[✔️] Jan 3, 2024 Global Warming News | Hansen message, clips, Climate fascism, Cognitive warfare, US Army, Mass distraction, UN news fights disinfo, Disinfo, Misinfo. Rand corp, Truth decay, NATO disinfo, ClimateTown, 2011 Pres, tea

Richard Pauli Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Wed Jan 3 08:30:01 EST 2024


/*January*//*3, 2024*/

/[ Dr James Hansen ]/
*Year End Message from James Hansen: some Good News for Young People*
Paul Beckwith
Jan 2, 2024
Last year (just a few days ago) James Hansen posted a short letter in 
response to a request for some year-end good news by a board member on 
his group CSAS (Climate Science, Awareness and Solutions) in the Earth 
Institute at Columbia University in New York.

Link:https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2023/GoodNews.28December2023.pdf
Title: Good News for Young People about Climate Change and a Thank You

Interestingly, the fraction of CO2 that ends up in the atmosphere from 
anthropogenic fossil fuel burning was about 60% in 1960 and has 
decreased to about 50% at present. This clearly means that more of our 
human emissions are being taken up by the oceans and land.

Also, the emissions intensity (anthropogenic emissions divided by energy 
produced from those emissions) has decreased from about 0.8 in 1960 to 
about 0.7 today.

Small things, no doubt, but we have so little good news on climate 
disruption these days, that we will take what we can when it trickles 
through the bad news tsunami of information...
-
Essentially, it seems that more carbon is being absorbed into the deep 
ocean than we thought, which is a very important finding. As climate 
change and global warming accelerates, we expect that the Deep Carbon 
Sink of the oceans will decline, and that will result in much higher 
rises of GHGs in the atmosphere with much faster warming.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kcf0DQ-UAVA

- -

/[ Clips from //Hansen and team in a //readable 3 page paper ]/
*Good News for Young People About Climate Change and a Thank You*
28 December 2023
James Hansen, Makiko Sato, Pushker Kharecha

    *Abstract*. Our climate research and analysis places comparable
    emphasis on paleoclimate
    information, global climate modeling, and modern observations of
    ongoing global change.
    Despite our findings that climate sensitivity is greater than the
    canonical estimate of 3°C
    equilibrium warming for doubled CO2 and that global warming is
    accelerating, let us end the
    year with some real-world good news

We proffer new evidence of nature’s ability to help clean up human 
pollution of the climate system,
specifically nature’s ability to rapidly absorb a large part of the CO2 
that humanity injects into the
air by burning fossil fuels...
-
The upshot is that the deep ocean may provide a little more help in 
taking up excessive atmospheric CO2 than most
models have been indicating...
-
Clouds are a great challenge, because of their role as both a climate 
feedback and a climate forcing.
Our inference of high climate sensitivity implies that clouds provide a 
large, amplifying, climate
feedback. However, cloud changes also provide the mechanism by which 
aerosol changes cause a
large climate forcing. This complicates the task of quantifying both the 
cloud feedback and the
aerosol climate forcing...
https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2023/GoodNews.28December2023.pdf



/[ left and right politics ]/
*How Fascists Are Taking Advantage Of Climate Change*
Second Thought
Mar 25, 2022
We all understand that climate change is real, it's here, and that the 
consequences of our inaction will be disastrous for our species and 
countless other forms of life around the world. But what happens when 
those in positions of power see climate change as a means to an end? A 
way to make truly draconian policies seem rational? In this week's 
episode, we're talking about two distinct forms of climate fascism: 
Fossil Fascism and Ecofascism.
-
How Fascists Are Taking Advantage Of Climate Change – Second Thought
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aA1T_0pZHXk



/[ simple lecture with a few power-points ]/
*Cognitive Warfare: The Forgotten War with Tanguy Struye de Swielande*
Dec 28, 2023  BRUSSELS
Tanguy Struye de Swielande is Professor of International Relations at 
UCLouvain. He specializes in geopolitics, geoeconomics and the foreign 
and defense policy of the major powers (USA, Russia and China), the 
Indo-Pacific region, decision-making analysis, foresight cognitive 
warfare and the impact of new technologies on world order.

The nature of warfare has evolved, with the result that we are sometimes 
faced with new wars that do not speak their name. Disinformation 
campaigns have become veritable weapons of mass disruption, undermining 
the smooth functioning of our democratic societies. They spread and 
circulate rapidly, are inexpensive and have a high impact. For Professor 
Giordano, the human brain has thus become the battlefield of the 21st 
century.

What is cognitive warfare? Is China the master of cognitive warfare? Why 
are democracies losing? Are resources and the 4th industrial revolution 
the missing link? From neuroscience to the metaverse: cognitive warfare 2.0?
https://youtu.be/dMSDL02yDag?si=a2obLrnAI3B2RvMl   [ start a few minutes 
in ]
https://youtu.be/dMSDL02yDag?si=oxjQRrWs1SGXjHcf     &t=483

- -

/[ This is a US ARMY organization ]/
*SOCIAL MEDIA OPSEC*

    THE PROBLEM OF DISINFORMATION
    There is no shortage of information, and accuracy can be hard to
    gauge. Misinformation is unintentionally inaccurate. Disinformation
    is intentionally inaccurate. Critical thinking skills are the best
    defense against mis/disinformation. It is important for Soldiers to
    be critical consumers of information, to not fall for disinformation
    campaigns, to recognize when misinformation may be present, and to
    not contribute to the spread of either.

https://www.tradoc.army.mil/social-media-disinformation/

- -

/[ a PDF paper from the Dept of State ]/
*WEAPONS OF MASS DISTRACTION:*

      * Foreign State-Sponsored Disinformation in the Digital Age
      * Introduction and contextual analysis
      * How do we define disinformation?
      * What psychological factors drive vulnerabilities to disinformation
      * and propaganda?
      * A look at foreign state-sponsored disinformation and propaganda
      * Platform-specific challenges and efforts to counter disinformation
      * Knowledge gaps and future technology challenges

https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/Weapons-of-Mass-Distraction-Foreign-State-Sponsored-Disinformation-in-the-Digital-Age.pdf

- -

/[  UN News Global perspective Human stories]/
*Building a digital army: UN peacekeepers fight deadly disinformation*
  19 August 2023
Peace and Security
With smartphones, editing apps, and innovative approaches, some UN 
peacekeeping operations across the world are building a “digital army” 
aimed at combating mis- and disinformation on social media networks and 
beyond.

Designing ways to fight back against falsehoods that can trigger 
tensions, violence, or even death, the UN has been monitoring how mis- 
and disinformation and hate speech can attack health, security, 
stability as well as progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals 
(SDGs).

“It has become clear that business as usual is not an option,” UN 
Secretary-General António Guterres said in a policy brief launched in 
June on information integrity on digital platforms.

“The ability to disseminate large-scale disinformation to undermine 
scientifically established facts poses an existential risk to humanity 
and endangers democratic institutions and fundamental human rights,” he 
wrote in the brief.
Disinformation can be dangerous in other ways. Several UN missions have 
reported social media campaigns in recent years targeting their 
peacekeeping work.

In 2019, the UN mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), 
known by its French acronym MONUSCO, raised grave concerns about social 
media disinformation campaigns calling for violence against peacekeepers 
during an Ebola epidemic and following a deadly attack by an armed group 
in the restive eastern region...
- -
By 2022, the Security Council had adjusted the mandates of its four 
largest peacekeeping operations – DRC, Central African Republic (CAR), 
Mali, and South Sudan – and added the task of preventing disinformation 
campaigns aimed at undermining a mission’s credibility

“This is a war that is going on through social media, the radio, and 
traditional news outlets,” said Bintou Keita, who heads MONUSCO. 
Fighting deadly disinformation has been a “painful curve” to learn of 
this new battlefield, but the mission has now become proactive on social 
and other media platforms, to help stop its spread, she added...
- -
To fight back against disinformation, UN peacekeepers are putting new 
tools into the hands of civilians of all ages, including 15-year-old 
Blessing Kasasi in DRC.

An activist advocating for the rights of women and children, Ms. Kasasi 
readily joined a workshop in the capital city of Kinshasa, with 30 young 
people who learned about detecting “fake news” and countering it with 
the most effective weapon: the truth.

Guillaume Kingh-Farel, one of the workshop trainers, said disinformation 
is “used as a weapon of war to undermine MONUSCO’s peace efforts in the 
DRC”.

As such, the MONUSCO-supported workshop to train “a digital army capable 
of detecting false information” by producing content with the help of a 
smartphone and editing software and simultaneously spreading objective, 
credible information through “relay clubs” that disseminate these 
messages through their networks.

“From a smartphone, I will produce videos to echo good information,” Ms. 
Kasasi said after the workshop.
https://news.un.org/en/story/2023/08/1139682

- -

/[ UN video helps recognize misinformation ]/
*UNESCO MIL CLICKS – 10 Points to Detect Disinformation/
/*Jun 3, 2020  #UNESCO #MILCLICKS #TrustinMediaSEE
Promoting Media and Information Literacy: Learn these 10 points to 
detect disinformation efficiently.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fuZg_9Ag7CI

- -

/[ put this in front of students ]/
*How to Spot Misinformation Online*

    Article SummaryX
    Pausing and taking a moment to verify something you see online can
    help you spot misinformation and prevent its spread. If you're
    skeptical about information you find online, check out what source
    it comes from and who the author is to make sure they're both
    credible. Try looking the information up online to see if other
    credible outlets are also talking about it—if they're not, that's a
    red flag that the information isn't accurate. Also, keep in mind
    that misinformation is usually designed to trigger your emotions. If
    it feels like a headline or image is supposed to make you feel a
    strong emotion, be skeptical and verify that it's accurate before
    you react. When in doubt, visit a reliable fact-checking website to
    find out if something is accurate or not For more tips, like how to
    recognize fake accounts on social media and other sources of
    misinformation, check out the rest of the article below.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rd9-qZEGun4
https://www.wikihow.com/Spot-Misinformation-Online

- -

/[ the RAND Corporation has done research on this topic ]/
*Information Operations/
/*
Information operations and warfare, also known as influence operations, 
includes the collection of tactical information about an adversary as 
well as the dissemination of propaganda in pursuit of a competitive 
advantage over an opponent. RAND research has enabled military leaders 
and policymakers to develop strategies and policy frameworks to address 
the challenges of these military operations.
https://www.rand.org/topics/information-operations.html

- -

/[ RAND research COMMENTARY]/
*Truth Decay and National Security*
Even if the U.S. national security apparatus can operate entirely 
outside of politics, it remains exposed to the effects of Truth 
Decay—the diminishing role of facts and analysis in American public 
life. Little work is being done to understand how severe the impact of 
Truth Decay is on national security and, more importantly, how to 
mitigate it.
Aug 1, 2023
https://www.rand.org/pubs/commentary/2023/08/truth-decay-and-national-security.html

- -

/[ NATO = North Atlantic Treaty Organization ]/
*NATO’s approach to countering disinformation*
Last updated: 08 Nov. 2023
What is disinformation?
Disinformation is false or inaccurate information that a hostile actor 
uses deliberately to deceive people. Usually, disinformation seeks to 
stir up a particular strong emotion (anger, fear, disgust) and override 
rational and critical thinking in the intended target.

“Disinformation” is just one element of a broader set of hostile 
information activities, which can include many tactics, techniques and 
procedures.
Key terms:

      * *Disinformation* – false or inaccurate information spread
        deliberately to manipulate the opinions and actions of others
      * *Misinformation *– false or inaccurate information spread
        without malicious intent, although its effects can still be harmful
      * *Propaganda *– information designed to manipulate a specific
        target audience toward a particular behaviour or belief, often
        as part of a prolonged campaign by a state actor with a
        political agenda
      * *Hostile narrative *– a specific story developed to discredit or
        defame a particular target
      * *Hostile information activities* – a wide range of coordinated
        actions designed to sow distrust and manipulate opinion, usually
        involving one or all of the above methods and techniques, such
        as misleading memes, conspiracy theories, deepfake images or
        videos, quotes taken out of context, or simply outright lies
        that people tell to manipulate others
      * *Foreign information manipulation and interference (FIMI)* – a
        pattern of behaviour that threatens or has the potential to
        negatively impact values, procedures and political processes in
        a target country. Such activity is mostly non-illegal, but is
        manipulative in character, conducted in an intentional and
        coordinated manner, by state or non-state actors, including
        their proxies inside and outside of their own territory
      * *Hybrid warfare *– use of military and non-military as well as
        covert and overt means (including disinformation, cyber attacks,
        economic pressure, deployment of irregular armed groups and use
        of regular forces) to blur the lines between war and peace, sow
        doubt in the minds of target populations, and destabilise and
        undermine societies

https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_219728.htm



/[how difficult is prediction? ]/
*Why Do Exact Equations Become Unpredictable?*
The Action Lab
Dec 30, 2023
-
The space simulations were done in Universe Sandbox: 
http://universesandbox.com/
Create your own choreographies here: http://gminton.org/#choreography
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CIjHtVmTfO8



/[ classic video from ClimateTown - a great channel ]/
*The News Media Is Selling You Out | Climate Town*
Premiered Oct 26, 2022  #news
100 years Herb Schmertz.
Patreon:   / climatetown
-
Big time shoutouts to climate journalists like Amy Westervelt 
(@amywestervelt) and Emily Atkin (@emorwee). In particular, Amy’s 
research was a major help in writing this episode and you should 
absolutely listen to her podcast, Drilled: https://www.drilledpodcast.com
The channel is https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateTown
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jkhGJUTW3ag   -


/[The news archive - when presidential politics was starting to get 
interesting ]/
/*January 3, 2011 */
January 3, 2011: Steve Benen of the Washington Monthly notes that 
Republican presidential candidates who now try to deny the existence of 
human-caused climate change will have to figure out a way to rewrite 
history:

"Yes, in Republican circles in 2011, those who don't reject the 
scientific consensus on the climate crisis will be rejected out of hand. 
Those who've been even somewhat reasonable on the issue in recent years 
should expect to grovel shamelessly -- a trait that's always attractive 
in presidential candidates.

"The number of likely GOP candidates who've actually said out loud that 
the planet is warming and that human activity is responsible is, oddly 
enough, larger than the number of consistent climate deniers. Sarah 
Palin has said pollution contributes to global warming and 'we've got to 
do something about it.' Romney has said he believes the planet is 
warming and at least used to support cap-and-trade. Huckabee and 
Pawlenty have backed cap-and-trade -- which was, originally, a 
Republican idea, by the way -- in recent years. Even Newt Gingrich used 
to demand 'action to address climate change,' and participated briefly 
with Al Gore's Repower America campaign.

"This wasn't a problem up until very recently. John McCain's 2008 
presidential platform not only acknowledged climate change, it included 
a call for a cap-and-trade plan -- and he won the nomination fairly 
easily. As recently as 2006, rank-and-file Republican voters, by and 
large, believed what the mainstream believed when it came to climate 
science: global warming is real, it's a problem, and it requires attention.

"But that was before the GOP fell off the right-wing cliff."

http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2011_01/027356.php



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