[TheClimate.Vote] January 9, 2021 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Sat Jan 9 12:02:40 EST 2021
/*January 9, 2021*/
[see DeSmogBlog reports for links]
*Climate Deniers Moved Rapidly to Spread Misinformation During and After
Attack on US Capitol*
Sharon Kelly | January 8, 2021
Prominent climate science deniers moved rapidly to spread false and
misleading conspiracy theories online during and after the attack on the
U.S. Capitol by Trump supporters this week.
Some climate deniers, including some with ties to the Heartland
Institute and other organizations that have historically helped to
create the false impression that there is sizeable scientific
disagreement on climate change, also directly expressed support for the
attackers and called for more violence.
“Striking fear in politicians is not a bad thing,” the @ClimateDepot
Twitter account tweeted on the afternoon of January 6 in a message
describing the Capitol as then-“under siege.”
“Thomas Jefferson: ‘The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to
time with the blood of patriots and tyrants,” @ClimateDepot tweeted
seconds later.
“What's needed next is mass protests to storm state Capitols and the CDC
to end Covid lockdowns once and for all,” the thread continued,
referring to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
The @ClimateDepot Twitter account, created in April 2009, is held by
Marc Morano, the communications director for the Committee for a
Constructive Tomorrow (CFACT), a Washington, D.C.-based think-tank with
a history of receiving funding from ExxonMobil and the conservative dark
money organization Donors Trust. Morano serves as the executive director
of CFACT’s climatedepot.com website, which as DeSmog’s database profile
puts it, “regularly publishes articles questioning man-made global
warming.”...
- -
Morano has for many years played a prominent role in the climate denial
movement. The Heartland Institute currently maintains a biography of
Morano under its “Who We Are” section, noting his prior role as a
“climate researcher for U.S. Senator James Inhofe,” who has regularly
made speeches rejecting mainstream climate science. Rolling Stone once
called Morano “the Matt Drudge of climate denial.” He more recently
authored a book titled, The Politically Incorrect Guide to Climate
Change. CFACT’s most recent tax filings show Morano was its
highest-compensated employee, bringing in over $209,000 in pay and
benefits in 2018.
On January 6, after the National Association of Manufacturers (NAM) —
whose board of directors includes senior officials with ExxonMobil and
numerous other fossil fuel companies — posted a statement condemning the
violence at the Capitol Building, @ClimateDepot retweeted a reply to
that statement reading: “NAM has always been a bootlicking organization
groveling at the booted feet of their governmental masters.”
Many fossil fuel industry groups immediately condemned the insurgency in
statements or social media posts, and some long-time climate deniers did
as well. But Morano was not the only prominent science denier to express
support online for the mob attack in D.C.
William M. Briggs, described by the Heartland Institute as one of its
policy advisors, published a post on January 7 headlined, “we fought the
good fight and we lost — this battle.” In the piece, Briggs claims that
“Congress had an unarmed Air Force veteran shot and killed” and
misleadingly claims that “the crowd, by doing very little, by remaining
inside the tourist ropes inside the building, even, forced the startled
regime into hiding.”...
- -
Briggs' post goes on to describe Republican politicians' later
condemnation of Wednesday’s attack as “the most disgusting display of
cowardice and abject surrender we’re likely to see in our lifetimes.”
“Some of us will be in deep kimchi because of this, but there are no
regrets,” Briggs's post continued. “One thing is certain. They will be
coming for us.”
DeSmog reviewed numerous accounts during and in the wake of the Capitol
attack. Social media posts show that several other climate science
deniers, like the UK-based columnist James Delingpole and Steve Milloy,
publisher of the JunkScience.com website, joined many on the far-right
in circulating false information suggesting that it was not the visible
pro-Trump participants who had been planning online for weeks to “occupy
the Capitol,” but instead members of their opposition — the loose,
left-wing movement known as antifa — that actually invaded the building.
On Thursday, the Washington Post reported that there was “no substantive
evidence” that any antifa supporters had participated in the pro-Trump
insurrection, adding that many claims of antifa involvement had cited a
soure that had, in fact, reported neo-Nazi participation...
- -
Others in DeSmog's Climate Disinformation Database, like the
conservative media organization Prager U, used their social media
presence to share messaging that sought to shift focus to last summer's
Black Lives Matter uprisings.
Detailed information about precisely what happened inside the Capitol
Building on Wednesday — and what led to those events — is still
continuing to emerge. But what is clear is that neo-Nazis and long-time
far-right Trump supporters were documented, and in many cases documented
themselves, participating in the mob violence inside the Capitol Building...
- -
“The goal isn’t necessarily to convince anyone of anything,” Melissa
Ryan, author of the Ctrl Alt-Right Delete weekly newsletter covering the
alt-right and CEO of CARD Strategies, told DeSmog. “The goal is to sow
so much confusion that it’s actually hard for people to tell the truth
from fiction.”
That misinformation benefits the far-right, she said.
“They did the same after Charlottesville,” said Ryan, who has previously
written about interactions between climate deniers and QAnon conspiracy
theorists. “They do the same after any of their protests that cause
violence. The goal is to cause confusion amongst viewers, those amongst
their audience that might have a little trepidation about being
associated with violent extremist groups, so ‘both sides’ is sort of how
they neutralize that.”
Several accounts associated with climate science deniers focused in
particular on pictures of Jake Angeli, who wore face paint and a horned
helmet on January 6, with these accounts suggesting that Angeli was a
member of antifa. Angeli, however, is better known as “the QAnon shaman.”
“He’s absolutely a QAnon right-wing follower,” said Ryan.
Attempts to shift blame away from those visibly participating in the
invasion and to antifa were later also spread in Congress by Republican
Matt Gaetz of Florida who was met with audible boos on the House floor
when he suggested that the Capitol attack was by people “masquerading”
as Trump supporters — a word choice made all the more ironic by the fact
that many participating in the apparent coup attempt were not wearing
masks despite the raging COVID-19 pandemic.
And of course, President Trump himself may perhaps be the world’s
best-known climate science denier. Earlier in the day on January 6, he
had addressed members of the soon-to-be mob in person, calling on them
to “walk down to the Capitol” and adding that “you will never take back
our country with weakness.” Later that day, in a recorded video, he told
them, “We love you. You’re very special. Go home.”
On Thursday night, in a tweeted video message lasting less than three
minutes, President Trump said that the “demonstrators” — the same
individuals whom he had personally addressed before the attack — had
“defiled” the Capitol and called for their prosecution. Today, he
resumed using his Twitter account to praise and encourage his base.
Today, Trump faces renewed calls for his impeachment or removal under
the 25th Amendment. But the disinformation-fueled movement backing him
is extremely unlikely to simply fade away — and may in fact be further
emboldened by the images of Trump and Confederate flags that were waved
inside the Capitol Building.
“I feel like it’s a very clear end of the Trump administration,” said
Ryan, “but what’s terrifying is what it is the birth of.”
Far-right organizers have already reportedly posted calls to gather
again on January 20, inauguration day. On Thursday, USA Today quoted
from a “white-supremacist Telegram channel” that called for “Pro-Trump
and other nationalist crowds” to gather in D.C. that day.
https://www.desmogblog.com/2021/01/08/climate-deniers-morano-briggs-heartland-misinformation-trump-capitol
[Good idea, opinion from great names]
*Early next step: Add risk management to National Climate Assessment*
Adding the essential but missing risk management considerations to the
next national climate assessment is an important step for the incoming
Biden administration.
By Gary Yohe, Henry Jacoby, Richard Richels, and Benjamin Santer
January 5, 2021
Imagine a major climate change law passing the U.S. Congress
unanimously? Don’t bother. It turns out that you don’t need to imagine
it. Get this:
The Global Change Research Act of 1990 was passed unanimously (100-0) in
the United States Senate and by voice vote in the House of
Representatives. Wow.
The law instructed all relevant federal agencies to intensify their
separate research activities into climate change trends, impacts, and
uncertainties and to coordinate their efforts under a newly created
United States Global Change Research Program (USGCRP). Congress also
recognized the need to communicate to the general public the societal
and natural vulnerabilities derived directly or indirectly from current
or projected climate change. To do that, the law mandated that the
federal research community prepare regular national climate assessments
(NCAs) to be distributed to the American people every four years by the
sitting President.
The first assessment (NCA1), approved and released in November of 2000,
effectively began the communication process. It alerted Americans of
growing threats posed by human-induced changes in local and regional
climates.
Beginning around 2007, risk assessment became the accepted approach to
understanding and communicating climate change impacts around the world.
NCA3 in 2014 and NCA4 in 2018 therefore instructed writing teams to
characterize important climate change effects in terms of the two key
principles of risk: the likelihoods of climate change impacts, and their
consequences as measured by dollars, lives, other public health metrics,
etc.
This risk-based framing meant that national assessments should report
high-risk possibilities of all sorts: high-risk circumstances that
could, for example, be (1) highly likely to occur with modest to
moderate consequences; or (2) more-likely-than-not to occur with more
serious consequences; and/or (3) unlikely to occur but with enormous and
sometimes calamitous consequences.
By law, the incoming Biden administration will be responsible for
preparing the NCA5 for release in 2023, and the time is right for that
assessment to advance to the next level by adding risk management to its
organizational structure. The new USGCRP assessment team will clearly
have to work within the already approved prospectus for NCA5. But unless
it pushes itself beyond the boundaries of past assessments, it will not
focus stronger attention on how climate risks are being managed now and
how they might be managed better in the future.
*Moving beyond risk assessment to still more difficult questions*
Would that be a step forward? Clearly. Consider, for instance, what it
could have added to the key findings about increased vulnerability to
coastal flooding reported in NCA4. They included several cautions:
Vulnerability had been driven by human-induced sea level rise for
decades, but it had not been evenly distributed along the nation’s
coastlines;
The frequency of high-tide flooding had increased 5- to 10-fold in some
communities since 1965, but not in others;
Flooding from extreme coastal storms like Nor’easters and hurricanes had
generally made landfall with exaggerated storm surges and ponderous
rainfall totals over short periods of time; and
Adverse impacts from these types of storms are expected to increase as
the planet warms over the next century.
NCA4 also estimated that highly cost effective adaptation programs could
reduce cumulative discounted future damages to coastal properties across
the lower 48 states through 2100 by many billions of dollars, at the
very least, and perhaps up to a few trillions of dollars along higher
emissions futures.
A focus on risk management in upcoming NCA5 chapters could lead the
authors to move beyond these assessments of risks and confront more
difficult questions like: “What level of preparation at local, city,
state, and regional levels would be required for investment in
adaptation to achieve the damage avoidance earlier author teams had
suggested would be feasible given changed conditions from those
prevalent in 2018? And how might the federal government help (or hinder)
in that regard?
NCA4 did present some examples of ongoing efforts to adapt to, mitigate,
and provide relief from climate damages, but assessing capacities to
manage risk could have brought more critical questions to the fore. For
example:
- Do decision-makers across our federalist system work well together?
- Do they have and share the necessary information?
- Are their financial and human resources sufficient?
- Do bottlenecks or competing agendas impede efforts to reduce net
damages?
*Le**ssons learned from pandemic … and meeting growing needs of courts*
Finally, consider what management lessons can be drawn from our
challenging experiences in trying to manage the COVID-19 pandemic?
A substantial and growing number of insightful documents have been
published, notably including the five volumes of America’s Climate
Choices. Authors have described and dissected examples of success and of
frustration in dealing with all sorts of external threats to human
welfare: There is plenty of material to assess, integrate, and
synthesize for the first time to help us fine-tune our capacities to
attack climate change over a large and diverse country. Such an approach
could lead to including risk management sections in sectoral and
regional chapters of NCA5 with analyses that will inform and enhance an
expanded adaptation chapter.
Increasing NCA5 attention to risk management is critical also for the
judicial system. As climate effects multiply and management
responsibilities grow, more cases involving the management of climate
risks likely will arise in court dockets across the U.S. The Supreme
Court has already charged judges at every level “to determine whether
proffered scientific testimony or evidence satisfies the standard of
evidentiary reliability” because “a judge must ascertain whether it is
ground[ed] in the methods and procedures of science.”
Jurists frequently look to federally prepared scientific reports for
guidance in this regard. They will certainly look more frequently to the
NCA5 if its coverage of risk management practices provides insights into
what might reasonably be expected of plaintiffs or defendants in cases
involving climate risks.
Bringing risk management into the NCA is the next important step in its
evolution in communicating climate vulnerabilities to the public. Doing
so will illuminate what we know about incorporating the exploding
knowledge of intensifying climate risk into public and private
decision-making processes.
- -
Gary Yohe is the Huffington Foundation Professor of Economics and
Environmental Studies, Emeritus, at Wesleyan University in Connecticut.
He served as convening lead author for multiple chapters and the
Synthesis Report for the IPCC from 1990 through 2014 and was vice-chair
of the Third U.S. National Climate Assessment.
Henry Jacoby is the William F. Pounds Professor of Management, Emeritus,
in the MIT Sloan School of Management and former co-director of the MIT
Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, which is
focused on the integration of the natural and social sciences and policy
analysis on threats to the global climate.
Richard Richels directed climate change research at the Electric Power
Research Institute (EPRI). He served as lead author for multiple
chapters of the IPCC in the areas of mitigation, impacts, and adaptation
from 1992 through 2014. He also served on the National Assessment
Synthesis Team for the first U.S. National Climate Assessment.
Ben Santer served as convening lead author of the climate change
detection and attribution chapter of the IPCC’s Second Assessment Report
and has contributed to all five IPCC assessments.
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2021/01/commentary-early-next-step-add-risk-management-to-national-climate-assessment/
[New product for your electric car, 1 min audio and text]
*App helps electric vehicle drivers share private charging stations*
EVmatch wants to make it easier for drivers to find places to power up.
Peer-to-peer networks like Uber, Lyft and Airbnb have made it easy to
grab a phone, open an app, and find someone who can offer you a ride or
a place to stay. Now drivers can share electric car chargers the same way.
On the EVmatch app, people who own an electric car charger can list it
as available. Then other EV drivers can locate a charger, reserve a time
to use it, and pay for the electricity they use.
“With electric cars, many people who buy them today are single-family
homeowners who charge at home overnight,” says founder and CEO Heather
Hochrein. “But for all of the people who live in apartments or park on
the street or don’t have access to home charging, there really needs to
be better solutions to help make it easy to drive electric. So that’s
what EVmatch is focused on.”
Hochrein says to grow its network, EVmatch is also working with
utilities to deploy charging stations to apartment buildings and businesses.
So far, there are about 500 chargers in the nationwide EVmatch network.
Many are in California.
As the platform grows, Hochrein hopes it helps more drivers switch from
gas to electric – “and make that switch more quickly,” she adds.
“Because with climate change, every moment counts.”
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2021/01/app-helps-electric-vehicle-drivers-share-private-charging-stations/
- -
[Think of it as ridesharing for electrons]
*UNLOCK MORE ELECTRIC VEHICLE CHARGING OPTIONS*
EVmatch is a nationwide network for sharing and renting private EV
charging stations
https://www.evmatch.com/ and https://blog.evmatch.com/
[keep trying]
*Exxon Mobil Is Twisting Itself in Knots to Justify Pumping Even More Oil**
*In its annual Energy and Carbon Summary, the oil company offers a
bizarre account of how it’s going to help address climate change while
increasing production.
Kate Aronoff/January 8, 2021
Seemingly a month ago, on Tuesday, Exxon Mobil released its annual
Energy & Carbon Summary. For the first time, the company reported its
Scope 3 emissions. Those are emissions generated across the so-called
value chain of its products, from the steel it buys to build drilling
rigs to the emissions given off when the oil Exxon sells is burned in a
gas tank on the highway. Traditionally, Exxon has reported only
emissions from its production process and energy use, holding out as
competitors began disclosing end-use emissions as well. As it happens,
Exxon’s Scope 3 emissions for 2019—the year this report analyzed—were
roughly on par with the national emissions of Canada.
This was the detail most coverage focused on. But in fact, the report is
a much stranger document than that single statistic suggests. Its 54
pages are an example of a slick new public relations campaign, dressed
as scientific pragmatism. Conveniently, the report ignores that Exxon
spent years funding groups that cast doubt on the scientific consensus
about the climate crisis. And it deflects questions about what kind of
action is now needed to respond to it.
Boasting that the company is “proactively engaging on climate-related
policy,” Exxon states that it has “participated in the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) since its inception in 1988.” What
exactly was it doing there?
Exxon Mobil was an early member of the Global Climate Coalition, or
GCC. Members of the innocuous-sounding and now defunct nonprofit,
founded in 1989, included some of the most carbon-intensive companies on
earth, from fossil fuel producers to electric utilities to car
companies. A primary goal was to undermine the IPCC process, sending
large delegations to IPCC meetings, targeting IPCC scientists with
accusations of “scientific cleansing,” and cherry-picking data to
suggest warming might simply be “part of a natural warming trend which
began nearly 400 years ago.” The group’s “IPCC Budget Tracker” received
two and a half times the average funding of other program areas. At one
point, Exxon appealed to the White House to block the reappointment of
IPCC chairman Robert Watson. (It did.)
Exxon climate scientist Brian Flannery served in the IPCC’s working
group III—dealing with mitigation—from 1998 through 2004, having
previously argued that there was too much “scientific uncertainty” to
justify the emissions reductions outlined in the IPCC’s first report.
Contradicting evidence found internally at Exxon more than a decade
previously, he stated in a 1996 speech that “observations do not confirm
that human activities have led to any global warming.” The same year,
Exxon Biomedical Sciences’ D.J. Devlin gave a presentation to the GCC
undermining emerging scientific consensus that climate change could have
a disastrous impact on human health.
Exxon’s “proactive” engagement with climate policy has usually meant
blocking it. George W. Bush administration officials credited Exxon
Mobil for the White House’s decision to reject the Kyoto Protocol, which
the United States had signed onto during the Clinton administration in
1997. Exxon for years denied it had any involvement in the government’s
choice, but State Department briefing notes obtained by Greenpeace
strongly suggest otherwise. “Potus [the president of the U.S.] rejected
Kyoto in part based on input from you [the GCC],” reads one. Exxon,
administration officials said, believed joining “would be unjustifiably
drastic and premature.”
Exxon representatives didn’t necessarily argue that the climate wasn’t
changing or that every piece of data about warming was bunk. Instead,
they created enough plausible deniability to confuse the public and
policymakers and stop anything being done about it. This meant
weaponizing uncertainties that are a standard part of scientific
knowledge production. The GCC accordingly informed lawmakers and
journalists in 1989 that the “role of greenhouse gases in climate change
is not well understood.”
Exxon’s new report, despite its green language, tells a similar story.
This time, the company isn’t debating the scope and scale of climate
change itself. The planet is certainly warming, and that needs to be
addressed, it underlines. But who’s to say how the world should do that?
Limiting the world to two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) of
warming, the reports argues, is a complicated matter with few clear
directives. “Given a wide range of uncertainties, no single pathway can
be reasonably predicted,” the authors write. “A key unknown relates to
yet-to-be-developed advances in technology and breakthroughs that may
influence the cost and potential availability of certain pathways toward
a 2°C scenario. Scenarios that employ a full complement of technology
options are likely to provide the most economically efficient pathways.”
What Exxon seems to be arguing here is that the best pathways—the ones
it’s choosing to base its plans around—are the ones that rely most on
unproven negative emissions technologies rather than limiting fossil fuels.
The report then proceeds to paint a wildly optimistic picture of both
negative emissions technologies and the future of oil and gas over the
next several decades. Far from curtailing its oil production, Exxon
seemingly intends to increase it: The report predicts climbing fossil
fuel demand for the next 40 years. Staying under two degrees, it argues,
still requires “significant” new investment—$12 trillion worth,
according to the International Energy Agency—in new fossil fuels. That
means not only can all Exxon’s reserves be safely exploited, but plenty
of new exploration can be greenlit as well. As even BP has gotten
nervous about the prospect of stranded assets (meaning, for example,
reserves that couldn’t be profitably exploited if certain climate
policies are put in place), Exxon is focused on acquiring new assets,
replenishing “existing proved reserves entirely by 2040.”
For reference, the latest United Nations Production Gap report finds
that the world is currently on track to produce 50 percent more fossil
fuels than is consistent with a world warmed by just two degrees
Celsius, and 120 percent more than is consistent with capping warming at
1.5 degrees. Nevertheless, Exxon Mobil reports that its own plans—which,
again, include massively increasing production—are perfectly consistent
with the goals of the Paris Climate Agreement. As sustainability
nonprofit Ceres’s Andrew Logan said of Exxon’s recently announced
emissions reduction pledge, “Nothing suggests any change in strategy.…
They are just optimizing the path they are already on.”
None of this is all that unique for fossil fuel companies, which, for
years now, have been advocating for climate policies that will keep
their profits flowing. But it’s a striking reminder of just how much
cognitive dissonance the company is willing to pack into a report
claiming to show its good intentions. And as a new administration
prepares to take power, peppered with officials keen to include oil
companies in policy discussions, it’s a good reason for skepticism.
Kate Aronoff is a staff writer at The New Republic.
https://newrepublic.com/article/160839/exxonmobil-twisting-knots-justify-pumping-even-oil
[Digging back into the internet news archive]
*On this day in the history of global warming - January 9, *
January 9, 1989: In a letter to House Speaker Jim Wright and Vice
President George H. W. Bush, President Ronald Reagan writes: "Because
changes in the earth’s natural systems can have tremendous economic and
social effects, global climate change is becoming a critical concern."
(Apparently, Reagan's reference to the "critical concern" of climate
change has never been acknowledged by right-wing media entities such as
the Fox News Channel.)
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=35346
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