[✔️] February 22, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | Republicans Climate Changing, Climate refugees, temps and violence, Holland dumps the Russians, Kevin Anderson, Israel meets deniers, food insecurity danger, First Dog on the Moon Cartoon
Richard Pauli
Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Wed Feb 22 09:24:31 EST 2023
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/*February 22, 2023*/
/[ a bit of political schadenfreude - but not at all surprising ]/
*Republican Leaders Want to Reinvent the Party’s Climate Image. The Far
Right Won’t Let Them*
The Republican party has an image issue when it comes to climate change.
For decades, the GOP has consistently pushed back against warnings from
the science community that human-caused global warming poses an
existential threat to the planet. And while that largely remains the
same today—after all, no Republicans voted for President Joe Biden’s
flagship climate law, the Inflation Reduction Act—some conservative
lawmakers have at least started to recognize global warming as a
political threat.
Recent polls have consistently shown that Americans generally view
climate change as a serious issue and support policies that address it.
About 70 percent of Americans now believe global warming is occurring,
with almost as many saying they’re worried to some degree about the
threats it poses to them, according to a December poll conducted by the
Yale Program on Climate Change Communication and the George Mason
University Center for Climate Change Communication. A second George
Mason University poll that month found that nearly 80 percent of U.S.
registered voters support developing renewable energy, such as solar and
wind, on public land. That total includes more than half of the survey
respondents who identified as conservative Republicans, as opposed to
moderate.
Republican leaders have responded to that political landscape in recent
years by taking a more measured approach to climate issues. Ahead of the
midterm elections, for example, House Republicans unveiled their own
climate plan—albeit one that received harsh criticism from
environmentalists for its heavy reliance on oil and gas production. And
as the GOP ramped up its campaign last year against the Biden
administration’s proposal to require public companies to disclose their
greenhouse gas emissions and climate-related risks to federal
regulators, with some calling it “woke capitalism,” some of the party’s
top-ranking members tried to temper that fight by conveying a softer tone.
“I have long recognized the threat climate change poses to communities
across America, and thoughtful climate policy—focused on the health and
welfare of America’s working class—is long overdue,” wrote North
Carolina Rep. Patrick McHenry, the incoming Republican leader of the
House Financial Services Committee, in a March press release that
criticized the proposed climate disclosure rule.
But as Republican leaders attempt to revamp the party’s climate image,
they’re running headlong into resistance from a small but vocal group of
far-right lawmakers who are touting extreme views of global warming and
making it far more difficult for the GOP to establish a unified platform.
In fact, Colorado Rep. Lauren Boebert will help to kick off the
Heartland Institute’s 15th annual climate change conference this week,
where the event’s prevailing message is that “there is no climate
crisis.” Boebert, a GOP firebrand who has made a name for herself by
leaning into America’s culture war, was one of 20 far-right lawmakers
who initially blocked California Rep. Kevin McCarthy’s election as House
Speaker last month in what was arguably the most public display yet of
the growing rift within the Republican party...
“Republican members of Congress who attempt to lean in and address
climate change in a responsible manner will find a warm embrace by their
Democratic colleagues on the Hill, but will also get a cold shoulder or
worse from many of their Republican colleagues,” Edward Maibach,
director of George Mason University’s Center for Climate Change
Communication, told me in an email interview.
“They need to look beyond the hostile members of their own caucus and
look to their voters,” added Maibach, who oversees the climate-related
polling conducted by George Mason University and Yale. “Our polls show
that Republicans who are willing to stand tall for climate action will
have a better chance of winning in their general election because large
majorities of voters favor climate action.”
Boebert’s participation in Heartland’s summit this week, however, could
make it harder for more centrist Republicans like McHenry to pursue that
course of action. The free-market think tank’s close ties to former
President Donald Trump only highlights the ongoing infighting over who
will represent the Republican party in the 2024 presidential election.
The Heartland Institute also has a long history of spreading misleading
and false claims about global warming and is widely viewed by climate
advocates as a disinformation machine.
The group was responsible for launching then-German teenager Naomi Seibt
into the international spotlight in 2020. Seibt, who was 19 years old at
the time, billed herself as a grassroots “climate skeptic,” prompting
some to dub her the “anti-Greta”—a counterweight to the rising
popularity of Swedish youth climate activist Greta Thunberg. Considering
Seibt was found to be on the Heartland Institute’s payroll, however,
many in the climate movement quickly dismissed her claims of coming from
humble grassroots beginnings.
Earlier this month, the organization sent copies of its book, “Climate
at a Glance,” to 8,000 middle and high school teachers across the
country, saying it was providing the schools with “the data to show the
Earth is not experiencing a climate crisis.”
The book was the second attempt by the group to influence public school
science education since at least 2017 and contained highly misleading
statements such as “sea levels have been rising at a fairly steady pace
since at least the mid-1800s.” A closer look at the data shows that the
rate of sea-level rise has more than doubled in the 2000s when compared
to most of the 20th century.
“It’s a misleading interpretation of scientific facts and questionable
inferences drawn from cherry picked data from unreliable sources,”
Robert Brulle, a visiting professor of sociology at Brown University who
has researched the public relations strategies of the fossil fuel
industry, told Grist. “It almost seems quaint that they’re still running
with this. It’s like ‘The 1990s called. They want their scientific
misinformation back.’”
https://us2.campaign-archive.com/?e=be9ceecdc2&u=7c733794100bcc7e083a163f0&id=1b0a914432
/[ Opinion from Politico ] /
*The climate refugee crisis is landing on Europe’s shores — and we are
far from ready*
International law gives no protection to those displaced due to climate
change. In fact, we can’t even agree on who counts as as a climate refugee.
BY IBRAHIM ÖZDEMIR
FEBRUARY 20, 2023
Last year, the highest number of migrants entered the European Union
since the year 2015. Yet, policymakers are failing to recognize exactly
what this means — the start of an unprecedented climate refugee crisis
that could quickly destabilize Europe’s social order, roiling the
Continent’s politics.
And we are far from prepared...
On February 6, the same week my home country of Turkey suffered the most
severe earthquake in almost a century — killing more than 40,000 and
displacing nearly 300,000 people in neighboring Syria, the EU hosted a
high-level migration summit. The earthquake sent political shock waves
across Europe, but it is a wake-up call to reevaluate the bloc’s
outdated refugee policy...
Globally, migrant flows have doubled in the past decade, and around 1.2
billion people are at risk of being displaced by climate disasters
before 2050. These climate refugees are predominantly from sub-Saharan
Africa and the MENA region, where countries are already struggling with
climate emergencies and are crippled by extreme droughts.
In 2015, the mass influx of refugees and migrants were caused by an
unparalleled political crisis. It escalated friction between European
capitals as the bloc struggled to cope; its institutions were broken.
And now, eight years later, the EU is faced with a nearly 64 percent
increase in unauthorized migrant crossings — a figure that excludes the
almost 8 million Ukrainian refugees now scattered across the Continent.
During this time, the EU still hasn’t reformed its asylum system, and
policymakers are caught in a quandary, as global summits like the U.N.
Climate Change Conference COP27 and Davos have failed to address
climate-related migration. In fact, not only did the COP27 agenda ignore
human mobility, but “displacement by climate change” remained a
sidelined discussion. Meanwhile, Davos was a billionaires’ playground
that put corporate greed above the planet.
Most crucially, however, international law currently gives no protection
to climate refugees — in fact, we can’t even agree on who counts as one.
And without legal status, climate refugees slip through the cracks with
no safety net or legal migration options. Yet, instead of reforming its
migration policy, the EU has wasted billions of euros on border walls
and fences — the equivalent of nearly 12 Berlin Walls.
However, not only is building “Fortress Europe” unlikely to restrict
unwanted movement, the approach also fails to consider the EU’s dire
need to grow its labor force...
Despite all this, with Sweden currently holding the European Council
presidency, the next few months are still unlikely to see a shift in the
bloc’s refugee policy. The country’s new right-wing coalition government
has already halted its annual intake of refugees to less than one-fifth
of previous figures, and its presidency hasn’t demonstrated a
willingness to push through the EU’s deadlocked immigration deal either
— and expectations for any change on this front are low.
Sweden’s immigration stance is far from abnormal though.
To win popular support and deepen political polarization, many
politicians have increasingly been relying on inflammatory rhetoric,
which is a dangerous approach based on short-term gains that has caused
a moral vacuum in Europe’s immigration debate. Many European countries
have become more violent and unwelcoming toward refugees — including
Italy, which now has its first far-right government since World War II.
Thus, in the current political climate, policymakers alone can’t shift
the hostile public discourse surrounding migration. This is why it’s
imperative the EU works with civil society leaders, who have been
proving they have a crucial role to play when it comes to mobilizing
public support. For instance, building on the momentum sparked by the
war in Ukraine, religious leaders recently met with the European
Commission, calling for the EU to reaffirm its moral values and confront
internal disputes...
Indeed, tapping into values of shared humanity in this way will be
central to preparing societies for the inevitable influx of refugees,
many of whom will be from Muslim-majority countries — which most
Europeans currently hope to ban.
To this effect, the Muslim World League Secretary-General Muhammad bin
Abdul Karim Al-Issa has long been campaigning to leverage moral
frameworks like faith to realize public support for refugees displaced
by climate change. And he founded Faith For Our Planet to become the
world’s first global climate NGO, tackling climate change through
interfaith solutions that utilize shared moral frameworks...
Similarly, the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees has urged both Sweden
and Spain to use their 2023 Council presidencies to build on lessons
from Ukraine, with various MEPs calling for legal refugee pathways into
Europe. After the Commission’s 2020 Pact on Migration and Asylum failed
to repair the the bloc’s frayed refugee policy, the stakes are high, as
members are expected to push for reform before next year’s European
elections.
Ultimately, Europe’s approach to climate-related displacement needs
radical reform.
And considering the unpredictable nature of the climate crisis, Europe
requires a framework that can handle a potential rapid influx of
refugees after a natural disaster or climate emergency. Here, the
temporary protection granted to Ukrainian refugees could serve as a
model. Moreover, we could also see European governments using AI as a
preventative mechanism that can help predict future climate and refugee
patterns.
But we need a shift in public attitudes too.
During the past decade, the Mediterranean has turned into a graveyard.
Europeans have signed human rights conventions, but they have failed to
comply with them, and hardly anything has changed despite migration
being back on the EU’s agenda.
Without urgent action from European policymakers, we will soon face a
political crisis far worse than anything before.
https://www.politico.eu/article/climate-refugee-crisis-europe-policy/
/[ Meanwhile, heat and violence. ]/
*New climate change model finds nuanced relationship between
temperature, conflict*
FEBRUARY 20, 2023
by Phil Ciciora, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
A new framework for studying the intersection of climate anomalies and
social conflicts finds a strong link between temperature fluctuations
and aggregated global conflicts, in a paper co-written by a University
of Illinois Urbana-Champaign analytics expert.
Climate anomalies such as rainfall and temperature deviations are often
associated with social conflict via civilian protests, but the majority
of climate-related conflicts are triggered by rebel actors against
government resources, according to a study co-written by Ujjal Kumar
Mukherjee, a professor of business administration at the Gies College of
Business at Illinois.
"Many past studies of climate change and societal conflicts have failed
to fully account for the interdependencies that underpin these
respective processes," he said. "Climate change and social conflict each
have spatial and temporal dependencies at the regional as well as global
levels. That's why we developed a new framework to specifically address
those challenges and help social scientists explore similar domains."
Mukherjee's co-authors are Benjamin E. Bagozzi, a professor of political
science at the University of Delaware, and Snigdhansu Chatterjee, a
professor of statistics at the University of Minnesota.
The results show a nuanced relationship between temperature deviations
and social conflicts that has not been found in previous research,
Mukherjee said.
"There has been a lot of discussion at the international policy level
about climate change and its impact on various aspects of life such as
health, social life and economic activity," he said. "It's well known
that competition for access to resources such as arable land and
minerals can, over time, create conflict. But our study is predicated
upon understanding the relation between temperature anomalies and social
conflicts of different kinds among different groups like government
forces, armed non-state individuals and groups, and unarmed civilians."
Using an intricate modeling framework to analyze global data during
times of peace as well as conflict, the researchers evaluated the
relationship between temperature anomalies and different types of social
conflicts, including "material conflicts" involving physical
confrontations such as protests or roadside bombings, and "verbal
conflicts" involving threats, ultimatums or similar forms of nonphysical
confrontation...
The researchers found significant evidence to suggest that periods of
unusually high temperatures were associated with social conflict
primarily through government-rebel material conflicts such as rebel
attacks against government resources or acts of state repression, and
government-civilian conflict via civilian protests.
"We find that the majority of the conflicts associated with climate
anomalies are triggered by rebel actors, and others who react to such
acts of conflict," Mukherjee said. "The big contribution of this paper
is the objective quantification of the impact of rising temperatures and
climate change on human conflict. There's been a lot of anecdotal
evidence, but there hasn't been a structured, large-scale study with
global data."
The implications of the research underscore how vital international
cooperation is for combating climate change, Mukherjee said.
"Functionally, policymakers ought to be interested in the paper because
it shows how interdependent regions are with regard to climate
conflict," he said. "International cooperation on climate
change-mitigation efforts have been premised on the notion that harmful
social and economic activities in one region can spill over into other
regions through greenhouse gas emissions, global warming and the
aftereffects of extreme climate events. We saw this recently with the
farmer protests in India. The farmers felt that they weren't getting
enough in government subsidies, so they were demanding more.
"Such conflicts aren't uncommon, but they are likely to reverberate
regionally, because everyone depends on agriculture and mineral resources."
The framework also can help social scientists explore similar domains
involving large-scale spatial and temporal dependencies, Mukherjee said.
"Researchers, particularly political science researchers, should be
interested in our framework from a methodological standpoint, because
they can take the model and analyze similar data that can help in
policymaking," he said. "In the field of big data, there's always the
issue of reverse causality. Our new model accounts for that."
The paper was published by the journal Environmetrics.
/More information: Ujjal Kumar Mukherjee et al, A Bayesian framework for
studying climate anomalies and social conflicts, Environmetrics (2022).
DOI: 10.1002/env.2778/
https://phys.org/news/2023-02-climate-nuanced-relationship-temperature-conflict.html
/[ Reuters -- political destabilization pushes military action ]/
*Russia targets Netherlands' North Sea infrastructure, says Dutch
intelligence agency*/
/THE HAGUE, Feb 20 (Reuters) - Russia has in recent months tried to gain
intelligence to sabotage critical infrastructure in the Dutch part of
the North Sea, Dutch military intelligence agency MIVD said on Monday.
"We saw in recent months Russian actors tried to uncover how the energy
system works in the North Sea. It is the first time we have seen this,"
Swillens said...
- -
"Russia is mapping how our wind parks in the North Sea function. They
are very interested in how they could sabotage the energy infrastructure."
Dutch intelligence agencies MIVD and AIVD, in a joint report published
on Monday, said critical offshore infrastructure such as internet
cables, gas pipes and windmill farms had become the target of Russian
sabotage activities...
"Russia is secretly charting this infrastructure and is undertaking
activities which indicate preparations for disruption and sabotage", the
agencies said.
Covert threats by Russia to water and energy supplies in the Netherlands
were also conceivable, they added.
The Netherlands said on Saturday it would expel an undisclosed number of
Russian diplomats as it accused Russia of continuously bringing in spies
under diplomatic cover.
It also ordered Russia to close its trade mission in Amsterdam and said
it would shut down the Dutch consulate in Saint Petersburg.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-targets-netherlands-north-sea-infrastructure-says-dutch-intelligence-2023-02-20/
/[ A Red Pill presentation - from a top activist scientist - video 80
mins ]/
*Professor Kevin Anderson From iniquity to integrity … there’s no hiding
from carbon budgets*
Cambridge Climate Lecture Series
Feb 17, 2023
*Talk Abstract:*
As climate change increasingly exacerbates extreme weather events
around the globe, so government leaders are increasingly using the
language of a “climate emergency”. But look beyond the fine words,
and it is quickly evident that behind the relatively recent framing
of ‘net zero’, many governments, companies and institutions are
planning for little more than incremental adjustments to
business-as-usual. But “nature will not be fooled” by empty
rhetoric, subterfuge and unsubstantiated optimism – and nor should
we. The challenges we face in delivering on our Paris climate
commitments beg fundamental questions of almost every facet of
modern society. This presentation will seek to lay bare the sheer
scale, scope and urgency of emission cuts now required to meet our
Paris climate commitments. It will conclude by offering an outline
of the key characteristics delivering on such commitments needs to
entail. Please note, for those with a more sensitive disposition,
this is very much a “red pill” presentation.
Short Bio:
Kevin is professor of Energy and Climate Change at the University of
Manchester and visiting professor at the Universities of Uppsala
(Sweden) and Bergen (Norway). Formerly he held the position of Zennström
professor (in Uppsala) and was director of the Tyndall Centre for
Climate Change Research (UK). Kevin engages widely with governments,
industry and civil society, and remains research active with
publications in Climate policy, Nature and Science. He has a decade’s
industrial experience in the petrochemical industry, is a chartered
engineer and fellow of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers.
Twitter: @KevinClimate
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wT6NCbFrb7c
/[ Global warming and climate disinformation in Israel ]/
*Scientists chide environment minister for meeting with climate skeptics*
Group calls on Environmental Protection Minister Idit Silman to consult
with climate change experts rather than people who ‘spread false
information’
By SUE SURKES
Dozens of scientists pushed back against a meeting last week between
Environmental Protection Minister Idit Silman and members of the
so-called Rational Environmentalism Forum, a group that opposes the
general scientific view that humans are responsible for climate change.
On Monday, a not-for-profit group of scientists called Little, Big
Science wrote to Silman saying that while it was important to listen to
different views, the Rational Environmentalism Forum represented a
“negligible minority” and that most of its members were not climate
scientists.
Little, Big Science, which represents around 50 scientists in different
fields and was set up to explain science to the general public, pointed
out that the vast majority of the world’s scientists, many of them
involved with the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, were
certain that climate warming was a human-driven phenomenon.
Groups like the Rational Environmentalism Forum “spread false
information that requires a lot of effort and resources to eliminate,”
the letter went on, urging the minister to restrict her consultations to
“professionals with relevant expertise in the field in question.”
Rational Environmentalism Forum includes professors Yonatan Dubi, Hallel
Gershoni and Micha Klein.
Dubi has argued that the human contribution to climate change is
unproven, that the government should be prioritizing environmental
issues such as pollution, that the rush to deploy solar panels will
leave behind a mass of non-recyclable materials and ruin the
countryside, and that fossil fuels such as gas are the best way to
ensure energy security.
Sources familiar with the three-hour-long meeting told the Haaretz daily
that the group presented Silman and ministry director-general Guy Samet
with information that they said supported their view that Israel’s
climate-related activity is unnecessary, expressed doubt over the human
involvement in causing climate change, and were skeptical about its
severity.
Silman’s office said in response that she had met with “a wide variety
of people from the Jewish, Arab, ultra-Orthodox public, while also
listening to different opinions” over the week.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/scientists-chide-environment-minister-for-meeting-with-climate-skeptics/
/[ Almost me - from Futurity ]/
*FOOD INSECURITY CAN SPEED OLDER ADULTS’ COGNITIVE DECLINE*
FEBRUARY 20TH, 2023
Older adults living with food insecurity are more likely to experience
malnutrition, depression, and physical limitations that affect how they
live, a new study shows.
The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) is the largest
federally funded nutrition-assistance program in the United States, and
research has shown that SNAP reduces hunger and food insecurity in the
general population.
Little evidence is available, however, on how SNAP may affect brain
aging in older adults. To bridge this knowledge gap, researchers
investigated the relationship between food insecurity, SNAP, and
cognitive decline. They found that food sufficiency and participation in
SNAP may help protect against accelerated cognitive decline in older adults.
The researchers analyzed a representative sample of 4,578 older adults
in the United States using data from the National Health and Aging
Trends Study, 2012-20. Participants reported their experiences with food
insecurity and were classified as food sufficient or food insufficient.
The SNAP status was defined as SNAP participants, SNAP-eligible
nonparticipants, and SNAP-ineligible nonparticipants. The researchers
found that food insecure adults experienced cognitive declines more
rapidly than their food secure peers.
The researchers identified different trajectories of cognitive decline
using food insufficiency status or SNAP status. Rates of cognitive
decline were similar in SNAP participants and SNAP-ineligible
nonparticipants, both of which were slower than the rate of
SNAP-eligible nonparticipants.
The greater cognitive decline rate observed in the food insecure group
was equivalent to being 3.8 years older, whereas the greater cognitive
decline rate observed in the SNAP-eligible nonparticipant group was
equivalent to being 4.5 years older.
“For an aging population, roughly four years of brain aging can be very
significant,” says Muzi Na, assistant professor of nutritional sciences
at Penn State, and lead author of the study in the Journal of Nutrition.
“These results really point to the importance of food security for
people as they age and the value that SNAP can have in improving
people’s cognitive health as they age. We need to make sure that people
have access to—and encourage them to use—the SNAP program as they age.”
Future studies are warranted to investigate the impact of addressing
food insecurity and promoting SNAP participation on cognitive health in
older adults, Na says.
Additional coauthors are from Brown University, the University of South
Carolina, the University of North Carolina Wilmington, the University of
Maryland School of Medicine, and Penn State.
The Broadhurst Career Development Professorship for the Study of Health
Promotion and Disease Prevention and the National Institute of Mental
Health supported the work.
Original Study DOI: 10.1016/j.tjnut.2022.12.012
https://www.futurity.org/food-insecurity-older-adults-cognitive-decline-2878352/
/[ stop extinction now ]/
*Cartoon by First Dog on the Moon*
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/feb/17/three-easy-steps-to-stop-creatures-becoming-extinct
/[The news archive - looking back at a big day of deliberate
disinformation called out by Potholer54, ]/
/*February 22, 2010*/
February 22, 2010:
*-- The Economist calls out the Daily Mail for promoting the notion that
climate change "stopped" in 1995.*
http://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/2010/02/climategate_distortions
-- YouTube video from Potholer 54 -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_PWDFzWt-Ag
- -
*8a. Climate Change - Phil Jones and the 'no warming for 15 years'*
http://youtu.be/cp-iB6jwjUc
Media Matters reports: "A New York Post editorial baselessly asserted
that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) 'bogus'
statement about the date by which Himalayan glaciers will likely
disappear was a 'key finding' in order to claim that climate change
science is 'unraveling.' In fact, scientists have noted that the IPCC
report's claim should not be described as a central finding because it
was not included in the IPCC's larger summaries; moreover, the editorial
distorted several of climate scientist Phil Jones' statements on warming
trends to suggest that they undermine the consensus that human
activities are contributing to higher global temperatures."
http://mediamatters.org/research/2010/02/22/ny-post-distorts-facts-to-claim-climate-change/160719
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