[TheClimate.Vote] September 27, 2020 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Sun Sep 27 10:19:06 EDT 2020
/*September 27, 2020*/
[UK Guardian takes notice]*
**Meet the doomers: why some young US voters have given up hope on climate*
Alexandra Villarreal - 21 Sep 2020
Politically active young people are often championed as the Earth's
great hope to reverse the climate crisis - but many believe we've
already passed the tipping point
'You're not seeing people who are planning for the future, because the
future seems so precarious and so unpredictable.'
When Siddharth Namachivayam casts a ballot in Colorado this fall, he'll
forego Democratic nominee Joe Biden, whom he sees as just a "Band-Aid,"
and instead support the longshot Green party candidate focused on
climate action.
"I guess, yeah, it'd be marginally better if Biden was president, but I
don't think Biden being president is more important than the Green party
growing in the next couple of years," Namachivayam says.
If we continue on our current track, he predicts food shortages, global
economic instability, refugee crises, populist reactionary movements:
all the forces that are already plaguing humanity, intensified. He has
little confidence that the world will do what's necessary to curtail the
climate crisis, and he wrestles with the sheer scale of what needs to
happen - such as disrupting the entrenched economic interests that run
counter to disaster prevention.
"When I think about things like that, I'm just like, 'I don't know what
to do,'" says Namachivayam, a college junior in California.
Generation Z - the cohort born after 1996 - has the most at stake in the
effort to save the environment. They're often championed as Earth's
great hope, the young people whose optimism and activism will help
reverse catastrophic climate change. But while teens and young adults
protest in droves, some of their peers fear the cards are already
stacked against them.
Sometimes called "doomers", these deflated young people often insist
that radical, systemic change is the only chance for salvation - but
find it difficult to believe that the world will actually rise to the
occasion.
"You're not seeing people who are planning for the future, because the
future seems so precarious and so unpredictable," says Max Bouratoglou,
a 19-year-old student in California, where 25 major wildfires are
currently burning.
He believes "enormous devastation" is coming and that the world has
accelerated toward "a climate singularity".
Because of Bouratoglou's position on the climate crisis, he's skeptical
of getting married or having children. "Considering how nihilistic I
feel about the future and how I will be immediately affected, do I wanna
rain that burden upon someone else?" he asks.
Recent events haven't helped: American Gen Zers are living through a
collapsed social safety net during the coronavirus pandemic, a
presidential administration that has played into big polluters'
interests, shrinking career opportunities coupled with a volatile gig
economy, and the uphill battle to tackle structural racism, says Juanita
Constible, senior adviser to the Natural Resources Defense Council
Action Fund...
- -
The doomist argument largely relies on an unsubstantiated premise around
"unstoppable tipping point-like responses" and a "runaway greenhouse
effect", says Michael E Mann, a distinguished professor of atmospheric
science at Pennsylvania State University. Scientific evidence doesn't
back that conclusion, but its prominent peddlers have still garnered
success through "climate doom porn", inspiring an entire cottage
industry while discouraging hopeful youth climate activists.
"Promoting doom and despair, and the notion that it's too late to do
anything, is literally stealing their future away from them," Mann says.
"It is taking away agency on their part."
Meanwhile, an "ecosystem" of powerful agitators - from the Russian state
to fossil fuel stakeholders - have deployed doomism and lies online to
disillusion young progressives and craft a false equivalency between
Biden and Donald Trump, says Mann, whose forthcoming book The New
Climate War details how "forces of delay" are stifling fervor.
"These youth who have become dispirited about climate change and jaded
about prospects for climate action, they are victims of a disinformation
campaign by bad actors like Russia that have sought to undermine
enthusiasm for climate action," he says. "Part of that is by driving a
wedge within the environmental movement, and doomism is a great way to
create [that] wedge."
There are also less nefarious forces at play, such as dystopian
conclusions drawn from topical literature. Several young people
referenced a book, The Divide, as foundational to their pessimistic
views on climate. But its author, Jason Hickel, insists that his work
actually argues against the idea that climate change is unstoppable.
"It is true that the existing approach to climate policy is not going to
work," writes Hickel, an economic anthropologist. "But that is
absolutely no reason for doom. It just means we have to be smarter about
how we tackle the problem."
Through unprecedented access to technology, Gen Z has been exposed to
websites, articles and social media pages propagating doom, explains
Joseph Wilkanowski, an 18-year-old co-founder of the Re-Earth
Initiative. "I think that especially at a young age, you really catch on
very quickly, and you really immerse yourself into that," he says.
His organization, which instead espouses action, fields pushback from
other, more fatalistic students who argue that promoting an
environmental movement is a waste of time.
"These young people are right that what is missing is political will,
but that is something that we collectively have to create," says
Constible of the Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund.
"Just throwing in the towel on that is consigning our current peers and
future generations to a much more terrible future than is necessary."
Plenty of Gen Zers are still optimistic about the climate crisis and
recognize an inherent fallacy within doomism. "If it is a point of no
return, we're going down. But if we're saying this, even though it might
not be, it's worth, like, putting in some effort to try and preserve our
planet," says Valentina Doukeris, an 18-year-old international student
at a Chicago-based school.
Tim Joung, a 20-year-old student in New York, agrees with almost
everything that so-called doomers believe: individual action makes
little difference, and unscrupulous corporations are at fault for
climate change. But he also thinks that society can push for stricter
regulations on big polluters.
"If we do nothing, the worst is gonna happen," he says. "If we at least
do something, there might be a chance - maybe not now, but later down
the line - for us to save as many people as we can."
After growing up in a polluted China, Michael He, a student at Pomona
College, felt "doomed to have poisonous water and air" when he was only
10 years old. But then he watched the Chinese economy make what he
considered substantial progress diversifying from coal within a decade,
challenging his preconceptions.
"We have a lot of work to do, but I do not believe in the end of
history, you know, end of civilization claims by certain people," he says.
"If the Titanic's sinking, I don't wanna just dive into the ocean and
then just not come back up. I'm still gonna struggle like, you know,
Leonardo DiCaprio."
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/sep/21/meet-the-doomers-some-young-us-voters-have-given-up-hope-on-climate
[trending]
*What to Make of Some Young Evangelicals Abandoning Trump Over Climate
Change?*
While conservative Christians remain staunch supporters of the
president, the climate consciousness of Generation Z could bring a
political shift in the long-term.
BY JAMES BRUGGERS - Sept 25, 2020...
- -
About a third to a half of all Trump supporters are evangelicals of some
sort, and they're not moving, said Jason Husser, a political science
professor at Elon University in North Carolina. "Most polling suggests
they have stayed with Trump," Husser added. "If there was a big shift
away from President Trump, we'd be seeing it."
-
Like other Christians, evangelicals who are concerned about the climate
draw upon Biblical teachings.
"Climate change is a profound threat to all of God's creation, but
especially to the vulnerable of God's creation," said the Rev. Jim Ball,
a former Southern Baptist who has been at the forefront of the
evangelical environmental movement for more than three decades. "That
includes the poor, the children, and future generations."
He added, "It is essentially a way of taking back the blessing of God,
in Genesis." Ball is a former executive director of the Evangelical
Environmental Network, whose provocative "What would Jesus drive"
campaign in the 2000s grabbed headlines by questioning the moral value
of gas-guzzling sport utility vehicles.
"Instead of doing what we were created to do, which is reflect God's
care for his creation and for others, climate change does the opposite,"
Ball said.
The Rev. Mitchell C. Hescox, the president and CEO of the Evangelical
Environmental Network, says that a "pro-life" stand must go beyond
abortion...
- -
"There is an indisputable call for Christians to care about our fellow
brothers and sisters. Coal is causing illness and death. It is not
providing for human flourishing," she said.
Young people raised in evangelical churches are wrestling with "a
panoply of issues that the religious right wants to lock together," such
as views on science, gender roles and sexuality, said Kearns, the Drew
Theological School professor. As a result, he added, evangelical
churches are losing a lot of young people as they grow into adulthood.
Among evangelicals, younger members are more likely to have an awareness
that Black and brown communities pay the highest cost for environmental
pollution and will be the most affected by the impacts of climate
changes, she said...
- -
Without explicitly telling her fellow students whom they should vote
for, she said she will try to make it clear what voting for the climate
means as a Christian.
"You can care about the Earth," she said. "God created it. We can listen
to scientists and discern what we will from what they say. We can follow
God's commandments, and we can be good stewards of the Earth, and we can
vote with that in mind."
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/24092020/evangelical-christian-voting-climate-change-biden-trump-2020
- -
[from 2018]
*Generation Climate: Can Young Evangelicals Change the Climate Debate?*
For students at this top evangelical college, loving God means
protecting creation. That includes dealing with the human sources of
climate change.
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/21112018/evangelicals-climate-change-action-creation-care-wheaton-college-millennials-yeca
[Cough, cough]
*Scientists fear the Western wildfires could lead to long-term lung damage*
Young children, older adults, and people with preexisting conditions
face the highest risks.
https://www.vox.com/21451219/wildfire-2020-california-oregon-washington-health-air-quality
- -
[particle interest]
*What We Don't Know About Wildfire Smoke Should Scare Us*
When it comes to the long-term effects of smoke exposure, "we're all
research subjects," one public health expert said.
By Lydia O'Connor
There's clear consensus that wildfire smoke is bad for us in the short
term: It leaves people coughing and suffering from headaches and sore
throats; it inflames some existing health conditions, such as asthma and
heart problems; and it may even make a person more susceptible to
COVID-19 symptoms. But when it comes to the long-term effects that
wildfire smoke may have on people, the experts still have a lot more
questions than answers.
"Unfortunately for all of us, we're all research subjects," said Dr.
Gina Solomon, a principal investigator at the Public Health Institute
and a clinical professor of medicine at the University of California,
San Francisco. "[There are] a lot of people that are being exposed
repeatedly to wildfire smoke, so we're going to know a lot more in the
coming years."...
- -
The outstanding question, Solomon said, is whether particulate matter --
the dangerous mixture of tiny particles and liquid droplets in the air
-- in wildfire smoke is just as toxic as the air tainted by cigarettes,
tailpipes and other year-round pollutants.
"If wildfire smoke particulate matter behaves just like other particles,
then the picture is not good for for long-term health," she said.
Exposure to particulate matter from air pollution reduces lung function,
and it's especially harmful for children since their lungs are still
developing, she added.
There are still big gaps in our knowledge, largely because wildfires
have never been as bad as they've been in recent years and because smoke
is so hard to isolate from other air pollutants.
A review of the research on this subject in 2017, when some of the worst
wildfires in history hit California, emphasized the missing puzzle
pieces in understanding the long-term impact of particulate matter in
wildfire smoke. The review noted that it remains "completely unknown"
what the cumulative effect of repeated exposure may have on a person's
lung health.
One of the authors of that review was Dr. Lisa Miller, the associate
director of research at the California National Primate Research Center
and a professor at the University of California, Davis. Miller is one of
the experts working to expand what we know about the long-term effects
of smoke exposure.
When severe wildfires left her Davis-based research facility blanketed
in smoke in 2008, Miller had the idea to observe wildfire smoke exposure
on baby monkeys living in enclosed, half-acre fields outdoors at the
facility. During the 10-day period of smoky conditions, the amount of
particulate matter in the area was far above the federal standard for
healthy air and sometimes more than doubled the safe amount per cubic meter.
The study followed those monkeys from infancy to around three years of
age, and it led to grim findings.
"The animals that were exposed to the smoke during that period of time
when they were babies had deficiencies in their immune system, and their
lungs appear to be more stiff," Miller said.
A stiff lung in humans is early evidence of pulmonary fibrosis, a
condition in which people's lungs become irreversibly scarred and less
functional, leaving them short of breath, she added.
The study also showed some evidence that the animals affected by the
smoke exposure passed on immune deficiencies to their offspring, leaving
both of them more susceptible to disease...
- -
"I think it's important for people to really understand that this isn't
just wood burning," she said.
Solomon agreed, saying, "There's other stuff in that smoke."
"If you live near the fire, there's a lot a lot of other material,
including chemicals like benzene that are emitted from combustion that
are very, very toxic substances," she said.
Solomon has seen that problem show up in unexpected places. When a small
group of residents in Santa Rosa, California, returned home after the
catastrophic Tubbs fire in 2017, several of them found that their tap
water suddenly had a strong, foul odor. Testing found that their water
contained extraordinarily high concentrations of benzene, a carcinogen
known to cause leukemia in humans.
I think it's important for people to really understand that this isn't
just wood burning.
Dr. Lisa Miller, associate director of research at the California
National Primate Research Center
"Levels were about up to about 1,000 times higher than the legally
allowable concentrations," Solomon said.
When the same phenomenon was observed in Paradise, California, after
people returned home following the 2018 Camp fire, Solomon secured
funding to try and figure out what was happening. She's still putting
the data together, but one explanation appears the most likely: The
water systems lost pressure when the fires stormed those communities and
pipes instead sucked in wildfire smoke, which contains benzene, she
said. Those levels of benzene were made worse by all the incinerated
plastics inside people's homes and the charred plastic water pipes,
which both released benzene when they burned.
"Anytime you have a fire come through and there's a loss of pressure in
the system, there's a risk of having severe contamination of the water
system afterwards," Solomon said.
"Unfortunately," she concluded, "this can happen again."
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/wildfire-smoke-what-we-dont-know_n_5f626f53c5b6c6317cff0f13
[on the record]
*Meteorologists determine the Creek Fire created two fire tornados*
Bill Gabbert - September 25, 2020...
The Mammoth Pool tornado, which touched down inside the Wagner
Campground, snapped several two-foot-diameter trees about 20 to 30 feet
above the ground; it was rated as having winds of 115 to 125 mph. The
Huntington Lake fire tornado had winds of 90 to 107 mph, and the NWS
noted that it was "the result of unprecedented fire activity."
The article reports that the NWS personnel on duty while the tornados
were occurring had concerns about activating their severe weather
warning system.
"A tornado warning was considered but not issued," said [Jerald Meadows,
the warning coordination meteorologist at the Hanford Office], who
feared that disseminating such an alert might leave people unnecessarily
conflicted about deciding whether to shelter or evacuate.
"A tornado warning for a fire opens up a can of worms," he said. "We
want to make sure we're messaging properly, and we were talking to fire
crews letting them know of the circulations we were seeing."
https://wildfiretoday.com/2020/09/25/meteorologists-determine-the-creek-fire-created-two-fire-tornados/
- -
[first great firenado video]
*Fire Tornado Sucks Fire Hose Into Air*
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eWv3cUzJvA
[CBS 60 minutes discovers global warming]
*Sir David Attenborough on why his new film is a "witness statement" to
climate change*
Legendary wildlife filmmaker David Attenborough tells Anderson Cooper
the terrible things people have done throughout history pale in
comparison to the damage brought to the Earth from climate change. See
the full interview, Sunday.
The world's foremost wildlife filmmaker tells Anderson Cooper humanity
has committed a crime against his beloved natural world. BBC legend Sir
David Attenborough, who at one time had been skeptical about climate
change, now says scientists are right about the harm to the planet
humans are causing and considers it a crime. Attenborough speaks to
Cooper for a report to be broadcast on the next edition of 60 Minutes,
Sunday, September 27 at 7 p.m. ET/PT.
Attenborough calls his latest film and book "A Life on Our Planet," a
"witness statement." Because "a crime has been committed," he says of
dreadful damage humans have done. "And it so happens that I'm of such an
age, I was able to see it beginning."
In his many films, including "Planet Earth" and "Blue Planet,"
Attenborough, 94, has taken hundreds of millions of television viewers
to the mountains, valleys, deserts and the depths of the ocean but his
newest documentary might be his most important. In "A Life on Our
Planet," he says the Earth is headed for disaster. "Deserts in Africa
have been spreading. There could be whole areas of the world, where
people can no longer safely live. The hottest temperatures yet
recorded…" Higher temperatures are coming, he says. "Wait another few
months. Wait another year. See again," warns Attenborough.
He's convinced what's happening now to the natural world because of
climate change is far worse than what humans have done over the ages.
"Even the biggest and most awful things that humanity has done,
so-called civilizations have done, pale to significance when you think
of what could be around the corner, unless we pull ourselves together,"
says Attenborough.
He says the continuing use of fossil fuels and the destruction of the
planet's natural habitat is tantamount to suicide. "If there were no
more trees, we would suffocate." But in the current pandemic, he finds
some hope with the new appreciation of nature. "In the course of this
particular pandemic that we're going through, I think people are
discovering that they need the natural world for their very sanity," he
tells Cooper. "People who have never listened to a birdsong are suddenly
thrilled, excited, supported, inspired by the natural world. And they
realize they're not apart from it. They are part of it."
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/sir-david-attenborough-new-film-climate-change-witness-statement-60-minutes-2020-09-24/
[Movies]
*Rebuilding Paradise review - after the wildfire in a California town*
The town of Paradise tries to get back on its feet in Ron Howard's
quietly harrowing documentary
Ellen E Jones - 25 Sep 2020
As America's west coast continues to burn, this Ron Howard-directed
documentary tells of the aftermath of the 2018 wildfires in Paradise,
California. At the time it was the deadliest and most destructive fire
in California history. Paradise first entered the international
consciousness via a Trumpian gaffe that seemed to encapsulate the
administration's casual indifference to climate change; the president
referred to the town as "Pleasure" while touring the devastation. That
clip is featured again here, this time utterly drained of even the
bitterest humour by the harrowing images that precede it.
Footage garnered from emergency response vehicle dashcams and survivors'
mobiles shows the now-familiar ash clouds, orange skies and deadlocked
queues of fleeing traffic - no less shocking for that familiarity. In
one remarkable shot, four horses gallop away from the inferno, as if
having already abandoned the four horsemen in their haste to escape the
apocalypse. The irony is stark: Paradise sure looks a lot like hell.
It is the small-town heroes who are ultimately the film's centre,
however. These include square-jawed local cop Matt Gates, tireless
school district superintendent Michelle John and the
town-drunk-turned-town-mayor Woody Culleton (how's that for living out
the American Dream?). At one point the real-life Erin Brockovich even
pops up to lend support to a class action suit. These displaced
characters from a Frank Capra movie are now just displaced; scattered
across the state, living half-lives in motels and trailers, while they
await any news.
Rebuilding Paradise might easily have blazed with righteous fury, but
its conclusions are quieter and bleaker. There are big societal,
historical and pyrogeographical reasons why such disasters now happen
with increasing frequency. But none of that is the fault of these good
people. They just want to go home.
https://www.theguardian.com/film/2020/sep/25/rebuilding-paradise-review-after-the-wildfire-in-a-california-town
[Internationalism]
*Climate change is making the Arctic more hospitable, says Russian
nuclear icebreaker captain*
Experienced Arctic shipmaster Aleksandr Skryabin tells President Putin
that it is time to take advantage of warmer weather and shrinking sea-ice...
- -
As shown from our working experience, the harsh Arctic has over the last
years been very friendly towards our industry and, as I see it, adheres
with great hospitality towards state corporation Rosatom."
He described how Rosatom soon will be able to operate along the whole
Northern Sea Route for 9-10 months per year, up from the current 7-8
months...
- -
*Dramatic warming*
Sea-ice conditions in the area has changed dramatically over the last
decades. In 2020, two tankers sailed across the eastern part of the
route already in May, and in July the route was completely ice-free.
The major changes come as temperatures in the region have reached an
unprecedented high. This summer, the average Russian Arctic temperatures
were as much as 3-5 degrees Celsius higher than normal.
Since measurements started in year 1881, the temperatures in the Arctic
have never been this high, according to Russia's meteorological service
Roshydromet.
The trend is leading to massive melting of sea-ice and 2020 marks the
second lowest level on record, the National Snow and Ice Date Center
informs.
https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/climate-crisis/2020/09/climate-change-making-arctic-more-hospital-says-russian-nuclear-icebreaker
[Article nearly a year old]
*Firms ignoring climate crisis will go bankrupt, says Mark Carney*
Bank of England governor warns of financial collapse linked to climate
emergency
Failing to act would have severe consequences, he said. "I don't
normally quote bankers, but James Gorman, who is the CEO of Morgan
Stanley, said the other day: 'If we don't have a planet, we're not going
to have a very good financial system.' Ultimately, that is true."
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/oct/13/firms-ignoring-climate-crisis-bankrupt-mark-carney-bank-england-governor
[Digging back into the internet news archive]
*On this day in the history of global warming - September 27, 1988 *
September 27, 1988: In a speech to the Royal Society in London, Margaret
Thatcher addresses the environmental threats of global warming, the
ozone layer and acid rain, noting the risk of rising sea levels to the
Maldives.
http://www.margaretthatcher.org/document/107346
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