[TheClimate.Vote] May 15, 2018 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Tue May 15 11:23:12 EDT 2018
/May 15, 2018/
[video de-propagandization]
*Is global cooling imminent? T'ain't so.
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GSsTf_pVf70>*
YaleClimateConnections
Published on May 14, 2018
Online chatter about an imminent global 'ice age' abounds in the face of
continued warming. Want the facts? Listen to real experts.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GSsTf_pVf70
[Melting trigger floods]
*Hot weather could bring more flooding to hard-hit B.C. communities
<http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/b-c-interior-braces-for-more-flooding-as-temperatures-rise-1.4661764>*
After a week of flooding, some communities in B.C.'s southern Interior
have been warned things could get worse later this week.
Warm weather and rain are expected to worsen flooding in some areas
again by Friday
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/b-c-interior-braces-for-more-flooding-as-temperatures-rise-1.4661764
[Earlier this year]
*Rare May tropical storm could form in the Gulf of Mexico this week*
<https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2018/05/14/tropical-storm-could-form-gulf-week/608263002/>
USA TODAY
Chances of cyclone formation and tropical storm conditions on land too
small ...
More: Supercharged by global warming, record hot seawater fueled ...
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2018/05/14/tropical-storm-could-form-gulf-week/608263002/
[sigh]
*Trump Administration Shuts Down NASA's $10 Million Carbon Monitoring
Program While CO2 Levels Soar
<http://www.techtimes.com/articles/227728/20180514/trump-administration-shuts-down-nasas-10-million-carbon-monitoring-program-while-co2-levels-soar.htm>*
Measurements were taken at the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii. This was
the first time that the monthly average exceeded the threshold of 410
parts per million, It was also the first time that there was a 30
percent increase in carbon dioxide concentration in the world.
For centuries the world's concentration of carbon dioxide fluctuated
between 200 ppm and 280 ppm. Levels skyrocketed after the industrial
revolution showing human activity is what is driving the rise of
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
Data has also been gathered from ice cores that contain ancient air
bubbles. These air bubbles show the CO2 levels from the last 800,000
years. The ice cores show that the CO2 level has always fluctuated but
was never higher than 300 ppm before the industrial revolution
http://www.techtimes.com/articles/227728/20180514/trump-administration-shuts-down-nasas-10-million-carbon-monitoring-program-while-co2-levels-soar.htm
[Peter Sinclair]
*Pre-Traumatic Stress Disorder: Jack Black on Miami's Sea Level Denial
<https://climatecrocks.com/2018/05/14/pre-traumatic-stress-disorder-jack-black-on-miamis-sea-level-denial/>*
May 14, 2018
Actor Jack Black explores South Florida's looming sea level crisis in
the riveting documentary 'Saving Miami' for the Emmy-winning climate
change series Years of Living Dangerously.
Black meets with South Florida oceanographers, mayors, activists,
property developers and even a psychiatrist to better understand how the
region can cope with its dilemma...
-- - - -
*Video The YEARS Project <https://youtu.be/-0P6WfN_MPU>*
https://youtu.be/-0P6WfN_MPU Published on Dec 22, 2017
Miami may not look like a city on the verge of disaster, but rising seas
and political roadblocks are turning this glistening coastal paradise
into the next Atlantis. Jack Black investigates for Years of Living
Dangerously.
- - - - -
How is it that everyone will accept science whenever it shows that
Florida is in danger of getting slammed by a storm, but that many
stubbornly refuse to believe in science when it shows that the southern
end of the peninsula is on a decades-long course to disappear under water?
This is not just a theoretical question. This is no parlor game. The
scientists who have measured the global temperatures, the melting of the
world's great ice sheets and the rising of the oceans are no less worthy
of our trust than are the weather experts who will alert us to the next
tropical storm.,,
- - - -
*Jeff Goodell: In Florida, No One is Thinking about the Future*
<https://youtu.be/nk-d_m3IccY>
greenmanbucket
Published on Sep 10, 2017 Brief video https://youtu.be/nk-d_m3IccY
Rolling Stone's Jeff Goodell, author of When the Water Will Come: Rising
Seas, Sinking Cities, and the Remaking of the Civilized World',
discusses South Florida's remarkable lack of forward thinking in regard
to climate change and sea level rise Nobody cares
https://youtu.be/nk-d_m3IccY
- - - - -
They're in the exact same business: reading the data and warning us of
imminent danger. The only difference is that the creeping rise of the
sea level is far less visible than the ominous spiral of a hurricane...
https://climatecrocks.com/2018/05/14/pre-traumatic-stress-disorder-jack-black-on-miamis-sea-level-denial/
[Predictions]
*What financial markets, cancer cells, and global warming have in common
<https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/05/180514083743.htm>*
Researchers at FAU develop method to compare pricing models
A team of biophysicists from Friedrich-Alexander-Universitat
Erlangen-Nurnberg (FAU) presents a mathematically concise method for
comparing different pricing models in their latest publication in Nature
Communications. This enables researchers to predict more accurately how
parameters such as the volatility of stock prices change over time.
The ups and downs of stock prices are the result of a complex interplay
between traditional investors, day-traders and high-frequency hedge
funds. The seemingly erratic short-term price fluctuations can be
characterized by a diffusion constant - called volatility. However,
volatility itself changes significantly over longer time scales. For
example, unexpected Twitter announcements may trigger abrupt volatility
spikes, while economic policy changes may induce gradual variations of
volatility. Financial analysts notoriously struggle to estimate how
volatility changes over time and often base their predictions on
unsubstantiated assumptions.
Instead of evaluating the uncertainty of different model predictions
analytically, Christoph Mark and colleagues from the Biophysics group at
FAU developed a numerical implementation of the principle of 'Occam's
razor', which favors those models that describe the data with the least
number of assumptions.
The researchers use this method to show that the so-called fat-tailed
distribution of stock market returns (including rare but dramatic events
such as Black Fridays and market bubbles) emerges naturally from sudden
volatility fluctuations. Moreover, with their method they can pinpoint
the triggering events (such as news announcements) in real-time.
Volatility fluctuations or, more generally speaking, heterogeneous
random walks are not exclusive to finance, however, and also describe
the movements of invasive cancer cells, the timing of accidents and
disasters, and climate change. Here, their method can be used to
identify particularly invasive cells, to determine political measures
that may reduce accidents, or to compare different climate models to
forecast global warming.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/05/180514083743.htm
[Epic Battle]
*California, battered by global warming's weather whiplash, is fighting
to stop it
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2018/may/14/california-battered-by-global-warmings-weather-whiplash-is-fighting-to-stop-it>*
Dana Nuccitelli - Mon 14 May 2018
Hit by record droughts and rainfall and wildfires, California leads the
way in tackling global warming
In 1988 - the same year Nasa's James Hansen warned Congress about the
threats posed by human-caused global warming - water expert Peter Gleick
wrote about the wet and dry extremes that it would create for California
- - - - -
Three decades later, California has been ravaged by just this sort of
weather whiplash. The state experienced its worst drought in over a
millennium from 2012 to 2016, followed immediately by its wettest year
on record in 2017. The consequences have been similarly extreme,
including hellish record wildfires, narrowly-avoided catastrophic
flooding at Oroville Dam, and deadly mudslides.
A study published last month in Nature Climate Change found that these
wet and dry extremes will only worsen in California as temperatures
continue to rise. As lead author Daniel Swain wrote:
California will likely experience a 100 - 200% increase in the frequency
of very wet November-March rainy seasons … California will likely
experience an increase of anywhere from 50% to 150% (highest in the
south) in the frequency of very dry November-March periods … Since
California is so dependent on precipitation during its relatively brief
winter rainy season, even a single dry winter can quickly lead to
adverse drought impacts upon agriculture and the environment.
- - - - -
America should follow California's lead
California has become a leader both in experiencing climate change
impacts and taking action to mitigate them. The state has provided a
perfect example that contrary to current Republican Party beliefs,
climate change has serious economic and human costs, whereas economies
can thrive after putting a price on carbon pollution. America needs
leaders with the foresight of California's.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2018/may/14/california-battered-by-global-warmings-weather-whiplash-is-fighting-to-stop-it
[Of course]
*Climate change is threatening mental health
<http://www.apa.org/monitor/2016/07-08/climate-change.aspx>*
A federal report that tapped psychologists' expertise outlines the ways
climate change affects us all.
By Kirsten Weir
July/August 2016, Vol 47, No. 7
Climate change is threatening mental health
People's anxiety and distress about the implications of climate change
are undermining mental health and well-being, according to a new federal
report reviewing existing research on the topic. Issued by the U.S.
Global Change Research Program, the report is the first time the
federally mandated group has published an assessment solely focused on
climate change and health.
The report is notable for another reason, too: It contains a chapter
devoted to mental health and well-being, a significant step forward for
an assessment of this type, says lead author Daniel Dodgen, PhD, a
clinical psychologist at the U.S. Department of Health and Human
Services, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and
Response. I think people realize that if you're going to talk about
health, you have to talk about mental health, he says.
The report also found that:
-Exposure to climate- and weather-related natural disasters can
result in mental health consequences such as anxiety, depression and
post-traumatic stress disorder. A significant proportion of people
affected by those events develop chronic psychological dysfunction.
-Some people are at higher risk for mental health consequences from
weather-related disasters. Among them are children, pregnant and
postpartum women, people with pre-existing mental illness, people
who are economically disadvantaged, those who are homeless and first
responders to the disaster.
-Representations of climate change in the media and popular culture
can also influence a person's stress response and mental well-being.
-Extreme heat increases both physical and mental health problems in
people with mental illness, raising the risk of disease and death.
In part, that's because many psychoactive prescription medications
impair the body's ability to regulate temperature.
Connecting the dots
While environmental psychologists are pleased to see an emphasis on
mental health and well-being, the findings were not unexpected.
When it comes to climate change and mental health, the picture that
emerges when you connect the dots is not surprising, says Susan Clayton,
PhD, an environmental psychologist and chair of the environmental
studies program at the College of Wooster in Ohio, and co-author of the
2014 APA/ecoAmerica report Beyond Storms & Droughts: The Psychological
Impacts of Climate Change. It's just that people aren't connecting the
dots....
http://www.apa.org/monitor/2016/07-08/climate-change.aspx
[Candidates]
*314 Action is proud to endorse these scientists and other STEM leaders
who will fight to protect science and stand up to climate deniers.
<http://www.314action.org/endorsed-candidates-1/>*
http://www.314action.org/endorsed-candidates-1/
*This Day in Climate History - May 15, 2013
<http://lobsterboatblockade.org/> - from D.R. Tucker*
May 15, 2013: In a courageous act of civil disobedience that calls
attention to coal's contamination of the climate, activists Ken Ward and
Jay O'Hara forestall a coal shipment headed for the Brayton Point Power
Plant in Somerset, Massachusetts.
http://lobsterboatblockade.org/
http://www.commondreams.org/headline/2013/05/15-2
http://www.treehugger.com/corporate-responsibility/lobster-boat-successfully-blockades-40000-ton-coal-shipment.html
http://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2013/05/15/climate-change-activists-say-they-blocked-freighter-from-delivering-coal-mass-power-plant/gjnEb86grXDaFflJPVynTI/story.html
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