[✔️] November 5, 2022 - Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Sat Nov 5 08:14:26 EDT 2022
/*November 5, 2022*/
/[ Reuters video summary 4 mins ]/
*Who are the key players at the COP 27 climate summit?*
Reuters
Nov 4, 2022
Representatives from nearly 200 countries will convene in Sharm
el-Sheikh, Egypt, on November 6 for the COP27 conference to strengthen
action against global warming – here’s a look at some of the main
stakeholders and negotiating blocs.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=waFF8-g5Y2k
- -
/[ The Guardian offers superb coverage of the UN COP27 meeting ] /
*UN chief warns ‘we will be doomed’ without historic climate pact*
Exclusive: António Guterres says gap between developed world and poorer
countries is biggest issue facing Cop27 talks
Fiona Harvey in Sharm el-Sheikh
Fri 4 Nov 2022
Rich countries must sign a “historic pact” with the poor on the climate,
or “we will be doomed”, the UN secretary-general, António Guterres, has
warned, as a deepening gulf between the developed and developing world
has put climate talks on the brink.
The stark warning comes as world leaders start to gather for the UN
Cop27 climate summit, which opens on Sunday in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt,
but which even the hosts admit will be the most difficult in at least a
decade...
- -
“Present policies [on the climate] will be absolutely catastrophic,” he
said. “And the truth is that we will not be able to change this
situation if a pact is not put in place between developed countries and
the emerging economies.”...
Guterres has drawn criticism from some quarters for his increasingly
stark rhetoric on the climate crisis, warning of “collective suicide”,
“carnage” to come, and “code red” for humanity.
But he insisted he would refuse to water down his apocalyptic language,
as the rapid acceleration of the climate emergency was now so dire.
“For the simple reason that we are approaching tipping points, and
tipping points will make [climate breakdown] irreversible,” he said.
“That damage would not allow us to recover, and to contain temperature
rises. And as we are approaching those tipping points, we need to
increase the urgency, we need to increase the ambition, and we need to
rebuild trust, mainly trust between north and south.”
Tipping points are thresholds within the climate system that lead to
cascading impacts when tripped. They include the melting of permafrost,
which releases methane, a powerful greenhouse gas that fuels further
heating, and the point at which the drying Amazon rainforest switches
from being an absorber to being a source of carbon, which scientists
fear is fast approaching.
“We are getting close to tipping points that will create irreversible
impacts, some of them difficult even to imagine,” he warned...
- -
At last year’s summit in Glasgow, countries agreed to focus on limiting
global temperature rises to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels, but recent
UN reports have shown that current policies would raise temperatures by
about 2.5C.
Guterres said there was only a slim chance of holding to the target. “We
still have a chance but we are rapidly losing it,” he said. “I’d say the
1.5C is in intensive care, and the machines are shaking. So either we
act immediately and in a very strong way, or it’s lost and probably lost
for ever.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/nov/04/un-chief-antonio-guterres-climate-crisis-cop27
- -
/[ consider the aphorism of "the mountain and Mohamed "]/
*COP27: King Charles hosts meeting ahead of climate summit*
By Georgina Rannard - BBC News Climate & Science
King Charles III has hosted a reception to discuss tackling climate
change, as global leaders prepare for the UN climate summit COP27.
About 200 politicians and campaigners met at Buckingham Palace,
including PM Rishi Sunak, US climate envoy John Kerry and COP President
Alok Sharma.
The King is internationally known for his climate work but it was agreed
he would not go to COP27.
The UN conference begins on Sunday in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt.
- -
The monarch has a long-standing interest in environmental issues and
attended COP26 in Glasgow last year, but the Palace said it had sought
advice from then-PM Ms Truss and that "with mutual friendship and
respect there was agreement that the King would not attend"...
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-63516054
- -
/[ Foreign Affairs ]/
*The New Way to Fight Climate Change*
Small-Scale Cooperation Can Succeed Where Global Diplomacy Has Failed
By Arunabha Ghosh, Artur Runge-Metzger, David G. Victor, and Ji Zou
November 4, 2022...
- -
It requires cooperation, at least initially, among industrial leaders,
investors, workers, and governments that are most aligned for a faster
transition away from carbon. When green technologies are not yet mature,
or for the parts of the global economy that lack experience with
implementing deep cuts in emissions—which is true for most sectors in
most of the world—the new approach relies on cooperation within small
groups of highly motivated governments and firms to draw up and test
solutions. As these technologies mature, their costs will come down and
people will become more familiar with how effective they are.
Cooperation can then expand as more economies adopt these superior,
cleaner technologies...
- -
This new theory of change—with its focus on starting small—may suggest
that COP27 is less critical than widely thought. After all, the gathered
states are unlikely to arrive at a topline agreement that will seriously
advance the fight. Instead, their overall package will probably be riven
with disagreements and feature plenty of hollow calls, as has been the
case in the past. As a result, activists could write off the whole
process as a failure.
Yet even if the overarching agreement falls short, the conference can
still be a success—or at least not impede momentum already in place.
That’s because what matters most in Egypt won’t be big-ticket
multilateral diplomacy but, instead, the practical, sideline convenings
of governments and firms willing and able to force change. To make the
conference a success, the industry-focused coalitions doing the most
should host events focused on credibility, demonstrated action, and
system transformation. This process will show where technology,
business, and agricultural practices are headed; why that trajectory is
believable; and what governments can do to support sectors as they
transition. If the world wants to decarbonize, it should pay attention.
/This article draws on the work of the Rethinking Climate
Cooperation Project, which also includes Katherine Dixon, Head of
Bain’s Energy Transition Policy Centre and former Chief Counsellor
of International Energy Agency, Frank Geels, a professor at the
Manchester Institute of Innovation Research in the United Kingdom,
Saleemul Huq, the Director of the International Centre for Climate
Change & Development, and Simon Sharpe, Senior Fellow at the World
Resources Institute and formerly the Deputy Director of the COP26
Unit of the U.K. Government/.
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/world/new-way-fight-climate-change
/
/
/[ We knew this years ago -- now it's headlines in the Economist ]/
*The world is going to miss the totemic 1.5°C climate target*
It needs to face up to the fact
Nov 5th 2022
Three strikes and you’re out is a pretty good rule. And the politicians
and negotiators attending the Paris climate summit, “cop21”, in December
2015 were facing their third strike. Their first and second attempts to
bind the world into a meaningful pact that would control greenhouse-gas
emissions—in Kyoto in 1997 and in Copenhagen in 2009—had failed. If on
their third time at bat they could do no better, the world was cooked.
- -
This year, as the climate world meets in Sharm el-Sheikh on the Red
Sea for cop27, hosted by Egypt, it would be far better to acknowledge
that 1.5 is dead...
- -
Scientists do know, though, as the ipcc showed in 2018, that the less
the temperature rises, the better. 1.6°C is better than 1.7°C: 1.7°C is
better than 1.8°C. As a new mantra has it, “every fraction of a degree
matters”. To Dr Schrag, it is never too late. “It is always the case
that reducing the severity of climate change is a worthy investment. If
we were at four degrees, keeping it from going to six is a noble thing
to do.”
*Set the controls...*
Politically, such meliorism could weaken calls for drastic climate
actions. Having an absolute goal strengthens people’s rhetoric;
admitting that things are on a sliding scale opens the way to
trade-offs. But here, at least, reality is in the process of trumping
rhetoric. And if a new realism sees pressure for impossible levels of
emissions reduction give way to fierce advocacy for adaptation measures
that are both plausible and vital, some at least would be well served.
As to the 1.5°C target, it may yet have a role to play. Stabilising the
global temperature by achieving a net-zero world opens the possibility
of a net-negative one in which that temperature could be lowered. What
level of negative emissions, and possibly solar geoengineering, such a
world might employ would depend on its experience and its ambition. At
that point 1.5°C might become an appealing target again—but this time
approached from the other, sorrier and perhaps wiser direction.
https://www.economist.com/interactive/briefing/2022/11/05/the-world-is-going-to-miss-the-totemic-1-5c-climate-target
/[ Cotton crop means less cotton available - maybe we should go to hemp
fiber]/
*"It ripples through the entire economy": Climate change costs cotton
farmers billions*
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cotton-farming-texas-economy/
/[ fascinating Gresham lecture ] /
*The End of Planetary Atmospheres*
Gresham College
Oct 5, 2022
Planet Venus is a hellish place and seemingly hostile to life, although
recent measurements claimed the detection of biogenic signatures. Less
than a billion years ago, Venus’s atmosphere underwent a dramatic
runaway greenhouse effect rendering it likely to be uninhabitable.
This lecture will consider what can be learned about the possibility of
catastrophic climate change on Planet Earth, in the light of
thermodynamics and of what has happened to Earth’s twin, Venus.
A lecture by Professor Katherine Blundell OBE
The transcript and downloadable versions of the lecture are available
from the Gresham College website:
https://www.gresham.ac.uk/watch-now/end-atmospheres
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kw8jhfKcU0M
/[ OK philosophers -- just what is real? ]/
*Psychedelic users tend to have greater objective knowledge about
climate change, study finds*
by Laura Staloch November 3, 2022
- -
Research on the consequences of taking psychedelic drugs consistently
indicate that users demonstrate more pro-environmental behavior and
greater nature-relatedness. The research team of Christina Sagioglou and
Matthias Forstmann recognized that it was still unknown if this was a
natural consequence of psychedelic use or a result of confirmation bias.
It is common to find a cultural narrative that those who use
psychedelics are hippie tree-huggers.
Before the Sagioglou and Forstmann work, it was unclear if psychedelic
users just perceived themselves to naturally have a higher degree of
“nature relatedness” than those who did not use the substances. Much of
the research on psychedelics is in the form of self-report surveys. This
data collection tool is vulnerable to confirmation bias, where those
answering the survey provide responses that should be true about them
but may not be.
The research team recruited 641 participants through university mailing
lists, student Facebook groups, and forums on various social media
platforms. The sample was made up of western Europeans and Americans.
Participants took a survey that inquired about lifetime experience with
psychedelics (psilocybin, LSD, mescaline, & DMT), opiates (heroin,
codeine), MDMA, amphetamine, methamphetamine, cannabis, alcohol,
tobacco, and caffeine. In addition, they were asked questions about
their level of “nature relatedness” and completed a 10-question quiz
assessing their climate change knowledge and concern...
- -
The statistical analysis concluded that an increase in “nature
relatedness” seemed to be the factor that influenced individuals to
pursue knowledge of climate change. Interestingly the use of psilocybin
or LSD was not related to increased reports of climate concern.
The research team hypothesized that “an additional process may be a
generally lower tendency to worry, as indicated by psychedelic users’
scoring higher than the norm on emotional stability and a positive
correlation between psychedelic use frequency and emotional stability.”
In other words, psychedelics reduce worry and increase emotional stability.
https://www.psypost.org/2022/11/psychedelic-users-tend-to-have-greater-objective-knowledge-about-climate-change-study-finds-64213
- -
/[ "Lifetime usage" as more than 30 experiences -- yikes! ]/
October 2, 2022
*Psychedelic use predicts objective knowledge about climate change via
increases in nature relatedness*
Christina Sagioglou Chrisitna.sagioglou at uibk.ac.at and Matthias
ForstmannView all authors and affiliations
All Articles
https://doi.org/10.1177/20503245221129803
*Abstrac*t
Lifetime psychedelic substance use has previously been linked to
nature relatedness and pro-environmental behaviour. Yet,
participants’ responses to the self-report measures in these studies
may have been affected by stereotypical associations or confirmation
bias. We therefore re-examined this link by measuring three
pro-environmental dependent variables: nature relatedness, concerns
about climate change, and objective knowledge about climate change.
Additionally assessing lifetime experience with 30 psychoactive
substances, we collected an international convenience sample for an
online survey (n = 641), Controlling for age, educational
attainment, and covariation in substance use indicators, psychedelic
use (primarily the use of psilocybin) predicted objective knowledge
about climate change directly, and indirectly via nature
relatedness. Further, it predicted concern about climate change
indirectly via nature relatedness. The results suggest that the
relationship of psychedelics with pro-environmental variables is not
due to psychological biases, but manifests in variables as diverse
as emotional affinity towards nature as well as knowledge about
climate change.
- -
*Participants*
In order to obtain a sample with varying lifetime drug use experience,
we recruited a convenience sample via the university mailing list, local
student Facebook groups, and drug-related forums on social media
platforms. Six-hundred-and-forty-one participants completed the online
questionnaire (342 male, 296 female, 3 non-binary/other/none; MAge
24.54, SD = 7.01). Participants were of various nationalities including
259 Germans, 156 Austrians, 96 US Americans, and 55 Italians. The sample
had rather high educational attainment (349 high school graduates and
251 university graduates)...
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/20503245221129803
/[ OK what about all this irrationality? ] /
*Michael Shermer: Why the Rational Believe the Irrational*
Fundraiser
Commonwealth Club of California
Nov 4, 2022
Long a fringe part of the American political landscape, conspiracy
theories are now mainstream: 147 members of Congress voted in favor of
objections to the 2020 presidential election based on an unproven theory
about a rigged electoral process promoted, in part, by followers of the
mysterious QAnon community, itself a network of believers of a
wide-ranging conspiracy involving pedophilia among elected officials and
other civic and business leaders. But these are only the latest examples
of a long history of conspiracies that have gained adherents in society.
In his timely new book, Conspiracy, Michael Shermer, founding publisher
of Skeptic magazine, discusses what makes conspiracies so appealing to
segments of the population.
Shermer finds that conspiracy theories cut across gender, age, race,
income, education level, occupational status―and even political
affiliation. One reason that people believe these conspiracies, Shermer
argues, is that enough of them are real that we should be constructively
conspiratorial: elections have been rigged, medical professionals have
intentionally harmed patients in their care, your government does lie to
you, and, tragically, some adults do conspire to sexually abuse
children. But Shermer reveals that other factors are also in play:
anxiety and a sense of loss of control play a role in conspiratorial
cognition patterns, as do certain personality traits.
Join us for Dr. Shermer's discussion in our continuing series on false
narratives. It is for anyone concerned about the future direction of
American politics, as well as anyone who has watched friends or family
fall into patterns of conspiratorial thinking November 1, 2022
Michael Shermer
Publisher, Skeptic Magazine; Executive Director, The Skeptics Society;
Author, Conspiracy: Why the Rational Believe the Irrational
Eric Siegel
Chair, Personal Growth Member-led Forum, The Commonwealth Club of
California—Moderator
👉Join our Email List! https://www.commonwealthclub.org/email
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eDgJ4l8HtlE
/The news archive - looking back to one of the original early papers
presented to government ]/
/*November 5, 1965*/
November 5, 1965: President Johnson's Science Advisory Committee issues
a report, "Restoring the Quality of Our Environment," that cites the
hazards of carbon pollution.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2015/nov/05/scientists-warned-the-president-about-global-warming-50-years-ago-today
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