[✔️] Jan 15, 2024 Global Warming News | Power out in cold snap, Carbon capture, Lapham, GlobalOver-heating destabilizes cold, 2013 Tea party

Mon Jan 15 11:48:15 EST 2024

/*January*//*15, 2024*/

/[ Power shortage in cold snap ]/
*What are the lessons learned from Alberta’s emergency power alert?*
Global News

Jan 14, 2024  #GlobalNews #alberta #emergencyalert
The emergency alert that Albertans received on Saturday night shows how 
much work is going to be needed to adapt to future demand according to 
Alberta’s utilities minister and electricity experts.

The alert, issued by the Alberta Electric System Operator (AESO), urged 
Albertans to reduce electricity usage to essentials only to prevent 
rotating outages. The alert came a few hours after AESO declared a grid 
alert due to extreme cold, high demand and low imports.

On Sunday afternoon, AESO declared another grid alert for the third day 
in a row, asking Albertans to reduce electricity to essential use only.

“We were concerned at one point that we were going to run out of 
emergency reserves and have to go to rotating outages,” said Leif Sollid 
communication manager for Alberta Electric System Operator.

For more info - 
https://globalnews.ca/news/10225294/alberta-emergency-power-alert-lessons/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nZXso3jUqqA

- -

/[New England is nuts. - video worth viewing - shows a new weather 
system ] /
*What's an 'inland runner' storm?*
  NEWS CENTER Maine
Jan 14, 2024
An "inland runner" storm versus a nor'easter, explained.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bGpF_4SgCSs

- -

/[ ABC news on the weather]/
*Brutal arctic blast sweeping across the country*
ABC News
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0_XSVqEWMO8

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/[ Seattle - is too cold ]/
*01-14-2024 Tacoma, WA - Puget Sound Freezing over, River Ice Floes*
Live Storms Media <https://www.youtube.com/@LiveStormsMedia>
Very rare event of Port of Tacoma Freezing over, Ice floes coming down 
river into the Puget Sound due to a major arctic blast.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yMydc-nwvuU

/[  consider complexity  of carbon storage ]/
*Carbon Capture and Storage. Inconvenient new data.*
Just Have a Think
Jan 14, 2024
So, Carbon Capture and Storage then. Climate change cure-all or 
delusional diversion by our friends over at Fossil Fuel HQ? Well, some 
people much smarter than me have been investigating, so I thought we 
should take at look at their findings
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PlsjvKKugKI

/[a quote from Lewis H. Lapham, The editor and founder of Lapham’s 
Quarterly since 2007 and editor of Harper’s Magazine from 1975 to 2006,  ]/

    "We confront the choice between a future fit for human beings and a
    future made by and for machines. For the finding of a phoenix in our
    ashes we have as our most abundant resource the limitless expanse of
    human ignorance, which rouses out the will to know, kindles the
    signal fires of the imagination. So sayeth Graeber and Wengrow in
    The Dawn of Everything: “The course of human history may be less set
    in stone, and more full of playful possibilities, than we tend to
    assume.” Where else does one live if not in a house of straw made
    with the shaping and reshaping of a once-upon-a-time? What is it
    possible to change if not the past living in the present, the
    present living in the past? And how else do we do so if not with the
    gift of metaphor and the energy of mind?"

https://www.laphamsquarterly.org/energy/power-outage/?ca_key_code=FE1LQA1

/[ you knew this already ]/
*There is a direct connection between human-caused climate change and 
increased occurrences of extreme cold. Specifically, warming 
temperatures are disrupting the polar vortex and pushing cold air into 
non-traditional areas.*
*Research Links Extreme Cold Weather In The United States To Arctic Warming*
September 7, 2021
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (.gov)
Accelerated Arctic warming, known as Arctic amplification, has been 
evident since the 1990’s as one of the more robust signs of global 
warming. Currently, certain hypotheses that establish Arctic 
amplification as a contributor to more severe winter weather, like the 
record-cold Texas temperatures in February 2021, have ignited intense 
debates among climate scientists.

A new study in Science, funded by CPO’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions 
and Projections (MAPP) program, used machine learning techniques to shed 
light on this debate. Examining model and satellite data from 1980 to 
2021, the research team found that a stretching of the Arctic polar 
vortex—a strong band of winds in the stratosphere surrounding the North 
Pole— has increased with Arctic amplification, and is linked with 
extreme cold across parts of Asia and North America. Climate change is 
favorable for increasing Arctic polar vortex stretching events, 
according to the study.

When the Arctic polar vortex is strong and stable, the polar air remains 
in place over the North Pole; when the polar vortex weakens or 
stretches, extremely cold air can dip south. Results show that stronger 
Arctic polar vortex conditions are decreasing in frequency, while weaker 
Arctic polar vortex conditions and stretching disruptions are increasing 
in frequency for October through February. The authors also identified 
precursor patterns, with trends and modeling experiments that showed 
statistically significant correlations between both increased Eurasian 
snow cover and reduced Barents-Kara sea ice concentration and the Arctic 
polar vortex stretching events. Arctic warming and change is likely 
contributing to the increasing frequency of Arctic polar vortex 
stretching events that deliver extreme cold to the United States and 
Canada, the authors concluded, including one just prior to the winter 
2021 Texas cold wave that caused the collapse of the state’s 
infrastructure and $80-130 billion in direct and indirect economic losses.

The authors note that preparing for only a decrease in severe winter 
weather can compound human and economic costs when severe winter weather 
does occur. By identifying the precursor pattern to Arctic polar vortex 
stretching events, the study provides insights that could potentially 
extend the warning lead time of cold extremes in the United States, 
Canada, and Asia. The study also indicates that more research is needed 
for the community to approach a consensus on this topic.
https://cpo.noaa.gov/research-links-extreme-cold-weather-in-the-united-states-to-arctic-warming/

- -

/[ here is the info ]/
*Linking Arctic variability and change with extreme winter weather in 
the United States*
Abstract

    The Arctic is warming at a rate twice the global average and severe
    winter weather is reported to be increasing across many heavily
    populated mid-latitude regions, but there is no agreement on whether
    a physical link exists between the two phenomena. We use
    observational analysis to show that a lesser-known stratospheric
    polar vortex (SPV) disruption that involves wave reflection and
    stretching of the SPV is linked with extreme cold across parts of
    Asia and North America, including the recent February 2021 Texas
    cold wave, and has been increasing over the satellite era. We then
    use numerical modeling experiments forced with trends in autumn snow
    cover and Arctic sea ice to establish a physical link between Arctic
    change and SPV stretching and related surface impacts.

https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abi9167

- -

/[ BBC ]/
*Climate change: Arctic warming linked to colder winters*
Sep 2, 2021 — A new study shows that increases in extreme winter weather 
in parts of the US are linked to accelerated warming of the Arctic.
https://www.bbc.com › science-environment-58425526

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/[ Reminding us that Yale has done the studies ]/
*Global warming is real, so why is it cold outside?*
Polar vortex got you down? When a cold snap occurs in your region, don’t 
lose sight of the big picture.
by TIFFANY MEANS
DECEMBER 15, 2020
The occurrence of record-cold weather can seem puzzling during an era of 
global warming. After all, given that the world is getting warmer, how 
can it also be colder than usual in your backyard?

*Cold where you are, but warm elsewhere*
Temperature records show that the Earth has warmed a little more than 1 
degree Celsius (2 degrees Fahrenheit) since 1880. Yet short-term 
variations in weather, such as cold snaps — rapid drops in air 
temperature that result in consecutive days of colder-than-average 
weather — are still occurring...
- -
In January 2019, a cold air outbreak swept across portions of the 
Northern Plains and Midwestern United States. Temperatures plunged below 
minus-40 degrees Fahrenheit, with wind chills in the neighborhood of 60 
degrees below zero. However, despite this bitter cold snap, the nation’s 
average temperature for the month was nearly three degrees Fahrenheit 
warmer than normal. January 2019 was also the globe’s third-warmest 
January on record.

How is that possible? Well, while a few U.S. regions were experiencing 
record-breaking cold, above-average warmth was occurring in other parts 
of the country and the rest of the world. For example, January 2019 
temperatures across the western United States ranged from three to nine 
degrees above the normal January average, while in Australia and Asia, 
temperatures were seven degrees or more above normal.

Such situations exemplify how cold snaps and global warming can and do 
coexist: Cold extremes are occurring over a smaller fraction of the 
global surface area than above-average temperatures. In other words, 
what happens locally, or over short periods of time, is not necessarily 
representative of what’s happening nationally and globally.

Speaking to the Washington Post, Jason Furtado, assistant professor of 
meteorology at the University of Oklahoma, explains it using this widely 
used analogy: “One down day on the Dow Jones doesn’t mean the economy is 
going to trash. (Likewise) one cold day doesn’t suddenly mean that the 
general trend in global climate change is suddenly going in the opposite 
direction.”

Carl Schreck, atmospheric scientist at North Carolina State University’s 
North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, agrees. “Cold snaps don’t 
disprove global warming,” he says, “they just mean that weather and 
seasons still happen.”

*Despite climate change, winter still exists*
Another point to keep in mind that the warming climate hasn’t eradicated 
winter altogether.

As such, it is still possible to experience a range of cold weather 
conditions, including extremes such as a week of high temperatures in 
the teens or a brief cold snap in May. And variations in weather 
patterns caused by naturally occurring phenomena, such as El Niño and La 
Niña, can influence cold air outbreaks in the U.S.

Although winter persists, global climate change has made winters less 
harsh overall, say Schreck and other scientists. This phenomenon is 
evident from wintertime minimum temperature data, as shown in the graph 
below. During the period between 1910 and the 1980s, the land mass of 
the United States frequently experienced cold extremes during winter, 
according to NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information. 
However, since 1990, few parts of the nation — typically no more than 
10% of its area — have experienced extremely cold winters, a sign that 
bitter U.S. winters have become less widespread.
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2020/12/if-global-warming-is-real-why-is-it-cold-outside/

/[From the WaybackMachine news archive - Rebecca Leber reports]/
/*January 15, 2013 */
*Virginia Waters Down Report On Impacts Of Climate Change After Tea 
Party Complaints*
BY REBECCA LEBER ON JANUARY 15, 2013

Earlier this year, Virginia’s legislature commissioned a study to 
determine the impacts of climate change on the state’s shores. After Tea 
Party complaints, lawmakers approved the report on condition it strike 
the words “climate change” and “sea level rise” from the title.

This week, Virginia released its analysis, under the title “Recurrent 
Flooding Study for Tidewater Virginia.” The report discusses the threat 
of flooding and rising sea levels to coastal Virginia, but gives less 
notice to the causes of climate change.

State Delegate Chris Stolle (R), a climate denier himself, deemed terms 
like “sea level rise” “liberal code words” and insisted on cutting them 
from the report’s description. The Virginia Tea Party originally slammed 
the study as “more ridiculous studies designed to separate us from our 
money and control all land and water use.”

The science backing climate change is noncontroversial. Even the 
modified report recognizes the reality of the changing climate:

Sea level rise in Virginia is a documented fact. Water levels in Hampton 
Roads have risen more than one foot over the past 80 years. The causes 
of this rise are well understood and current analyses suggest the rate 
of rise is increasing.

Despite the report’s concrete recommendations that Virginia “should 
immediately begin comprehensive and coordinated planning efforts,” 
lawmakers have already decided to ignore it, even though Virginia cities 
spend millions each year elevating roads and replacing piers to 
withstand flooding. The Virginian-Pilot writes, “State Sen. Ralph 
Northam, a Democrat who represents Norfolk and the Eastern Shore, and 
who was a co-patron of the study request last year, said he has no plans 
to introduce legislation on sea level rise this year. Neither does state 
Del. Chris Stolle, R-Virginia Beach, who also was a co-patron of the 
study last year.”

https://web.archive.org/web/20140414142950/https://thinkprogress.org/politics/2013/01/15/1448711/virginia-waters-down-report-on-impacts-of-climate-change-after-tea-party-complaints/

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