[TheClimate.Vote] March 21, 2017 - Daily Global Warming News for All - Rex loses emails, Forbes finds global warming, now uncharted
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Tue Mar 21 10:24:17 EDT 2017
/March 21, 2017 Forbes finds global warming, Rex (Wayne) loses
email, uncharted territory/
https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2017/03/15/the-first-climate-model-turns-50-and-predicted-global-warming-almost-perfectly
*(Forbes) The First Climate Model Turns 50, And Predicted Global Warming
Almost Perfectly
<https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2017/03/15/the-first-climate-model-turns-50-and-predicted-global-warming-almost-perfectly>*
The title of their paper, Thermal Equilibrium of the Atmosphere with
a Given Distribution of Relative Humidity (full download for free
here)
<http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0469%281967%29024%3C0241%3ATEOTAW%3E2.0.CO%3B2>,
describes their big advances: they were able to quantify the
interrelationships between various contributing factors to the
atmosphere, including temperature/humidity variations, and how that
impacts the equilibrium temperature of Earth. Their major result,
from 1967?...
According to our estimate, a doubling of the CO2 content in the
atmosphere has the effect of raising the temperature of the
atmosphere (whose relative humidity is fixed) by about 2 °C...
In 2015, all the coordinating lead authors, lead authors and review
editors on the last Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
report were asked to nominate their most influential climate change
papers of all time. The 1967 paper by Manabe and Wetherald received
eight nominations; no other paper received more than three. The
uncertainties surrounding climate sensitivity are still grappled
with today, of course, but these were laid out and quantified fifty
years ago, and the analysis is still both valid and valuable today.
It takes into account clouds, aerosols, stratospheric cooling, water
vapor feedback and atmospheric emissions....
The interplay between the atmosphere, clouds, moisture, land
processes and the ocean all governs the evolution of Earth's
equilibrium temperature. NASA / Smithsonian Air & Space Museum
The interplay between the atmosphere, clouds, moisture, land
processes and the ocean all governs the evolution of Earth's
equilibrium temperature....
According to Manabe himself -- still active at age 85 -- the
modeling of large-scale processes, like atmospheric circulation, is
virtually identical today to what it was in the 1960s. Smaller-scale
phenomena, like moist convection, cloud processes, and land surface
processes were much simpler back then, and have improved in both
precision and accuracy, although uncertainties (particularly in
clouds) still remain. There are some aspects of models that are
ineffective, he notes, but not for the reason people think:
Models have been very effective in predicting climate change,
but have not been as effective in predicting its impact on
ecosystem[s] and human society. The distinction between the two
has not been stated clearly. For this reason, major effort
should be made to monitor globally not only climate change, but
also its impact on ecosystem[s] through remote sensing from
satellites as well as in-situ observation.
And the number one uncertainty that we have to look forward to,
according to Manabe? Ice sheet modeling... As the globe continues
to warm, the ice sheets -- particularly over Greenland -- will
continue to melt. But the rate of melting, the consequences of the
melt and the impacts that various processes will have are not only
uncertain, they're unprecedented. If the entire Greenland ice sheet
melts, the sea level will rise by approximately 8 meters (26 feet),
submerging huge amounts of coastal and low-lying areas around the
world, including the majority of the state of Florida. Melting,
sliding, percolation and runoff are all sources of uncertainty, and
its a combination of modeling and monitoring that's necessary to
understand what's happening...
We've known what's coming for half a century now, and we're on the
precipice of its arrival. There's never been a more important time
to listen to the science.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/mar/21/record-breaking-climate-change-world-uncharted-territory
Record-breaking*climate change* pushes world into 'uncharted
territory'
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/mar/21/record-breaking-climate-change-world-uncharted-territory>
The Guardian -3 hours ago
Earth is a planet in upheaval, say scientists, as the World
Meteorological Organisation publishes analysis of recent heat highs
and ice lows...
016 saw the hottest global average among thermometer measurements
stretching back to 1880. But scientific research indicates the world
was last this warm about 115,000 years ago and that the planet has
not experienced such high levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere
for 4m years....
2017 has seen temperature records continue to tumble, in the US
where February was exceptionally warm, and in Australia, where
prolonged and extreme heat struck many states. The consequences have
been particularly stark at the poles...
"Arctic ice conditions have been tracking at record low conditions
since October, persisting for six consecutive months, something not
seen before in the [four-decade] satellite data record," said Prof
Julienne Stroeve, at University College London in the UK. "Over in
the southern hemisphere, the sea ice also broke new record lows in
the seasonal maximum and minimum extents, leading to the least
amount of global sea ice ever recorded."
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/14032017/rex-tillerson-exxonmobil-climate-change-scandal-eric-schneiderman-wayne-tracker
*Wayne Tracker: Why Rex Tillerson's email alias at Exxon is a big deal
<https://insideclimatenews.org/news/14032017/rex-tillerson-exxonmobil-climate-change-scandal-eric-schneiderman-wayne-tracker>*
For eight years Rex Tillerson used a shadow email under alias 'Wayne
Tracker' to discuss global warming and its risks to Exxon's
business, says AG Eric Schneiderman.
While he was chief executive of ExxonMobil, current secretary of
state Rex Tillerson used an alias email account for eight years to
discuss climate change and the risks it posed to the company's
business, according to investigators for New York Attorney General
Eric Schneiderman.
Those investigators say the company concealed the shadow emails
despite a 2015 subpoena for Tillerson's communications issued as
part of a sweeping investigation of the oil giant in connection with
possible financial fraud.
Schneiderman's office disclosed the existence of the email account
assigned to Tillerson on Monday in a letter to Judge Barry Ostrager,
which accused Exxon of failing to turn over all relevant documents
required by the subpoena.
Tillerson, whose middle name is Wayne, used an email address on the
Exxon system under the pseudonym "Wayne Tracker" from at least 2008
through 2015, investigators say. The company has turned over a
handful of the emails, but New York authorities believe a much
larger trove exists.
"Mr. Tillerson used this secondary email address to send and receive
materials regarding important matters, including those concerning to
the risk-management issues related to climate change that are the
focus of OAG's [office of the attorney general] investigation,"
according to the letter.
"[N]either Exxon nor its counsel have ever disclosed that this
separate email account was a vehicle for Mr. Tillerson's relevant
communications at Exxon, and no documents appear to have been
collected from this email account."
Investigators also say 34 other email accounts assigned to top Exxon
executives, board members, or their assistants also exist but have
not been turned over, according to the letter.
The Tillerson emails as well as those from the other Exxon
executives are relevant, Schneiderman's investigators say, because
they have made multiple representations of potentially false or
misleading statements to investors and the public.
http://www.commondreams.org/newswire/2017/03/20/attorneys-representing-youth-climate-case-ask-feds-api-turn-over-wayne-tracker
Attorneys Representing Youth in*Climate*Case Ask Feds & API to Turn
Over Wayne Tracker Emails
<http://www.commondreams.org/newswire/2017/03/20/attorneys-representing-youth-climate-case-ask-feds-api-turn-over-wayne-tracker>
Common Dreams -11 hours ago
Attorneys representing 21 youth plaintiffs in Juliana v. United
States served request for production (RFP) of documents to the U.S.
government and the American Petroleum Institute (API) asking both
defendants to turn over the "Wayne Tracker" emails, as part of
discovery in the climate case. ..
As ExxonMobil explained Tuesday, the email address pseudonym "was
put in place for secure and expedited communications between select
senior company officials and the former chairman for a broad range
of business-related topics." New York Attorney General Eric
Schneiderman's office stated in a March 13, 2017 court filing that
Tillerson used the "Wayne.Tracker at exxonmobil.com" pseudonym "to send
and receive materials regarding important matters, including those
concerning to the risk-management issues related to climate change…"
While risk-management issues related to climate change are important
to the New York Attorney General's investigation, attorneys
representing youth plaintiffs suspect the emails will also reveal
the deep influence of the fossil fuel defendants over U.S. energy
and climate policies, and the defendants' private acknowledgement
that climate change was caused by their product, both of which are
important to the youth's case. To the latter point, the fossil fuel
defendants have refused to take a position on whether climate change
is caused by burning fossil fuels, even when pressed by federal
judges to answer that question...
As reported by Bloomberg, New York Attorney General Eric
Schneiderman's office stated that Secretary of State Rex Tillerson
used a pseudonym, "Wayne.Tracker at exxonmobil.com," for emails while
he served as ExxonMobil's CEO.
http://www.latimes.com/science/sciencenow/la-sci-sn-global-warming-diabetes-20170320-story.html
Why*global warming*could lead to a rise of 100000 diabetes cases a
year in the US
<http://www.latimes.com/science/sciencenow/la-sci-sn-global-warming-diabetes-20170320-story.html>
Los Angeles Times -3 hours ago
Researchers thought they might find a link between rising
temperatures and diabetes for a completely different reason — the
activity of brown fat...
Also known as brown adipose tissue, or BAT, this fat kicks into gear
when temperatures are low and the body needs heat to stay warm...
A 2015 study of eight adults with Type 2 diabetes found that after
spending 10 days in moderately cold weather, their metabolisms
improved and they became more sensitive to insulin, reversing a key
symptom of the disease...
A 2016 study found a correlation between outside temperature and a
measure of blood sugar called HbA1c — when the first was higher, so
was the second...
Findings like these led Dutch researchers to wonder whether climate
change could explain some of the worldwide increase in diabetes.
Back in 1980, 108 million adults had the disease; by 2014, that
figure was 422 million, according to the World Health Organization...
The researchers turned to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention to gather data on the prevalence of diabetes in all 50
states for each year between 1996 and 2013. They also found the
average temperature for each state in each year from the National
Centers for Environmental Information...
The team also looked beyond the United States to examine the
connection between temperature and conditions related to Type 2
diabetes. Sure enough, they found that as the temperature rose by 1
degree C, the prevalence of high fasting blood sugar (a marker for
diabetes) rose by nearly 0.2% and the prevalence of obesity rose by
just under 0.3%....
The results were published Monday in the journal BMJ Open Diabetes
Research & Care.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/green-republicans-confront-climate-change-denial/
Green Republicans Confront*Climate Change*Denial
<https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/green-republicans-confront-climate-change-denial/>
Scientific American -3 hours ago
Conservative environmentalists push "free enterprise" approaches,
like carbon tax, instead of regulations
The various groups represent conservatives, Catholics and the
younger generation of Republicans who, unlike Trump, not only
recognize the science of climate change but want to see their party
wrest the initiative from Democrats and lead efforts to ..
https://ensia.com/voices/climate-change-social-fix/
*Climate change*is more than tech problem, so we need more than a
tech solution <https://ensia.com/voices/climate-change-social-fix/>
Ensia -2 hours ago
Climate change mitigation requires systemic social change, not just
technological optimism...
A systems approach to solving problems requires that we look to root
causes and seek interventions that change patterns of outcomes. The
root causes of climate change are not technologies such as coal
power and industrialized, chemical-intensive agriculture, but the
underlying social and cultural systems that created and locked
people into these technologies through unsustainable patterns of
consumption, growth and inequity...
Meeting this goal will avoid continued and increasing harm to people
and ecosystems around the world caused by a changing climate, and it
is also a great opportunity to turn the world into a place that
embodies our collective and pluralistic values for ...
https://ensia.com/voices/climate-change-social-fix/
A Frigid Colorado Archive On Climate Change Faces An Uncertain ...
<https://www.cpr.org/news/story/a-frigid-colorado-archive-on-climate-change-faces-an-uncertain-future>
Colorado Public Radio -7 hours ago
... one of the world's most important archives on climate change is
right here in Colorado. The National Ice Core Laboratory in West
Denver holds records on the atmosphere going back hundreds of
thousands of years.
The data at NICL isn't stored on disks or in books. Inside the
freezer, aisles are stacked floor-to-ceiling with silver cylinders
about the length of your arm. Each tube holds ice cores recovered
from polar regions of the planet...
Now, the frigid record of the past faces an uncertain future. The
lab needs major renovations to keep its cool. As a result, curators
may have made the last major addition to the archive earlier this
month. Mark Twickler, NICL's science director, snapped photos as a
semi truck backed to the loading dock at the lab.
he archive also offers stark data points in the age of human-caused
climate change. Among the shelves of polar ice, there isn't one
record where concentrations of carbon dioxide are as high as they
are today...
White says other curiosities at NICL could help scientists
understand modern climate change. In a 15,000-year-old core from
Greenland, White found that the average temperature shifted 10
degrees Celsius in just four years. That's like if one part of
Greenland went from having Montreal's climate to having Miami's...
"That tells us that there are some very interesting and abrupt
changes in our climate system, that there are tipping points in our
climate system," White says.
http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change-real-extreme-weather-wmo-world-meteorological-organization-global-warming-a7640376.html
*Last year's weather proves climate change is real with 'no room for
doubt', say scientists
<http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change-real-extreme-weather-wmo-world-meteorological-organization-global-warming-a7640376.html>*
'Human-driven climate change is now an empirically verifiable fact
... those who dispute [it] are not sceptics, but anti-science deniers'
There is "no room for doubt". The astonishing weather experienced by
the world last year and advances in climate science demonstrate
conclusively that fossil fuel emissions are causing global warming –
and something must be done about it...
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/03/20/AR2009032002660.html?sub=AR
/*This Day in Climate History March 21 2009,
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A20998-2004Dec22.html> -
from D.R. Tucker
*/In the Washington Post, Chris Mooney points out Post columnist George
Will's devotion to dishonesty on climate change./*
* ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
S//tay well-informed & forward this email./
To subscribe, email: contact at theclimate.vote with subject:
subscribe, To Unsubscribe, subject: unsubscribe
Also youmay subscribe/unsubscribe at
https://pairlist10.pair.net/mailman/listinfo/theclimate.vote
Links and headlines assembled and curated by Richard Paulifor
http://TheClimate.Vote delivering succinct information for
citizens and responsible governments of all levels. List
membership is confidential and records are scrupulously
restricted to this mailing list.
. *** Privacy and Security: * We do NOT collect IP addresses.
This is a text-only mailing. It carries no graphics or images
which may originate from remote servers that routinely track and
identify IP address. Text-only messages provide greater privacy
to the receiver and sender. If you receive a version of this
document in an email with a graphics image - even a
one-pixel-sized image, for optimal privacy from tracking, you
should not open it. **
By regulation, the .VOTE top-level domain must be used for
democratic and election purposes and cannot be used for
commercial purposes. .
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <https://pairlist10.pair.net/pipermail/theclimate.vote/attachments/20170321/1149d360/attachment.html>
More information about the TheClimate.Vote
mailing list