[✔️] Jan 18, 2024 Global Warming News | Deep freeze is climate change, Climate on the Ballot by Koch, Bankrolling harmful content, 2015 Wind energy

[Richard Pauli]

/*January*//*18, 2024*/

/[ after feeling the destabilizations - comes understanding ]/
CLIMATE
*US in deep freeze while much of the world is extra toasty? Yet again, 
it’s climate change*
BY SETH BORENSTEIN
January 16, 2024
Much of the United States is shivering through brutal cold as most of 
the rest of the world is feeling unusually warm weather. However strange 
it sounds, that contradiction fits snugly in explanations of what 
climate change is doing to Earth, scientists said.

In a map of global temperatures the last several days, big chunks of the 
world — the Arctic, Asia, parts of Africa, the Middle East and South 
America — show as dark red, signifying more than a dozen degrees 
Fahrenheit (7 degrees Celsius) warmer than the late 20th-century 
average. But the United States stands out like a cold thumb — a deep 
bluish-purple that is just as out of whack but on the frigid side.

Wind chills in parts of North Dakota reached minus 70 degrees (minus 56 
degrees Celsius), while the heat index in Miami was more than 160 
degrees warmer at 92 (33 degrees Celsius). The fourth-coldest NFL 
football game took place in Kansas City, while across the globe the 
thermometer hit a blistering 92 degrees, 12 degrees (6.8 degrees 
Celsius) warmer than average on Friday during tennis’ Australian Open in 
Melbourne. Warm temperature records fell overnight in Aruba, Curacao, 
parts of Argentina, Oman and Iran.

Where weather was warmer than usual, it was happening both in the 
southern hemisphere, which is in summer, and in the northern hemisphere, 
which is in winter. For example, Oman, in the north, had its warmest 
January night ever at 79.5 degrees (26.4 degrees Celsius). Argentina, in 
the south, had a record for warmest January night at 81.1 Fahrenheit 
(27.3 Celsius).
If it seems as if the world has gone topsy-turvy, in a way it has. 
Because this all comes from what’s happening in the Arctic, where it 
used to be warming twice as fast as the rest of the planet. Now, it’s 
warming three to four times faster.

“When the Arctic is off-the-charts warm (like now), we’re more likely to 
see frigid cold invade places like Texas that are ill-equipped to deal 
with it,” said Jennifer Francis, a Woodwell Research Center climate 
scientist and a pioneer in the theory of Arctic Amplification, which 
links the cold outbreaks to climate change. “Rapid Arctic warming is one 
of the clearest symptoms of human-caused climate change, making winter 
extremes more likely even as the globe warms overall.”

The way the cold is invading is through a weather phrase that is 
becoming increasingly familiar to Americans: The polar vortex. It’s a 
weather term that goes back to 1853 but has only been frequently used in 
the past decade or so.

That could be because the icy stabs are happening more often, said 
winter weather expert Judah Cohen of Atmospheric Environmental Research, 
a commercial firm outside of Boston.

The polar vortex is strong, icy weather that usually stays over the top 
of the planet, penned in by strong winds that whip around it, Cohen said.
It’s like an ice skater spinning rapidly with her arms tucked in, he 
said. But when the polar vortex weakens, the arms start flailing out, 
the skater slips and “all the cold air then gets released away from the 
center of the polar vortex,” Cohen said.

The current cold outbreak is consistent with Arctic change and the polar 
vortex, Cohen said. “What we found is when the polar vortex stretches 
like a rubber band, severe extreme winter weather is much more likely in 
the United States. That’s where it tends to be focused and in January we 
have an extreme case of that stretching of the polar vortex.”

This one is stronger and may last longer than most, Cohen said.

Cohen and others have done studies that show the polar vortex outbreaks 
have become more frequent in recent decades.

The idea is the jet stream — the upper air circulation that drives 
weather — is wavier in amplified global warming, said University of 
Wisconsin-Madison climate scientist Steve Vavrus. And those wave changes 
in the upper air knock the polar vortex out of its place and toward the 
United States, Cohen said.

It’s a theory still debated by climate scientists but growing in 
acceptance. Initially, Vavrus and Francis theorized it was due to 
melting Arctic sea ice leading to barometic pressure changes. Now 
several scientists say it’s more complicated, yet still connected to 
climate change and the supercharged warming in the Arctic, with other 
factors like Siberian snow cover and other atmospheric waves also 
playing a role.

“The key takeaway for me right now is that Arctic Amplification is 
happening and has complex interactions within our climate system. Winter 
will always bring us cold weather, but like the warm season it may be 
changing ways that we understand and ways that we are still learning 
about,” said University of Georgia meteorology professor Marshall 
Shepherd. “Unlike the Vegas slogan, what happens in the Arctic doesn’t 
stay in the Arctic.”

Think of what’s happening as an orchestra making one symphony, and 
“what’s driving all those orchestra instruments is a warming planet,” 
Northern Illinois University meteorology professor Victor Gensini said.

Gensini and Cohen said this cold snap in the United States will fade in 
several days to be replaced by unusually warm weather, due to climate 
change. But another polar vortex looks like it’s coming at the end of 
the month, though not as strong as this one, they said.

Despite the U.S. cold, Earth’s global average temperature keeps flirting 
with daily, weekly and monthly records, as it has for more than seven 
months. That’s because the United States is only 2% of Earth’s surface, 
scientists said.

“A place like Chicago or Denver or Lincoln, Omaha, Oklahoma City, 
Dallas, Houston, I mean we’re all experiencing it,” said Gensini, who 
said the temperature outside his window Tuesday was 6 below. “We’re one 
isolated pocket if you look globally.”
Follow Seth Borenstein on X at @borenbears
https://apnews.com/article/polar-vortex-cold-climate-change-hot-cc1b0d7a04e7ef6d59c4882a211046ce



/[ Politics and climate change - from billionaire Charles Koch  ]/
*Climate is on the Ballot Around the World*
About half of the world’s population will be electing leaders this year.
By Manuela Andreoni
Jan. 16, 2024

More than 40 countries that are home to about half of the world’s 
population — including the United States, India and South Africa — will 
be electing their leaders this year.

My colleagues at The Times report that it’s “one of the largest and most 
consequential democratic exercises in living memory,” which “will affect 
how the world is run for decades to come.”

Climate is front and center on many of the ballots. The leaders chosen 
in this year’s elections will face daunting challenges laid out in 
global climate commitments for the end of the decade, such as ending 
deforestation, tripling renewable energy capacity and sharply reducing 
greenhouse gas emissions.

Here are the issues and races to watch closely:

*Major climate policies at stake*
Climate change is one of the issues on which Republicans and Democrats 
are farthest apart.

President Biden signed what many called the most powerful climate 
legislation in the country’s history. Former President Trump, who is 
likely to be the Republican presidential candidate — especially after 
his victory in the Iowa caucuses — withdrew the United States from the 
Paris Agreement, the 2015 treaty that guided much of the world’s 
progress in curbing climate change.

Republicans have also prepared a sweeping strategy called Project 2025 
if Trump wins back the White House. As my colleague Lisa Friedman wrote 
last year, “the plan calls for shredding regulations to curb greenhouse 
gas pollution from cars, oil and gas wells and power plants, dismantling 
almost every clean energy program in the federal government and boosting 
the production of fossil fuels.”

European Union incumbents will also be defending their climate policies, 
known as the Green Deal, in elections for the European Parliament in June.

Ursula von der Leyen, the European Commission president who is expected 
to seek re-election by the European Parliament, kicked off a series of 
policies designed to ensure the bloc achieves carbon neutrality by 2050. 
But opposition to these policies is growing. Farmers in several 
countries have tried to block measures to restore natural ecosystems, 
while homeowners have grown increasingly worried about the cost of the 
green energy transition.

Opinion polls analyzed by Reuters in a commentary piece suggest 
far-right lawmakers, who oppose Green Deal policies, will grow in number 
but remain a minority.

Climate may also play a role in elections in Britain, which may happen 
in the second half of the year. They became a key point of disagreement 
between the Labour Party and the governing Conservative Party, which are 
trailing in the polls, after Prime Minister Rishi Sunak rolled back some 
of the country’s most ambitious climate policies.
- -

*The future of coal*
Countries that rely heavily on coal as a source of energy, such as 
India, Indonesia and South Africa, are also going to the polls this year.

In South Africa, elections could influence how fast the country is able 
to switch to renewables. Any shake up to the ruling African National 
Congress’ hold on power could boost the shift to renewables, my 
colleague Lynsey Chutel, who covers South Africa, told me.

Right now, one of the party’s most powerful leaders is an energy 
minister who has fiercely defended the country’s continued use of coal. 
Many voters are angry at the A.N.C. for its inability to address an 
energy crisis partially created by aging coal plants.

There seems to be less room for a shift in the elections in Indonesia 
and India. My colleague Suhasini Raj, who is based in India, told me 
that, despite high rates of pollution and the pressure on India to let 
go of coal, the current prime minister Narendra Modi is likely to be 
re-elected and continue his pro-coal policies.

In Indonesia none of the candidates running for president have put 
forward a concrete plan to transition to clean energy, Mongabay, an 
environmental news service, reported. The country is by far the world’s 
biggest exporter of coal.

*Oil on the ballot*
For leaders in oil producing nations around the world, balancing climate 
policies and drilling has been a delicate act that will be tested on the 
ballot.

President Biden risked losing the support of many climate-conscious 
voters when he approved Willow, an $8 billion oil drilling project on 
pristine federal land in Alaska. But Biden’s support for more drilling 
has been, at least in part, an effort to curb inflation, which angers 
many more voters.

Claudia Sheinbaum’s presidential campaign in Mexico is also balancing 
climate proposals with her country’s dependence on oil. A climate 
scientist who is now the mayor of Mexico City, Sheinbaum is a protégé of 
President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, whose administration has tried to 
boost the oil sector’s role in the country’s economy.

Sheinbaum, a favorite to win in June, has vowed to act to protect the 
climate. But it’s unclear how much Obrador’s oil legacy will color her 
policies. “We are going to keep advancing with renewable energies and 
with the protection of the environment, but without betraying the people 
of Mexico,” she told voters, according to Bloomberg.

The oil industry is also on the ballot in Venezuela and Russia, where it 
lends strength to authoritarian leaders.

Vladimir Putin’s re-election — and his disregard for the climate — seems 
to be a foregone conclusion. But, in Nicolás Maduro’s Venezuela, there 
is tiny window for change, though it seems to be closing fast.

Venezuela freed five political prisoners in October after the United 
States vowed to lift some sanctions to its oil industry if it holds free 
and fair elections. But the main opposition candidate is still banned 
from running.

It may sound contradictory, but some investment in Venezuela’s oil 
sector could help clean it up. As my colleagues reported last year, 
government dysfunction has left the industry unable to maintain minimum 
safeguards, with devastating consequences to the environment.

We will report back with key developments on these races throughout the 
year. When it comes to the climate crisis, even far-off elections have 
implications for us all.

The lawyers who have helped to propel the case to the nation’s highest 
court have a powerful backer: the petrochemicals billionaire Charles 
Koch. Court records show that the lawyers who represent the New 
Jersey-based fishermen also work for Americans for Prosperity, a group 
funded by Koch, who is a champion of anti-regulatory causes.

In their briefs, the groups supporting the fishermen pointed out that 
the Chevron deference has fallen out of favor at the Supreme Court in 
recent years, and several justices have criticized it.

Justice Clarence Thomas was initially a backer of the Chevron deference, 
writing the concurring opinion in 2005 that expanded its protections. 
But Thomas, who has close ties to the Koch’s political network, has 
since renounced his earlier ruling.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/16/climate/climate-is-on-the-ballot-around-the-world.html?unlocked_article_code=1.OU0.glf3._fGNlMuZ3MPY&smid=url-share

/- - related /

/[ It is important to notice disinformation ]/
*"BANKROLLING HARMFUL CONTENT" —*
Climate denialists find new ways to monetize disinformation on YouTube
Majority of climate-denial content posted now does not violate YouTube's 
policy.
ASHLEY BELANGER -
1/16/2024
Content creators have spent the past five years developing new tactics 
to evade YouTube's policies blocking monetization of videos making false 
claims about climate change, a report from a nonprofit advocacy group, 
the Center for Countering Digital Hate (CCDH), warned Tuesday.

What the CCDH found is that content creators who could no longer 
monetize videos spreading "old" forms of climate denial—including claims 
that "global warming is not happening" or "human-generated greenhouse 
gasses are not causing global warming"—have moved on.

Now they're increasingly pushing other claims that contradict climate 
science, which YouTube has not yet banned and may not ever ban. These 
include harmful claims that "impacts of global warming are beneficial or 
harmless," "climate solutions won’t work," and "climate science and the 
climate movement are unreliable."

The CCDH uncovered these new climate-denial tactics by using artificial 
intelligence to scan transcripts of 12,058 videos posted on 96 YouTube 
channels that the CCDH found had previously posted climate-denial 
content. Verified by researchers, the AI model used was judged accurate 
in labeling climate-denial content approximately 78 percent of the time.

According to the CCDH's analysis, the amount of content disputing 
climate solutions, climate science, and impacts of climate change today 
comprises 70 percent of climate-denial content—a percent that doubled 
from 2018 to 2023. At the same time, the amount of content pushing old 
climate-denial claims that are harder or impossible to monetize fell 
from 65 percent in 2018 to 30 percent in 2023.

These "new forms of climate denial," the CCDH warned, are designed to 
delay climate action by spreading disinformation.

"A new front has opened up in this battle," Imran Ahmed, the CCDH's 
chief executive, said on a call with reporters, according to Reuters. 
"The people that we've been looking at, they've gone from saying climate 
change isn't happening to now saying, 'Hey, climate change is happening, 
but there is no hope. There are no solutions.'"
Since 2018—based on "estimates of typical ad pricing on YouTube" by 
social media analytics tool Social Blade—YouTube may have profited by as 
much as $13.4 million annually from videos flagged by the CCDH. And 
YouTube confirmed that some of these videos featured climate denialism 
that YouTube already explicitly bans.

In response to the CCDH's report, YouTube de-monetized some videos found 
to be in violation of its climate change policy. But a spokesperson 
confirmed to Ars that the majority of videos that the CCDH found were 
considered compliant with YouTube's ad policies.

The fact that most of these videos remain compliant is precisely why the 
CCDH is calling on YouTube to update its policies, though.

Currently, YouTube's policy prohibits monetization of content "that 
contradicts well-established scientific consensus around the existence 
and causes of climate change."

“Our climate change policy prohibits ads from running on content that 
contradicts well-established scientific consensus around the existence 
and causes of climate change," YouTube's spokesperson told Ars. "Debate 
or discussions of climate change topics, including around public policy 
or research, is allowed. However, when content crosses the line to 
climate change denial, we stop showing ads on those videos. We also 
display information panels under relevant videos to provide additional 
information on climate change and context from third parties.”

The CCDH worries that YouTube standing by its current policy is too 
short-sighted. The group recommended tweaking the policy to instead 
specify that YouTube prohibits content "that contradicts the 
authoritative scientific consensus on the causes, impacts, and solutions 
to climate change."

If YouTube and other social media platforms don't acknowledge new forms 
of climate denial and "urgently" update their disinformation policies in 
response, these new attacks on climate change science "will only 
increase," the CCDH warned.

"It is vital that those advocating for action to avert climate disaster 
take note of this substantial shift from denial of anthropogenic climate 
change to undermining trust in both solutions and science itself, and 
shift our focus, our resources and our counternarratives accordingly," 
the CCDH's report said, adding that "demonetizing climate-denial" 
content "removes the economic incentives underpinning its creation and 
protects advertisers from bankrolling harmful content."
New forms of climate denialism on YouTube
YouTube last updated its climate change policy in 2021, following a 
report from the CCDH calling out Google for monetizing climate-denial 
content.

When drafting that policy, YouTube's spokesperson told Ars that YouTube 
consulted with authoritative climate experts who contributed to the 
United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 
assessment reports. Those reports document the impacts of climate change 
and propose solutions, concluding last year that human activities 
"unequivocally" caused global warming that will lead to worsening 
consequences as temperatures rise.

Since then, the CCDH has gathered evidence suggesting that YouTube has 
continued monetizing climate-denial content featured on dozens of 
channels, including content YouTube promised advertisers would be banned.

On YouTube, the CCDH defined climate denial as any video attempting "to 
undermine the scientific consensus about climate change based on 
rhetorical arguments."

The CCDH seemingly seeks more nuanced fact-checking to detect when 
YouTubers are repeating false claims about climate science. This could 
prove challenging to less sophisticated fact-checkers. For example, 
among false claims flagged by the CCDH were videos claiming that "Earth 
has gotten much greener" from "the increase in carbon dioxide over the 
past 35 years. For YouTube to catch that video, the fact-checker would 
need to know that, as the CCDH countered, "negative effects of CO2 far 
outweigh benefits to plant growth."

While YouTube did not specify to Ars which videos were de-monetized in 
response to CCDH's report, Ars found videos that do not appear to have 
ads anymore. That includes one where ex-Greenpeace President Patrick 
Moore claimed that "global warming is in fact 'an upward tick in a 
downward movement'” and another where the conservative think tank, The 
Heartland Institute, claimed that "there is no relationship between 
hurricane activity and the surface temperature of the planet.”
Other flagged videos remain monetized. Those include videos with 
millions of views, such as one from conservative nonprofit The Prager 
University Foundation, which said, "Although CO2 causes some warming, 
it’s much less significant than we’ve been told.” In another, titled 
“The Great Climate Con,” Jordan Peterson claimed that "the planet got 
greener," benefiting from CO2 levels rising.

The CCDH noted that sometimes groups advocating for climate action ended 
up having their ads run on these videos promoting new forms of climate 
denial. An ad for the Conservation Law Foundation (CLF), which "forges 
solutions to environmental challenges," ran on Peterson's video. Jake 
O'Neill, CLF's press secretary, provided Ars with a statement, 
confirming that the organization has no control over how YouTube places 
ads, suggesting that videos like Peterson's hamper CLF's progress 
promoting climate action.

"Climate denialism videos like this are spreading misinformation and 
hampering our progress in confronting this crisis with the urgency it 
demands," CLF's statement said. "Unfortunately, we don’t have control 
over where our ads show up on YouTube as they’re targeted towards 
certain users, not channels. It’s on YouTube to moderate this, and the 
company is absolutely failing to weed out these videos and stop 
profiting off of them."

Ars could not immediately reach Peterson or the IPCC for comment.

Today, some climate experts cited by the CCDH agree that climate 
denialists are shifting their strategies and hoping to delay climate 
policy or promote inactivism by spreading misinformation targeting 
climate solutions instead of denying climate science that's generally 
hard to dispute today.

YouTube seemingly has no urgent plans to update its climate change 
policy. But if YouTube ever did decide to update its policy, YouTube 
would have to notify creators, then go through all the older videos on 
its platform and re-rate each video before running ads on the videos, 
YouTube's spokesperson told Ars.
https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2024/01/youtube-profits-from-videos-claiming-global-warming-is-beneficial/



/[ The news archive - starting wind energy  ]/
/*January 18, 2015 */
January 18, 2015:
The New York Times reports:
"Before dawn one morning in October, a handful of Americans gathered at 
a lonely pier on Samso, a small Danish island about four hours from 
Copenhagen. Bundled in layers of fleece and wool, the Americans, mostly 
from islands off the Maine coast, had come to get a closer look at a 
wind farm — 10 mighty turbines spinning in the Kattegat strait — that 
has helped make Samso a symbol for a greener future, one powered 
entirely by renewable energy.

"Among them was Marian Chioffi, the bookkeeper at the electric company 
in Monhegan, Me., whose population of about 60 swells to include 
hundreds of residents and thousands of tourists in the summer. They — 
along with generations of artists like Edward Hopper, Rockwell Kent and 
Jamie Wyeth — have been drawn by the island’s lost-in-time charm and 
picturesque setting in the Gulf of Maine.

"Monhegan faces challenges as stark as its beauty. Foremost among them — 
and the spur for the journey to Denmark — is dependence on expensive, 
dirty fuels for heating and electricity. Even with the recent fall in 
oil prices, Monhegan residents pay among the highest power rates in the 
nation — almost six times the national average — and the electric 
company, locally owned and operated, struggles to keep the lights on.

"Twenty years ago, Samso faced similar problems. Its farming and fishing 
industries were in decline, and its electricity and heating costs, 
mostly from diesel and coal, were rising. Its young people were leaving 
the island to attend high school and choosing not to return.

"But in 1997, the island began a long-term transformation. It won a 
government-sponsored contest to create a model community for renewable 
energy and, through a combination of wind and solar (for electricity) 
and geothermal and plant-based energy (for heating), the island reached 
green energy independence in 2005. That means Samso actually generates 
more power from renewable sources than it consumes over all. Attached by 
a power cable to the mainland 11 miles away, the island sells its excess 
electricity to the national utility, bringing income to the hundreds of 
residents who own shares in the island’s wind farms, both on land and at 
sea.

"Samso has attracted global attention for its accomplishments. Soren 
Hermansen, 55, and his wife, Malene Lunden, 49, worked for years to 
develop the program on the island and now have created an institute, the 
Samso Energy Academy, to spread their story and methods to international 
visitors.

"The Maine islanders, along with students from the College of the 
Atlantic in Bar Harbor, had traveled to Samso to attend the academy and 
hear the Danes’ advice. If all went well, each islander would go home 
with a team of students dedicated to solving an energy problem using 
ideas borrowed from Samso.

"Beyond that, the planners hoped, new Maine island projects could become 
templates for broader adoption of renewable energy. Because of their 
particular geography, islands often lack the resources and 
infrastructures to meet their own needs. Fuel, like other necessities, 
is often imported — sometimes with great difficulty — and electric 
grids, when they even exist, are often underdeveloped or out of date, 
all of which leads to higher prices and less reliable service. With 
residents open to cheaper and better alternatives, islands are becoming 
seedbeds of innovation, living labs in which to test and refine 
technologies and approaches that are too new or expensive to establish 
on a mainland. And their small size makes the systems easier to manage 
and analyze."

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/18/business/energy-environment/green-energy-inspiration-from-samso-denmark.html?ref=business 





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