for example, have become more
resilient as climate change has brought more frequent droughts. Rainfall
in South Africa is naturally highly variable with total amount of
precipitation very different between years and […]
http://www.sixdegreesnews.org/archives/22447/what-southern-africa-can-learn-from-other-countries-about-adapting-to-drought
*Global warming makes Winter Olympics risky bet for many bidders
<http://www.rgj.com/story/life/outdoors/2018/02/05/global-warming-makes-winter-olympics-risky-bet-many-bidders/1089015001/>*
http://www.rgj.com/story/life/outdoors/2018/02/05/global-warming-makes-winter-olympics-risky-bet-many-bidders/1089015001/
[Children's Book Review]
*The Tantrum That Saved The World <https://www.worldsavingbooks.com/>*
This picture book about climate change won't freak your kids out
Instead of highlighting the bleak stuff, author Megan Herbert focuses on
the solutions
By Alessandra Potenza
"Some of those images and some of those ideas can really be too much for
a kid to take onboard," says Herbert, a writer and illustrator. "You
have to make the conversation something that's not overwhelming."
So, instead of highlighting the bleak stuff - the melting ice, the
rising sea levels, the more extreme weather - she focuses on the
solutions: the small steps anyone can take to try to solve the problem.
To help other parents to do same, she's releasing a picture book that
she illustrated and co-wrote with climatologist Michael Mann.
The book, titled The Tantrum That Saved The World
<https://www.worldsavingbooks.com/>, tells the story of a girl named
Sophia, whose life is disrupted when a polar bear, a Kiribati family
flooded by the rising seas, a bee swarm, a fisherman, and others knock
on her door seeking help. Annoyed at first, Sophia then realizes she has
to help, so she organizes rallies to sway more people - and policymakers
- to act on climate change. It's a sweet story, and Herbert says she
designed the protagonist to be racially ambiguous. Although Sophia is
fair-skinned, she could be South American or mixed race, so any child
can identify with her. "I wanted to keep that as vague as possible," she
says.
The picture book, which was funded through a successful Kickstarter
campaign
<https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/worldsavingtantrum/the-tantrum-that-saved-the-world-carbon-neutral-ki>,
comes with a glossary of climate change terms at the end, such as coral
bleaching, ocean acidification, and ice sheet. It also has a section
that explains what's going on with polar bears, bees, and the people who
live in low-lying islands that are already going under because of rising
sea levels
<https://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/03/world/asia/climate-change-kiribati.html>.
It's for kids as young as four, but also as old as 11, she says...
Herbert says it took six months of brainstorming before settling on the
current story. Some initial story ideas weren't very relatable to
children; others were just too bleak. "The worst thing to do is, 'Here's
this horrible problem. The end,'" Herbert tells The Verge. "You can't
give information to adults or children that makes them feel powerless
and overwhelmed, and then not give them any sort of feeling that they
can do something about this." That's where the "World Saving Action
Plan" poster comes in. Herbert hopes readers will hang it in the living
room so that the whole family - especially children - can take little
steps that will help solve climate change.
https://www.theverge.com/2018/2/4/16964414/climate-change-children-book-tantrum-that-saved-the-world-megan-herbert
[Climate Liability News]
*Exxon Claims Climate Action Poses 'Little Risk' to Its Business
<https://www.climateliabilitynews.org/2018/02/05/exxon-climate-action-stranded-assets/>*
Exxon changed course slightly last week by acknowledging for the first
time that is core oil and gas assets face some risk of becoming stranded
due to policies that seek to limit climate change. The oil giant,
however, continued to paint a rosy future for its core business, and
downplayed the threat presented by international climate goals, while
research has shown that reaching those goals requires leaving roughly
three quarters of known fossil fuel reserves in the ground.
The report, 2018 Energy & Carbon Summary: Positioning for a Lower-Carbon
Energy Future
<http://corporate.exxonmobil.com/%7E/media/global/files/energy-and-environment/2018-energy-and-carbon-summary.pdf>,
along with the 2018 Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040
<http://corporate.exxonmobil.com/en/energy/energy-outlook/a-view-to-2040>,
includes Exxon's analysis of several scenarios in which the world works
to meet the goal of the Paris climate agreement to hold global warming
to 2 degree Celsius through 2040.
"Considering the 2 degreesC scenarios average, we believe our reserves
face little risk," said Exxon in a report released on Friday that was
prompted by a shareholder resolution that passed last May...
Investigations by InsideClimate News
<https://insideclimatenews.org/content/Exxon-The-Road-Not-Taken> and the
L.A. Times found that internal communications show Exxon scientists
warned management about risks to the company decades ago, but the
company failed to disclose those risks to the public.
New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman and Massachusetts Attorney
General Maura Healey are investigating
<https://www.climateliabilitynews.org/2017/11/13/maura-healey-massachusetts-exxon-climate-investigation/>
Exxon for possible shareholder deception
<https://www.climateliabilitynews.org/2017/08/08/exxon-climate-change-risk-report-fraud-investigation-new-york-ag/>.
https://www.climateliabilitynews.org/2018/02/05/exxon-climate-action-stranded-assets/
-
[Press release (edited for space)]
*ExxonMobil publicly acknowledges need for oil and gas methane
regulations
<https://energyfactor.exxonmobil.com/perspectives/methane-regulation-stay-pragmatic/>*
<https://westernlaw.org/exxonmobil-publicly-acknowledges-need-oil-gas-methane-regulations/>Today,
ExxonMobil natural gas subsidiary XTO publically acknowledged the need
for government regulation of oil and gas methane emissions. The
announcement recognizes that voluntary measures alone are not enough to
control this dangerous climate pollutant. Earlier last year, the
American Petroleum Institute, whose membership includes a broad swath of
the industry, announced a program of voluntary measures to help derail
the mandatory methane emissions rules adopted last year by the Obama
administration. In today's announcement, ExxonMobil endorsed the need
for government regulations to ensure that all oil and gas companies be
required to address methane emissions and reduce the industry's climate
impacts...
The Western Environmental Law Center calls on ExxonMobil to communicate
forcefully to the administration that gutting federal methane rules is
not in the public interest, nor is it in the interest of the oil and gas
industry," said Thomas Singer. "For this large oil and gas industry
representative to succeed with its support for these rules now under
attack, it must show the Trump administration the writing on the wall."...
Today's announcement raises the stakes for the industry and the
Administration to recognize the danger to the climate, and to the
industry's social license to operate, from ignoring methane pollution
while promoting natural gas production and use...
[ExxonMobil - Perspectives blog]
*Methane regulation: Stay pragmatic and seek the possible
<https://energyfactor.exxonmobil.com/perspectives/methane-regulation-stay-pragmatic/>*
...our methane emissions constitute a very small fraction of the
overall natural gas picture. The correct mix of policies and
regulations could help the entire industry raise the bar.
So what would a framework for jurisdictionally appropriate
regulatory action with regard to methane look like?
Ultimately, we think it should include five key elements:
*New wells should follow "green completion"* procedures. After
completion, rather than venting the methane comingled with the
well's "flowback" (a mixture of water, gas, and some solids),
capturing the gas for eventual sale or combusting it with a
flare can significantly cut down on industry methane emissions.
*The use of high-bleed pneumatic control devices should be
eliminated.* This means not using HBPs on new facilities, and
phasing them out from existing operations over a reasonable
timeframe.
*Rules should promote Leak Detection and Repair programs.*
Initially, these efforts would focus on high-volume operations
or where higher concentrations of facilities exist, and be
performed on an annual basis. Leaks that are detected should be
fixed as soon as is practicable.
*Manual well unloadings should be monitored by field personnel
to minimize the amount of gas vented to atmosphere.* Personnel
can be in nearby proximity so once water is removed from the
well tubing and gas begins to flow, they can resume normal
operations.
*Basic data should be reported to regulatory bodies for
consolidation.* By growing the store of knowledge, we can
increase understanding of emissions profiles, better track our
overall progress, and enable the regulator community knowledge
capacity.
The beauty of these principles is that they could underpin a
regulatory effort that both encourages and keeps up with continuous
technological innovation. And they can be designed so as not to
unduly drive up costs on natural gas producers.
As much as anything, we will need to stay pragmatic and seek the
possible....
https://energyfactor.exxonmobil.com/perspectives/methane-regulation-stay-pragmatic/
Last fall ExxonMobil announced several voluntary measures it would take
to reduce methane emissions but the commitment included only a few of
the methane emissions control measures included in the federal
regulations. The company later joined with eight other major oil and gas
producers in adopting guiding principles for reducing methane emissions
from their operations and encouraging other oil and gas companies to
follow suit. At that time, the company said that "Since natural gas
consists mainly of methane, a potent greenhouse gas, its role in the
transition to a low-carbon future will be influenced by the extent to
which methane emissions are reduced."..
Today's announcement raises the stakes for the industry and the
Administration to recognize the danger to the climate, and to the
industry's social license to operate, from ignoring methane pollution
while promoting natural gas production and use.
https://westernlaw.org/exxonmobil-publicly-acknowledges-need-oil-gas-methane-regulations/
[withdrawn]
*Climate change sceptic Kathleen Hartnett White dropped as Trump
environment expert
<https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/feb/04/kathleen-hartnett-white-dropped-trump-environment-adviser>*
White House to withdraw nomination of controversial figure to chair
Council on Environmental Quality
The nomination of Kathleen Hartnett White, a climate change sceptic, to
serve as Donald Trump's top environmental adviser is to be withdrawn,
the White House has confirmed.
White was announced in October last year as Trump's choice to chair the
Council on Environmental Quality.
But White's nomination languished and was among a batch of nominations
the Senate sent back to the White House when it adjourned at the end of
2017. Trump would have had to resubmit White's nomination.
She made headlines in November last year when she had difficulty
answering basic questions about climate change
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/video/2017/nov/10/trump-environment-kathleen-hartnett-white-climate-change-video>.
The Washington Post first reported late on Saturday on the plans to pull
White's nomination, citing two unnamed administration officials who had
been briefed on the matter.
A White House official later confirmed the Post report. The official was
not authorized to discuss personnel decisions by name and spoke on
condition of anonymity.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/feb/04/kathleen-hartnett-white-dropped-trump-environment-adviser
-
[10 min video November Hearing]
*Trump's Environmental Top pick leaves Senators DUMBFOUNDED when
answering on climate change <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-bIKZVWjKT0>*
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-bIKZVWjKT0
-
[video archive 2015]
*Kathleen Hartnett White discusses the benefits of CO2
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xykBJLfxDFI>*
Texas Public Policy Foundation
Distinguished Senior Fellow-in-Residence and Director of the Armstrong
Center for Energy & the Environment The Honorable Kathleen Hartnett
White discusses the benefits that CO2 has provided, from greener land
and technological advances to a more robust economy and smaller overall
carbon footprint.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xykBJLfxDFI
[Not yet Fact-Checked]
*EPA's Pruitt mistakenly meets with marijuana farmers*
"Pruitt was in Florida on Friday doing a number of events. One of these
was an (anti) environmental roundtable with trade groups at May Nursery
in Havana, Florida.
It turns out "May Nursery" is the same company mentioned in this Miami
Herald article
<http://www.miaminewtimes.com/news/meet-floridas-medical-marijuana-moguls-9625984>
about "Florida's Medical Marijuana Moguls." There is a ton of other
media - including an article in the Cannabis Business Times - describing
the May Nursery's weed business interests. EPA really didn't do their
due diligence on the venue/family, especially considering the Trump
admin's hard stance on weed, and Pruitt's known ambitions to become
Attorney General.
Late on Friday, Pruitt sent out a tweet that included a photo of him and
members of the May family. The tweet talked about the May family's
century of farming, and calling them "#TrueEnvironmentalists". About an
hour after we tweeted about May Nursery's cannabis business, the tweet
of Pruitt with the family was deleted.
No media on this yet, but lots of fun starting to pick up on social
media. Here is my tweet
<https://twitter.com/NickSurgey/status/960578073862303744> if you want
to re-tweet, or poke fun at Pruitt in your own way." -NS
*This Day in Climate History February 6, 2014
<http://video.msnbc.msn.com/all-in-/54297487> - from D.R. Tucker*
February 6, 2014:
MSNBC's Chris Hayes reports on the effort by Charles and David Koch
to buy the US Senate.
http://video.msnbc.msn.com/all-in-/54297487
/---------------------
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