[✔️] May 3, 2021 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

[Richard Pauli]

/*May 3, 2021*/

[Positive Opinion from Rebecca Solnit]
*Dare we hope? Here’s my cautious case for climate optimism*
Rebecca Solnit
The Green New Deal, formerly seen as radical, is now in mainstream 
debate. And renewable energy becomes more efficient every day

That we are living in science fiction was brought home to me last week 
when I put down Kim Stanley Robinson’s superb climate-futures novel The 
Ministry for the Future and picked up Bill McKibben’s New Yorker letter 
on climate, warning of the melting of the Thwaites Glacier, “already 
known as the ‘doomsday glacier’ because its collapse could raise global 
sea levels by as much as three feet”. Where we are now would have seemed 
like science fiction itself 20 years ago; where we need to be will take 
us deeper into that territory.

Three things matter for climate chaos and our response to it – the 
science reporting on current and potential conditions, the technology 
offering solutions, and the organizing which is shifting perspectives 
and policy. Each is advancing rapidly. The science mostly gives us 
terrifying news of more melting, more storms, more droughts, more fires, 
more famines. But the technological solutions and the success of the 
organizing to address this largest of all crises have likewise grown by 
leaps and bounds. For example, ideas put forth in the Green New Deal in 
2019, seen as radical at the time, are now the kind of stuff President 
Biden routinely proposes in his infrastructure and jobs plans.

It’s not easy to see all the changes – you have to be a wonk to follow 
the details on new battery storage solutions or the growth of solar 
power in cheapness, proliferation, efficiency and possibility, or new 
understanding about agriculture and soil management to enhance carbon 
sequestration. You have to be a policy nerd to keep track of the 
countless new initiatives around the world. They include, recently, the 
UK committing to end overseas fossil fuel finance in December, the EU in 
January deciding to “discourage all further investments into 
fossil-fuel-based energy infrastructure projects in third countries”, 
and the US making a less comprehensive but meaningful effort this spring 
to curtail funding for overseas extraction. In April, oil-rich 
California made a commitment to end fossil fuel extraction altogether – 
if by a too-generous deadline. A lot of these policies have been deemed 
both good and not good enough. They do not get us to where we need to 
be, but they lay the foundation for further shifts, and like the Green 
New Deal many of them seemed unlikely a few years ago.

We have crossed barriers that seemed insurmountable at the end of the 
last millennium
The US itself has, of course, made a huge U-turn with a presidency that 
has begun by undoing much of what the previous administration did, 
reregulating what was deregulated, restarting support for research, and 
rejoining the Paris climate accords. The Biden administration is 
regularly doing things that would have been all but inconceivable in 
previous administrations, and while it deserves credit, more credit 
should go to the organizers who have redefined what is necessary, 
reasonable and possible. Both technologically and politically far more 
is possible. There are so many moving parts. The dire straits of the 
fossil fuel industry is one of them – as the climate journalist Antonia 
Juhasz put it recently: “The end of oil is near.”

The organization Carbon Tracker, whose reports are usually somber 
reading, just put out a report so stunning the word encouraging is 
hardly adequate. In sum, current technology could produce a hundred 
times as much electricity from solar and wind as current global demand; 
prices on solar continue to drop rapidly and dramatically; and the land 
required to produce all this energy would take less than is currently 
given over to fossil fuels. It is a vision of a completely different 
planet, because if you change how we produce energy you change our 
geopolitics – for the better – and clean our air and renew our future. 
The report concludes: “The technical and economic barriers have been 
crossed and the only impediment to change is political.” Those barriers 
seemed insurmountable at the end of the last millennium.

One of the things that’s long been curious about this crisis is that the 
amateurs and newcomers tend to be more alarmist and defeatist than the 
insiders and experts. What the climate journalist Emily Atkin calls 
“first-time climate dudes” put forth long, breathless magazine articles, 
bestselling books and films announcing that it’s too late and we’re 
doomed, which is another way to say we don’t have to do a damned thing, 
which is a way to undermine the people who are doing those things and 
those who might be moved to do them.

‘Organizers have redefined what is necessary, reasonable and possible.’ 
Photograph: Sumaya Hisham/Reuters
The climate scientist Michael Mann takes these people on – he calls them 
inactivists and doomists – in his recent book The New Climate Wars, 
which describes the defeatism that has succeeded outright climate denial 
as the great obstacle to addressing the crisis. He echoes what Carbon 
Tracker asserted, writing: “The solution is already here. We just need 
to deploy it rapidly and at a massive scale. It all comes down to 
political will and economic incentives.” The climate scientist Diana 
Liverman shares Mann’s frustration. She was part of the international 
team of scientists who authored the 2018 “hothouse Earth” study whose 
conclusions were boiled down, by the media, into “we have 12 years”.

The report, she regularly points out, also described what we can and 
must do “to steer the Earth System away from a potential threshold and 
stabilize it in a habitable interglacial-like state. Such action entails 
stewardship of the entire Earth System – biosphere, climate, and 
societies – and could include decarbonization of the global economy, 
enhancement of biosphere carbon sinks, behavioral changes, technological 
innovations, new governance arrangements, and transformed social 
values.” It was a warning but also a promise that if we did what science 
tells us we must, we would not preserve the current order but form a 
better one.

Another expert voice for hope is Christiana Figueres, who as executive 
secretary of the United Nations framework convention on climate change 
negotiated the Paris climate accords in 2015. As she recently declared: 
“This decade is a moment of choice unlike any we have ever lived. All of 
us alive right now share that responsibility and that opportunity. The 
optimism I’m speaking of is not the result of an achievement, it is the 
necessary input to meeting a challenge. Many now believe it is 
impossible to cut global emissions in half in this decade. I say, we 
don’t have the right to give up or let up.” She speaks of how impossible 
a treaty like the one she negotiated seemed after the shambles at the 
end of the 2009 Copenhagen meeting.

Each shift makes more shifts possible. But only if we go actively toward 
the possibilities rather than passively into the collapse
The visionary organizer Adrienne Maree Brown wrote not long ago: “I 
believe that all organizing is science fiction – that we are shaping the 
future we long for and have not yet experienced. I believe that we are 
in an imagination battle …” All these voices have taken the side of hope 
in the imagination battle, offering choices and possibilities and the 
responsibilities that come with those things, as does the actual science 
fiction in The Ministry for the Future, which takes a turn for the 
utopian by the end. When I began reading it, apocalyptic news seemed to 
chime in with the novel. But as I finished it I ran across stories about 
Scotland’s plans to rewild much of its land, which could have come from 
the book. And I saw the astonishing news that on the afternoon of 
Saturday 24 April, California got more than 90% of its energy from 
renewables.

That we cannot see all the way to the transformed society we need does 
not mean it is impossible. We will reach it by not one great leap but a 
long journey, step by step. If we see how impossible our current reality 
might have seemed 20 years ago – that solar would be so cheap, that 
Scotland would get 97% of its electricity from renewables, that fossil 
fuel corporations would be in freefall – we can trust that we could be 
moving toward an even more transformed and transformative future, and 
that it is not a set destination but, for better or worse, what we are 
making up as we go. Each shift makes more shifts possible. But only if 
we go actively toward the possibilities rather than passively into the 
collapse.

Rebecca Solnit is a Guardian US columnist.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/may/01/climate-change-environment-hope-future-optimism-success



[Ice loss opinion]
*‘It’s like a rotting carcass of its former self’: funeral for an Oregon 
glacier*
Worried researchers hold ceremony for Clark glacier to illustrate how 
climate crisis is eroding icepacks
Oliver Milman - Sun 2 May 2021
The funeral was a suitably solemn affair. The small casket was placed on 
a table covered in a black drape, a maudlin yet defiant speech quoted a 
Dylan Thomas poem, a moment’s silence was held.

Inside the casket, however, was not a body, but a vial of meltwater from 
Clark glacier in Oregon, once an imposing body of ice but now a 
shrivelled remnant.

The funeral, a stunt held by worried glacier researchers on the steps of 
the state capitol in Salem, illustrated how the climate crisis is 
rapidly gnawing away at the majestic icepacks that used to throng the 
mountains of the northwestern US, potentially posing a threat to the 
region’s water supplies.

“There is just this immense sadness because we all knew it was going to 
be bad, but didn’t think it would be this bad,” said Anders Carlson, 
president of the Oregon Glacier Institute, who read the eulogy for Clark 
glacier at the “funeral” in October.

Clark glacier is, or was, found if you took a moderately strenuous hike 
amid the Cascade mountains, a range that stretches from British Columbia 
in Canada down to the northern reaches of California.

Once spanning about 46 football pitches in size, the Clark glacier is 
now about three football pitches in area, or what Carlson calls a 
“stagnant scrap of ice”.

“It’s like a rotting carcass of its former self,” said Carlson. Glaciers 
move via gravity under their own vast weight, but once they have lost a 
certain amount of volume, they become dormant patches of ice. Other 
nearby glaciers found on the three sisters, a chain of volcanic peaks, 
and Mount Hood have similarly “died” in this way.

“You go back through old photographs and glaciers have disappeared just 
in the last 20 years – it’s really dramatic,” said Carlson, who has 
calculated that at least a third of the state’s glaciers named by the US 
government in the 1950s are now gone.

Among their other benefits, the meltwater from glaciers each spring 
feeds streams and rivers that supply a water source for apple and pear 
orchards, vineyards and even some drinking water for towns situated in 
the shadows of the mountains.

Researchers have estimated that river volumes in the late summer could 
drop by 80% by the end of the century due to decreases in glacier and 
snow melt. These huge losses raise tough questions over how to replace 
the water.

“These glaciers are not just nice to look at – they are our water 
towers, where we store our water,” said Carlson.

“Places like Hood River and Eugene are drinking and growing crops with 
water from glaciers. If you like Oregon wine, the chances are it was 
grown with glacier water. If you lose that, it’s not going to be a 
pretty picture. You either try to get groundwater or build new dams, 
which is not popular with anyone.”

The decline of glaciers is part of a broader trend that has seen vast 
bodies of ice wither away from the Himalayas to Switzerland as global 
temperatures climb. The glaciers of America’s Pacific north-west aren’t 
as well known as those overseas, but they play an important role in the 
local environment and are suffering stunning losses.

Since the mock funeral, researchers have found that the Cascades are 
particularly vulnerable to the melting of glaciers, which can cause 
maladies ranging from increased wildfire risk to the loss of species 
such as steelhead trout that rely on the frigid cold of glacier-fed 
streams. In the longer term, the glaciers of the American west face 
almost complete obliteration.

“The glaciers in the western US continue to shrink and will largely 
disappear by the end of the century,” said Andrew Fountain, a geologist 
at Portland State University who has submitted new research that found 
the glaciers of the Olympic Mountains, in the state of Washington, will 
probably vanish by 2070.

“You might get icy remnants on the peaks of tall mountains like Mount 
Rainier or Mount Baker, but they will be pretty small. Rising 
temperatures are doing this, without a doubt.”

Beyond drastically cutting planet-warming emissions, there is little 
that can be done to salvage the glaciers, a sobering reality for those 
who have long hiked and climbed the peaks of the US north-west.

“It’s really hard to stop the decline,” said Carlson. “People don’t 
realise we are a glacierised country – we rely upon them, like the Swiss 
and Norwegians do. They are important and we need them.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/may/02/its-like-a-rotting-carcass-of-its-former-self-funeral-for-an-oregon-glacier



[Democratized-state as protagonist]
*Kate Aronoff with Bill McKibben: How Capitalism Broke the Planet and 
How We Fight Back*
Apr 27, 2021 - Town Hall Seattle
It has become impossible to deny that the planet is warming, and that 
governments must act. But some believe that a new denialism is taking 
root in the halls of power, shaped by decades of neoliberal policies and 
centuries of anti-democratic thinking. One such is journalist Kate 
Aronoff, who has written about the climate change fight in her book 
Overheated: How Capitalism Broke the Planet and How We Fight Back.

Aronoff joins us to explore her account that examines the forces that 
she contends have hijacked progress on climate change. Since the 1980s, 
Democrats and Republicans have each granted enormous concessions to 
industries bent on maintaining business as usual. And worse, Aronoff 
says, policymakers have given oil and gas executives a seat at the table 
designing policies that should instead be the end of their business 
model. Aronoff argues that this approach will only drive the planet 
further into emergency. Drawing on years of reporting, she lays out an 
alternative vision, detailing how democratic majorities can curb 
pollutors’ power; create millions of well-paid, union jobs; enact 
climate reparations; and transform the economy into a more leisurely and 
sustainable one. Our future, Aronoff, challenges, will require a radical 
reimagining of politics--with the world at stake.

Kate Aronoff is a staff writer at The New Republic, and a former fellow 
at the Type Media Center. Her work has appeared in The Intercept, The 
New York Times, The Nation, Dissent, Rolling Stone, and The Guardian, 
among other outlets. Aronoff is the co-editor of We Own the Future: 
Democratic Socialism, American Style and the co-author of A Planet to 
Win: Why We Need a Green New Deal.

It has become impossible to deny that the planet is warming, and that 
governments must act. But some believe that a new denialism is taking 
root in the halls of power, shaped by decades of neoliberal policies and 
centuries of anti-democratic thinking. One such is journalist Kate 
Aronoff, who has written about the climate change fight in her book 
Overheated: How Capitalism Broke the Planet and How We Fight Back.

Aronoff joins us, in conversation with author and environmentalist Bill 
McKibben, to explore her account that examines the forces that she 
contends have hijacked progress on climate change. Since the 1980s, 
Democrats and Republicans have each granted enormous concessions to 
industries bent on maintaining business as usual. And worse, Aronoff 
says, policymakers have given oil and gas executives a seat at the table 
designing policies that should instead be the end of their business 
model. Aronoff argues that this approach will only drive the planet 
further into emergency. Drawing on years of reporting, she lays out an 
alternative vision, detailing how democratic majorities can curb 
pollutors’ power; create millions of well-paid, union jobs; enact 
climate reparations; and transform the economy into a more leisurely and 
sustainable one. Our future, Aronoff, challenges, will require a radical 
reimagining of politics--with the world at stake.

Kate Aronoff is a staff writer at The New Republic, and a former fellow 
at the Type Media Center. Her work has appeared in The Intercept, The 
New York Times, The Nation, Dissent, Rolling Stone, and The Guardian, 
among other outlets. Aronoff is the co-editor of We Own the Future: 
Democratic Socialism, American Style and the co-author of A Planet to 
Win: Why We Need a Green New Deal.

Bill McKibben is an award-winning author and environmentalist. His 1989 
book The End of Nature is regarded as the first book for a general 
audience about climate change. He is a founder of 350.org, the first 
planet-wide, grassroots climate change movement. A former staff writer 
for the New Yorker, he writes frequently for a wide variety of 
publications around the world, including the New York Review of Books, 
National Geographic, and Rolling Stone. In 2014, biologists named a 
species of woodland gnat—megophthalmidia mckibbeni—after him.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bp11KZ91NzI&t=403s


[interplay of light and ice]
Mother Jones
*As Alaska’s Glaciers Disappear, So Goes the Rest of the Planet’s Ice*
What is happening “is far more catastrophic than a recession or pandemic.”
- -
After advancing throughout the 20th century, this vast glacier seemed 
immune to climate change. But around 2013, it paused, and then began to 
reverse in 2018 during a record heatwave in Alaska. For Peito, who had 
personally worked on 250 glaciers, the fall of the last hold-out against 
global warming was a sobering moment. “That makes the score climate 
change 250, alpine glaciers 0,” he wrote in a blogpost announcing the news.

The uniformity of the pattern alarms him. “They are not normally 
synchronized. But now, it doesn’t matter where glaciers are in the 
cycle, they are all in retreat. Climate change dominates far more than 
it did in the past. At no point in the 20th century did we see such a 
ubiquitous retreat of glaciers.”

He compares the situation to a devastating financial collapse. “In a 
pandemic or recession, lots of companies have trouble but some thrive. 
Normally, it is the same with glaciers. Even when there is a climate 
fluctuation, some do well. But what is happening now is on a scale that 
is far more catastrophic than a recession or pandemic. There is just no 
escape. There is no secret. Even having a high mean elevation cannot 
protect glaciers.”

To varying degrees, the story is the same across the world. Recent 
satellite observations have found rapid glacial thinning across every 
high altitude and high latitude region with the exception of the 
north-east Atlantic. Worst affected are low altitude mountains such as 
the European Alps, where 80-90% of the ice is expected to disappear by 
mid century.

In Africa, the first glaciers to disappear were reported last year: The 
Rwenzori Mountains—which are a source of the Nile—have no glaciers for 
the first time in at least 10,000 years. Ice on the continent’s loftiest 
peak, Kilimanjaro, is expected to follow soon. Asia, which is home to a 
cluster of the highest ranges in the world—Himalayas, Kunlun, Karakoram, 
Altai, Pamir, Tien Shan and Hindu Kush—had been relatively resistant, 
but this “Karakoram anomaly” now appears to be over. Even Everest is not 
immune.

The pressure has steadily grown across geographies and ideologies. 
During the cold war, at around the same time as the US Humble Oil 
company was boasting that it produced enough petroleum to melt Taku, 
China’s Communist party was dispatching military engineers to the Tian 
Shan range to coat glaciers with coal dust so they would absorb more 
sunlight and produce more meltwater for downstream cotton plantations.
More recently, the burning of the Amazon rainforest discharged a cloud 
of soot that accelerated the melting of 5,000 meter-high glaciers in the 
Bolivian Andes. Even the remote Antarctic is not immune. In January 
2020, scientists at a polar research base detected black carbon that had 
floated across the Pacific from the record bushfires in Australia. This, 
however, pales into insignificance compared to the impact of warming air 
and oceans, which is eroding giant southern glaciers, such as Thwaites.

If Thwaites and other Antarctic glaciers break into the ocean, sea 
levels would rise rapidly. Similar long-term fears focus on Greenland’s 
glaciers and ice sheet. But today, the melting of mountain glaciers is 
the bigger problem, contributing more than a quarter of the extra volume 
being added to the world’s oceans. Much of it comes from Alaska, where 
glaciers are thinning by a meter every year—double the world average.

The risks are not just to coastlines, but in the possibility that 
ancient cycles of creation may have been broken, that harbor seals and 
other wildlife may have permanently lost their nurseries, that a rich 
source of joy and inspiration may be drying up. For Peito, the picture 
is dismal: “We keep updating the data, and the story keeps getting 
worse. The big, high-altitude glaciers will be around for a while yet, 
but many low-altitude glaciers will disappear by the time my 
grandchildren grow up. That’s hard to take.”

For city residents who have never seen a glacier up close, that may seem 
a remote concern, but distance can be misleading as Muir observed in 
perhaps his most famous line: “When we try to pick out anything by 
itself, we find it hitched to everything else in the Universe.”
https://www.motherjones.com/environment/2021/05/alaska-glaciers-melting-ice-climate-change/



[Physical science predicted long ago.  Now it is measured]
*Climate change: Amazon may be turning from friend to foe*
by Marlowe Hood, Amélie Bottollier-Depois

The Brazilian Amazon released nearly 20 percent more carbon dioxide into 
the atmosphere over the last decade than it absorbed, according to a 
stunning report that shows humanity can no longer depend on the world's 
largest tropical forest to help absorb manmade carbon pollution.

 From 2010 through 2019, Brazil's Amazon basin gave off 16.6 billion 
tonnes of CO2, while drawing down only 13.9 billion tonnes, researchers 
reported Thursday in the journal Nature Climate Change.

The study looked at the volume of CO2 absorbed and stored as the forest 
grows, versus the amounts released back into the atmosphere as it has 
been burned down or destroyed.

"We half-expected it, but it is the first time that we have figures 
showing that the Brazilian Amazon has flipped, and is now a net 
emitter," said co-author Jean-Pierre Wigneron, a scientist at France's 
National Institute for Agronomic Research (INRA).

"We don't know at what point the changeover could become irreversible," 
he told AFP in an interview.

The study also showed that deforestation—through fires and 
clear-cutting—increased nearly four-fold in 2019 compared to either of 
the two previous years, from about one million hectares (2.5 million 
acres) to 3.9 million hectares, an area the size of the Netherlands.

"Brazil saw a sharp decline in the application of environmental 
protection policies after the change of government in 2019," the INRA 
said in a statement.

Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro was sworn into office on January 1, 2019.

Terrestrial ecosystems worldwide have been a crucial ally as the world 
struggles to curb CO2 emissions, which topped 40 billion tonnes in 2019.

Over the last half century, plants and soil have consistently absorbed 
about 30 percent of those emissions, even as those emissions increased 
by 50 percent over than period.

Oceans have also helped, soaking up more than 20 percent.

The Amazon basin contains about half of the world's tropical 
rainforests, which are more effective at soaking up and storing carbon 
that other types of vegetation.

If the region were to be come a net source rather than a "sink" of CO2, 
tackling the climate crisis will be that much harder.

Using new methods of analysing satellite data developed at the 
University of Oklahoma, the international team of researchers also 
showed for the first time that degraded forests were a more significant 
source of planet-warming CO2 emissions that outright deforestation.

Over the same 10-year period, degradation—caused by fragmentation, 
selective cutting, or fires that damage but do not destroy trees—caused 
three times more emissions that outright destruction of forests.

The data examined in the study only covers Brazil, which holds some 60 
percent of the Amazonian rainforest.

Taking the rest of region into account, "the Amazon basin as a whole is 
probably (carbon) neutral," said Wigneron.

"But in the other countries with Amazon rainforest, deforestation is on 
the rise too, and drought has become more intense."

Climate change looms as a major threat, and could—above a certain 
threshold of global warming—see the continent's rainforest tip into a 
much drier savannah state, recent studies have shown.

This would have devastating consequences not only to the region, which 
currently harbours a significant percentage of the world's biodiversity, 
but globally as well.

The Amazon rainforest is one of a dozen so-called "tipping points" in 
the climate system.

Ice sheets atop Greenland and the West Antarctic, Siberian permafrost 
loaded with CO2 and methane, monsoon rains in South Asia, coral reef 
ecosystems, the jet stream—all are vulnerable to point-of-no-return 
transitions that would radically alter the world as we know it.
https://phys.org/news/2021-04-climate-amazon-friend-foe.html



[liquid air as portable power source]
*Portable Liquid Air Power. A new boost for electric vehicles.*
May 2, 2021
Just Have a Think
Cryogenic air cooling is an invention  that's been used in industry for 
well over a hundred years. Recently the process was put to use as an 
energy storage system for electricity grids. Now the benefits of liquid 
air have been exploited in a gas expander that can add range to electric 
vehicles.
Cryomatiks Website
https://cryomatiks.com/
https://youtu.be/Fpb7D5vm1vA


[Digging back into the internet news archive]
*On this day in the history of global warming  May 3, 1999 *

Bob Somerby of the Daily Howler debunks an April 15, 1999 column by  
Washington Times columnist Ben Wattenberg falsely suggesting that NASA 
scientist James Hansen viewed Vice President Al Gore as an alarmist on 
climate change. In addition, Somerby notes:

Of course, if spinners like Wattenberg get their way--and the larger 
press corps never speaks up--those common sense steps [to reduce carbon 
pollution] may never be taken. And reasoned debate, in the coming 
campaign, could give way to a lot of hot air. So that’s why we offer a 
global *warning*, against believing facile spin from these types. 
There’s a whole lot of hoo-hah floating around concerning Gore and [his 
views on] global warming. And we hope that the press corps will get off 
its duffs, and bring some clarity to the whole sorry mess."

http://www.dailyhowler.com/h050399_1.shtml


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