[✔️] August 14, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | Many reports from Hawaii fires, Economists discuss, Peter Zeihan opinion, Multi-day grid energy, Global Boiling, Highway to Hell, 2008 John McCain
Richard Pauli
Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Mon Aug 14 07:24:49 EDT 2023
/*August 14*//*, 2023*/
/[ BBC report ] /
*Maui fire: At least 93 people killed in Hawaii wildfires*
BBC News
Aug 13, 2023 #Lahaina #Maui #BBCNews
At least 93 people have been confirmed killed in the Maui fire that
razed the historic town of Lahaina.
It is the most deadly US fire in a century, with the Hawaii Governor
warning that the number of victims could rise "significantly".
Hundreds remain unaccounted for while hundreds of others fill shelters
across Maui after fleeing the flames.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YcfirMecDx0
- -
/[ Powerful images from TV news - 10 min ]/
*Hawaii wildfires deadliest in the US in over 100 years*
Channel 4 News
Aug 13, 2023
The Governor of Hawaii has warned the number of people who have died in
the wildfires will rise, making this the deadliest fire in the US for
more than a hundred years.
Sniffer dogs are deployed to locate bodies in the wreckage but so far
have only covered three percent of the search area - and tension is
mounting among local residents who are demanding to know why enough
wasn't done to sound the alarm so more people could get out in time.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4RdUXnbXG1I
- -
/[ NBC News report - hot news style ]/
*Maui wildfires now deadliest in modern U.S. history*
NBC News
Aug 13, 2023 #Maui #Wildfire #Hawaii
The wildfires that broke out on the island of Maui are confirmed to be
the deadliest in the United States in more than 100 years. As FEMA and
the governor surveyed the damage, search teams continued to scour the
ruins of historic Lahaina on Sunday. NBC News’ Tom Llamas has the latest.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N-DmOjcenq4
- -
/[ escape by motorcycle ]/
*Lahaina residents share photos of devastation caused by massive wildfire*
KCAL News
Aug 13, 2023
KCAL News' Jeff Nguyen provides continued coverage from Lahaina, where
recovery efforts continued on Sunday after a massive wildfire torched
the community, leaving nearly 100 people dead and more than 2,000
buildings destroyed.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZqRwKCpDqB8
- -
/[ Personal account "Everybody's dead" ]/
*Hawaii Wildfires: People with missing family give DNA samples to
identify victims*
Sky News
Aug 13, 2023 #hawaiiwildfires #lahaina #skynews
Dozens have been confirmed dead after wildfires in Hawaii. Authorities
are urging people with missing family members to give DNA samples to
help authorities identify victims.
The death toll makes the disaster the deadliest wildfire the US has seen
in the past century.
Sky's US correspondent Martha Kelner has spoken with survivors of
wildfires with one Lahaina resident telling her seeing his friend dead
on the ground 'like a piece of charcoal.'
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KUe7EsKW8SA
/[ video -- four economists in academic panic about climate ]/
*Unlearning Economics: Jon Erickson, Josh Farley, Steve Keen, Kate
Raworth | Reality Roundtable #3*
Nate Hagens
Aug 13, 2023
On this Reality Roundtable, Nate is joined by Jon Erickson, Josh Farley,
Steve Keen, and Kate Raworth - all of whom are leading thinkers and
educators in the field of heterodox economics. In this lively
discussion, each guest begins by sharing one fundamental aspect of what
conventional economic theory gets wrong and how it could be improved in
our education system. What basic assumptions about humans have led to a
misunderstanding of the average person’s decision making? What areas has
(mainstream) economic theory turned a blindspot to as the foundation of
our economic systems? Who is finding the models and systems that
economists have created useful - and how does economics as a discipline
need to change in the face of a lower energy future? In short, what we
teach our 18-22 year olds around the world matters - a great deal.
https://youtu.be/EC11UQD9q3w
/
/
/[ Predicting the future of our predicament ]/
*Peter Zeihan: Russia's Pipeline Powerplay against the West*
The Economic Show
Aug 12, 2023 #peterzeihan #russia #ukraine
The global shortage of gas and fertilizer, controlled by Russia, will
lead to food shortages and price increases, with Ukraine transitioning
from an exporter to an importer, while the US remains relatively safe
due to self-sourced nitrogen and secure food exports.
1. 🌍 Due to Russia's control over gas and fertilizer supplies, there is
a global shortage of these resources, leading to a multi-year food
shortage, with Ukraine transitioning from a major exporter to a net
importer for at least a decade, while the US is relatively safe due to
its self-sourced nitrogen and secure food exports.
2. 😱 Food shortages and price increases are expected in Ukraine and the
Middle East due to the potential disruption of Russia's primary export
market and the destruction of a crucial bridge.
3. 💡 It will take at least five years to establish replacement systems
for globalization.
4. 💡 The planet's carrying capacity has been exceeded, and without
industrial inputs like fertilizers, famine will occur, with the Middle
East being the hardest hit, followed by China, sub-Saharan Africa, and
India/Pakistan, who can mitigate the crisis through oil and natural gas
exports and labor-intensive agriculture.
5. 💡 India's economic decisions have hindered modernization, but its
functioning remains unchanged; globally, the geography of agriculture is
shifting due to changes in energy sources, particularly in Europe and
its former colonies.
6. 💡 American presidents, including Biden, Trump, and Obama, have shown
a populist trend, and if the US can maintain low oil prices while other
countries face higher prices, it will fundamentally change America's
role as a military and economic power.
7. 💡 Russia will attempt to use pipelines to gain leverage over key
NATO countries, offering energy security in exchange for political favors.
8. 💡 Countries like China and Russia considering settling oil in
different currencies and building their own block is not a serious
threat to the US dollar as a reserve currency, as the ideal global
currency requires a country with a deep financial pool that doesn't care
about currency fluctuations and doesn't trade much, and the United
States meets these criteria.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Mw2Tu40wNQ
/[ Just Have a Think - video ]/
*Cheap, multi-day grid energy. FINALLY!*
Just Have a Think
Aug 13, 2023
Electricity grids all over the world are decarbonising at an
accelerating pace as fossil fuels are being outperformed by renewables.
One of the keys elements of that transformation will be energy storage
that can be discharged over a period of several days so that power can
always be guaranteed when there's not so much sun or wind around.
Iron-air batteries look like they may be the perfect solution. Now a US
company called FORM Energy is on the cusp of installing its first 10MW /
1 gigawatt hour iron-air energy storage facility.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vXouVvzj5nQ
/[ from Modern Diplomacy ]/
*The Era of Global Boiling*
August 13, 2023
By Faiza Haider
On July 28th, 2023, UN secretary general Antonio Guterres issued a clear
warning on the prevailing climate concern. Guterres said, “The era of
global warming has ended. The era of global boiling has arrived. The air
is unbreathable, the heat is unbearable, and the level of fossil fuel
profits and climate inaction is unacceptable”.
As countries throughout the world are facing severe climate changes,
forcing Guterres to make these disturbing comments. The 21st century is
now also being called the era of global boiling, because of the
disturbing and extraordinary environmental crises faced by every country
in the world. A gradual increase in Earth’s average temperature is
called global warming, but now this global warming has entered a state
of emergency for our planet. Human-induced climate change, especially
the burning of fossil fuels and deforestation, has pushed our planet to
the brink of catastrophe. Changes in weather patterns, rise in sea level
and melting of glaciers are some of the consequences the global boiling
world is facing these days.
*The transition from Global Warming to Global Boiling*
The second half of the 20th century and the beginning of the 21st
century is the time when the transition from global warming to global
boiling speeded. Greenhouse gases (Carbon Dioxide, Methane, Nitrous
Oxide, Fluorinated Gases), reached their record levels after the spread
of industrialization across the globe. The primary drivers of global
boiling are the burning of fossil fuels for the production of energy for
different purposes, for example, transportation, etc. Other than this,
deforestation also plays a very significant contribution to this
phenomenon. Human activities have destroyed natural carbon sinks such as
forests and wetlands; those ecosystems play a vital role in absorbing
CO2 from the Earth’s atmosphere.
Due to global boiling, several alarming consequences have become
evident. Heatwaves, hurricanes, floods, and droughts, are becoming more
frequent and intense, impacting vulnerable communities worldwide. Raise
in sea levels threatens coastal regions, displacing millions and
endangering critical ecosystems around the world.
*The hottest day in the world*
The hottest day is, “going to be when global warming, El Niño, and the
annual cycle all line up together. Which is the next couple months,”
said Myles Allen, a professor of geosystem science at Oxford University,
told The Washington Post.
On four consecutive days, from July 3rd–6th, 2023, the daily global mean
surface air temperature record was broken. Since then, every day has
been warmer than the previous record of 16.80°C, which was established
on August 13th, 2016. The temperatures reported on July 5th and 7th,
2023 were within 0.01°C of this on the hottest day, July 6th, 2023, when
the worldwide average temperature reached 17.08°C. This indicates that
the first three weeks of the month were the warmest three-week span on
record. Temperatures briefly breached the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit
above pre-industrial levels during the first and third weeks.
*The Disastrous Impact on Ecosystems and Biodiversity*
Earth’s biodiversity and ecosystem faced destructive impacts because of
global boiling. Due to habitat loss, altered migration patterns, and
changes in environmental patterns, several species of both plants and
animals became extinct. Human societies that rely on these ecosystems
for supplies and services are impacted by the loss of biodiversity,
which also threatens the delicate balance of the natural environment.
*International Cooperation and Policy Initiatives*
Exceptional levels of international cooperation are needed to address
the worldwide boiling issue. A significant step in this regard was taken
in 2015 with the adoption of the Paris Agreement. With attempts to keep
it below 1.5 degrees Celsius, the Paris Agreement intends to keep global
warming well below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.
Countries must establish and meet challenging emission reduction goals
to do this. In addition, states must finance efforts at climate
adaptation and mitigation as well as assist underdeveloped nations in
their transition to sustainable development. To counteract global
warming, cooperation between governmental bodies, nonprofits, and the
corporate sector is crucial.
*The Urgent Need for Action*
The current state of global heating gives a clear reminder of how
urgently we need to address the climate problem. Inaction will have
terrible repercussions, and there isn’t much time left to lessen the
worst effects of global boiling. To reduce greenhouse gas emissions,
shift to renewable energy sources, and protect and restore natural
carbon sinks like forests and wetlands. The world community must come
together to take bold and ambitious action. A more sustainable future
can be attained by encouraging energy efficiency, investing in
sustainable technologies, and supporting environmentally friendly
regulations. Individual actions are essential because collectively,
every attempt to reduce carbon footprints strengthens the international
response required to combat the period of global warming. To prevent
global warming, cooperation between governmental bodies, nonprofits, and
the corporate sector is crucial.
https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2023/08/13/the-era-of-global-boiling/
/[ from Foreign Policy ]/
*On the Highway to Climate Hell*
The world's infrastructure was built for a climate that no longer exists.
By Christina Lu and Brawley Benson
AUGUST 11, 2023
Countries have spent decades building critical infrastructure that is
now buckling under extreme heat, wildfires, and floods, laying bare just
how unprepared the world’s energy and transportation systems are to
withstand the volatility of climate change.
These vulnerabilities have been on full display in recent weeks as
record-breaking temperatures broil the world, straining power grids,
threatening water supplies, and warping roads. July was the hottest
month ever recorded—according to the Copernicus Climate Change
Service—with intense heat searing Europe, North Africa, Antarctica, and
South America, where it is currently winter. Even the world’s oceans
haven’t been spared, with all-time high surface temperatures in the
Mediterranean and North Atlantic decimating coral reef systems and
threatening marine life.
If regions aren’t being scorched, there’s a good chance that they are
underwater. China was drenched by its heaviest downpours in 140 years,
which triggered massive floods that killed dozens of people and
destroyed crop fields. In Slovenia and Canada, surging floodwaters have
battered communities and submerged villages; glacial flooding in Alaska
has carried entire homes away. Cities in Spain have been flooded worse
than Noah and his brood, while southern Sweden is grappling with its
heaviest rains in more than 160 years.
“It’s just an unbelievable summer,” said Peter Gleick, a climate
scientist and senior fellow at the Pacific Institute. “It’s the kind of
extreme weather that we climate scientists have been warning about for
decades—it just now seems to be happening everywhere, all at once.”
Climate change, driven by human activity, makes extreme heat and
precipitation more frequent and intense—fueling the floods, heat waves,
and wildfires that have been wreaking havoc around the world. The
fallout has spotlighted how the infrastructure systems underpinning
global development weren’t constructed to withstand this increasingly
extreme climate reality, and what investment has been carried out has
been less than helpful.
China’s massive Belt and Road infrastructure plan has built more coal
plants across Eurasia, among other things. Germany shuttered its nuclear
power stations, not its coal plants. Florida actually banned state
officials from investing public money in green endeavors. The Biden
administration’s big clean-energy package angered allies and sparked
concerns of a trade war. Meanwhile, Ford sold an F-series pickup truck
every minute of last year.
“We have entire cities and transportation hubs that were all built for
climate that no longer exists,” said Katharine Hayhoe, the Chief
Scientist at the Nature Conservancy. “That’s why we’re seeing terrible
things happen.”
China’s most recent bout of flooding, for example, exposed key gaps in
its drainage infrastructure. Across Europe, where home air-conditioning
units aren’t the norm, extreme heat has throttled communities, strained
power grids, and sparked government health warnings—particularly after
the continent’s heat wave last year killed an estimated 61,000 people.
In Phoenix, Arizona, one flight was canceled because the plane’s
internal temperature became unbearably hot, prompting three passengers
to faint from heat exhaustion.
Yet even as these threats become more pronounced, experts say countries
are still struggling to turn away from fossil fuels and build resilience
into their infrastructure systems. In March, an Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) report warned that the world was on track to
barrel past a key threshold in the next decade—warming 1.5 degrees
Celsius above pre-industrial levels—unless industrial governments
rapidly cut greenhouse gas and CO2 emissions. “Changes in climate are
coming more rapidly than expected,” Jim Skea, the head of the IPCC, said
this month.
“The real challenge is that so far, we’re nowhere near addressing
climate change with the seriousness that is required to really move the
needle,” said Daniel Swain, a climate scientist at UCLA. “If we don’t
actually do the hard work of deeply addressing this, then it will
continue to get worse. We will see more years like this one, and then
eventually years that are significantly worse than this one,” he added.
There are some bright spots: The Netherlands, for example, has spent the
last few hundred years building dikes and is now spearheading efforts to
build further resilience into its infrastructure amid rising sea levels.
More than half of the country’s territory lies below sea level, and the
Dutch government has worked to develop a robust water management scheme
and implement novel flood control strategies.
“The Netherlands are incredibly vulnerable to sea level rise,” Hayhoe
said. “Their water plan is very advanced because they understand the
threat, and they’re taking action to ensure that as sea level rises,
that they will still have their infrastructure, their homes, places to
live, places to grow food.”
Like the Dutch, many governments are increasingly focusing on adapting
their infrastructure systems, from incorporating climate modeling into
water management to developing heat mitigation strategies. But unless
countries take more concerted efforts to both slash carbon emissions and
ramp up adaptation measures, experts warn that more suffering lies ahead.
Adaptation “efforts have not been anywhere near to the level to match
the threat,” said Alice Hill, a former senior director for resilience
policy under the Obama administration currently at the Council on
Foreign Relations. “We just haven’t made the kind of necessary
investments to protect ourselves and our communities from these extreme
events—and with that kind of destruction comes a lot of grief, loss of
life, and then economic loss.”
Part of the problem is that retrofitting decades-old infrastructure can
come at a steep price. A 2013 study of the world’s 136 largest coastal
cities, for instance, found that it would cost $350 million annually in
each city to improve defenses against flooding fueled by climate change.
While that number pales in comparison to the price of inaction—which by
some estimates can run up to hundreds of billions or trillions of
dollars—it can be a difficult economic and political tradeoff for many
governments.
“We’re talking huge price tags, and we’re also talking something that
has not been done systemically before,” Hayhoe said. “We’ve never had to
cope with changes this fast in the entire history of human civilization,
and so we’re asking people, cities, states, governments, organizations,
businesses to do something they’ve never had to do before.”
Physical preparedness is also only one part of the adaptation equation,
said Stéphane Hallegatte, a senior climate advisor at the World Bank who
was one of the authors of the 2013 study. Beyond infrastructure, a
robust response also means developing social systems to help vulnerable
communities on the front lines of the climate crisis.
“Adaptation is not only infrastructure,” Hallegatte said. “Adaptation is
also insurance, social protection systems—also helping people [have]
access to financial tools to borrow when they’re affected.”
Hayhoe likened the urgency of combating climate change to a longtime
smoker who needs to quit. Although they may have impaired breathing and
spots on their lungs, she said, they are still alive—and every day matters.
“So when’s the best time to stop? As soon as possible. How much? As much
as possible,” she said. “Why? Because the sooner we stop, the better off
we will be.”
Christina Lu is a reporter at Foreign Policy. Twitter: @christinafei
Brawley Benson is an intern at Foreign Policy. Twitter: @BrawleyEric
https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/08/11/climate-change-critical-infrastructure-heat-flood-energy-transportation-housing/
/[ The news archive - looking back at an honest Republican - "Climate
Change is real" ]/
/*August 14, 2008 */
August 14, 2008: GOP presidential candidate John McCain discusses his
views on energy and climate change in Aspen, Colorado.
2008 Republican Presidential candidate John McCain discusses his
positions on renewable energy and climate change.
Republican Presidential Nominee John McCain discusses the world economy
with Aspen Institute president and CEO Walter Isaacson.
John Sidney McCain III, is the Republican senior U.S. Senator from
Arizona. He is currently the Chairman of the Senate Committee on Indian
Affairs, and serves on the Armed Services, and Commerce, Science, and
Transportation Committees. He was a presidential candidate in the 2000
election, but was defeated by George W. Bush for the Republican
nomination. McCain formally announced his candidacy for the 2008
presidential election on April 25, 2007.
Walter Isaacson is the President and CEO of the Aspen Institute. He has
been the Chairman and CEO of CNN and the Managing Editor of Time
Magazine. He is the author of Benjamin Franklin: An American Life (2003)
and of Kissinger: A Biography (1992) and is the coauthor of The Wise
Men: Six Friends and the World They Made (1986). His biography of Albert
Einstein - Einstein: His Life and Universe - was released in April 2007.
http://youtu.be/BqqZzY0fjC0
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