[✔️] February 22, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | Republicans Climate Changing, Climate refugees, temps and violence, Holland dumps the Russians, Kevin Anderson, Israel meets deniers, food insecurity danger, First Dog on the Moon Cartoon

Richard Pauli Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Wed Feb 22 09:24:31 EST 2023


/*February 22, 2023*/

/[ a bit of political schadenfreude - but not at all surprising ]/
*Republican Leaders Want to Reinvent the Party’s Climate Image. The Far 
Right Won’t Let Them*

The Republican party has an image issue when it comes to climate change.

For decades, the GOP has consistently pushed back against warnings from 
the science community that human-caused global warming poses an 
existential threat to the planet. And while that largely remains the 
same today—after all, no Republicans voted for President Joe Biden’s 
flagship climate law, the Inflation Reduction Act—some conservative 
lawmakers have at least started to recognize global warming as a 
political threat.

Recent polls have consistently shown that Americans generally view 
climate change as a serious issue and support policies that address it.

About 70 percent of Americans now believe global warming is occurring, 
with almost as many saying they’re worried to some degree about the 
threats it poses to them, according to a December poll conducted by the 
Yale Program on Climate Change Communication and the George Mason 
University Center for Climate Change Communication. A second George 
Mason University poll that month found that nearly 80 percent of U.S. 
registered voters support developing renewable energy, such as solar and 
wind, on public land. That total includes more than half of the survey 
respondents who identified as conservative Republicans, as opposed to 
moderate.

Republican leaders have responded to that political landscape in recent 
years by taking a more measured approach to climate issues. Ahead of the 
midterm elections, for example, House Republicans unveiled their own 
climate plan—albeit one that received harsh criticism from 
environmentalists for its heavy reliance on oil and gas production. And 
as the GOP ramped up its campaign last year against the Biden 
administration’s proposal to require public companies to disclose their 
greenhouse gas emissions and climate-related risks to federal 
regulators, with some calling it “woke capitalism,” some of the party’s 
top-ranking members tried to temper that fight by conveying a softer tone.

“I have long recognized the threat climate change poses to communities 
across America, and thoughtful climate policy—focused on the health and 
welfare of America’s working class—is long overdue,” wrote North 
Carolina Rep. Patrick McHenry, the incoming Republican leader of the 
House Financial Services Committee, in a March press release that 
criticized the proposed climate disclosure rule.

But as Republican leaders attempt to revamp the party’s climate image, 
they’re running headlong into resistance from a small but vocal group of 
far-right lawmakers who are touting extreme views of global warming and 
making it far more difficult for the GOP to establish a unified platform.

In fact, Colorado Rep. Lauren Boebert will help to kick off the 
Heartland Institute’s 15th annual climate change conference this week, 
where the event’s prevailing message is that “there is no climate 
crisis.” Boebert, a GOP firebrand who has made a name for herself by 
leaning into America’s culture war, was one of 20 far-right lawmakers 
who initially blocked California Rep. Kevin McCarthy’s election as House 
Speaker last month in what was arguably the most public display yet of 
the growing rift within the Republican party...

“Republican members of Congress who attempt to lean in and address 
climate change in a responsible manner will find a warm embrace by their 
Democratic colleagues on the Hill, but will also get a cold shoulder or 
worse from many of their Republican colleagues,” Edward Maibach, 
director of George Mason University’s Center for Climate Change 
Communication, told me in an email interview.

“They need to look beyond the hostile members of their own caucus and 
look to their voters,” added Maibach, who oversees the climate-related 
polling conducted by George Mason University and Yale. “Our polls show 
that Republicans who are willing to stand tall for climate action will 
have a better chance of winning in their general election because large 
majorities of voters favor climate action.”

Boebert’s participation in Heartland’s summit this week, however, could 
make it harder for more centrist Republicans like McHenry to pursue that 
course of action. The free-market think tank’s close ties to former 
President Donald Trump only highlights the ongoing infighting over who 
will represent the Republican party in the 2024 presidential election. 
The Heartland Institute also has a long history of spreading misleading 
and false claims about global warming and is widely viewed by climate 
advocates as a disinformation machine.

The group was responsible for launching then-German teenager Naomi Seibt 
into the international spotlight in 2020. Seibt, who was 19 years old at 
the time, billed herself as a grassroots “climate skeptic,” prompting 
some to dub her the “anti-Greta”—a counterweight to the rising 
popularity of Swedish youth climate activist Greta Thunberg. Considering 
Seibt was found to be on the Heartland Institute’s payroll, however, 
many in the climate movement quickly dismissed her claims of coming from 
humble grassroots beginnings.

Earlier this month, the organization sent copies of its book, “Climate 
at a Glance,” to 8,000 middle and high school teachers across the 
country, saying it was providing the schools with “the data to show the 
Earth is not experiencing a climate crisis.”

The book was the second attempt by the group to influence public school 
science education since at least 2017 and contained highly misleading 
statements such as “sea levels have been rising at a fairly steady pace 
since at least the mid-1800s.” A closer look at the data shows that the 
rate of sea-level rise has more than doubled in the 2000s when compared 
to most of the 20th century.

“It’s a misleading interpretation of scientific facts and questionable 
inferences drawn from cherry picked data from unreliable sources,” 
Robert Brulle, a visiting professor of sociology at Brown University who 
has researched the public relations strategies of the fossil fuel 
industry, told Grist. “It almost seems quaint that they’re still running 
with this. It’s like ‘The 1990s called. They want their scientific 
misinformation back.’”
https://us2.campaign-archive.com/?e=be9ceecdc2&u=7c733794100bcc7e083a163f0&id=1b0a914432



/[ Opinion from Politico  ] /
*The climate refugee crisis is landing on Europe’s shores — and we are 
far from ready*
International law gives no protection to those displaced due to climate 
change. In fact, we can’t even agree on who counts as as a climate refugee.
BY IBRAHIM ÖZDEMIR
FEBRUARY 20, 2023
Last year, the highest number of migrants entered the European Union 
since the year 2015. Yet, policymakers are failing to recognize exactly 
what this means — the start of an unprecedented climate refugee crisis 
that could quickly destabilize Europe’s social order, roiling the 
Continent’s politics.

And we are far from prepared...
On February 6, the same week my home country of Turkey suffered the most 
severe earthquake in almost a century — killing more than 40,000 and 
displacing nearly 300,000 people in neighboring Syria, the EU hosted a 
high-level migration summit. The earthquake sent political shock waves 
across Europe, but it is a wake-up call to reevaluate the bloc’s 
outdated refugee policy...

Globally, migrant flows have doubled in the past decade, and around 1.2 
billion people are at risk of being displaced by climate disasters 
before 2050. These climate refugees are predominantly from sub-Saharan 
Africa and the MENA region, where countries are already struggling with 
climate emergencies and are crippled by extreme droughts.

In 2015, the mass influx of refugees and migrants were caused by an 
unparalleled political crisis. It escalated friction between European 
capitals as the bloc struggled to cope; its institutions were broken. 
And now, eight years later, the EU is faced with a nearly 64 percent 
increase in unauthorized migrant crossings — a figure that excludes the 
almost 8 million Ukrainian refugees now scattered across the Continent.

During this time, the EU still hasn’t reformed its asylum system, and 
policymakers are caught in a quandary, as global summits like the U.N. 
Climate Change Conference COP27 and Davos have failed to address 
climate-related migration. In fact, not only did the COP27 agenda ignore 
human mobility, but “displacement by climate change” remained a 
sidelined discussion. Meanwhile, Davos was a billionaires’ playground 
that put corporate greed above the planet.

Most crucially, however, international law currently gives no protection 
to climate refugees — in fact, we can’t even agree on who counts as one. 
And without legal status, climate refugees slip through the cracks with 
no safety net or legal migration options. Yet, instead of reforming its 
migration policy, the EU has wasted billions of euros on border walls 
and fences — the equivalent of nearly 12 Berlin Walls.

However, not only is building “Fortress Europe” unlikely to restrict 
unwanted movement, the approach also fails to consider the EU’s dire 
need to grow its labor force...

Despite all this, with Sweden currently holding the European Council 
presidency, the next few months are still unlikely to see a shift in the 
bloc’s refugee policy. The country’s new right-wing coalition government 
has already halted its annual intake of refugees to less than one-fifth 
of previous figures, and its presidency hasn’t demonstrated a 
willingness to push through the EU’s deadlocked immigration deal either 
— and expectations for any change on this front are low.

Sweden’s immigration stance is far from abnormal though.

To win popular support and deepen political polarization, many 
politicians have increasingly been relying on inflammatory rhetoric, 
which is a dangerous approach based on short-term gains that has caused 
a moral vacuum in Europe’s immigration debate. Many European countries 
have become more violent and unwelcoming toward refugees — including 
Italy, which now has its first far-right government since World War II.

Thus, in the current political climate, policymakers alone can’t shift 
the hostile public discourse surrounding migration. This is why it’s 
imperative the EU works with civil society leaders, who have been 
proving they have a crucial role to play when it comes to mobilizing 
public support. For instance, building on the momentum sparked by the 
war in Ukraine, religious leaders recently met with the European 
Commission, calling for the EU to reaffirm its moral values and confront 
internal disputes...
Indeed, tapping into values of shared humanity in this way will be 
central to preparing societies for the inevitable influx of refugees, 
many of whom will be from Muslim-majority countries — which most 
Europeans currently hope to ban.

To this effect, the Muslim World League Secretary-General Muhammad bin 
Abdul Karim Al-Issa has long been campaigning to leverage moral 
frameworks like faith to realize public support for refugees displaced 
by climate change. And he founded Faith For Our Planet to become the 
world’s first global climate NGO, tackling climate change through 
interfaith solutions that utilize shared moral frameworks...
Similarly, the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees has urged both Sweden 
and Spain to use their 2023 Council presidencies to build on lessons 
from Ukraine, with various MEPs calling for legal refugee pathways into 
Europe. After the Commission’s 2020 Pact on Migration and Asylum failed 
to repair the the bloc’s frayed refugee policy, the stakes are high, as 
members are expected to push for reform before next year’s European 
elections.

Ultimately, Europe’s approach to climate-related displacement needs 
radical reform.

And considering the unpredictable nature of the climate crisis, Europe 
requires a framework that can handle a potential rapid influx of 
refugees after a natural disaster or climate emergency. Here, the 
temporary protection granted to Ukrainian refugees could serve as a 
model. Moreover, we could also see European governments using AI as a 
preventative mechanism that can help predict future climate and refugee 
patterns.

But we need a shift in public attitudes too.

During the past decade, the Mediterranean has turned into a graveyard. 
Europeans have signed human rights conventions, but they have failed to 
comply with them, and hardly anything has changed despite migration 
being back on the EU’s agenda.

Without urgent action from European policymakers, we will soon face a 
political crisis far worse than anything before.
https://www.politico.eu/article/climate-refugee-crisis-europe-policy/



/[ Meanwhile, heat and violence.  ]/
*New climate change model finds nuanced relationship between 
temperature, conflict*
FEBRUARY 20, 2023
by Phil Ciciora, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
A new framework for studying the intersection of climate anomalies and 
social conflicts finds a strong link between temperature fluctuations 
and aggregated global conflicts, in a paper co-written by a University 
of Illinois Urbana-Champaign analytics expert.
Climate anomalies such as rainfall and temperature deviations are often 
associated with social conflict via civilian protests, but the majority 
of climate-related conflicts are triggered by rebel actors against 
government resources, according to a study co-written by Ujjal Kumar 
Mukherjee, a professor of business administration at the Gies College of 
Business at Illinois.

"Many past studies of climate change and societal conflicts have failed 
to fully account for the interdependencies that underpin these 
respective processes," he said. "Climate change and social conflict each 
have spatial and temporal dependencies at the regional as well as global 
levels. That's why we developed a new framework to specifically address 
those challenges and help social scientists explore similar domains."

Mukherjee's co-authors are Benjamin E. Bagozzi, a professor of political 
science at the University of Delaware, and Snigdhansu Chatterjee, a 
professor of statistics at the University of Minnesota.

The results show a nuanced relationship between temperature deviations 
and social conflicts that has not been found in previous research, 
Mukherjee said.

"There has been a lot of discussion at the international policy level 
about climate change and its impact on various aspects of life such as 
health, social life and economic activity," he said. "It's well known 
that competition for access to resources such as arable land and 
minerals can, over time, create conflict. But our study is predicated 
upon understanding the relation between temperature anomalies and social 
conflicts of different kinds among different groups like government 
forces, armed non-state individuals and groups, and unarmed civilians."

Using an intricate modeling framework to analyze global data during 
times of peace as well as conflict, the researchers evaluated the 
relationship between temperature anomalies and different types of social 
conflicts, including "material conflicts" involving physical 
confrontations such as protests or roadside bombings, and "verbal 
conflicts" involving threats, ultimatums or similar forms of nonphysical 
confrontation...
The researchers found significant evidence to suggest that periods of 
unusually high temperatures were associated with social conflict 
primarily through government-rebel material conflicts such as rebel 
attacks against government resources or acts of state repression, and 
government-civilian conflict via civilian protests.

"We find that the majority of the conflicts associated with climate 
anomalies are triggered by rebel actors, and others who react to such 
acts of conflict," Mukherjee said. "The big contribution of this paper 
is the objective quantification of the impact of rising temperatures and 
climate change on human conflict. There's been a lot of anecdotal 
evidence, but there hasn't been a structured, large-scale study with 
global data."

The implications of the research underscore how vital international 
cooperation is for combating climate change, Mukherjee said.

"Functionally, policymakers ought to be interested in the paper because 
it shows how interdependent regions are with regard to climate 
conflict," he said. "International cooperation on climate 
change-mitigation efforts have been premised on the notion that harmful 
social and economic activities in one region can spill over into other 
regions through greenhouse gas emissions, global warming and the 
aftereffects of extreme climate events. We saw this recently with the 
farmer protests in India. The farmers felt that they weren't getting 
enough in government subsidies, so they were demanding more.

"Such conflicts aren't uncommon, but they are likely to reverberate 
regionally, because everyone depends on agriculture and mineral resources."

The framework also can help social scientists explore similar domains 
involving large-scale spatial and temporal dependencies, Mukherjee said.

"Researchers, particularly political science researchers, should be 
interested in our framework from a methodological standpoint, because 
they can take the model and analyze similar data that can help in 
policymaking," he said. "In the field of big data, there's always the 
issue of reverse causality. Our new model accounts for that."

The paper was published by the journal Environmetrics.
/More information: Ujjal Kumar Mukherjee et al, A Bayesian framework for 
studying climate anomalies and social conflicts, Environmetrics (2022). 
DOI: 10.1002/env.2778/
https://phys.org/news/2023-02-climate-nuanced-relationship-temperature-conflict.html



/[ Reuters -- political destabilization pushes military action ]/
*Russia targets Netherlands' North Sea infrastructure, says Dutch 
intelligence agency*/
/THE HAGUE, Feb 20 (Reuters) - Russia has in recent months tried to gain 
intelligence to sabotage critical infrastructure in the Dutch part of 
the North Sea, Dutch military intelligence agency MIVD said on Monday.

"We saw in recent months Russian actors tried to uncover how the energy 
system works in the North Sea. It is the first time we have seen this," 
Swillens said...
- -
"Russia is mapping how our wind parks in the North Sea function. They 
are very interested in how they could sabotage the energy infrastructure."

Dutch intelligence agencies MIVD and AIVD, in a joint report published 
on Monday, said critical offshore infrastructure such as internet 
cables, gas pipes and windmill farms had become the target of Russian 
sabotage activities...

"Russia is secretly charting this infrastructure and is undertaking 
activities which indicate preparations for disruption and sabotage", the 
agencies said.

Covert threats by Russia to water and energy supplies in the Netherlands 
were also conceivable, they added.

The Netherlands said on Saturday it would expel an undisclosed number of 
Russian diplomats as it accused Russia of continuously bringing in spies 
under diplomatic cover.
It also ordered Russia to close its trade mission in Amsterdam and said 
it would shut down the Dutch consulate in Saint Petersburg.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-targets-netherlands-north-sea-infrastructure-says-dutch-intelligence-2023-02-20/



/[ A Red Pill presentation - from a top activist scientist - video 80 
mins ]/
*Professor Kevin Anderson From iniquity to integrity … there’s no hiding 
from carbon budgets*
Cambridge Climate Lecture Series
Feb 17, 2023

    *Talk Abstract:*
    As climate change increasingly exacerbates extreme weather events
    around the globe, so government leaders are increasingly using the
    language of a “climate emergency”. But look beyond the fine words,
    and it is quickly evident that behind the relatively recent framing
    of ‘net zero’, many governments, companies and institutions are
    planning for little more than incremental adjustments to
    business-as-usual. But “nature will not be fooled” by empty
    rhetoric, subterfuge and unsubstantiated optimism – and nor should
    we. The challenges we face in delivering on our Paris climate
    commitments beg fundamental questions of almost every facet of
    modern society. This presentation will seek to lay bare the sheer
    scale, scope and urgency of emission cuts now required to meet our
    Paris climate commitments. It will conclude by offering an outline
    of the key characteristics delivering on such commitments needs to
    entail. Please note, for those with a more sensitive disposition,
    this is very much a “red pill” presentation.

Short Bio:
Kevin is professor of Energy and Climate Change at the University of 
Manchester and visiting professor at the Universities of Uppsala 
(Sweden) and Bergen (Norway). Formerly he held the position of Zennström 
professor (in Uppsala) and was director of the Tyndall Centre for 
Climate Change Research (UK). Kevin engages widely with governments, 
industry and civil society, and remains research active with 
publications in Climate policy, Nature and Science. He has a decade’s 
industrial experience in the petrochemical industry, is a chartered 
engineer and fellow of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers.
Twitter: @KevinClimate
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wT6NCbFrb7c



/[ Global warming and climate disinformation in Israel ]/
*Scientists chide environment minister for meeting with climate skeptics*
Group calls on Environmental Protection Minister Idit Silman to consult 
with climate change experts rather than people who ‘spread false 
information’
By SUE SURKES

Dozens of scientists pushed back against a meeting last week between 
Environmental Protection Minister Idit Silman and members of the 
so-called Rational Environmentalism Forum, a group that opposes the 
general scientific view that humans are responsible for climate change.

On Monday, a not-for-profit group of scientists called Little, Big 
Science wrote to Silman saying that while it was important to listen to 
different views, the Rational Environmentalism Forum represented a 
“negligible minority” and that most of its members were not climate 
scientists.

Little, Big Science, which represents around 50 scientists in different 
fields  and was set up to explain science to the general public, pointed 
out that the vast majority of the world’s scientists, many of them 
involved with the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, were 
certain that climate warming was a human-driven phenomenon.

Groups like the Rational Environmentalism Forum “spread false 
information that requires a lot of effort and resources to eliminate,” 
the letter went on, urging the minister to restrict her consultations to 
“professionals with relevant expertise in the field in question.”

Rational Environmentalism Forum includes professors Yonatan Dubi, Hallel 
Gershoni and Micha Klein.

Dubi has argued that the human contribution to climate change is 
unproven, that the government should be prioritizing environmental 
issues such as pollution, that the rush to deploy solar panels will 
leave behind a mass of non-recyclable materials and ruin the 
countryside, and that fossil fuels such as gas are the best way to 
ensure energy security.

Sources familiar with the three-hour-long meeting told the Haaretz daily 
that the group presented Silman and ministry director-general Guy Samet 
with information that they said supported their view that Israel’s 
climate-related activity is unnecessary, expressed doubt over the human 
involvement in causing climate change, and were skeptical about its 
severity.

Silman’s office said in response that she had met with “a wide variety 
of people from the Jewish, Arab, ultra-Orthodox public, while also 
listening to different opinions” over the week.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/scientists-chide-environment-minister-for-meeting-with-climate-skeptics/



/[ Almost me - from Futurity ]/
*FOOD INSECURITY CAN SPEED OLDER ADULTS’ COGNITIVE DECLINE*
FEBRUARY 20TH, 2023
Older adults living with food insecurity are more likely to experience 
malnutrition, depression, and physical limitations that affect how they 
live, a new study shows.

The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) is the largest 
federally funded nutrition-assistance program in the United States, and 
research has shown that SNAP reduces hunger and food insecurity in the 
general population.

Little evidence is available, however, on how SNAP may affect brain 
aging in older adults. To bridge this knowledge gap, researchers 
investigated the relationship between food insecurity, SNAP, and 
cognitive decline. They found that food sufficiency and participation in 
SNAP may help protect against accelerated cognitive decline in older adults.

The researchers analyzed a representative sample of 4,578 older adults 
in the United States using data from the National Health and Aging 
Trends Study, 2012-20. Participants reported their experiences with food 
insecurity and were classified as food sufficient or food insufficient.

The SNAP status was defined as SNAP participants, SNAP-eligible 
nonparticipants, and SNAP-ineligible nonparticipants. The researchers 
found that food insecure adults experienced cognitive declines more 
rapidly than their food secure peers.

The researchers identified different trajectories of cognitive decline 
using food insufficiency status or SNAP status. Rates of cognitive 
decline were similar in SNAP participants and SNAP-ineligible 
nonparticipants, both of which were slower than the rate of 
SNAP-eligible nonparticipants.

The greater cognitive decline rate observed in the food insecure group 
was equivalent to being 3.8 years older, whereas the greater cognitive 
decline rate observed in the SNAP-eligible nonparticipant group was 
equivalent to being 4.5 years older.

“For an aging population, roughly four years of brain aging can be very 
significant,” says Muzi Na, assistant professor of nutritional sciences 
at Penn State, and lead author of the study in the Journal of Nutrition.

“These results really point to the importance of food security for 
people as they age and the value that SNAP can have in improving 
people’s cognitive health as they age. We need to make sure that people 
have access to—and encourage them to use—the SNAP program as they age.”

Future studies are warranted to investigate the impact of addressing 
food insecurity and promoting SNAP participation on cognitive health in 
older adults, Na says.

Additional coauthors are from Brown University, the University of South 
Carolina, the University of North Carolina Wilmington, the University of 
Maryland School of Medicine, and Penn State.

The Broadhurst Career Development Professorship for the Study of Health 
Promotion and Disease Prevention and the National Institute of Mental 
Health supported the work.

Original Study DOI: 10.1016/j.tjnut.2022.12.012
https://www.futurity.org/food-insecurity-older-adults-cognitive-decline-2878352/ 




/[ stop extinction now  ]/
*Cartoon by First Dog on the Moon*
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/feb/17/three-easy-steps-to-stop-creatures-becoming-extinct



/[The news archive - looking back at a big day of deliberate 
disinformation called out by Potholer54, ]/
/*February 22, 2010*/
February 22, 2010:
*-- The Economist calls out the Daily Mail for promoting the notion that 
climate change "stopped" in 1995.* 
http://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/2010/02/climategate_distortions

-- YouTube video from Potholer 54 - 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_PWDFzWt-Ag
- -
*8a. Climate Change - Phil Jones and the 'no warming for 15 years'*
http://youtu.be/cp-iB6jwjUc

  Media Matters reports: "A New York Post editorial baselessly asserted 
that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) 'bogus' 
statement about the date by which Himalayan glaciers will likely 
disappear was a 'key finding' in order to claim that climate change 
science is 'unraveling.' In fact, scientists have noted that the IPCC 
report's claim should not be described as a central finding because it 
was not included in the IPCC's larger summaries; moreover, the editorial 
distorted several of climate scientist Phil Jones' statements on warming 
trends to suggest that they undermine the consensus that human 
activities are contributing to higher global temperatures."

http://mediamatters.org/research/2010/02/22/ny-post-distorts-facts-to-claim-climate-change/160719


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