[✔️] July 19, 2022 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Tue Jul 19 09:23:13 EDT 2022
/*July 19, 2022*/
/[ DW 9 min video report - "an especially difficult summer" - over
40°C over 100°F ] /
*Europe's heatwave spreads north as wildfires rage in the south | DW News*
Jul 18, 2022 Europe is going through another summer of record-breaking
temperatures. The north is bracing for a week of extreme heat, while the
south is already experiencing temperatures climbing to new highs.
Hundreds have died from the effects of the extreme heat. Strong winds
are fueling destructive wildfires across a number of nations, and
several firefighters have been killed.
And in sweltering Berlin, delegations from around 40 countries have
convened to confront the climate crisis. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz
and Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi are set to address the
forum, known as the Petersberg climate dialogue. It's meant to set the
stage for the bigger climate conference - the United Nation's COP27,
taking place in Egypt in November. On Monday, German Foreign Minister
Annalena Baerbock said countries need to redouble their efforts to hit
climate targets.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S91HEBv_Gf0
- -
/[ briefing on this agency that is fighting wildfires -- from USAID --
great importance for this day of fires ]/
*US Agency Helping Europe Face Heat-Fueled Wildfires*
July 18, 2022
Meet Scott Dehnisch, the wildfire unit leader for the Bureau for
Humanitarian Assistance of the U.S. Agency for International
Development, who's been on a tour of fire-vulnerable countries in Europe
ahead of the epic heat wave, worsened by climate change, that is
intensifying wildfires there.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LnVYE_sfG-I
/[ It all comes from combustion. Dave Roberts leads a thoughtful,
interesting and current discussion - audio podcast ]/
JUL 18, 2022
*Volts podcast: David Wallace-Wells on the ravages of air pollution*
It's real bad. Arguably worse than climate change.
Back in 2020, I wrote an article about some eye-popping new research on
air pollution which found that the damage it is doing to human health is
roughly twice as bad as previously thought, and moreover, that the
economic benefits of pollution reduction vastly outweigh the costs of
transitioning to clean energy.
It seemed to me then that the findings should have gotten more attention
in the press, and I wasn't the only person who thought so. Journalist
David Wallace-Wells, who made a splash a few years ago with his
terrifying book on climate change, The Uninhabitable Earth, also dove in
to new air pollution research and produced a magisterial overview for
the London Review of Books last year. Recently he revisited the subject
for his New York Times newsletter, asking why social mobilization
against climate change, which promises millions of deaths in decades, is
so much greater than mobilization against air pollution, which kills 10
million a year today.
It's a challenging question, and I'm not certain I have a great answer,
so I wanted to talk to David about it — what the new research says about
the mind-boggling scope and scale of air pollution’s damage to human
welfare, how we ought to think about it relative to climate change, and
what scares him most about the process of normalization that allows us
to live with 10 million deaths a year...
https://www.volts.wtf/p/volts-podcast-david-wallace-wells?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share#details
/[ Bulletin from Atomic Scientists ]/
*Are cities ready for extreme heat?*
By John Morales | July 18, 2022
Heat is the silent killer. It doesn’t roar like the winds in a hurricane
or tear roofs off homes like a tornado. But it is deadly, all the same.
In the United States, heat kills more people than any other weather
hazard. As global warming drives average temperatures higher,
dangerously hot episodes can be expected to proliferate. It is extremely
unlikely that temperatures could have reached their deadly-hot levels in
India without manmade global warming—levels that researchers say were
made 30 times more likely by the climate crisis.
Some 70,000 dead across Europe in a 2003 heat wave. Up to 56,000 in
Russia in 2010. North America’s most memorable heat waves in recent
years include one in greater Chicago in 1995 that killed at least 700
people, and a “heat dome” event last year that killed hundreds in the
Pacific Northwest and British Columbia.
Heat-related deaths are up across all continents over the last three
decades. Since 1991, research published in Nature Climate Change found
that approximately 37 percent of those can be attributed to manmade
global warming. In the United States alone, hotter temperatures could
lead to 110,000 premature deaths per year by the end of the century if
warming continues unabated, a Geohealth study asserts.
Which is why the most popular measure of heat stress on the human
body—the heat index—is being reevaluated for the hotter Anthropocene.
- -
Off the charts. The heat index is “what the temperature feels like to
the human body when relative humidity is combined with air temperature,”
according to the National Weather Service. Bodies perspire to cool off,
but sweat doesn’t evaporate as easily when the air is full of moisture,
so a combination of high temperature and high humidity keeps the body
from properly regulating itself. For example, if the air temperature is
98 degrees Fahrenheit and the relative humidity is 70 percent, it feels
like it’s 134 degrees Fahrenheit.
The legacy heat index table stops at values at which the body can no
longer cool itself by sweating. This can happen when either the air
becomes supersaturated, or the skin does. But sweat can also drip off
the body. If that is taken into account, scientists can extend the heat
index beyond its current limits, which will be useful for estimating
regional health outcomes on a warmer planet.
Hotter and more humid conditions are already here and with no immediate
end in sight to rapid climate change, temperatures by the end of this
century could average 8 degrees Fahrenheit above what they were at the
beginning of it. That would push the range of the highest heat index
values beyond what the scale allows for today and into the truly
unsurvivable range.
- -
Awareness of the threats to human health posed by high heat along with
timely warnings about imminent heat waves can go a long way in keeping
people out of the hospital, or worse. Naming heat waves may prove to
help the public personalize and internalize the threat in hot places
like Seville, Spain.
Additional annual days of high heat ("feels like" temperatures over
105°F) forecasted for Miami-Dade county by midcentury
Moving people to cooling centers—malls, for example—is one of the
emergency actions local authorities can take during singular heat wave
events. But as longer and longer episodes of elevated temperatures start
to morph into chronic high heat, city leaders must find ways to
permanently try to counter the rise in temperature driven by global warming.
Shade and transpiration from trees can cool surface temperatures by up
to 20 degrees Celsius (36 degrees Fahrenheit) compared to those exposed
to the sun. In Miami-Dade County, Jane Gilbert and the Resilient305
Collaborative are looking to increase the urban tree canopy from a
paltry 20 percent to a more acceptable (but bare minimum) of 30 percent
through, among other things, tree giveaways. The plan is to prioritize
areas that currently have the lowest tree canopy.
Cities can also add engineered shade, like bus stop canopies and covered
playgrounds. Those shade structures can’t cool surfaces as much as
trees, but still can subtract 10 to 15 degrees Celsius (18 to 27 degrees
Fahrenheit) compared to unshaded areas. As Gilbert says, “all shade is
good.” Spread across hundreds of cities across the United States, these
local adaptations will be crucial in saving thousands of lives.
Worldwide, millions that would otherwise succumb to high heat could be
saved if countries implemented policies that reduced and stopped the
burning of fossil fuels. The United States alone could save 7.4 million
souls across the planet if it reached President Biden’s goal of net-zero
emissions by 2050, a study by the Climate Impact Lab consortium
estimates. This doesn’t even take into account other climate
hazards—just heat. Acting on the climate crisis today at the local,
national, and international level can keep millions from morbidity and
death.
Heat is silent. You don’t have to be.
https://thebulletin.org/2022/07/are-cities-ready-for-extreme-heat/
- -
[ NOAA National Weather Service ]
*What is the heat index?*
Weather.gov
What is the heat index?
"It's not the heat, it's the humidity". That's a partly valid phrase
you may have heard in the summer, but it's actually both. The heat
index, also known as the apparent temperature, is what the temperature
feels like to the human body when relative humidity is combined with the
air temperature. This has important considerations for the human body's
comfort. When the body gets too hot, it begins to perspire or sweat to
cool itself off. If the perspiration is not able to evaporate, the body
cannot regulate its temperature. Evaporation is a cooling process.
When perspiration is evaporated off the body, it effectively reduces the
body's temperature. When the atmospheric moisture content (i.e.
relative humidity) is high, the rate of evaporation from the body
decreases. In other words, the human body feels warmer in humid
conditions. The opposite is true when the relative humidity decreases
because the rate of perspiration increases. The body actually feels
cooler in arid conditions. There is direct relationship between the air
temperature and relative humidity and the heat index, meaning as the air
temperature and relative humidity increase (decrease), the heat index
increases (decreases).
https://www.weather.gov/ama/heatindex
- -
https://www.weather.gov/ for Severe Weather, Dangerous Heat, Flood
Potential
/[ Beckwith asks "what is the heat limit?" - Answer, there is no limit ]/
*Too Hot to Handle*
Jul 17, 2022 Dr. Peter Carter, Paul Beckwith and Regina Valdez discuss
wet bulb temperature and how it is making survivability in the heat more
difficult in regions that are already historically hot.
This video was recorded on June 29th, 2022, and published on July 17th,
2022.
Some of the topics discussed:
- What is wet bulb temperature and what are its thresholds for
survivability?
- How higher wet bulb temperatures are affecting farmers in India and
Pakistan.
- How prolonged exposure to high wet bulb temperatures can, within a few
hours, lead to heat exhaustion and death.
- The importance of air conditioning and other methods of cooling the
body during high wet bulb temperature periods.
- How the wet bulb survivability threshold has been found to be lower
than the theoretical threshold.
- The fact that older people, babies and people on certain medications
are most vulnerable to higher wet bulb temperatures.
- How heat waves resulting in higher wet bulb temperatures can lead to
massive die offs of people and animals as portrayed in the book by Kim
Stanley Robinson called ‘The Ministry for the Future.’
- How high occurrences of high wet bulb temperatures will lead to the
need for ‘Chill Suites,’ along with other solutions.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2VLpJ_NGZyg
/[ tongue out, panting, sweat ]/
*Heatwaves worsen mental health conditions*
July 12, 2022
Laurence Wainwright
Departmental Lecturer and Course Director, Sustainability, Enterprise
and the Environment, University of Oxford
Eileen Neumann
Postdoctoral Research Associate, Neuroscience, University of Zurich
Heatwaves have a huge impact on our physical and mental health. Doctors
usually dread them, as emergency rooms quickly fill up with patients
suffering from dehydration, delirium and fainting. Recent studies
suggest at least a 10% rise in hospital emergency room visits on days
when temperatures reach or exceed the top 5% of the normal temperature
range for a given location.
Soaring temperatures can also make symptoms worse in those with mental
health conditions. Heatwaves – as well as other weather events such as
floods and fires – have been linked to a rise in depressive symptoms in
people with depression, and a rise in anxiety symptoms in those with
generalised anxiety disorder – a disorder where people feel anxious most
of the time.
There is also a link between daily high temperature and suicide and
suicide attempts. And, roughly speaking, for every 1℃ increase in
monthly average temperature, mental health-related deaths increase by
2.2%. Spikes in relative humidity also result in a higher occurrence of
suicide.
Humidity and temperature – both of which are changing as a result of
human-induced climate change – have been causally linked to a rise in
manic episodes in people with bipolar disorder. This state of the
illness causes significant harm and can result in hospitalisation for
psychosis and thoughts of suicide.
Get facts about the coronavirus pandemic and the latest research
Further problems are posed by the fact that the effectiveness of
important drugs used to treat psychiatric illness can be reduced by the
effects of heat. We know that many drugs increase the risk of
heat-related death, for example, antipsychotics, which can suppress
thirst resulting in people becoming dehydrated. Some drugs will work
differently depending on the body temperature and how dehydrated the
person is, such as lithium, a very potent and widely used
mood-stabiliser, frequently prescribed for people with bipolar disorder.
Fuzzy thinking, aggressive behaviour
Heat can also affect the mental health and ability to think and reason
of people without a mental health disorder. Research shows that areas of
the brain responsible for framing and solving complex cognitive tasks
are impaired by heat stress.
A study of students in Boston found that those in rooms without air
conditioning during a heatwave performed 13% worse than their peers in
cognitive tests and had 13% slower reaction time.
When people are not thinking clearly due to heat, it is more likely they
will become frustrated, and this, in turn, can lead to aggression.
Frustration can lead to aggression. Marian Weyo/Shutterstock
There is strong evidence linking extreme heat with a rise in violent
crime. Even just a one or two degree celsius increase in ambient
temperatures can lead to a 3-5% spike in assaults.
By 2090, it is estimated that climate change could be responsible for up
to a 5% increase in all crime categories, globally. The reasons for
these increases involve a complex interaction of psychological, social
and biological factors. For instance, a brain chemical called serotonin,
which, among other things, keeps levels of aggression in check, is
affected by high temperatures.
Hot days can also exacerbate eco-anxiety. In the UK, 60% of young people
surveyed said they are very worried or extremely worried about climate
change. More than 45% of those questioned said feelings about the
climate affected their daily lives.
There is still a lot we don’t understand about the complex interplay and
feedback loops between climate change and mental health – especially the
effects of heatwaves. But what we do know is that we are playing a
dangerous game with ourselves and the planet. Heatwaves, and the effects
they have on our mental health, are important reminders that the best
thing we can do to help ourselves and future generations is to act on
climate change.
https://theconversation.com/heatwaves-worsen-mental-health-conditions-186759
/[ Notice the sands, my children ]/
*Shifting Sands: Carolina’s Outer Banks Face a Precarious Future*
Despite the risks of building on barrier islands, developers kept
constructing homes on North Carolina’s Outer Banks. Now, as sea level
rises and storms become more frequent and powerful, the famed vacation
spot is fighting an increasingly difficult battle to keep from washing away.
BY GILBERT M. GAUL -- JULY 14, 2022
https://e360.yale.edu/features/outer-banks-climate-change-flooding
- -
/[ the greatest poem I have ever read is about sand - 2009 ]/
*Times of Sand*
Richard Bready
https://throughthesandglass.typepad.com/through_the_sandglass/2009/08/the-poetry-of-sand-guest-writer-richard-bready.html
[ Australian politics - ]
*IN FULL: The government will protect 30 per cent of land and oceans by
2030 | ABC News*
Streamed live July 18, 2022
Environment Minister Tanya Plibersek has addressed the National Press
Club following a five-yearly report into Australia's climate, which she
has described as "shocking." Subscribe: http://ab.co/1svxLVE Read more
here: https://ab.co/3aKhgYI
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LOmggyDFgyg
/[The news archive - looking back twenty one years ago ]/
/*July 19, 2001*/
July 19, 2001: Proving that the wish is the father to the thought, White
House adviser Karen Hughes tells CNN, "The whole issue of global climate
change is something our administration is serious about."
McEDWARDS: And you know how controversial the issue has been in
Europe. I mean, is there anything going on behind the scenes now to
reach a compromise on this issue?
HUGHES: Well, we have representatives attending the climate change
on -- in Bonn as we speak. As the president is here in Europe, we
also have representatives of our government attending the Bonn
summit on climate change.
And so, again, President Bush will once again assure our allies and
friends here in Europe that this is an issue we take very seriously.
However, he is committed to protecting America's interests and will
not take any action that exempts -- the Kyoto treaty, as you recall,
exempts many -- much of the developing world from its requirements.
And, therefore, we feel it puts an unfair burden on the United
States of America, yet does not address the problem in a truly
global way.
http://web.archive.org/web/20140427081627/http://edition.cnn.com/2001/US/07/19/hughes.access.cnna/
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