[✔️] August 5, 2022 - Global Warming News Digest

Fri Aug 5 07:59:19 EDT 2022

/*August 5, 2022*/

/[  increased rate, increase temperatures, ]/
*Revealed: how climate breakdown is supercharging toll of extreme weather*
Guardian analysis shows human-caused global heating is driving more 
frequent and deadly disasters across the planet, in most comprehensive 
compilation to date
by Damian Carrington
Thu 4 Aug 2022
he devastating intensification of extreme weather is laid bare today in 
a Guardian analysis that shows how people across the world are losing 
their lives and livelihoods due to more deadly and more frequent 
heatwaves, floods, wildfires and droughts brought by the climate crisis.

The analysis of hundreds of scientific studies – the most comprehensive 
compilation to date – demonstrates beyond any doubt how humanity’s vast 
carbon emissions are forcing the climate to disastrous new extremes. At 
least a dozen of the most serious events, from killer heatwaves to 
broiling seas, would have been all but impossible without human-caused 
global heating, the analysis found.

Most worryingly, all this is happening with a rise of just 1C in the 
planet’s average temperature. The role of global heating in 
supercharging extreme weather is happening at “astonishing speed”, 
scientists say.

“The world is changing fast and it’s already hurting us – that is the 
blunt summary,” said Prof Maarten van Aalst, the director of the 
International Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre. The world is 
currently on track for a rise of at least 2.5C. Based on what we have 
experienced so far, that would deliver death and destruction far greater 
than already suffered.

The studies analysed used a scientific technique called attribution to 
determine how much worse, or more likely, an extreme weather event was 
made by human-caused global heating. The technique’s power is in drawing 
a direct link between the disasters that people suffer through and the 
often abstract increase in atmospheric greenhouse gases caused by the 
mass burning of fossil fuels since the Industrial Revolution. It brings 
the scientific reality of the climate crisis crashing home.

The climate information website Carbon Brief compiled a new database of 
attribution studies of more than 500 events – every such study available 
– and shared it exclusively with the Guardian. The analysis of the 
database and interviews with the world’s leading attribution scientists 
shows beyond any doubt that we are already deep into the era of climate 
death and destruction.

*The key findings*
-- The 12 events deemed virtually impossible without humanity’s 
destabilisation of the climate span the globe, including intense 
heatwaves in North America, Europe and Japan, soaring temperatures in 
Siberia and sweltering seas off Australia.
-- Seventy-one per cent of the 500 extreme weather events and trends in 
the database were found to have been made more likely or more severe by 
human-caused climate change, including 93% of heatwaves, 68% of droughts 
and 56% of floods or heavy rain. Only 9% of the events were less likely, 
mostly cold snaps and snowstorms.
-- One in three deaths caused by summer heat over the last three decades 
was the direct result of human-caused global heating, implying a toll of 
millions.
-- Huge financial costs are also now attributable to human influence on 
the climate, such as $67bn of damages when Hurricane Harvey smashed into 
Texas and Louisiana in 2017, which was 75% of the total damages from the 
storm.
-- Global heating has been hurting us for far longer than commonly 
assumed, with traces of its influence as far back as the heatwaves and 
droughts that triggered the infamous Dust Bowl in the US in the mid-1930s...
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/aug/04/climate-breakdown-supercharging-extreme-weather

/[ video -  Prof Jason Box is the top cryologist - ice science  ] /
*Faster than Forecast: the story ice tells about abrupt climate change*
  May 31, 2022  Trailer for the book.
Book chapters and trees planted by me in Greenland available now at 
https://www.sila.cool/book-faster-than-forecast/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qm80vQutIvk
- -
*“Faster than Forecast: the story ice tells about abrupt climate change”*
book by Dr. Jason Box
https://www.sila.cool/book-faster-than-forecast/

/[  opinion and science  ]/
*What on Earth is up with Heatwaves?*
Aug 4, 2022  Extreme heat and wildfires are battering the entire globe - 
one of the most obvious symptoms that climate change is here, today. 
Europe has roasted, while the UK topped 40 degrees Celsius for the first 
time in history. Meanwhile wildfires rage across the planet.

So why is global warming turbo charging extreme heat just so much? Why 
is only a 'small' amount of climate change causing heatwaves to 
sometimes become hundreds or thousand
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-1Hs8w5OjBs

/[  significant action stopping coal  ]/
*Federal court cites human health, climate costs in rejecting massive 
Wyoming, Montana coal mining plan *
Aug 4, 2022 | News Release

A federal judge late yesterday struck down two U.S. Bureau of Land 
Management (BLM) resource management plans that failed to address the 
public health consequences of allowing massive amounts of coal, oil, and 
gas production from public lands and minerals in the Powder River Basin, 
including approximately 6 billion tons of low-grade, highly polluting 
coal over 20 years.

The Biden administration had defended the Trump-era resource management 
plans (RMPs) in the court proceedings. The court ordered the BLM to redo 
its analysis a second time.

U.S. District Judge Brian Morris ruled that BLM failed to comply with a 
previous court order directing the agency to account for the 
environmental and human health harms of burning publicly owned coal. The 
judge also held that the BLM failed to consider alternatives that would 
limit or end new coal leasing in the Powder River Basin—the largest 
coal-producing region in the U.S.—in violation of the National 
Environmental Policy Act...

/[ follow the money --  Forbes reports ]/
*Climate Change Risk Is Emerging As A Mainstream Retirement Issue*
*Consider these conclusions from diverse and respected sources warning 
of the risk of climate change*

“Climate Change and You” was the cover story of the June 2021 issue of 
the AARP Bulletin. It summarized the challenges that climate change 
poses for older Americans and shared tips for protecting their lives and 
finances. The Bulletin is read by more than 30 million people and is in 
the top two of readership in the U.S. along with its sister publication, 
AARP Magazine.
“Climate risk is investment risk” was a large heading in Larry Fink’s 
2022 letter to CEOs of Blackrock clients. He is the CEO of Blackrock, 
the world’s largest investment management firm with more than $10 
trillion in assets under management, including the nation’s largest 
401(k) plans. His letter goes on to say that cities and countries that 
don’t plan for a carbon-free future risked being left behind.
“The combination of age, chronic conditions and disability in an extreme 
weather event can be lethal” is the warning of an article written by Joe 
Coughlin, director of the MIT AgeLab. His article appeared in the July 
2022 issue of Generations magazine published by the American Society on 
Aging. His story cites a forecast that “…portends more extreme weather 
events affecting everyone, but likely putting the well-being and 
economic security of older adults at greatest risk.”
An October 2021 article from giant insurance company Swiss Re states, 
“It is clear that climate change is no longer some distant future threat 
but that it is here today.” The article headline? “It’s time to take 
action on climate change.”
“Climate change poses the biggest long-term threat of our time, 
impacting not only how we live but also how we invest,” according to a 
recent report titled Investing in Times of Climate Change 2022. This 
report was published by Morningstar, the influential financial services 
firms that many financial advisors rely on to analyze mutual funds, 
ETFs, and individual stocks.
Morningstar presents evidence that investment returns of corporations 
with the highest ESG ratings (measuring environmental, social, and 
governance factors) outperformed the general stock market by more than 
8% in 2021, in a report titled Why Sustainable Strategies Outperformed 
in 2021.
Moving beyond the financial and retirement industries, the United 
Nations 2022 report on the climate issued a clear warning: “It’s ‘now or 
never’ to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees.”
https://www.forbes.com/sites/stevevernon/2022/08/02/climate-change-is-emerging-as-a-mainstream-retirement-issue/?sh=2c1852c95d40

/[yes,  it's the windy grassland fires that ignite the forests , but 
houses are like fire bricks  - like Talent, OR.  ]/
*Is THIS the Real Reason More Homes Are Burning in Wildfires?*
Jul 26, 2022  PBS Member Stations rely on viewers like you.
Wildfires have been consuming homes at a staggering pace over recent 
years. In fact, structure loss in these fires has grown by 10,000% in 
the last 13 years! And as climate change further warms the air and dries 
out the land, this trend seems to be going the wrong way.

For decades, conventional wisdom has told us that fuels reduction is key 
to protecting communities. However, the latest research shows that 
weather actually plays a big role as well. In fact, the vast majority of 
structures are destroyed in wind-driven fires. Tune in to learn how 
we’ve been focusing on the wrong problem and what we can do about it.

Weathered is a show hosted by weather expert Maiya May and produced by 
Balance Media that helps explain the most common natural disasters, what 
causes them, how they’re changing, and what we can do to prepare.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mt0vu9MvjCg

/[ Curious changes in data ]/
*There was an unexpected 40% increase in 'all cause deaths' in 2021*
2,166,611 views  Feb 2, 2022
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-GXvV6Pybns

- -

/[ similar - not only UK - globally too  - 16% above average ]/
*Non covid excess deaths*
870,776 views  Jul 6, 2022  Why are people dying more than normal?
UK, excess deaths
Hundreds more people than usual are dying each week in England and Wales
Not from Covid
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7f45S6vmQgA

/[ Department of musical satire -- Randy Rainbow musical commentary ]/
*Thoughts and Prayers - A Randy Rainbow Song Parody*
Aug 4, 2022
Credits: Parody Written and Performed by Randy Rainbow
(Based on "Dance: Ten, Looks: Three" by Marvin Hamlisch from A Chorus Line)
Song Produced, Orchestrated, Mixed, Mastered By Michael J Moritz Jr 
@michaeljmoritz
Vocal Arrangement: Jesse Kissel
Piano, Synths, Orchestral - Michael J Moritz Jr
Bass- Adam DeAscentis
Drums - Tom Jorgensen
Sax - Ryan Saranich
Winds - Andrew Snapp
Trumpet - John Lake
Trombone - Jimmy O’Connell
Engineer:Jakob Reinhardt
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hk4TGuedxA

/[The news archive - looking back - I met Ben Santer a decade ago - a 
kind man, smart and unassuming. ]/
/*August 5, 1996*/

August 5, 1996: The New York Times profiles climate scientist Ben 
Santer, who had just become the target of a lavishly-financed defamation 
campaign by the fossil fuel industry.

    *Believer Finds Himself At Center of Hot Debate*
    By WILLIAM K. STEVENS
    LIVERMORE, CALIF. -- Dr. Benjamin D. Santer, a shy, even-spoken,
    41-year-old American climatologist who climbs mountains, runs
    marathons and enjoys a reputation for careful and scrupulous work,
    is the chief author of what may be the most important finding of the
    decade in atmospheric science: that human activity is probably
    causing some measure of global climate change, as environmentalists
    have long assumed and skeptics have long denied.

    The finding, issued for the first time in December 1995 by a panel
    of scientists meeting under United Nations sponsorship in Madrid,
    left open the question of just how large the human impact on climate
    is. The question is perhaps the hottest and most urgent in
    climatology today.

    Dr. Santer is in the forefront of a rapidly unfolding effort to
    answer it..

    To his dismay, his British education availed him little in the job
    market when he returned to his parents' home, then in the Baltimore
    area. He bounced around for the next few years, working at various
    times as a soccer teacher, a German teacher for Berlitz and an
    assembler in a zipper factory, at which point, he says, he found
    himself "down and out in Seattle." He made two stabs at a doctorate
    at East Anglia, abandoning both.

    He soon made a third attempt to earn a doctorate at East Anglia,
    which boasts one of the world's top climatology departments, and
    this time he succeeded.

    "I found it fascinating," he said, "the idea that humans could have
    a potentially large impact on climate." In his dissertation, Dr.
    Santer used statistical techniques to investigate the accuracy with
    which computerized models of the climate system simulated regional
    climates.

    He soon moved to another leading climatological laboratory, the Max
    Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg, where he worked for the
    first time on the problem of detecting the signal of human-caused
    climate change, especially global warming -- the "greenhouse
    fingerprint." He also met his wife, Heike, in Hamburg, and they now
    have a 3-year-old son, Nicholas.

    Since moving to Livermore in 1992, Dr. Santer has grappled with the
    related problems of testing the validity of climate models and
    searching for the greenhouse fingerprint. His strategy is to examine
    observed patterns of temperature change to see whether they matched
    the unique patterns expected to result from the combination of
    growing industrial emissions of heat-trapping gases like carbon
    dioxide, on one hand, and sulfate aerosols that cool some parts of
    the planet, on the other. According to this reasoning, the pattern
    produced by the combination of greenhouse gases and aerosols would
    be markedly different from that produced by any natural cause.

    Climate models have been widely criticized for, among other things,
    failing to adequately represent natural variability. One critic, Dr.
    Richard S. Lindzen of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology,
    says the models are so flawed as to be no more reliable than a Ouija
    board.

    "I think that's garbage," said Dr. Santer, part of whose job is to
    assess how good the models are. "I think models are credible tools
    and the only tools we have to define what sort of greenhouse signal
    to look for. It's clear that the ability of models to simulate
    important features of present-day climate has improved enormously."
    He says that if the models are right -- still a big if -- the human
    imprint on the climate should emerge more clearly in the next few
    years. All in all, he says, he expects "very rapid" progress in the
    search for the greenhouse fingerprint.

    When might it become clear enough to be widely convincing?

    "Even if New York were under six feet of water, there would be
    people who would still say, 'Well, this is a natural event,' " he said.

http://partners.nytimes.com/library/national/120197believe.html

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