[✔️] November 4, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | Scientist's update, In the Pipeline, Michigan mandate, Hansen tells Congress, Republicans try, Warfare footprint, Earth stories videos, COP29; Trouble in the labs,, 1988 Wishy-washy
Richard Pauli
Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Sat Nov 4 03:41:57 EDT 2023
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/*November 4*//*, 2023*/
/[ video summary - very current ]/
*An Intimate Conversation with Leading Climate Scientists To Discuss New
Research on Global Warming*
SDSN
Nov 2, 2023
On behalf of renowned climate scientist, Dr. James Hansen, we are
pleased to share this virtual event entitled “An Intimate Conversation
with Leading Climate Scientists To Discuss Ground-breaking New Research
on Global Warming”.
Ahead of the upcoming COP28, renowned climate scientist, Dr. James
Hansen, and his co-authors present the novel findings of his new paper
“Global Warming in the Pipeline.”
Read the paper:
https://academic.oup.com/oocc/article/3/1/kgad008/7335889?login=false
The event was moderated by Professor Jeffrey Sachs and features
interventions by the following individuals:
- Dr. James Hansen, Lead Author and Director, Climate Science,
Awareness, and Solutions, Columbia University Earth Institute
- Leon Simons, The Club of Rome Netherlands, ‘s-Hertogenbosch, The
Netherlands
- Dr. Norman G. Loeb, CERES Principal Investigator, NASA
- Dr. George Tselioudis, Author and Research Physical Scientist, NASA
Goddard Institute for Space Studies
- Dr. Pushker Kharecha, Author and Associate Research Scientist,
Director, Climate Science, Awareness, and Solutions, Columbia Climate School
---
About the Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN):
The UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN) was set up in
2012 under the auspices of the UN Secretary-General. SDSN mobilizes
global scientific and technological expertise to promote practical
solutions for sustainable development, including the implementation of
the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Paris Climate
Agreement. SDSN works closely with United Nations agencies, multilateral
financing institutions, the private sector, and civil society.
Connect with us:
unsdsn.org
twitter.com/UNSDSN
facebook.com/UNSDSN
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NXDWpBlPCY8
- -
[ Oxford Open Climate Change ]
*Global warming in the pipeline *
James E Hansen, Makiko Sato, Leon Simons, Larissa S Nazarenko, Isabelle
Sangha, Pushker Kharecha, James C Zachos, Karina von Schuckmann, Norman
G Loeb, Matthew B Osman ...
Oxford Open Climate Change, Volume 3, Issue 1, 2023, kgad008,
https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfclm/kgad008
Published: 02 November 2023
*Abstract*
Improved knowledge of glacial-to-interglacial global temperature
change yields Charney (fast-feedback) equilibrium climate
sensitivity 1.2 ± 0.3°C (2σ) per W/m2, which is 4.8°C ± 1.2°C for
doubled CO2. Consistent analysis of temperature over the full
Cenozoic era—including ‘slow’ feedbacks by ice sheets and trace
gases—supports this sensitivity and implies that CO2 was 300–350 ppm
in the Pliocene and about 450 ppm at transition to a nearly ice-free
planet, exposing unrealistic lethargy of ice sheet models.
Equilibrium global warming for today’s GHG amount is 10°C, which is
reduced to 8°C by today’s human-made aerosols. Equilibrium warming
is not ‘committed’ warming; rapid phaseout of GHG emissions would
prevent most equilibrium warming from occurring. However, decline of
aerosol emissions since 2010 should increase the 1970–2010 global
warming rate of 0.18°C per decade to a post-2010 rate of at least
0.27°C per decade. Thus, under the present geopolitical approach to
GHG emissions, global warming will exceed 1.5°C in the 2020s and 2°C
before 2050. Impacts on people and nature will accelerate as global
warming increases hydrologic (weather) extremes. The enormity of
consequences demands a return to Holocene-level global temperature.
Required actions include: (1) a global increasing price on GHG
emissions accompanied by development of abundant, affordable,
dispatchable clean energy, (2) East-West cooperation in a way that
accommodates developing world needs, and (3) intervention with
Earth’s radiation imbalance to phase down today’s massive human-made
‘geo-transformation’ of Earth’s climate. Current political crises
present an opportunity for reset, especially if young people can
grasp their situation.
https://academic.oup.com/oocc/article/3/1/kgad008/7335889?login=false
[ One state takes a leap forward ]
*Michigan House passes climate change reform, mandating clean energy by
2040*
November 3, 2023
Kelly House
- The House has approved sweeping energy reforms designed to push
utilities toward renewable energy
- The centerpiece is a requirement for utilities to get 100 percent of
their energy from state-approved clean sources by 2040
- The Senate, which approved earlier versions of the package, must
revisit several bills before they head to Gov. Gretchen Whitmer
LANSING — The Michigan House early Friday morning approved a suite of
reforms to address climate change that would fundamentally change how
the state gets its energy and require utilities to draw all their power
from clean sources by 2040.
Working late into the night, the measures were approved along party
lines, with pleas from Democrats that changes are long overdue and
opposition from Republicans who argue the timeline will hurt reliability
and increase rates.
“It's time that Michigan does its part to address climate change,” said
Rep. Jenn Hill, D-Marquette, who called climate change “an immediate
threat to the wellbeing and economic prosperity of our state.”
Republicans contend the transition mandated by Senate Bill 271 is too
abrupt and swapping fossil fuels too quickly for alternatives like wind
and solar energy will lead to trouble.
“For this legislation to make sense, not only would the technology have
to improve, but Michigan would also have to become a windy, sunny
place,” said Rep. Andrew Fink, R-Hillsdale.
The package also includes legislation that would shift permitting
control over large wind and solar arrays from local governments to the
state. Those bills passed the House overnight and will head to the
Senate for consideration.
The reforms are the most significant since a 2016 state energy overhaul,
and they moved through the House in only a week as Democrats rush to
pass legislation while they still maintain a two-seat majority. Two
Democrats, Kevin Coleman and Lori Stone are running for mayor in
Westland and Warren, respectively, on Tuesday. If either wins, the House
is likely to recess for the year.
The Senate, which approved earlier versions of the package, must revisit
several bills amended by the House before they head to Gov. Gretchen
Whitmer. In 2020, the governor set a goal for Michigan to become carbon
neutral by midcentury and has repeatedly called for legislation to
support that goal. She is expected to sign the climate bills if they
reach her desk.
The bills faced criticism from some environmental groups who accused
Democratic sponsors of kowtowing to lobbyists by changing the deadline
from 2035, allowing utilities to seek extensions and defining things
like landfill gas and incinerated waste as renewable energy.
“We wanted to ensure that there were sufficient points of contact
between (state regulators) and the utility,” Sen. Sam Singh, D-East
Lansing and a sponsor of the package, said Wednesday. “That if there
were concerns about meeting some of these goals ... there were off ramps.”
Under the new language, regulated utilities would have until 2027 to get
15 percent of their energy from renewable sources — a term that includes
energy derived from manure and landfill methane, with a narrow carve-out
for some incinerated waste.
The requirement would gradually increase to 60 percent by 2035.
*Starting in 2035, electricity providers would have to get 80 percent of
their energy from sources the bill deems to be clean, including
renewables, nuclear and natural gas with carbon capture. Utilities would
need to reach 100 percent clean energy by 2040.*
If they struggle to meet those deadlines, the Michigan Public Service
Commission could grant “good cause” exemptions of up to two years apiece.
Many Democrats and environmental groups lauded the bills.
“Passing this legislation solidifies Michigan as a national clean energy
leader and is a crucial first step toward cleaner air, cleaner water and
more affordable electricity bills for Michiganders,” said Derrell
Slaughter, a state clean energy advocate with the Natural Resources
Defense Council.
Nick Occhipinti, government affairs director for the Michigan League of
Conservation Voters, echoed the sentiment.
“After a summer of smoke-reddened skies choking the air, waves of
outages and news of climate-driven tragedies from all over the country
and our world, the time to act has never been more clear or more
urgent,” he said.
The bills were revised during weeks of closed-door negotiations this
fall, before new versions were publicly released and voted out of both
chambers within about a week.
Environmental justice groups argued the new 2040 deadline is not fast
enough, and panned waste incineration and carbon capture as “loopholes”
that allow utilities to continue burning fossil fuels.
Ahmina Maxey, executive director of the Michigan Environmental Justice
Coalition, called that “a betrayal of Black, Brown, Indigenous and
frontline communities throughout Michigan who for generations have
contended with the worst effects of climate change and pollution.”
Republicans, meanwhile, said they’re skeptical of Democratic vows that
the legislation will not raise energy rates or make Michigan vulnerable
to outages during cloudy, still days when solar panels and wind turbines
don’t generate much power. During a committee hearing Wednesday, they
attempted to add a host of amendments, including several that would
suspend the legislation if rates increase too much. None passed.
Rep. Pauline Wendzel, R-Bainbridge Township, called the energy package a
“brown-out bundle.”
Michigan’s two largest utilities, Consumers Energy and DTE Energy, are
neutral on the clean-energy mandate. Both had already committed to
carbon neutrality by mid-century — 2040 in Consumers’ case and 2050 in
DTE’s case.
https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-environment-watch/michigan-house-passes-climate-change-reform-mandating-clean-energy-2040
/[ headline in NYTimes - blame Congress ]/
*35 Years After Addressing Congress, James Hansen Still Has Climate
Warnings*
The former NASA scientist James Hansen says in a new paper that global
temperatures will pass a major milestone this decade, faster than other
estimates predict.
By Delger Erdenesanaa
Nov. 2, 2023
Global warming may be happening more quickly than previously thought,
according to a new study by a group of researchers including former NASA
scientist James Hansen, whose testimony before Congress 35 years ago
helped raise broad awareness of climate change.
The study warns that the planet could exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius, or 2.7
degrees Fahrenheit, of warming this decade, compared with the average
temperature in preindustrial days, and that the world will warm by 2
degrees Celsius by 2050. When countries signed the landmark Paris
Agreement in 2015 to collectively fight climate change, they agreed to
try and limit global warming to “well below” 2 degrees Celsius and aim
for 1.5 degrees.
“The 1.5 degree limit is deader than a doornail,” said Dr. Hansen, now
the director of the Climate Science, Awareness and Solutions Program at
Columbia University, during a news conference on Thursday. The 2 degrees
goal could still be met, he said, but only with concerted action to stop
using fossil fuels and at a pace far quicker than current plans.
The world has warmed by about 1.2 degrees Celsius so far and is already
experiencing worsening heat waves, wildfires, storms, biodiversity loss
and other consequences of climate change. Past the Paris Agreement
temperature goals, which reflect the results of international diplomacy
rather than exact scientific benchmarks, the effects will get
significantly worse and veer into territory with greater extremes and
unknowns...
- -
Despite these disagreements, the very real, physical deadlines of 1.5
and 2 degrees Celsius are looming close enough on the horizon that, to a
certain extent, exactly how sensitive the Earth’s climate is to future
greenhouse gas emissions doesn’t matter. Most experts agree that while
the 1.5 degree goal has already been missed, 2 degrees is still
salvageable — but not without much more action than countries are
currently taking.
“We’re also going to pass 2 degrees. That’s clear, unless we take action
to reduce the energy imbalance,” Dr. Hansen said. “The first thing we
must do is reduce emissions as fast as possible.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/02/climate/james-hansen-global-warming-report.html
[ a chance for Republicans to act on climate ]
*Senate Republicans introduce a climate bill — aimed at China*
The legislation aims to protect U.S. companies from cheap imports from
countries that lack robust greenhouse gas regulations.
By JOSH SIEGEL
11/02/2023
A trio of Republicans led by Louisiana Sen. Bill Cassidy is introducing
legislation Thursday that would impose a fee on products imported from
high greenhouse gas-emitting countries, a move aimed at protecting U.S.
manufacturers from competition from China and other countries with lax
environmental standards.
The bill, shared exclusively with POLITICO, represents the first GOP-led
proposal to inject climate change policy into U.S. trade rules through
so-called carbon adjustment fees. It’s a strategy that’s gained in
popularity as industrialized nations that are imposing ever-stricter
climate regulations at home seek to ensure they don’t drive domestic
manufacturing to countries that have weaker rules over emissions of the
pollution that’s warming the planet.
/- - [ Uh oh -- this tepid bill has more loopholes ]/
The fee rate on imports under the proposed legislation is set to ensure
the imports of a given product are initially, on average, no more than
50 percent more pollution-intense than the U.S. But that intensity
difference ramps down to 25 percent and then 10 percent over time.
Products from any country deemed to be within 10 percent of U.S.
pollution intensity won’t be penalized.
The bill also provides for exemptions from paying a fee, for example,
for products considered to be within 50 percent of U.S. pollution
intensity that are produced in countries that have ratified free trade
agreements with the U.S., along with allowing for national security
waivers requiring the sourcing of a product from a specific country.
Cassidy contends his effort is consistent with the approach of President
Joe Biden, who has carried over some of Trump’s trade policies and is
working with the European Union to finalize a first-of-its-kind
initiative to promote trading of low-carbon steel and aluminum to reduce
reliance on China.
His bill aims to encourage developing countries like India and Vietnam
to establish “international partnerships” with the U.S. in which they
impose a similar climate and trade policy in exchange for preferential
market access for their products to the U.S.
“There is a possibility here for a big bargain,” Cassidy said, arguing a
pollution fee would fit with bipartisan efforts in Congress to ease
permitting rules for building energy products domestically.
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/02/senate-gop-climate-bill-china-00124909
/[ The first rule of ecology: "Everything is connected" ] /
*How Warfare Is Destroying Our Environment | Footprints Of War | Earth
Stories*
Earth Stories - Climate Disaster Documentaries
Nov 1, 2023 #radioactive #military #environment
In the past century, over 200 wars have ravaged our planet. Military
attacks have alarming consequences on our ecosystem. From radioactive
contaminated landscapes, to millions of tons of ammunition in our
oceans, and toxic landscapes - the military footprint is huge. From WWI
until today, how has modern wars impacted our environment?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H-l8Tf9Pz48
/[ Excellent group of educational videos ]/
*Earth Stories - Climate Disaster Documentaries*
296 videos
Our planet is an extraordinary place teeming with life, wonder and
beauty. Earth Stories takes a look at the world through this lens,
bringing you the best documentaries and factual series showcasing the
place we all call home; its scale, its majesty, and the precarious
balance that we risk tipping forever with global warming.
Subscribe for incredible documentaries all about the place we call home,
Earth.
Earth Stories is part of the Little Dot Studios Network. To get in touch
please email owned-enquiries at littledotstudios.co
https://www.youtube.com/@climatedisasterdocumentaries
/
/
/[ Decisions in Abu Dhabi - Reuters ]
/*COP28 chief, groups, urge tripling renewable capacity by 2030*
By By Yousef Saba And Kate Abnett
October 30, 2023
ABU DHABI, Oct 30 (Reuters) - The presidency of next month's COP28
climate summit and two renewable energy organisations on Monday urged
governments to triple renewable energy capacity by 2030 as part of
efforts to stop global warming exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius.
Countries hope to strike a deal on the increase in capacity at the
latest round of global climate negotiations set to get under way in
Dubai in late November, which will focus on the gaps in the
implementation of the 2015 Paris Agreement that established the 1.5°C
ceiling.
- -
They say a renewable energy deal at COP28 must be paired with a
commitment to phase out CO2-emitting fossil fuels - a pledge that has
faced resistance from Saudi Arabia, Russia and other fossil fuel-reliant
economies.
"You cannot just have the renewables goal and then call the COP a
success," European Union climate policy chief Wopke Hoekstra told an
event in Brussels on Friday.
Guiding the COP28 talks will be the UAE's Sultan al-Jaber, a choice that
has drawn criticism from some U.S. and EU lawmakers as well as
campaigners as he is the boss of state oil giant ADNOC, and the UAE's
climate envoy.
The report also called for doubling energy efficiency, urging targets
with specific time frames, strong regulatory frameworks, financial
incentives and awareness campaigns.
Reporting by Yousef Saba and Kate Abnett, editing by Deborah Kyvrikosaios
https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/cop/cop28-chief-groups-urge-tripling-renewable-capacity-by-2030-2023-10-30/
/
/
/
/
/[ Associated Press -- wait -- this is some research of global warming
science - why is there violence? ]/
*Investigators are being sent to US research base on Antarctica to look
into sexual violence concerns*
WELLINGTON, New Zealand (AP) — The watchdog office overseeing the
National Science Foundation is sending investigators to Antarctica's
McMurdo Station after hearing concerns about the prevalence of sexual
violence at the U.S. research base.
Posted Nov 3, 2023
By NICK PERRY , Associated Press
WELLINGTON, New Zealand (AP) — The watchdog office overseeing the
National Science Foundation is sending investigators to Antarctica's
McMurdo Station after hearing concerns about the prevalence of sexual
violence at the U.S. research base.
Meanwhile the NSF, a federal agency, said it's furthering its own
efforts to address the “pervasive problem." It announced Friday it is
appointing Renée Ferranti as a special assistant to the NSF director to
focus on sexual assault and harassment prevention and response.
An Associated Press investigation in August uncovered a pattern of women
at McMurdo Station who said their claims of harassment or assault were
minimized by their employers, often leading to them or others being put
in further danger.
Internal communications obtained by the AP indicated the NSF Office of
Inspector General would send investigators for a site visit from Monday
through Nov. 17.
“We are in the process of expanding our investigative mission to include
the investigation of criminal violations that occur in Antarctica,” Lisa
Vonder Haar, the chief of staff for the OIG, wrote in an email to the AP
confirming the visit. “Such violations include aggravated sexual abuse,
sexual abuse, abusive sexual contact, and stalking.”
Vonder Haar said its special agents have been responding remotely to
complaints from workers in Antarctica since July and it plans to have a
presence on the ice during future summers.
The AP investigation detailed the lack of support many women felt from
those running the Antarctic program. One woman felt compelled to carry a
hammer with her at all times for protection. Another woman who reported
a colleague had groped her was made to work alongside him again.
In another case, a woman who told her employer she was sexually
assaulted was fired two months later. A fourth woman said that bosses at
the base downgraded her allegations from rape to harassment.
A 2022 NSF report found 59% of women said they’d experienced harassment
or assault while on the ice. Alcohol was a factor in some cases.
In October, the NSF decided to stop serving alcohol at McMurdo Station's
bars, although workers can still buy a weekly alcohol ration from the
station store. The NSF told the AP the alcohol changes were related to
morale and welfare, and were not aimed at preventing sexual harassment
or assault.
On Friday, NSF Director Sethuraman Panchanathan said he was delighted to
welcome Ferranti, who had more than 25 years of experience in sexual
assault prevention.
“Addressing this pervasive problem remains a top priority for me and the
agency, and with Renée’s expertise we will continue to adapt and further
accelerate our efforts to address the evolving landscape of sexual
assault prevention and response,” Panchanathan said in a statement.
Ferranti said in the release she hopes “to make a meaningful impact to
advance NSF's progress in addressing sexual violence.”
https://apnews.com/article/sexual-violence-mcmurdo-station-antarctica-1764712bfe58d26f8ed926ca233c4633
/[The news archive - when tepid wishy-washy attitudes failed the future ]/
/*November 4, 1988 */
November 4, 1988: Discussing the conflict of visions at the heart of the
1988 presidential campaign, the New York Times notes:
"Neither candidate has a record in office as a committed
environmentalist. [Vice President George] Bush, for example, headed a
Reagan Administration task force that recommended relaxing many
environmental regulations. [Massachusetts Governor Michael] Dukakis
sought waivers of Federal requirements that Boston Harbor be cleaned up.
Yet both candidates are campaigning as strong conservationists, and
protection of the environment has become a widely discussed issue for
the first time in a Presidential campaign.
"Mr. Bush ran a series of television advertisements attacking Mr.
Dukakis for pollution in Boston Harbor. Mr. Dukakis, saying he was not
at fault, responded with ads blaming Reagan budget cuts for the harbor's
pollution and criticizing the Vice President for opposing renewal of the
Clean Water Act and strong regulation of corporate polluters.
"Mr. Dukakis has won the endorsement of most national environmental
organizations. The League of Conservation Voters, the political arm of
the main environmental groups, gives Mr. Dukakis a rating of B, Mr. Bush
a grade of D+, based on their records and stated positions.
"Neither man has promised to spend much new money on the environment.
But both have endorsed a program to reduce pollution that causes acid
rain, both say they would bring an end to ocean dumping and both promise
to call a meeting of world leaders to address the threat of global
warming caused by man-made gases."
http://www.nytimes.com/1988/11/04/us/emotional-issues-are-the-1988-battleground.html?pagewanted=print&src=pm
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